France · Multi-region weather view
Rhône Valley
Sign in to followVineyards following the Rhône from the continental north to the Mediterranean south.
The Mistral, summer heat, and rainfall differ markedly between narrow northern slopes and the broad southern valley.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Vintage explorer
What stood out in 2023
Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation. Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.
Warmer growing season · High confidence
Mean growing-season temperature was +1.5°C versus the 1991–2020 baseline.
Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity.
Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 140 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
Spring frost recorded · Low confidence
The regional record had 2 spring day(s) at or below 0°C.
Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.
How unusual was 2023?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
2nd warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 33 of 34 other vintages 20.4°CGrowing-season rainfall
4th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 31 of 34 other vintages 351.5 mmHeat accumulation
2nd highest of 35 vintages Higher than 33 of 34 other vintages 2411 GDDHot days
5th most of 35 vintages More than 28 of 34 other vintages 10 days2023 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 43 GDDTypical 48 GDDRainfall
2023 25.7 mmTypical 44.4 mm- 2023 freezing days
- 2
- Typical
- 1.1
Drier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 119 GDDTypical 111 GDDRainfall
2023 18.0 mmTypical 67.3 mm- 2023 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Drier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 260 GDDTypical 235 GDDRainfall
2023 42.4 mmTypical 63.5 mm- 2023 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 408 GDDTypical 351 GDDRainfall
2023 75.6 mmTypical 45.1 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 491 GDDTypical 445 GDDRainfall
2023 21.5 mmTypical 36.3 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2023 467 GDDTypical 436 GDDRainfall
2023 55.4 mmTypical 45.6 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2023 361 GDDTypical 295 GDDRainfall
2023 37.9 mmTypical 100.8 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2023 261 GDDTypical 176 GDDRainfall
2023 95.3 mmTypical 109.9 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2023 GDD | Typical GDD | 2023 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2023 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2023 | 43 GDD | 48 GDD | 25.7 mm | 44.4 mm | 2 | 1.1 |
| April 2023 | 119 GDD | 111 GDD | 18.0 mm | 67.3 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| May 2023 | 260 GDD | 235 GDD | 42.4 mm | 63.5 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| June 2023 | 408 GDD | 351 GDD | 75.6 mm | 45.1 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2023 | 491 GDD | 445 GDD | 21.5 mm | 36.3 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2023 | 467 GDD | 436 GDD | 55.4 mm | 45.6 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2023 | 361 GDD | 295 GDD | 37.9 mm | 100.8 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2023 | 261 GDD | 176 GDD | 95.3 mm | 109.9 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2023 growing season
231 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2019
Most alike in Hot-day count and Harvest precipitation.
- Hot-day count
- more hot days: 3 days
- Harvest precipitation
- more rain: 40.0 mm
Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — cooler
View 2019 →Second closest
2009
Most alike in Harvest precipitation and Growing-season precipitation.
- Harvest precipitation
- less rain: 9.4 mm
- Growing-season precipitation
- more rain: 75.1 mm
Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — cooler
View 2009 →Third closest
2006
Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing degree days.
