Italy · Multi-region weather view
Sardinia
Sign in to followA Mediterranean island with warm, windy growing seasons.
Sea breezes and elevation temper the heat, but summer water stress is common.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Vintage explorer
What stood out in 2017
Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation. Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.
More hot days than usual · High confidence
There were 15 days at or above 35°C—+10 days versus baseline.
Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.
Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 228 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
Spring frost recorded · Low confidence
The regional record had 3 spring day(s) at or below 0°C.
Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.
How unusual was 2017?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
7th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 28 of 34 other vintages 19.2°CGrowing-season rainfall
Driest of 35 vintages Drier than every other vintage 88.9 mmHeat accumulation
7th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 28 of 34 other vintages 2139 GDDHot days
4th most of 35 vintages More than 31 of 34 other vintages 15 days2017 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2017 22 GDDTypical 27 GDDRainfall
2017 25.0 mmTypical 69.4 mm- 2017 freezing days
- 1
- Typical
- 3.1
Drier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2017 76 GDDTypical 71 GDDRainfall
2017 29.3 mmTypical 77.1 mm- 2017 freezing days
- 2
- Typical
- 0.2
More freezing days than the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2017 236 GDDTypical 189 GDDRainfall
2017 3.2 mmTypical 60.7 mm- 2017 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2017 388 GDDTypical 310 GDDRainfall
2017 12.4 mmTypical 29.1 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2017 448 GDDTypical 416 GDDRainfall
2017 2.6 mmTypical 8.2 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2017 500 GDDTypical 432 GDDRainfall
2017 3.9 mmTypical 14.4 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2017 267 GDDTypical 297 GDDRainfall
2017 15.0 mmTypical 37.3 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2017 204 GDDTypical 197 GDDRainfall
2017 14.2 mmTypical 53.0 mmDrier than the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2017 GDD | Typical GDD | 2017 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2017 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2017 | 22 GDD | 27 GDD | 25.0 mm | 69.4 mm | 1 | 3.1 |
| April 2017 | 76 GDD | 71 GDD | 29.3 mm | 77.1 mm | 2 | 0.2 |
| May 2017 | 236 GDD | 189 GDD | 3.2 mm | 60.7 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| June 2017 | 388 GDD | 310 GDD | 12.4 mm | 29.1 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2017 | 448 GDD | 416 GDD | 2.6 mm | 8.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2017 | 500 GDD | 432 GDD | 3.9 mm | 14.4 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2017 | 267 GDD | 297 GDD | 15.0 mm | 37.3 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2017 | 204 GDD | 197 GDD | 14.2 mm | 53.0 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2017 growing season
231 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Jul 14, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
1994
Most alike in Growing degree days and Spring frost exposure.
- Growing degree days
- lower: 120 GDD
- Spring frost exposure
- fewer frost-exposure days: 3 days
Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — more rain
View 1994 →Second closest
2001
Most alike in Harvest precipitation and Spring frost exposure.
- Harvest precipitation
- less rain: 0.5 mm
- Spring frost exposure
- fewer frost-exposure days: 2 days
Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days
View 2001 →Third closest
2011
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Harvest precipitation.
