France · Multi-region weather view
Corsica
Sign in to followA mountainous Mediterranean island with vineyards around much of its coast.
Sea air moderates the heat, while elevation and exposure create strong local differences.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Vintage explorer
What stood out in 2011
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation. A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.
Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 136 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence
The regional record had 4 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.
A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.
How unusual was 2011?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
16th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 19 of 34 other vintages 15.5°CGrowing-season rainfall
3rd driest of 35 vintages Drier than 32 of 34 other vintages 409.4 mmHeat accumulation
17th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 18 of 34 other vintages 1320 GDDHot days
Most of 35 vintages More than 0 of 34 other vintages 0 days2011 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 1 GDDTypical 4 GDDRainfall
2011 135.7 mmTypical 90.6 mm- 2011 freezing days
- 11
- Typical
- 6.9
More freezing days than the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 45 GDDTypical 23 GDDRainfall
2011 79.9 mmTypical 100.9 mm- 2011 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 1.5
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 126 GDDTypical 109 GDDRainfall
2011 23.1 mmTypical 86.6 mm- 2011 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Drier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 212 GDDTypical 221 GDDRainfall
2011 99.9 mmTypical 60.9 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 270 GDDTypical 315 GDDRainfall
2011 67.3 mmTypical 32.5 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2011 322 GDDTypical 325 GDDRainfall
2011 6.6 mmTypical 38.4 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2011 250 GDDTypical 194 GDDRainfall
2011 37.1 mmTypical 72.7 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2011 94 GDDTypical 97 GDDRainfall
2011 30.8 mmTypical 106.5 mmDrier than the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2011 GDD | Typical GDD | 2011 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2011 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2011 | 1 GDD | 4 GDD | 135.7 mm | 90.6 mm | 11 | 6.9 |
| April 2011 | 45 GDD | 23 GDD | 79.9 mm | 100.9 mm | 0 | 1.5 |
| May 2011 | 126 GDD | 109 GDD | 23.1 mm | 86.6 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| June 2011 | 212 GDD | 221 GDD | 99.9 mm | 60.9 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2011 | 270 GDD | 315 GDD | 67.3 mm | 32.5 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2011 | 322 GDD | 325 GDD | 6.6 mm | 38.4 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2011 | 250 GDD | 194 GDD | 37.1 mm | 72.7 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2011 | 94 GDD | 97 GDD | 30.8 mm | 106.5 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2011 growing season
231 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Jul 14, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2021
Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Spring frost exposure.
- Growing-season mean temperature
- warmer: 0.0°C
- Spring frost exposure
- more frost-exposure days: 1 day
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain
View 2021 →Second closest
2001
Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Growing-season precipitation
- more rain: 6.6 mm
- Growing-season mean temperature
- cooler: 0.0°C
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain
View 2001 →Third closest
2006
Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Growing degree days.
- Growing-season mean temperature
- warmer: 0.0°C
- Growing degree days
- higher: 27 GDD
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain
View 2006 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%). Measures omitted because they did not vary: Hot-day count.
Calculated distances: 2021 0.612; 2001 0.627; 2006 0.874.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -1.5°C | +6 mm | 0 |
| 1992 | -1.1°C | +173 mm | 0 |
| 1993 | -0.6°C | -16 mm | 0 |
| 1994 | -0.1°C | -32 mm | 0 |
| 1995 | -1.3°C | +8 mm | 0 |
| 1996 | -1.4°C | +143 mm | 0 |
| 1997 | -0.4°C | -120 mm | 0 |
| 1998 | -0.5°C | -53 mm | 0 |
| 1999 | +0.5°C | +25 mm | 0 |
| 2000 | +0.0°C | -21 mm | 0 |
| 2001 | +0.3°C | -130 mm | 0 |
| 2002 | -0.5°C | +132 mm | 0 |
| 2003 | +1.2°C | -141 mm | 0 |
| 2004 | -0.3°C | +17 mm | 0 |
| 2005 | +0.2°C | -57 mm | 0 |
| 2006 | +0.4°C | -73 mm | 0 |
| 2007 | -0.1°C | -40 mm | 0 |
| 2008 | -0.4°C | +135 mm | 0 |
| 2009 | +0.6°C | -25 mm | 0 |
| 2010 | -0.4°C | +51 mm | 0 |
| 2011 | +0.4°C | -136 mm | 0 |
| 2012 | +0.6°C | +45 mm | 0 |
| 2013 | +0.1°C | +74 mm | 0 |
| 2014 | +0.1°C | +8 mm | 0 |
| 2015 | +0.8°C | -12 mm | 0 |
| 2016 | +0.3°C | -52 mm | 0 |
| 2017 | +1.3°C | -318 mm | 0 |
| 2018 | +0.7°C | +322 mm | 0 |
| 2019 | +0.8°C | -20 mm | 0 |
