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Italy · Multi-region weather view

Trentino–Alto Adige

Alpine vineyards along the Adige valley and its tributaries.

Elevation and mountain exposure bring cool nights, frost risk, and frequent summer storms.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature16.2°C
Dew Point11.9°C
Relative Humidity76%
24h Rainfall0.5 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Slightly warmer and slightly drier than normal.

Mean temperature13.9°C
Temperature anomaly+0.2°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days948base 10°C
Hot days0≥ 32°C

What stood out in 2016

A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence

The regional record had 4 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.

A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

How unusual was 2016?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

16th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 18 of 34 other vintages 13.9°C

Growing-season rainfall

14th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 21 of 34 other vintages 684.0 mm

Heat accumulation

17th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 18 of 34 other vintages 948 GDD

Hot days

4th most of 35 vintages More than 0 of 34 other vintages 0 days

2016 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2016 0 GDD
    Typical 1 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 80.8 mm
    Typical 72.2 mm
    2016 freezing days
    14
    Typical
    14.7

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 13 GDD
    Typical 16 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 95.2 mm
    Typical 94.0 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    3.9

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 59 GDD
    Typical 88 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 162.4 mm
    Typical 108.9 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.2

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 172 GDD
    Typical 184 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 104.8 mm
    Typical 97.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 266 GDD
    Typical 245 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 99.2 mm
    Typical 91.7 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  6. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 249 GDD
    Typical 240 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 67.8 mm
    Typical 95.2 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 173 GDD
    Typical 116 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 48.6 mm
    Typical 91.6 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 17 GDD
    Typical 31 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 106.0 mm
    Typical 110.3 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2016 GDDTypical GDD2016 rainfallTypical rainfall2016 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2016 0 GDD 1 GDD 80.8 mm 72.2 mm 1414.7
April 2016 13 GDD 16 GDD 95.2 mm 94.0 mm 03.9
May 2016 59 GDD 88 GDD 162.4 mm 108.9 mm 00.2
June 2016 172 GDD 184 GDD 104.8 mm 97.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2016 266 GDD 245 GDD 99.2 mm 91.7 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2016 249 GDD 240 GDD 67.8 mm 95.2 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2016 173 GDD 116 GDD 48.6 mm 91.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2016 17 GDD 31 GDD 106.0 mm 110.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2016 growing season

214 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2008

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing-season precipitation.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Growing-season precipitation
    less rain: 6.5 mm

    Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — cooler

    View 2008 →

  2. Second closest

    2005

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Spring frost exposure.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Spring frost exposure
    more frost-exposure days: 1 day

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain

    View 2005 →

  3. Third closest

    2007

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing degree days.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Growing degree days
    higher: 4 GDD

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2007 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2008 0.320; 2005 0.333; 2007 0.341.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +3.4°C −3.4°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +390 mm −390 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-1.4°C-19 mm0
1992-0.8°C+69 mm0
1993-0.7°C+132 mm0
1994-0.2°C-46 mm0
1995-0.6°C-127 mm0
1996-1.3°C-34 mm0
1997-0.7°C-113 mm0
1998-0.5°C+216 mm0
1999-0.4°C+133 mm0
2000-0.0°C+119 mm0
2001-0.3°C-16 mm0
2002-0.6°C+161 mm0
2003+0.4°C-200 mm0
2004-0.2°C-75 mm0
2005+0.0°C-19 mm0
2006+0.4°C-209 mm0
2007+0.3°C-83 mm0
2008-0.0°C-12 mm0
2009+0.7°C-137 mm0
2010-0.2°C+104 mm0
2011+0.9°C-33 mm0
2012+0.2°C+152 mm0
2013+0.3°C+102 mm0
2014+0.0°C-57 mm0
2015+1.0°C-97 mm2
2016+0.2°C-5 mm0
2017+0.6°C-21 mm0
2018+1.6°C-62 mm0
2019+0.7°C+88 mm1
2020+0.5°C+87 mm0
2021-0.2°C-59 mm0
2022+1.5°C-90 mm0
2023+1.5°C+47 mm1
2024+0.9°C+273 mm0
2025+0.6°C-58 mm0
2026+3.2°C-379 mm1

