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Spain · Multi-region weather view

Jerez & Sherry

The warm vineyards of the Marco de Jerez, close to the Atlantic.

Strong sunshine, humid sea air, and hot easterly winds are recurring features of the season.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature17.9°C
Dew Point14.4°C
Relative Humidity80%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Slightly warmer and significantly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature22.2°C
Temperature anomaly+0.5°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2808base 10°C
Hot days18≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2016

No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.

Close to the usual range · Low confidence

Temperature, rainfall, heat, and frost all stayed within the site's published thresholds.

No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.

How unusual was 2016?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

10th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 25 of 34 other vintages 22.2°C

Growing-season rainfall

5th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 30 of 34 other vintages 315.0 mm

Heat accumulation

10th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 25 of 34 other vintages 2808 GDD

Hot days

13th most of 35 vintages More than 21 of 34 other vintages 18 days

2016 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 69 GDD
    Typical 155 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 21.8 mm
    Typical 56.6 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 194 GDD
    Typical 205 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 49.7 mm
    Typical 48.6 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 292 GDD
    Typical 307 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 126.4 mm
    Typical 34.0 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Wetter than the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 408 GDD
    Typical 396 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 0.0 mm
    Typical 7.3 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 529 GDD
    Typical 485 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 0.6 mm
    Typical 0.8 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 541 GDD
    Typical 499 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 0.8 mm
    Typical 2.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 434 GDD
    Typical 405 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 3.9 mm
    Typical 29.9 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 340 GDD
    Typical 313 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 113.3 mm
    Typical 81.3 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2016 GDDTypical GDD2016 rainfallTypical rainfall2016 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2016 69 GDD 155 GDD 21.8 mm 56.6 mm 00.0
April 2016 194 GDD 205 GDD 49.7 mm 48.6 mm 00.0
May 2016 292 GDD 307 GDD 126.4 mm 34.0 mm 00.0
June 2016 408 GDD 396 GDD 0.0 mm 7.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2016 529 GDD 485 GDD 0.6 mm 0.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2016 541 GDD 499 GDD 0.8 mm 2.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2016 434 GDD 405 GDD 3.9 mm 29.9 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2016 340 GDD 313 GDD 113.3 mm 81.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2016 growing season

231 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2013

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing degree days.

    Hot-day count
    more hot days: 2 days
    Growing degree days
    lower: 60 GDD

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2013 →

  2. Second closest

    2015

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing degree days.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Growing degree days
    higher: 8 GDD

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2015 →

  3. Third closest

    2020

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing-season precipitation.

    Hot-day count
    fewer hot days: 2 days
    Growing-season precipitation
    less rain: 19.0 mm

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain

    View 2020 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%). Measures omitted because they did not vary: Spring frost exposure.

Calculated distances: 2013 0.510; 2015 0.541; 2020 0.614.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +1.8°C −1.8°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +200 mm −200 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-0.5°C+25 mm25
1992-0.9°C+57 mm16
1993-1.5°C+30 mm5
1994-0.4°C-69 mm9
1995+0.1°C-189 mm20
1996-0.5°C+12 mm4
1997+0.1°C-16 mm6
1998-0.3°C-65 mm16
1999+0.0°C+65 mm15
2000-0.2°C+71 mm14
2001+0.0°C-80 mm8
2002-0.7°C-38 mm6
2003+0.4°C+109 mm21
2004+0.1°C+15 mm14
2005+0.7°C-120 mm14
2006+0.8°C+78 mm25
2007-0.7°C+35 mm7
2008-0.5°C+190 mm9
2009+0.2°C-106 mm20
2010+0.6°C-26 mm40
2011+1.3°C-46 mm24
2012+0.0°C+87 mm16
2013+0.2°C+16 mm20
2014+0.0°C-36 mm6
2015+0.5°C-9 mm18
2016+0.5°C+85 mm18
2017+1.1°C-36 mm26
2018-0.5°C+49 mm16
2019-0.2°C-154 mm5
2020+0.1°C+66 mm16
2021+0.2°C-133 mm8
2022+0.9°C-45 mm29
2023+1.4°C-71 mm28
2024+0.4°C+133 mm15
2025+1.3°C-16 mm37
2026+1.0°C-172 mm13

winter

13.9°C

+1.6°C vs baseline

98 mm rain · -104 mm

spring

16.4°C

-0.9°C vs baseline

197 mm rain · +59 mm

summer

26.1°C

+1.1°C vs baseline

1 mm rain · -9 mm

harvest

23.6°C

+1.0°C vs baseline

117 mm rain · +4 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Dry spell

    Duration
    14 days
    Total rain
    2.0 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  2. Dry spell