| 2020 | +0.4°C | +105 mm | 0 |
| 2021 | +0.4°C | -97 mm | 0 |
| 2022 | +2.2°C | -66 mm | 0 |
| 2023 | +1.6°C | +79 mm | 0 |
| 2024 | +1.3°C | +111 mm | 0 |
| 2025 | +1.1°C | +54 mm | 0 |
| 2026 | +2.5°C | -251 mm | 0 |
winter
4.0°C
-0.3°C vs baseline
292 mm rain · +18 mm
spring
10.3°C
+0.6°C vs baseline
238 mm rain · -39 mm
summer
18.7°C
-0.6°C vs baseline
173 mm rain · +42 mm
harvest
16.8°C
+1.0°C vs baseline
71 mm rain · -129 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.9°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.4°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -3.8°C
- Duration
- 6 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 4 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.9°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 14 days
- Total rain
- 1.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 26 days
- Total rain
- 2.6 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 16 days
- Total rain
- 2.4 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 17 days
- Total rain
- 2.5 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 16 days
- Total rain
- 3.7 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules corsica-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Jul 14, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +124.2 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +92.8 to +155.7 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1077 GDD | -210 GDD |
| 1992 | 1086 GDD | -201 GDD |
| 1993 | 1178 GDD | -108 GDD |
| 1994 | 1283 GDD | -4 GDD |
| 1995 | 1017 GDD | -270 GDD |
| 1996 | 960 GDD | -327 GDD |
| 1997 | 1221 GDD | -65 GDD |
| 1998 | 1205 GDD | -82 GDD |
| 1999 | 1386 GDD | +100 GDD |
| 2000 | 1280 GDD | -7 GDD |
| 2001 | 1340 GDD | +53 GDD |
| 2002 | 1151 GDD | -136 GDD |
| 2003 | 1598 GDD | +312 GDD |
| 2004 | 1243 GDD | -44 GDD |
| 2005 | 1311 GDD | +25 GDD |
| 2006 | 1347 GDD | +60 GDD |
| 2007 | 1281 GDD | -5 GDD |
| 2008 | 1203 GDD | -84 GDD |
| 2009 | 1420 GDD | +133 GDD |
| 2010 | 1197 GDD | -90 GDD |
| 2011 | 1320 GDD | +33 GDD |
| 2012 | 1395 GDD | +108 GDD |
| 2013 | 1300 GDD | +14 GDD |
| 2014 | 1251 GDD | -35 GDD |
| 2015 | 1446 GDD | +159 GDD |
| 2016 | 1316 GDD | +30 GDD |
| 2017 | 1515 GDD | +229 GDD |
| 2018 | 1433 GDD | +147 GDD |
| 2019 | 1466 GDD | +179 GDD |
| 2020 | 1374 GDD | +87 GDD |
| 2021 | 1405 GDD | +118 GDD |
| 2022 | 1774 GDD | +487 GDD |
| 2023 | 1612 GDD | +326 GDD |
| 2024 | 1543 GDD | +257 GDD |
| 2025 | 1481 GDD | +195 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.65 °C per decade 95% interval +0.50 to +0.79
- Growing degree days
- +124.23 GDD per decade 95% interval +92.76 to +155.69
- Growing-season precipitation
- +4.86 mm per decade 95% interval -20.66 to +30.39
- Hot days
- No variation recorded
- Spring frost days
- -1.54 days per decade 95% interval -3.02 to -0.06
- Longest dry spell
- -2.10 days per decade 95% interval -4.09 to -0.10
Last Updated July 15, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +1.1°C | +0.6 to +1.6°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.6°C | +1.1 to +2.5°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +2.0°C | +1.4 to +3.0°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 24°C | 25°C | 26°C | 26°C | 26°C | 28°C | 28°C | 28°C | 27°C | 25°C |
| Low | 15°C | 15°C | 16°C | 17°C | 15°C | 16°C | 19°C | 19°C | 18°C | 17°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.1 mm |
Across the typical year: Early August has the warmest median afternoon high (25.6°C); Late January has the coolest (7.6°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (49%) and least frequent in Late June (21%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 8.3°C (6.2–10.1°C) | 0.5°C (-1.4–2.4°C) | 34% | 25.1 mm (14.1–52.6 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 7.6°C (5.7–9.2°C) | -0.1°C (-2.3–2.1°C) | 39% | 47.7 mm (23.8–65.0 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 8.4°C (5.7–10.4°C) | 0.2°C (-2.1–2.2°C) | 38% | 36.7 mm (13.6–63.4 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 9.0°C (6.4–11.2°C) | 0.5°C (-1.6–2.4°C) | 39% | 35.0 mm (16.1–46.8 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 10.6°C (8.1–12.8°C) | 1.9°C (-0.4–4.0°C) | 38% | 41.0 mm (20.7–63.9 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 12.2°C (9.6–13.9°C) | 2.9°C (0.9–4.6°C) | 38% | 43.8 mm (20.3–63.2 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 13.0°C (10.6–15.0°C) | 4.1°C (2.4–5.9°C) | 46% | 49.3 mm (20.4–70.6 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 14.6°C (12.3–16.6°C) | 5.8°C (3.8–7.9°C) | 49% | 51.5 mm (36.2–64.4 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 16.9°C (14.8–18.9°C) | 7.9°C (6.3–9.8°C) | 43% | 43.0 mm (19.2–60.2 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 18.8°C (16.8–20.8°C) | 9.7°C (7.8–11.4°C) | 33% | 30.6 mm (15.7–44.9 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 20.5°C (18.3–22.8°C) | 11.6°C (9.8–13.3°C) | 41% | 40.9 mm (26.9–55.6 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 23.5°C (20.9–25.6°C) | 13.7°C (11.7–16.1°C) | 21% | 11.5 mm (3.7–23.2 