- Hot-day count
- fewer hot days: 3 days
- Growing degree days
- lower: 142 GDD
Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — more frost-exposure days
View 2006 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2019 0.757; 2009 0.819; 2006 0.902.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.7°C | -71 mm | 0 |
| 1992 | -1.0°C | +115 mm | 0 |
| 1993 | -0.9°C | +223 mm | 0 |
| 1994 | -0.1°C | +124 mm | 3 |
| 1995 | -0.5°C | -71 mm | 1 |
| 1996 | -1.3°C | -32 mm | 0 |
| 1997 | -0.2°C | -114 mm | 0 |
| 1998 | -0.6°C | +40 mm | 1 |
| 1999 | +0.1°C | +193 mm | 0 |
| 2000 | -0.3°C | +106 mm | 1 |
| 2001 | +0.1°C | -20 mm | 0 |
| 2002 | -0.5°C | +134 mm | 0 |
| 2003 | +1.0°C | -76 mm | 22 |
| 2004 | -0.0°C | -41 mm | 1 |
| 2005 | +0.3°C | -70 mm | 2 |
| 2006 | +0.8°C | -43 mm | 7 |
| 2007 | -0.2°C | -190 mm | 0 |
| 2008 | -0.9°C | +239 mm | 0 |
| 2009 | +0.8°C | -65 mm | 4 |
| 2010 | -0.3°C | -44 mm | 1 |
| 2011 | +0.5°C | -154 mm | 2 |
| 2012 | +0.4°C | +41 mm | 4 |
| 2013 | -0.5°C | +111 mm | 2 |
| 2014 | +0.4°C | -41 mm | 0 |
| 2015 | +0.5°C | +67 mm | 10 |
| 2016 | +0.1°C | -47 mm | 0 |
| 2017 | +0.8°C | -228 mm | 9 |
| 2018 | +1.0°C | +117 mm | 8 |
| 2019 | +0.8°C | -84 mm | 13 |
| 2020 | +0.5°C | -119 mm | 4 |
| 2021 | -0.3°C | +64 mm | 2 |
| 2022 | +2.1°C | -81 mm | 23 |
| 2023 | +1.5°C | -140 mm | 10 |
| 2024 | +0.6°C | +124 mm | 10 |
| 2025 | +0.9°C | +17 mm | 17 |
| 2026 | +2.2°C | -238 mm | 38 |
winter
7.7°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
131 mm rain · -27 mm
spring
14.6°C
+0.6°C vs baseline
86 mm rain · -89 mm
summer
24.9°C
+1.4°C vs baseline
152 mm rain · +25 mm
harvest
21.4°C
+2.4°C vs baseline
188 mm rain · -46 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.8°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 18 days
- Total rain
- 1.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 36.7°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 37 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 14 days
- Total rain
- 1.1 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 26 days
- Total rain
- 0.6 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 39.2°C
- Duration
- 7 days
- Heat accumulation
- 136 GDD
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 55.0 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 54.7 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 43.2 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 15 days
- Total rain
- 0.3 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 25 days
- Total rain
- 1.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 57.8 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 54.8 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 43.2 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules rhone-valley-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +111.5 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +88.7 to +134.3 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1942 GDD | -140 GDD |
| 1992 | 1870 GDD | -213 GDD |
| 1993 | 1885 GDD | -197 GDD |
| 1994 | 2066 GDD | -17 GDD |
| 1995 | 1975 GDD | -108 GDD |
| 1996 | 1787 GDD | -296 GDD |
| 1997 | 2037 GDD | -46 GDD |
| 1998 | 1955 GDD | -128 GDD |
| 1999 | 2101 GDD | +18 GDD |
| 2000 | 2015 GDD | -68 GDD |
| 2001 | 2092 GDD | +10 GDD |
| 2002 | 1950 GDD | -133 GDD |
| 2003 | 2335 GDD | +252 GDD |
| 2004 | 2077 GDD | -5 GDD |
| 2005 | 2154 GDD | +71 GDD |
| 2006 | 2268 GDD | +186 GDD |
| 2007 | 2041 GDD | -42 GDD |
| 2008 | 1889 GDD | -193 GDD |
| 2009 | 2251 GDD | +169 GDD |
| 2010 | 1997 GDD | -86 GDD |
| 2011 | 2181 GDD | +99 GDD |
| 2012 | 2171 GDD | +89 GDD |
| 2013 | 1985 GDD | -97 GDD |
| 2014 | 2163 GDD | +81 GDD |
| 2015 | 2183 GDD | +100 GDD |
| 2016 | 2095 GDD | +12 GDD |
| 2017 | 2247 GDD | +164 GDD |
| 2018 | 2328 GDD | +245 GDD |
| 2019 | 2248 GDD | +165 GDD |
| 2020 | 2190 GDD | +107 GDD |
| 2021 | 2017 GDD | -65 GDD |
| 2022 | 2564 GDD | +481 GDD |
| 2023 | 2411 GDD | +328 GDD |
| 2024 | 2210 GDD | +128 GDD |
| 2025 | 2286 GDD | +203 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.50 °C per decade 95% interval +0.40 to +0.60
- Growing degree days
- +111.51 GDD per decade 95% interval +88.72 to +134.30
- Growing-season precipitation
- -25.84 mm per decade 95% interval -55.01 to +3.33
- Hot days
- +3.36 days per decade 95% interval +1.98 to +4.74
- Spring frost days
- -0.02 days per decade 95% interval -0.43 to +0.39
- Longest dry spell
- +0.87 days per decade 95% interval -1.17 to +2.90