winter

2.2°C

+3.1°C vs baseline

198 mm rain · +22 mm

spring

8.3°C

+0.1°C vs baseline

338 mm rain · +63 mm

summer

17.5°C

+0.2°C vs baseline

271 mm rain · -13 mm

harvest

12.2°C

+0.6°C vs baseline

154 mm rain · -47 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.5°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  2. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -5.9°C
    Duration
    8 days
    Severe-freeze days
    4 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  3. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -2.0°C
    Duration
    5 days
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  4. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    47.1 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    47.1 mm
    Trigger threshold
    43.1 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules trentino-alto-adige-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +94.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +75.6 to +113.0 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
1991779 GDD-141 GDD
1992812 GDD-109 GDD
1993783 GDD-137 GDD
1994940 GDD+19 GDD
1995763 GDD-158 GDD
1996657 GDD-264 GDD
1997829 GDD-92 GDD
1998829 GDD-92 GDD
1999828 GDD-92 GDD
2000880 GDD-41 GDD
2001857 GDD-63 GDD
2002820 GDD-101 GDD
20031113 GDD+192 GDD
2004885 GDD-36 GDD
2005898 GDD-22 GDD
2006984 GDD+63 GDD
2007952 GDD+31 GDD
2008894 GDD-27 GDD
20091029 GDD+108 GDD
2010905 GDD-15 GDD
20111070 GDD+149 GDD
20121018 GDD+97 GDD
2013950 GDD+30 GDD
2014879 GDD-41 GDD
20151103 GDD+182 GDD
2016948 GDD+27 GDD
20171009 GDD+88 GDD
20181177 GDD+256 GDD
20191045 GDD+125 GDD
2020985 GDD+64 GDD
2021910 GDD-10 GDD
20221186 GDD+265 GDD
20231199 GDD+278 GDD
20241081 GDD+161 GDD
2025987 GDD+67 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.59 °C per decade 95% interval +0.49 to +0.69
Growing degree days
+94.28 GDD per decade 95% interval +75.56 to +112.99
Growing-season precipitation
+3.30 mm per decade 95% interval -26.94 to +33.54
Hot days
+0.11 days per decade 95% interval +0.05 to +0.17
Spring frost days
-3.68 days per decade 95% interval -5.69 to -1.66
Longest dry spell
-0.21 days per decade 95% interval -1.10 to +0.68