    Duration
    15 days
    Total rain
    0.2 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  3. Dry spell

    Duration
    107 days
    Total rain
    1.4 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  4. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    38.1°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    58 GDD

  5. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.9°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    58 GDD

  6. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    40.3°C
    Duration
    5 days
    Heat accumulation
    99 GDD

  7. Dry spell

    Duration
    27 days
    Total rain
    0.0 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  8. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    37.2 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    37.1 mm
    Trigger threshold
    25.9 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  9. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    76.0 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    74.5 mm
    Trigger threshold
    25.9 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules jerez-sherry-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +91.7 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +52.4 to +131.1 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19912582 GDD-121 GDD
19922500 GDD-203 GDD
19932354 GDD-348 GDD
19942602 GDD-101 GDD
19952735 GDD+32 GDD
19962591 GDD-112 GDD
19972731 GDD+28 GDD
19982629 GDD-74 GDD
19992713 GDD+10 GDD
20002653 GDD-50 GDD
20012709 GDD+6 GDD
20022551 GDD-152 GDD
20032802 GDD+100 GDD
20042717 GDD+14 GDD
20052859 GDD+157 GDD
20062877 GDD+175 GDD
20072546 GDD-157 GDD
20082596 GDD-107 GDD
20092761 GDD+58 GDD
20102849 GDD+146 GDD
20113003 GDD+300 GDD
20122707 GDD+4 GDD
20132748 GDD+45 GDD
20142702 GDD-1 GDD
20152816 GDD+113 GDD
20162808 GDD+105 GDD
20172967 GDD+264 GDD
20182584 GDD-119 GDD
20192654 GDD-49 GDD
20202738 GDD+35 GDD
20212756 GDD+54 GDD
20222916 GDD+213 GDD
20233037 GDD+334 GDD
20242791 GDD+88 GDD
20253008 GDD+305 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.40 °C per decade 95% interval +0.23 to +0.57
Growing degree days
+91.72 GDD per decade 95% interval +52.37 to +131.07
Growing-season precipitation
-0.70 mm per decade 95% interval -22.95 to +21.54
Hot days
+2.99 days per decade 95% interval +0.34 to +5.64
Spring frost days
No variation recorded
Longest dry spell
+1.50 days per decade 95% interval -3.43 to +6.43