- Spring frost exposure
- more frost-exposure days: 1 day
- Harvest precipitation
- more rain: 14.3 mm
Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days
View 2011 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 1994 0.932; 2001 1.068; 2011 1.088.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -1.6°C | +72 mm | 0 |
| 1992 | -1.1°C | +109 mm | 0 |
| 1993 | -0.4°C | -84 mm | 4 |
| 1994 | +0.3°C | -104 mm | 9 |
| 1995 | -0.8°C | -43 mm | 3 |
| 1996 | -1.4°C | +148 mm | 3 |
| 1997 | +0.1°C | -66 mm | 2 |
| 1998 | -0.3°C | -11 mm | 4 |
| 1999 | +1.0°C | +3 mm | 9 |
| 2000 | +0.4°C | +6 mm | 10 |
| 2001 | +0.5°C | -142 mm | 1 |
| 2002 | -0.6°C | +29 mm | 1 |
| 2003 | +1.3°C | -22 mm | 25 |
| 2004 | -0.3°C | +31 mm | 2 |
| 2005 | +0.0°C | -71 mm | 6 |
| 2006 | +0.5°C | -26 mm | 3 |
| 2007 | -0.4°C | +15 mm | 4 |
| 2008 | -0.3°C | +88 mm | 3 |
| 2009 | +0.1°C | +37 mm | 2 |
| 2010 | -0.7°C | +10 mm | 1 |
| 2011 | +0.2°C | -115 mm | 4 |
| 2012 | +0.7°C | +16 mm | 6 |
| 2013 | -0.1°C | +52 mm | 5 |
| 2014 | +0.1°C | -80 mm | 0 |
| 2015 | +0.7°C | +4 mm | 6 |
| 2016 | +0.2°C | -41 mm | 1 |
| 2017 | +1.0°C | -228 mm | 15 |
| 2018 | +0.1°C | +436 mm | 0 |
| 2019 | +0.6°C | -25 mm | 8 |
| 2020 | +0.1°C | +2 mm | 8 |
| 2021 | +0.7°C | -56 mm | 14 |
| 2022 | +2.0°C | -48 mm | 12 |
| 2023 | +1.4°C | +75 mm | 19 |
| 2024 | +1.1°C | -56 mm | 16 |
| 2025 | +1.1°C | +16 mm | 4 |
| 2026 | +2.2°C | -173 mm | 26 |
winter
8.2°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
197 mm rain · +4 mm
spring
13.5°C
+1.0°C vs baseline
57 mm rain · -150 mm
summer
24.5°C
+1.9°C vs baseline
18 mm rain · -33 mm
harvest
19.4°C
+0.1°C vs baseline
32 mm rain · -67 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.2°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.9°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 31 days
- Total rain
- 2.3 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 23 days
- Total rain
- 0.5 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 59 days
- Total rain
- 1.4 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 38.9°C
- Duration
- 11 days
- Heat accumulation
- 213 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 19 days
- Total rain
- 1.5 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules sardinia-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Jul 14, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +108.8 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +64.9 to +152.7 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1600 GDD | -331 GDD |
| 1992 | 1700 GDD | -232 GDD |
| 1993 | 1845 GDD | -86 GDD |
| 1994 | 2019 GDD | +88 GDD |
| 1995 | 1771 GDD | -160 GDD |
| 1996 | 1615 GDD | -316 GDD |
| 1997 | 1944 GDD | +13 GDD |
| 1998 | 1877 GDD | -54 GDD |
| 1999 | 2157 GDD | +225 GDD |
| 2000 | 2003 GDD | +71 GDD |
| 2001 | 2044 GDD | +113 GDD |
| 2002 | 1784 GDD | -148 GDD |
| 2003 | 2255 GDD | +324 GDD |
| 2004 | 1867 GDD | -64 GDD |
| 2005 | 1921 GDD | -10 GDD |
| 2006 | 2042 GDD | +111 GDD |
| 2007 | 1870 GDD | -61 GDD |
| 2008 | 1860 GDD | -72 GDD |
| 2009 | 1953 GDD | +21 GDD |
| 2010 | 1771 GDD | -160 GDD |
| 2011 | 1951 GDD | +20 GDD |
| 2012 | 2075 GDD | +144 GDD |
| 2013 | 1899 GDD | -32 GDD |
| 2014 | 1939 GDD | +8 GDD |
| 2015 | 2084 GDD | +153 GDD |
| 2016 | 1980 GDD | +48 GDD |
| 2017 | 2139 GDD | +208 GDD |
| 2018 | 1951 GDD | +19 GDD |
| 2019 | 2062 GDD | +131 GDD |
| 2020 | 1961 GDD | +29 GDD |
| 2021 | 2122 GDD | +190 GDD |
| 2022 | 2401 GDD | +470 GDD |
| 2023 | 2237 GDD | +306 GDD |
| 2024 | 2178 GDD | +247 GDD |