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.2°C+0.8 to +1.7°C25
2041-2060+1.9°C+1.2 to +2.6°C25
2061-2075+2.3°C+1.7 to +3.6°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 25°C 25°C 24°C 24°C 27°C 28°C 28°C 29°C 28°C 23°C
Low 13°C 12°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 14°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 16°C
Rain 0.1 mm 0.3 mm 1.0 mm 0.1 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.1 mm 0.4 mm 2.3 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (23.6°C); Late January has the coolest (2.6°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early May (61%) and least frequent in Late January (33%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Trentino–Alto Adige Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -15°C-5°C5°C15°C25°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Trentino–Alto Adige The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Trentino–Alto Adige typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–153.4°C (0.7–5.4°C)-5.1°C (-9.9–-2.0°C)38%22.3 mm (11.8–39.8 mm)
Jan 16–312.6°C (0.7–5.1°C)-6.6°C (-10.8–-3.2°C)33%20.7 mm (12.7–35.4 mm)
Feb 1–154.6°C (1.6–7.0°C)-4.5°C (-8.6–-1.7°C)37%23.1 mm (14.8–33.5 mm)
Feb 16–295.4°C (2.6–8.4°C)-2.6°C (-5.8–-0.4°C)40%19.4 mm (10.8–40.8 mm)
Mar 1–158.1°C (5.0–10.9°C)-0.7°C (-3.0–1.1°C)40%33.5 mm (19.9–43.2 mm)
Mar 16–3110.2°C (6.7–13.1°C)0.9°C (-1.1–2.5°C)42%33.1 mm (24.6–50.3 mm)
Apr 1–1511.4°C (8.3–14.4°C)2.4°C (0.7–4.0°C)46%43.5 mm (22.2–61.7 mm)
Apr 16–3013.9°C (11.1–16.9°C)4.5°C (2.7–6.5°C)50%46.8 mm (31.2–64.2 mm)
May 1–1516.2°C (13.6–18.4°C)7.0°C (5.1–8.6°C)61%46.8 mm (36.0–71.0 mm)
May 16–3118.2°C (15.4–21.0°C)9.0°C (6.8–10.7°C)53%47.4 mm (30.0–68.1 mm)
Jun 1–1519.8°C (16.9–22.4°C)10.7°C (9.0–12.4°C)58%50.3 mm (32.1–65.4 mm)
Jun 16–3021.9°C (19.2–24.8°C)12.3°C (10.5–14.3°C)51%41.3 mm (25.4–58.1 mm)
Jul 1–1522.4°C (19.9–24.4°C)12.9°C (11.3–14.1°C)56%48.4 mm (33.3–66.5 mm)
Jul 16–3123.6°C (21.6–25.4°C)13.4°C (11.8–14.6°C)48%35.4 mm (22.5–46.6 mm)
Aug 1–1523.3°C (21.1–25.2°C)13.2°C (11.6–14.6°C)49%41.2 mm (26.9–55.3 mm)
Aug 16–3122.4°C (20.0–24.8°C)12.6°C (10.9–14.0°C)50%51.2 mm (33.6–59.3 mm)
Sep 1–1519.4°C (17.1–22.0°C)10.3°C (8.0–11.8°C)40%37.5 mm (22.4–56.7 mm)
Sep 16–3017.5°C (15.1–19.6°C)8.5°C (6.5–10.2°C)40%40.6 mm (26.4–67.1 mm)
Oct 1–1515.2°C (12.5–17.6°C)6.8°C (4.9–8.7°C)46%42.4 mm (25.2–78.2 mm)
Oct 16–3112.6°C (10.0–15.5°C)4.1°C (2.2–6.1°C)36%40.1 mm (25.9–67.3 mm)
Nov 1–159.8°C (7.1–12.2°C)2.1°C (0.1–4.3°C)47%63.4 mm (30.2–94.6 mm)
Nov 16–306.1°C (3.7–8.9°C)-0.7°C (-3.7–1.7°C)41%36.1 mm (17.5–66.4 mm)
Dec 1–154.6°C (2.0–6.9°C)-2.3°C (-5.4–-0.1°C)38%26.4 mm (16.7–39.9 mm)
Dec 16–313.4°C (0.5–5.6°C)-5.0°C (-9.2–-1.4°C)38%32.9 mm (20.8–55.3 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 1–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1029.2base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall311.2 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1029 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 456 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-010.00.10.1 mm2.4 mm