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+0.8°C+0.5 to +1.2°C25
2041-2060+1.3°C+0.9 to +1.9°C25
2061-2075+1.7°C+1.2 to +2.3°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 33°C 34°C 34°C 37°C 40°C 38°C 35°C 39°C 36°C 34°C
Low 18°C 20°C 19°C 22°C 23°C 23°C 21°C 23°C 22°C 22°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Early August has the warmest median afternoon high (32.4°C); Late January has the coolest (16.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late October (31%) and least frequent in Early August (0%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Jerez & Sherry Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. 0°C10°C20°C30°C40°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Jerez & Sherry The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Jerez & Sherry typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–1516.8°C (15.2–17.8°C)6.6°C (4.4–9.4°C)24%15.6 mm (5.0–28.0 mm)
Jan 16–3116.3°C (14.9–17.6°C)6.9°C (4.8–9.1°C)25%30.6 mm (11.4–48.9 mm)
Feb 1–1517.5°C (15.8–18.8°C)7.6°C (5.3–9.8°C)23%17.3 mm (2.5–38.2 mm)
Feb 16–2917.8°C (16.1–19.5°C)8.1°C (6.5–9.9°C)25%13.2 mm (2.3–45.1 mm)
Mar 1–1519.2°C (17.2–21.4°C)9.5°C (7.8–11.2°C)25%13.3 mm (1.1–41.6 mm)
Mar 16–3120.2°C (18.4–22.4°C)10.6°C (9.1–12.1°C)25%15.9 mm (9.2–28.2 mm)
Apr 1–1521.1°C (18.9–23.5°C)11.3°C (9.8–12.9°C)23%19.3 mm (5.5–34.4 mm)
Apr 16–3021.6°C (19.7–24.3°C)12.6°C (10.9–14.0°C)22%21.0 mm (10.8–35.6 mm)
May 1–1523.5°C (21.1–27.0°C)13.8°C (12.5–15.2°C)19%15.9 mm (1.7–37.9 mm)
May 16–3125.6°C (23.1–29.0°C)15.3°C (14.0–16.7°C)12%5.8 mm (1.2–11.1 mm)
Jun 1–1527.9°C (24.5–31.0°C)16.9°C (15.4–18.4°C)5%1.1 mm (0.2–4.0 mm)
Jun 16–3029.3°C (26.4–32.4°C)18.3°C (17.0–19.5°C)1%0.0 mm (0.0–0.5 mm)
Jul 1–1531.4°C (28.0–33.7°C)19.3°C (18.0–20.4°C)1%0.0 mm (0.0–0.2 mm)
Jul 16–3132.0°C (29.3–34.6°C)20.0°C (18.8–21.2°C)1%0.0 mm (0.0–0.2 mm)
Aug 1–1532.4°C (29.7–35.1°C)20.5°C (19.1–21.8°C)0%0.0 mm (0.0–0.6 mm)
Aug 16–3131.4°C (28.8–34.1°C)19.8°C (18.7–21.2°C)2%0.5 mm (0.0–1.1 mm)
Sep 1–1529.7°C (27.3–32.5°C)19.0°C (17.8–20.4°C)6%1.3 mm (0.1–4.8 mm)
Sep 16–3027.2°C (25.2–30.1°C)17.7°C (16.0–19.1°C)18%22.1 mm (2.8–34.3 mm)
Oct 1–1526.1°C (23.9–28.7°C)16.0°C (14.5–17.7°C)20%21.8 mm (4.2–38.1 mm)
Oct 16–3123.9°C (21.8–26.0°C)14.6°C (12.8–16.5°C)31%42.0 mm (17.2–74.8 mm)
Nov 1–1521.2°C (19.1–23.1°C)11.9°C (10.2–14.0°C)26%37.1 mm (10.0–62.5 mm)
Nov 16–3018.9°C (17.2–20.4°C)9.7°C (7.6–12.0°C)27%34.8 mm (6.2–75.5 mm)
Dec 1–1517.5°C (16.1–18.8°C)8.6°C (6.5–10.8°C)24%18.8 mm (7.3–41.4 mm)
Dec 16–3117.0°C (15.7–18.3°C)7.7°C (5.4–10.9°C)28%14.3 mm (3.7–53.0 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days2054.3base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall58.1 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 2054 GDD 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 118 mm 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-03-156.25.00.0 mm1.6 mm
2026-03-1612.010.10.0 mm2.4 mm
2026-03-1718.415.30.3 mm5.2 mm
2026-03-1825.320.80.5 mm6.5 mm
2026-03-1931.826.69.7 mm8.8 mm
2026-03-2037.732.113.9 mm10.8 mm
2026-03-2144.237.514.1 mm11.9 mm
2026-03-2250.543.014.1 mm12.9 mm
2026-03-2356.748.514.1 mm14.2 mm
2026-03-2463.854.114.1 mm15.4 mm
2026-03-2570.259.714.1 mm16.5 mm
2026-03-2677.865.014.1 mm17.9 mm
2026-03-2784.070.514.1 mm19.3 mm
2026-03-2889.875.914.1 mm21.0 mm
2026-03-2995.581.614.1 mm22.5 mm
2026-03-3099.387.614.1 mm24.8 mm
2026-03-31105.593.514.1 mm25.7 mm
2026-04-01112.799.314.1 mm27.7 mm
2026-04-02119.7105.214.1 mm30.3 mm
2026-04-03127.3111.014.1 mm32.6 mm
2026-04-04135.4116.714.1 mm34.2 mm
2026-04-05143.7123.014.1 mm35.2 mm
2026-04-06153.2129.414.2 mm36.4 mm