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 24.6°C (22.4–26.4°C) | 15.1°C (13.1–16.8°C) | 24% | 13.7 mm (5.9–21.6 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 25.6°C (24.0–27.3°C) | 15.9°C (14.4–17.5°C) | 26% | 11.7 mm (5.0–25.4 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 25.6°C (24.2–27.4°C) | 15.8°C (14.5–17.5°C) | 25% | 12.9 mm (7.5–23.7 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 25.1°C (23.4–26.9°C) | 15.3°C (13.6–17.1°C) | 25% | 14.0 mm (4.0–25.7 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 22.5°C (20.5–24.0°C) | 12.7°C (11.3–14.2°C) | 33% | 30.8 mm (17.5–40.6 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 20.4°C (18.2–22.0°C) | 10.8°C (9.1–12.6°C) | 40% | 32.8 mm (22.7–55.7 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 18.3°C (16.3–20.2°C) | 9.3°C (7.7–11.1°C) | 41% | 48.2 mm (22.2–72.5 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 16.4°C (14.2–18.2°C) | 7.9°C (5.7–10.1°C) | 35% | 43.7 mm (24.1–76.5 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 13.4°C (11.5–15.7°C) | 5.9°C (3.6–7.6°C) | 48% | 64.5 mm (46.1–89.4 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 10.7°C (8.4–13.0°C) | 3.2°C (0.6–5.3°C) | 47% | 54.9 mm (30.8–92.5 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 9.5°C (7.3–11.3°C) | 2.1°C (-0.3–3.9°C) | 44% | 51.4 mm (27.7–67.1 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 8.2°C (5.8–10.3°C) | 0.9°C (-1.9–2.9°C) | 42% | 49.7 mm (30.9–84.0 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated July 15, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 15.0 mm | 3.4 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 15.0 mm | 6.0 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 15.0 mm | 9.2 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 16.5 mm | 11.3 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 16.5 mm | 13.2 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 16.5 mm | 15.6 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 16.5 mm | 17.4 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 19.1 mm | 19.2 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 25.2 mm | 21.4 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 25.2 mm | 25.0 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 25.9 mm | 28.9 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 31.5 mm | 32.2 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 32.1 mm | 36.7 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 32.2 mm | 38.9 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 33.0 mm | 41.9 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 33.6 mm | 44.8 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 39.7 mm | 47.3 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 43.6 mm | 50.0 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 45.5 mm | 53.0 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 0.0 | 3.8 | 45.6 mm | 56.0 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 45.6 mm | 61.8 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 45.6 mm | 64.4 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 45.6 mm | 66.1 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 12.1 | 5.4 | 45.6 mm | 68.7 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 16.7 | 5.8 | 45.6 mm | 72.1 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 21.9 | 6.2 | 45.6 mm | 75.6 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 26.0 | 6.7 | 45.6 mm | 79.0 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 30.6 | 6.9 | 45.6 mm | 85.0 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 34.3 | 7.4 | 45.6 mm | 88.5 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 35.2 | 7.8 | 74.3 mm | 91.6 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 35.7 | 8.4 | 92.4 mm | 93.8 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 38.3 | 8.9 | 93.0 mm | 95.6 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 41.4 | 9.6 | 93.5 mm | 99.4 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 45.5 | 10.3 | 94.6 mm | 103.8 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 50.0 | 11.0 | 95.0 mm | 106.5 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 55.2 | 11.6 | 95.0 mm | 108.9 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 58.7 | 12.3 | 96.1 mm | 112.3 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 62.4 | 13.2 | 98.8 mm | 116.2 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 64.2 | 14.1 | 104.6 mm | 119.0 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 64.3 | 15.5 | 104.6 mm | 122.6 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 66.2 | 16.7 | 104.6 mm | 126.0 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 68.9 | 18.4 | 104.6 mm | 128.8 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 71.1 | 20.2 | 104.6 mm | 131.5 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 74.6 | 21.8 | 104.8 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 78.4 | 23.2 | 104.8 mm | 141.6 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 82.9 | 24.7 | 105.6 mm | 144.8 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 87.2 | 26.1 | 107.8 