2026-04-020.00.20.1 mm4.5 mm
2026-04-030.00.40.1 mm6.4 mm
2026-04-040.10.60.1 mm10.7 mm
2026-04-052.50.70.7 mm14.9 mm
2026-04-066.50.90.7 mm16.7 mm
2026-04-0710.01.10.7 mm19.9 mm
2026-04-0813.41.40.7 mm22.2 mm
2026-04-0915.11.70.8 mm25.2 mm
2026-04-1016.62.01.3 mm28.1 mm
2026-04-1118.32.21.4 mm31.9 mm
2026-04-1218.32.52.4 mm35.6 mm
2026-04-1318.32.915.0 mm37.8 mm
2026-04-1418.33.125.8 mm39.2 mm
2026-04-1519.13.626.0 mm43.1 mm
2026-04-1621.34.126.3 mm47.1 mm
2026-04-1724.34.526.9 mm50.1 mm
2026-04-1827.74.927.9 mm52.7 mm
2026-04-1929.65.429.8 mm55.6 mm
2026-04-2029.65.934.6 mm59.4 mm
2026-04-2129.66.741.6 mm62.0 mm
2026-04-2229.67.642.1 mm64.0 mm
2026-04-2329.68.542.1 mm66.5 mm
2026-04-2431.89.442.1 mm68.7 mm
2026-04-2535.310.542.1 mm70.8 mm
2026-04-2639.611.642.1 mm73.7 mm
2026-04-2742.712.743.0 mm79.5 mm
2026-04-2844.713.751.6 mm85.0 mm
2026-04-2944.714.962.7 mm90.6 mm
2026-04-3044.716.163.5 mm94.0 mm
2026-05-0144.717.263.5 mm97.3 mm
2026-05-0247.118.663.5 mm100.9 mm
2026-05-0350.420.263.5 mm106.0 mm
2026-05-0454.121.763.5 mm111.9 mm
2026-05-0554.722.970.1 mm117.3 mm
2026-05-0654.724.175.7 mm120.8 mm
2026-05-0754.826.077.1 mm122.1 mm
2026-05-0856.228.478.6 mm124.4 mm
2026-05-0958.730.979.1 mm127.9 mm
2026-05-1059.833.582.4 mm131.6 mm
2026-05-1159.836.188.0 mm136.1 mm
2026-05-1259.838.790.3 mm140.6 mm
2026-05-1359.841.490.7 mm142.8 mm
2026-05-1459.844.097.0 mm146.1 mm
2026-05-1559.846.1112.3 mm151.2 mm
2026-05-1659.848.3112.7 mm154.1 mm
2026-05-1759.851.0112.7 mm156.7 mm
2026-05-1859.854.0116.8 mm160.5 mm
2026-05-1960.256.8117.2 mm164.2 mm
2026-05-2063.559.2118.6 mm169.7 mm
2026-05-2167.761.8118.6 mm173.8 mm
2026-05-2274.265.1118.6 mm176.3 mm
2026-05-2382.569.0118.6 mm180.3 mm
2026-05-2492.273.0118.6 mm182.6 mm
2026-05-25102.977.7118.6 mm184.4 mm
2026-05-26113.982.6118.7 mm186.4 mm
2026-05-27125.687.1122.0 mm190.4 mm
2026-05-28136.291.2122.9 mm193.5 mm
2026-05-29145.095.3123.8 mm197.1 mm
2026-05-30154.299.6123.8 mm200.0 mm
2026-05-31164.5103.7126.7 mm202.9 mm
2026-06-01172.3107.9127.6 mm205.3 mm
2026-06-02176.3112.8135.8 mm207.5 mm
2026-06-03180.5117.6146.0 mm210.4 mm
2026-06-04184.9122.3148.5 mm214.3 mm
2026-06-05189.6127.2158.0 mm217.6 mm
2026-06-06193.6131.9158.9 mm223.1 mm
2026-06-07200.0136.7159.1 mm226.6 mm
2026-06-08207.2142.0160.0 mm229.9 mm
2026-06-09213.8147.4173.1 mm233.4 mm
2026-06-10215.0153.2202.2 mm237.8 mm
2026-06-11216.9158.9202.6 mm242.5 mm
2026-06-12220.7164.4203.7 mm246.9 mm
2026-06-13229.8170.1203.7 mm249.6 mm
2026-06-14239.0175.7203.8 mm252.2 mm
2026-06-15248.4181.9203.8 mm255.0 mm
2026-06-16256.2188.2204.0 mm258.7 mm
2026-06-17266.2194.6204.0 mm262.2 mm
2026-06-18277.5201.4204.8 mm264.6 mm
2026-06-19288.8208.0205.2 mm269.3 mm
2026-06-20300.5214.5205.3 mm273.4 mm
2026-06-21312.9221.7205.3 mm275.6 mm
2026-06-22326.9228.9205.4 mm278.8 mm
2026-06-23340.1236.0206.3 mm282.3 mm
2026-06-24353.1242.8206.3 mm284.3 mm
2026-06-25366.7249.7206.3 mm286.5 mm
2026-06-26380.1257.1206.3 mm288.2 mm
2026-06-27394.3264.8206.7 mm292.1 mm
2026-06-28407.0272.3206.7 mm295.3 mm
2026-06-29418.8279.6209.7 mm298.4 mm