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +1.1°C | +0.7 to +1.7°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.7°C | +1.2 to +2.6°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +2.1°C | +1.6 to +3.5°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 31°C | 30°C | 30°C | 32°C | 33°C | 34°C | 34°C | 31°C | 30°C | 30°C |
| Low | 18°C | 19°C | 20°C | 21°C | 22°C | 22°C | 20°C | 21°C | 21°C | 23°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.3 mm | 0.0 mm |
Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (31.2°C); Late January has the coolest (10.0°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early November (37%) and least frequent in Late June (13%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 10.7°C (7.8–12.7°C) | 2.9°C (0.6–5.5°C) | 26% | 15.3 mm (5.9–48.8 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 10.0°C (7.7–12.4°C) | 2.7°C (0.4–5.0°C) | 26% | 23.9 mm (7.6–44.4 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 11.3°C (8.3–13.4°C) | 2.4°C (0.1–5.2°C) | 24% | 18.0 mm (5.8–32.9 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 12.7°C (10.2–15.1°C) | 3.9°C (1.0–6.0°C) | 22% | 11.5 mm (3.6–20.9 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 14.9°C (12.2–17.3°C) | 5.1°C (2.8–7.5°C) | 22% | 16.2 mm (8.7–28.0 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 16.7°C (14.3–18.8°C) | 6.6°C (4.5–8.4°C) | 20% | 15.5 mm (6.3–32.9 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 18.0°C (15.7–20.2°C) | 7.7°C (5.9–9.6°C) | 29% | 20.1 mm (11.5–42.7 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 19.8°C (16.9–22.1°C) | 9.2°C (7.3–11.3°C) | 33% | 38.7 mm (14.8–52.3 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 21.7°C (19.2–24.2°C) | 11.4°C (9.9–13.2°C) | 32% | 31.2 mm (15.3–54.3 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 24.1°C (22.0–26.2°C) | 13.2°C (11.7–14.8°C) | 23% | 22.1 mm (8.4–35.4 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 25.9°C (23.6–28.1°C) | 15.2°C (13.7–16.7°C) | 29% | 33.0 mm (13.6–44.4 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 29.0°C (26.2–31.4°C) | 17.2°C (15.4–18.8°C) | 13% | 9.0 mm (4.0–14.3 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 29.9°C (27.2–32.2°C) | 18.2°C (16.4–19.8°C) | 20% | 14.8 mm (6.2–41.4 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 31.2°C (29.1–32.9°C) | 19.2°C (17.7–20.3°C) | 14% | 8.2 mm (2.9–15.7 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 30.5°C (28.3–32.4°C) | 18.8°C (17.4–20.0°C) | 20% | 15.1 mm (10.2–30.8 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 29.7°C (27.3–32.0°C) | 18.0°C (16.5–19.4°C) | 18% | 16.5 mm (6.9–34.1 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 26.4°C (24.1–28.9°C) | 15.8°C (13.9–17.5°C) | 24% | 28.8 mm (8.3–64.7 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 23.8°C (21.5–26.2°C) | 13.6°C (11.8–15.7°C) | 27% | 48.6 mm (14.0–76.5 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 21.3°C (19.1–23.6°C) | 12.5°C (10.5–14.3°C) | 30% | 40.3 mm (21.0–71.3 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 19.1°C (16.3–21.2°C) | 10.3°C (7.8–13.0°C) | 33% | 57.2 mm (29.2–80.6 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 15.8°C (13.5–17.6°C) | 8.0°C (5.7–10.4°C) | 37% | 47.9 mm (25.4–74.0 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 12.8°C (10.0–15.2°C) | 5.6°C (2.7–7.9°C) | 32% | 38.5 mm (7.3–80.0 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 11.1°C (8.7–13.4°C) | 3.9°C (1.6–6.1°C) | 26% | 19.6 mm (7.7–34.8 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 10.4°C (7.6–12.8°C) | 3.2°C (0.7–6.1°C) | 25% | 21.6 mm (7.4–52.5 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 mm | 2.7 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 0.0 mm | 5.1 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 0.0 mm | 6.6 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 0.2 mm | 7.3 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 4.2 | 10.0 | 0.2 mm | 7.5 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 4.6 | 11.9 | 0.2 mm | 7.8 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 4.6 | 14.1 | 0.3 mm | 8.9 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 4.6 | 16.0 | 27.3 mm | 10.2 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 5.4 | 17.9 | 27.4 mm | 11.8 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 7.3 | 19.7 | 27.4 mm | 13.4 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 8.8 | 21.5 | 27.4 mm | 15.2 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 