mm | 148.2 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 89.0 | 27.5 | 107.8 mm | 151.9 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 90.8 | 29.6 | 107.8 mm | 156.1 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 93.8 | 31.8 | 107.8 mm | 160.4 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 97.3 | 34.1 | 114.5 mm | 165.0 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 101.8 | 36.7 | 131.5 mm | 168.9 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 104.2 | 39.0 | 136.8 mm | 172.5 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 106.3 | 41.4 | 137.1 mm | 174.2 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 109.6 | 43.9 | 138.0 mm | 177.3 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 113.3 | 46.8 | 139.0 mm | 179.4 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 117.0 | 50.1 | 149.0 mm | 181.3 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 119.5 | 53.5 | 154.7 mm | 184.8 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 123.0 | 56.9 | 155.2 mm | 187.7 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 124.5 | 60.4 | 157.3 mm | 190.8 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 124.5 | 63.8 | 158.1 mm | 192.6 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 124.5 | 66.7 | 167.0 mm | 195.1 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 124.5 | 69.8 | 170.2 mm | 197.0 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 124.5 | 73.3 | 170.4 mm | 199.7 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 124.6 | 77.0 | 174.2 mm | 203.0 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 125.7 | 80.0 | 174.7 mm | 207.3 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 128.3 | 82.9 | 174.8 mm | 212.5 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 133.8 | 86.3 | 174.8 mm | 215.4 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 140.7 | 90.2 | 174.8 mm | 217.1 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 148.6 | 94.7 | 174.8 mm | 219.2 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 156.8 | 99.5 | 174.8 mm | 220.1 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 165.8 | 104.7 | 174.8 mm | 221.5 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 176.2 | 109.9 | 174.8 mm | 223.3 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 187.1 | 114.9 | 175.0 mm | 225.1 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 198.0 | 119.7 | 175.2 mm | 227.5 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 207.3 | 124.6 | 181.1 mm | 230.3 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 216.6 | 129.6 | 181.1 mm | 232.1 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 226.4 | 134.9 | 181.6 mm | 234.9 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 235.3 | 139.9 | 182.9 mm | 237.6 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 243.0 | 145.6 | 184.0 mm | 241.0 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 249.9 | 151.2 | 184.1 mm | 243.4 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 255.5 | 156.9 | 184.1 mm | 245.9 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 261.8 | 162.8 | 184.4 mm | 249.4 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 267.3 | 168.6 | 184.4 mm | 252.5 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 274.7 | 174.5 | 184.4 mm | 257.8 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 284.2 | 180.6 | 184.5 mm | 260.3 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 294.4 | 187.0 | 184.5 mm | 261.9 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 302.3 | 193.8 | 184.5 mm | 264.4 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 308.0 | 200.4 | 184.6 mm | 266.9 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 315.8 | 206.4 | 184.6 mm | 269.0 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 325.9 | 212.8 | 184.6 mm | 271.5 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 335.5 | 219.8 | 184.6 mm | 274.5 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 344.2 | 226.8 | 184.6 mm | 277.9 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 353.7 | 234.7 | 184.7 mm | 279.2 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 365.8 | 242.3 | 184.8 mm | 280.9 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 379.2 | 250.3 | 184.8 mm | 282.5 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 393.2 | 258.2 | 184.8 mm | 284.9 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 408.2 | 266.1 | 186.2 mm | 285.8 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 423.7 | 274.2 | 186.5 mm | 287.3 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 438.7 | 282.8 | 188.1 mm | 288.4 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 453.7 | 291.5 | 188.1 mm | 288.8 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 468.5 | 300.2 | 191.4 mm | 290.0 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 482.8 | 309.1 | 194.7 mm | 290.8 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 496.8 | 317.9 | 199.1 mm | 291.7 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 511.5 | 327.3 | 199.4 mm | 292.1 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 526.2 | 336.8 | 199.4 mm | 293.6 