2026-06-30430.4287.4212.9 mm300.3 mm
2026-07-01437.9295.1222.5 mm303.2 mm
2026-07-02446.4302.7223.0 mm308.6 mm
2026-07-03456.3310.3223.1 mm311.9 mm
2026-07-04466.5318.2223.1 mm314.3 mm
2026-07-05476.9326.4223.8 mm317.2 mm
2026-07-06488.1334.2223.9 mm320.0 mm
2026-07-07499.0341.6223.9 mm323.5 mm
2026-07-08510.7348.8223.9 mm327.2 mm
2026-07-09523.0355.8223.9 mm329.2 mm
2026-07-10535.0362.9224.2 mm332.6 mm
2026-07-11547.4369.8225.3 mm337.2 mm
2026-07-12559.3376.9225.3 mm339.4 mm
2026-07-13571.6384.2225.5 mm344.0 mm
2026-07-14584.2391.4230.5 mm348.9 mm
2026-07-15595.7399.0236.7 mm351.7 mm
2026-07-16606.8406.8237.2 mm353.5 mm
2026-07-17617.8414.8244.4 mm356.6 mm
2026-07-18628.0422.8246.5 mm359.7 mm
2026-07-19636.7431.3249.0 mm361.8 mm
2026-07-20645.8439.8251.2 mm365.3 mm
2026-07-21653.7448.5257.2 mm367.9 mm
2026-07-22660.0457.0257.3 mm370.2 mm
2026-07-23667.7465.6257.7 mm371.8 mm
2026-07-24675.1473.6257.7 mm375.7 mm
2026-07-25683.9481.7258.2 mm378.3 mm
2026-07-26692.2489.8260.3 mm380.2 mm
2026-07-27701.1498.4260.3 mm381.7 mm
2026-07-28711.8507.0260.5 mm384.4 mm
2026-07-29724.8515.3261.1 mm387.0 mm
2026-07-30739.0524.1261.4 mm389.6 mm
2026-07-31754.0532.7263.2 mm392.0 mm
2026-08-01766.9541.4265.5 mm394.6 mm
2026-08-02779.3550.2265.7 mm397.0 mm
2026-08-03793.3558.8265.8 mm401.2 mm
2026-08-04807.9567.3265.8 mm404.3 mm
2026-08-05823.4575.9266.4 mm407.8 mm
2026-08-06838.3584.5266.6 mm410.0 mm
2026-08-07848.7593.2272.1 mm412.0 mm
2026-08-08861.0601.7273.6 mm414.7 mm
2026-08-09874.2609.8273.7 mm417.7 mm
2026-08-10888.3617.8274.3 mm422.6 mm
2026-08-11902.5625.7274.3 mm426.0 mm
2026-08-12916.4633.3274.3 mm429.6 mm
2026-08-13931.0641.0274.4 mm432.3 mm
2026-08-14945.4648.3274.4 mm434.9 mm
2026-08-15959.3655.6274.5 mm438.8 mm
2026-08-16972.2663.1276.2 mm441.0 mm
2026-08-17983.3670.9278.2 mm443.2 mm
2026-08-18992.3679.2278.2 mm444.7 mm
2026-08-191003.5687.4278.5 mm446.7 mm
2026-08-201011.1695.4292.9 mm449.3 mm
2026-08-211015.4703.0309.7 mm451.6 mm
2026-08-221021.6710.6310.1 mm454.0 mm
2026-08-231029.2718.2311.2 mm456.5 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
97 GDDvs 51 GDD average
Total rainfall
4.3 mmvs 30.6 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 25°Cavg 20°C 13°Cavg 11°C +9 GDD 0.1 mm
Mon8/31 25°Cavg 20°C 12°Cavg 11°C +9 GDD 0.3 mm
Tue9/1 24°Cavg 20°C 13°Cavg 10°C +8 GDD 1.0 mm
Wed9/2 24°Cavg 20°C 13°Cavg 10°C +9 GDD 0.1 mm
Thu9/3 27°Cavg 20°C 13°Cavg 11°C +10 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 28°Cavg 20°C 14°Cavg 11°C +11 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 28°Cavg 20°C 17°Cavg 10°C +11 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 29°Cavg 19°C 18°Cavg 10°C +12 GDD 0.1 mm
Mon9/7 28°Cavg 20°C 17°Cavg 10°C +10 GDD 0.4 mm
Tue9/8 23°Cavg 20°C 16°Cavg 10°C +8 GDD 2.3 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Trentino–Alto Adige model uses a April 1–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.

The historical series uses 1 ERA5 location, 1 temperature station, and 1 rain station. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: trentino-alto-adige-catalog-v1-2026-07.