2026-04-07159.2136.018.9 mm38.3 mm
2026-04-08164.1142.923.5 mm40.6 mm
2026-04-09171.2149.725.0 mm42.7 mm
2026-04-10178.1156.325.1 mm43.8 mm
2026-04-11185.5162.925.4 mm44.4 mm
2026-04-12191.6169.225.4 mm45.5 mm
2026-04-13195.9175.625.4 mm46.4 mm
2026-04-14202.4182.525.4 mm48.9 mm
2026-04-15210.7189.225.4 mm51.6 mm
2026-04-16221.2195.925.4 mm52.7 mm
2026-04-17232.7202.725.4 mm54.0 mm
2026-04-18243.8209.525.4 mm55.2 mm
2026-04-19254.5216.625.4 mm57.7 mm
2026-04-20265.2223.625.4 mm59.3 mm
2026-04-21276.0230.625.4 mm61.2 mm
2026-04-22286.0237.525.4 mm63.8 mm
2026-04-23294.4244.425.4 mm64.8 mm
2026-04-24303.0252.026.2 mm66.0 mm
2026-04-25312.1259.732.0 mm67.0 mm
2026-04-26322.5267.332.0 mm67.8 mm
2026-04-27333.7275.132.0 mm69.7 mm
2026-04-28344.5282.832.4 mm72.0 mm
2026-04-29351.5290.633.1 mm73.0 mm
2026-04-30358.5298.433.1 mm74.3 mm
2026-05-01366.3306.233.1 mm75.9 mm
2026-05-02376.4314.233.2 mm80.0 mm
2026-05-03385.9322.933.2 mm82.0 mm
2026-05-04393.9331.633.2 mm83.0 mm
2026-05-05401.0340.133.2 mm85.0 mm
2026-05-06408.6348.933.2 mm86.5 mm
2026-05-07416.5357.633.3 mm88.0 mm
2026-05-08425.3366.333.7 mm89.4 mm
2026-05-09433.8375.553.7 mm91.3 mm
2026-05-10441.7384.756.6 mm93.4 mm
2026-05-11449.7393.956.8 mm95.4 mm
2026-05-12457.7403.356.9 mm97.4 mm
2026-05-13465.9412.956.9 mm98.5 mm
2026-05-14474.6422.956.9 mm99.4 mm
2026-05-15482.9433.156.9 mm100.2 mm
2026-05-16491.5443.356.9 mm100.8 mm
2026-05-17499.9453.556.9 mm101.5 mm
2026-05-18507.6463.656.9 mm102.2 mm
2026-05-19517.0473.856.9 mm102.5 mm
2026-05-20529.7484.056.9 mm103.2 mm
2026-05-21544.4494.356.9 mm103.4 mm
2026-05-22559.9504.656.9 mm103.6 mm
2026-05-23575.7515.356.9 mm104.8 mm
2026-05-24591.8526.056.9 mm105.7 mm
2026-05-25607.7536.756.9 mm105.9 mm
2026-05-26622.6547.556.9 mm106.8 mm
2026-05-27637.8558.656.9 mm107.1 mm
2026-05-28651.0570.056.9 mm107.2 mm
2026-05-29664.1581.556.9 mm107.7 mm
2026-05-30677.6593.256.9 mm108.1 mm
2026-05-31693.5605.256.9 mm108.3 mm
2026-06-01709.0617.256.9 mm108.5 mm
2026-06-02723.2629.256.9 mm108.5 mm
2026-06-03736.1641.256.9 mm108.5 mm
2026-06-04748.9653.156.9 mm109.1 mm
2026-06-05760.8665.156.9 mm109.8 mm
2026-06-06773.5677.156.9 mm110.0 mm
2026-06-07788.8689.256.9 mm110.1 mm
2026-06-08803.4701.056.9 mm110.1 mm
2026-06-09817.0712.856.9 mm110.8 mm
2026-06-10831.3725.056.9 mm110.9 mm
2026-06-11848.2737.756.9 mm111.0 mm
2026-06-12864.4751.156.9 mm111.5 mm
2026-06-13880.9764.656.9 mm112.2 mm
2026-06-14893.7778.156.9 mm113.7 mm
2026-06-15906.4791.456.9 mm114.3 mm
2026-06-16920.5804.956.9 mm114.8 mm
2026-06-17937.8818.556.9 mm114.8 mm
2026-06-18954.9832.256.9 mm114.8 mm
2026-06-19971.8845.956.9 mm114.8 mm
2026-06-20988.5859.856.9 mm114.9 mm
2026-06-211005.8873.956.9 mm115.0 mm
2026-06-221021.6888.456.9 mm115.0 mm
2026-06-231037.4902.656.9 mm115.1 mm
2026-06-241052.9916.656.9 mm115.3 mm
2026-06-251066.3930.556.9 mm115.4 mm
2026-06-261080.1944.456.9 mm115.5 mm
2026-06-271094.6958.456.9 mm115.6 mm
2026-06-281110.4972.856.9 mm115.6 mm
2026-06-291126.6987.356.9 mm115.6 mm
2026-06-301146.31001.556.9 mm115.6 mm
2026-07-011167.61015.756.9 mm115.6 mm
2026-07-021188.41029.956.9 mm115.6 mm
2026-07-031209.21044.456.9 mm115.7 mm
2026-07-041230.11059.356.9 mm115.7 mm
2026-07-051250.11074.056.9 mm115.7 mm
2026-07-061269.91088.956.9 mm115.7 mm
2026-07-071289.51103.956.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-081306.61119.256.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-091321.81134.456.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-101335.51149.956.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-111349.61165.656.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-121363.41181.656.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-131377.91197.556.9 mm115.8 mm