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 540.9 | 346.1 | 201.5 mm | 294.9 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 554.3 | 355.4 | 208.2 mm | 295.8 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 567.2 | 364.9 | 210.2 mm | 296.4 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 577.3 | 374.6 | 219.2 mm | 297.6 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 589.6 | 384.5 | 219.2 mm | 298.2 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 601.9 | 394.3 | 219.2 mm | 299.1 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 615.1 | 404.3 | 219.7 mm | 300.1 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 626.9 | 414.4 | 220.6 mm | 300.8 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 639.3 | 424.3 | 222.8 mm | 302.1 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 652.0 | 433.8 | 222.8 mm | 303.0 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 665.3 | 443.3 | 222.8 mm | 304.0 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 679.0 | 452.4 | 225.6 mm | 305.4 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 693.4 | 461.6 | 228.5 mm | 306.7 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 706.9 | 471.0 | 230.5 mm | 307.6 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 722.5 | 480.7 | 230.5 mm | 308.3 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 738.9 | 490.0 | 230.5 mm | 309.8 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 755.9 | 499.6 | 230.5 mm | 311.5 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 773.3 | 509.3 | 230.5 mm | 312.2 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 790.3 | 519.5 | 230.5 mm | 312.7 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 806.3 | 529.9 | 230.5 mm | 313.6 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 822.5 | 540.1 | 230.6 mm | 315.3 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 839.1 | 550.3 | 231.2 mm | 316.3 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 855.2 | 560.9 | 231.5 mm | 317.0 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 870.1 | 572.1 | 231.7 mm | 317.8 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 883.0 | 583.4 | 231.7 mm | 318.7 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 894.9 | 594.3 | 231.8 mm | 320.0 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 908.4 | 604.7 | 231.8 mm | 321.1 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 920.6 | 615.3 | 233.6 mm | 322.2 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 932.1 | 626.4 | 233.6 mm | 323.8 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 945.0 | 637.4 | 233.6 mm | 324.9 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 959.5 | 648.2 | 233.6 mm | 326.3 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 974.5 | 659.2 | 233.9 mm | 327.4 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 990.3 | 670.2 | 234.0 mm | 328.3 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1005.8 | 681.5 | 234.5 mm | 329.2 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1020.9 | 693.0 | 236.1 mm | 329.6 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1037.3 | 704.3 | 236.9 mm | 330.7 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1053.7 | 715.5 | 238.2 mm | 331.6 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1068.7 | 726.6 | 240.9 mm | 333.7 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1083.1 | 737.7 | 244.2 mm | 334.8 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1097.6 | 749.2 | 244.5 mm | 335.8 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1111.5 | 760.5 | 245.3 mm | 337.4 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1125.9 | 771.6 | 245.6 mm | 338.5 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1141.9 | 782.4 | 246.3 mm | 340.1 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1158.5 | 792.7 | 247.1 mm | 341.3 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1174.5 | 802.8 | 249.7 mm | 342.1 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1190.2 | 812.9 | 250.3 mm | 343.4 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1205.7 | 822.9 | 252.8 mm | 344.8 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1219.7 | 833.1 | 265.8 mm | 345.9 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1232.6 | 843.5 | 270.6 mm | 346.3 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1244.2 | 853.9 | 275.9 mm | 347.8 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1256.5 | 864.1 | 276.8 mm | 349.4 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1269.9 | 874.9 | 276.8 mm | 349.9 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1283.3 | 885.9 | 276.8 mm | 350.9 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1293.7 | 896.2 | 294.6 mm | 352.8 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1304.1 | 906.6 | 294.6 mm | 354.6 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1316.6 | 917.0 | 294.7 mm | 356.3 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 108 GDDvs 79 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 0.2 mmvs 17.3 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Corsica model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.