8.8 | 23.2 | 28.8 mm | 16.9 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 8.8 | 24.8 | 28.8 mm | 18.3 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 8.8 | 26.8 | 28.8 mm | 19.3 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 9.4 | 28.9 | 28.8 mm | 20.0 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 9.6 | 30.9 | 28.8 mm | 21.5 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 9.9 | 33.4 | 28.8 mm | 23.5 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 10.2 | 35.7 | 28.8 mm | 26.2 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 10.2 | 38.0 | 28.8 mm | 27.2 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 13.7 | 41.1 | 28.8 mm | 29.9 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 19.7 | 44.2 | 28.8 mm | 32.6 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 24.5 | 46.9 | 28.8 mm | 33.4 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 29.9 | 49.6 | 28.8 mm | 34.3 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 35.3 | 52.5 | 28.8 mm | 35.8 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 40.3 | 55.5 | 28.8 mm | 36.5 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 46.7 | 58.1 | 28.8 mm | 39.6 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 54.4 | 61.1 | 28.8 mm | 41.6 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 61.0 | 64.2 | 28.9 mm | 44.2 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 63.3 | 67.2 | 38.0 mm | 45.6 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 63.3 | 70.5 | 41.6 mm | 46.7 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 66.1 | 74.0 | 41.6 mm | 47.9 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 70.6 | 77.1 | 41.6 mm | 52.0 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 77.3 | 80.5 | 41.6 mm | 54.6 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 84.5 | 83.6 | 41.6 mm | 55.8 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 92.7 | 87.1 | 41.7 mm | 56.7 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 101.0 | 90.3 | 41.7 mm | 58.1 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 108.1 | 93.8 | 41.7 mm | 60.2 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 115.0 | 98.2 | 41.7 mm | 62.6 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 118.5 | 102.9 | 49.0 mm | 63.9 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 125.8 | 108.0 | 49.4 mm | 66.6 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 131.3 | 113.3 | 49.4 mm | 70.0 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 137.1 | 119.0 | 49.5 mm | 73.3 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 145.6 | 124.6 | 49.5 mm | 77.9 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 153.7 | 129.7 | 49.5 mm | 81.0 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 161.4 | 134.7 | 49.7 mm | 84.0 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 168.7 | 139.5 | 49.7 mm | 87.5 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 175.4 | 144.4 | 50.7 mm | 90.9 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 184.1 | 149.4 | 50.7 mm | 94.2 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 189.8 | 154.9 | 50.7 mm | 98.9 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 196.9 | 160.5 | 51.9 mm | 101.2 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 200.6 | 166.4 | 108.9 mm | 103.3 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 207.2 | 172.4 | 141.4 mm | 105.0 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 212.5 | 178.6 | 144.2 mm | 105.9 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 217.6 | 185.0 | 144.3 mm | 106.8 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 223.9 | 191.4 | 144.3 mm | 109.4 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 230.4 | 198.4 | 146.5 mm | 112.0 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 237.3 | 205.8 | 156.9 mm | 113.9 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 245.2 | 213.2 | 160.7 mm | 116.7 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 250.9 | 220.5 | 160.7 mm | 118.4 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 256.5 | 227.4 | 160.7 mm | 121.0 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 261.0 | 234.6 | 161.3 mm | 123.8 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 263.8 | 241.6 | 162.1 mm | 125.8 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 266.7 | 248.6 | 162.1 mm | 126.8 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 271.6 | 256.0 | 162.1 mm | 128.6 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 277.7 | 263.9 | 162.4 mm | 131.5 