2026-07-141391.81213.456.9 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-151406.91229.856.9 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-161423.51246.156.9 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-171440.31262.656.9 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-181456.61279.156.9 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-191472.21295.156.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-201488.41311.156.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-211505.81327.056.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-221523.51342.856.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-231541.41358.556.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-241557.51374.356.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-251571.41390.056.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-261588.01406.056.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-271605.81422.156.9 mm116.4 mm
2026-07-281624.31438.356.9 mm116.4 mm
2026-07-291640.51454.456.9 mm116.4 mm
2026-07-301657.71470.456.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-07-311676.51486.356.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-011695.71502.656.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-021712.11518.956.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-031727.91535.356.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-041743.01552.256.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-051759.31569.356.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-061776.11586.656.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-071794.21603.556.9 mm116.5 mm
2026-08-081812.61619.856.9 mm116.6 mm
2026-08-091829.51636.156.9 mm116.6 mm
2026-08-101844.81652.656.9 mm116.7 mm
2026-08-111860.71669.256.9 mm116.7 mm
2026-08-121878.51685.556.9 mm116.7 mm
2026-08-131897.91701.856.9 mm116.7 mm
2026-08-141917.01717.756.9 mm116.7 mm
2026-08-151933.11733.756.9 mm116.7 mm
2026-08-161949.61749.656.9 mm116.8 mm
2026-08-171966.71765.157.0 mm117.3 mm
2026-08-181983.51780.757.0 mm117.4 mm
2026-08-191998.41796.757.0 mm117.4 mm
2026-08-202013.61813.058.1 mm117.4 mm
2026-08-212028.31829.058.1 mm117.4 mm
2026-08-222041.61845.358.1 mm117.5 mm
2026-08-232054.31861.458.1 mm117.5 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
179 GDDvs 150 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.0 mmvs 1.5 mm average

The forecast includes a period of potentially stressful heat. The region's 35°C heat threshold is reached Sep 2–7.

Sun8/30 33°Cavg 31°C 18°Cavg 19°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 34°Cavg 31°C 20°Cavg 20°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 34°Cavg 31°C 19°Cavg 20°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 37°Cavg 30°C 22°Cavg 19°C +18 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 40°Cavg 31°C 23°Cavg 19°C +20 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 38°Cavg 30°C 23°Cavg 20°C +20 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 35°Cavg 30°C 21°Cavg 19°C +18 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 39°Cavg 30°C 23°Cavg 20°C +19 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 36°Cavg 30°C 22°Cavg 20°C +19 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 34°Cavg 30°C 22°Cavg 19°C +17 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Jerez & Sherry model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 1 ERA5 location, 4 temperature stations, and 4 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: jerez-sherry-catalog-v1-2026-07.