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 284.3 | 271.3 | 162.4 mm | 133.6 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 293.0 | 279.0 | 162.4 mm | 136.2 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 303.8 | 286.8 | 162.4 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 314.6 | 295.3 | 162.4 mm | 139.2 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 326.2 | 303.8 | 162.4 mm | 140.3 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 338.9 | 312.8 | 162.4 mm | 141.0 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 352.6 | 322.0 | 162.5 mm | 142.3 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 366.5 | 331.7 | 162.5 mm | 144.0 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 380.6 | 341.3 | 162.5 mm | 146.6 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 396.0 | 350.5 | 162.5 mm | 149.7 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 411.4 | 360.1 | 162.5 mm | 150.9 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 425.2 | 369.5 | 162.5 mm | 152.7 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 439.4 | 379.1 | 163.2 mm | 154.3 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 454.1 | 388.5 | 163.2 mm | 156.8 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 464.8 | 398.4 | 164.9 mm | 158.7 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 475.4 | 408.7 | 164.9 mm | 161.2 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 483.9 | 418.9 | 179.1 mm | 163.7 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 491.4 | 429.2 | 179.1 mm | 166.4 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 501.1 | 439.1 | 179.1 mm | 169.3 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 512.1 | 449.4 | 179.1 mm | 170.9 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 523.5 | 459.6 | 179.1 mm | 172.6 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 535.8 | 470.5 | 179.1 mm | 173.6 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 545.4 | 481.1 | 179.1 mm | 175.7 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 555.8 | 491.5 | 179.1 mm | 177.6 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 568.9 | 502.4 | 179.1 mm | 179.2 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 583.9 | 513.6 | 179.1 mm | 181.3 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 598.5 | 524.9 | 179.1 mm | 183.5 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 613.7 | 536.7 | 179.2 mm | 185.8 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 628.0 | 548.7 | 179.2 mm | 187.9 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 643.3 | 560.7 | 179.2 mm | 190.0 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 658.4 | 573.1 | 179.2 mm | 190.3 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 672.7 | 585.3 | 179.2 mm | 190.7 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 688.2 | 597.6 | 179.2 mm | 191.3 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 704.5 | 610.2 | 179.2 mm | 192.4 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 722.3 | 622.9 | 179.2 mm | 194.9 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 740.9 | 635.6 | 179.2 mm | 195.2 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 759.7 | 648.2 | 179.2 mm | 195.5 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 777.4 | 661.4 | 179.2 mm | 196.3 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 795.2 | 674.7 | 179.2 mm | 196.8 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 812.8 | 688.3 | 179.2 mm | 197.3 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 830.3 | 702.1 | 179.2 mm | 198.2 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 849.7 | 716.1 | 179.4 mm | 198.8 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 869.0 | 730.2 | 179.4 mm | 199.4 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 887.8 | 743.9 | 179.4 mm | 201.2 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 904.8 | 757.5 | 179.4 mm | 202.8 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 922.2 | 771.1 | 179.4 mm | 204.0 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 940.1 | 785.0 | 179.4 mm | 205.3 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 958.4 | 799.1 | 179.4 mm | 207.7 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 977.4 | 813.0 | 179.4 mm | 209.0 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 995.5 | 826.7 | 179.4 mm | 211.5 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 1013.4 | 840.3 | 179.4 mm | 212.5 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 1033.6 | 853.8 | 179.4 mm | 213.0 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 1050.9 | 867.3 | 179.8 mm | 215.2 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 1069.3 | 881.0 | 180.6 mm | 216.3 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 1086.8 | 895.0 | 180.6 mm | 217.1 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 1105.7 | 909.0 | 180.6 mm | 218.5 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 1124.8 | 922.9 | 180.6 mm | 219.7 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 1142.9 | 936.8 | 183.2 mm | 221.5 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 1159.5 | 951.0 | 185.4 mm | 222.1 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 1177.9 | 965.5 | 185.4 mm | 223.5 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 1197.0 | 980.1 | 185.4 mm | 223.9 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 1215.5 | 994.7 | 185.4 mm | 224.5 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 1232.9 | 1009.2 | 185.4 mm | 225.3 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 1249.6 | 1023.8 | 185.4 mm | 225.8 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 1265.7 | 1038.7 | 185.4 mm | 226.4 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 1281.3 | 1053.8 | 185.4 mm | 227.2 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 1298.3 | 1068.9 | 185.4 mm | 227.7 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 1313.7 | 1083.8 | 197.3 mm | 228.1 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 1327.9 | 1099.0 | 197.8 mm | 228.6 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 1344.1 | 1114.3 | 197.8 mm | 229.8 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 1361.5 | 1129.6 | 197.8 mm | 231.1 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 1378.8 | 1144.9 | 197.8 mm | 231.9 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 1395.9 | 1160.3 | 198.1 mm | 234.2 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 1413.1 | 1175.4 | 198.2 mm | 235.7 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1431.9 | 1189.9 | 198.2 mm | 236.5 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1451.3 | 1204.7 | 198.2 mm | 238.1 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1470.5 | 1219.7 | 198.5 mm | 238.9 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1488.2 | 1235.0 | 202.2 mm | 240.1 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1507.1 | 1250.3 | 202.2 mm | 240.9 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1527.0 | 1265.5 | 202.2 mm | 242.1 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1545.5 | 1280.5 | 202.2 mm | 244.4 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1564.6 | 1295.2 | 202.2 mm | 246.2 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1583.7 | 1309.6 | 202.2 mm | 249.4 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1603.0 | 1323.8 | 202.2 mm | 250.4 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1623.0 | 1337.5 | 202.6 mm | 253.1 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1642.0 | 1351.5 | 202.6 mm | 256.4 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1661.8 | 1365.5 | 202.6 mm | 257.5 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1681.9 | 1379.3 | 202.7 mm | 258.1 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1700.9 | 1393.1 | 203.3 mm | 259.0 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1719.1 | 1407.0 | 203.6 mm | 259.9 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1736.1 | 1421.2 | 203.6 mm | 261.9 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1754.8 | 1435.5 | 203.6 mm | 262.8 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1773.5 | 1450.2 | 203.6 mm | 264.5 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1789.2 | 1464.5 | 229.9 mm | 265.0 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1801.6 | 1478.6 | 253.6 mm | 265.9 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1813.3 | 1492.5 | 253.6 mm | 266.5 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1827.6 | 1506.7 | 253.6 mm | 268.4 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 160 GDDvs 115 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 0.3 mmvs 22.7 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Rhône Valley model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.
- Inter Rhône: Rhône Valley harvest launch press release (single vintage, not a normal)
- WMO climate normals guidance
The historical series uses 1 ERA5 location, 3 temperature stations, and 4 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: rhone-valley-catalog-v1-2026-07.