| 2025 | 2169 GDD | +238 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.50 °C per decade 95% interval +0.30 to +0.71
- Growing degree days
- +108.80 GDD per decade 95% interval +64.87 to +152.74
- Growing-season precipitation
- +2.15 mm per decade 95% interval -19.15 to +23.45
- Hot days
- +2.06 days per decade 95% interval +0.34 to +3.78
- Spring frost days
- -0.27 days per decade 95% interval -1.17 to +0.64
- Longest dry spell
- -3.61 days per decade 95% interval -9.66 to +2.44
Last Updated July 15, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +1.2°C | +0.7 to +1.6°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.8°C | +1.2 to +2.4°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +2.2°C | +1.6 to +3.1°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 31°C | 32°C | 34°C | 34°C | 33°C | 33°C | 34°C | 34°C | 34°C | 32°C |
| Low | 21°C | 20°C | 21°C | 22°C | 21°C | 19°C | 22°C | 22°C | 23°C | 23°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm |
Across the typical year: Early August has the warmest median afternoon high (31.0°C); Late January has the coolest (10.9°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late November (41%) and least frequent in Early July (5%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 11.4°C (9.7–13.0°C) | 2.9°C (0.3–5.6°C) | 30% | 18.8 mm (8.4–32.0 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 10.9°C (9.4–12.5°C) | 2.8°C (0.5–5.0°C) | 36% | 31.4 mm (18.0–56.8 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 11.7°C (9.0–13.5°C) | 2.0°C (-0.1–4.9°C) | 34% | 31.4 mm (16.0–47.4 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 12.2°C (9.9–14.3°C) | 2.8°C (0.4–4.8°C) | 34% | 20.0 mm (7.0–46.2 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 13.8°C (11.4–15.9°C) | 4.1°C (1.8–6.6°C) | 36% | 28.3 mm (14.8–41.2 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 15.4°C (13.3–17.4°C) | 4.8°C (2.7–7.1°C) | 32% | 27.4 mm (8.8–57.7 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 16.2°C (14.3–18.5°C) | 6.0°C (4.4–7.9°C) | 38% | 41.7 mm (27.0–53.2 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 18.3°C (15.7–20.4°C) | 7.6°C (5.7–9.6°C) | 37% | 37.8 mm (25.5–44.2 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 20.8°C (18.0–23.3°C) | 9.6°C (7.8–11.6°C) | 30% | 25.8 mm (10.1–47.4 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 23.0°C (20.4–25.6°C) | 11.4°C (9.3–13.1°C) | 22% | 20.2 mm (12.0–38.3 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 25.0°C (22.3–27.6°C) | 13.1°C (11.4–14.9°C) | 22% | 12.3 mm (5.5–24.2 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 28.4°C (25.1–31.0°C) | 15.2°C (13.1–17.2°C) | 10% | 2.4 mm (0.5–7.1 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 29.9°C (27.4–31.8°C) | 16.4°C (14.7–18.0°C) | 5% | 2.0 mm (0.8–4.8 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 30.8°C (28.7–32.8°C) | 17.2°C (15.6–18.7°C) | 5% | 1.8 mm (0.3–6.2 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 31.0°C (29.0–33.3°C) | 17.5°C (16.0–19.2°C) | 7% | 1.7 mm (0.6–4.5 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 30.3°C (28.1–32.8°C) | 17.0°C (15.5–18.5°C) | 10% | 1.8 mm (0.6–13.5 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 27.4°C (24.8–29.1°C) | 14.9°C (13.2–16.6°C) | 18% | 12.4 mm (5.5–22.4 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 24.7°C (22.3–26.7°C) | 13.1°C (11.1–15.2°C) | 23% | 17.9 mm (11.9–35.5 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 22.6°C (20.0–25.1°C) | 11.6°C (9.9–13.8°C) | 25% | 16.7 mm (9.1–35.7 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 20.7°C (18.4–22.9°C) | 10.2°C (7.8–12.8°C) | 27% | 21.2 mm (9.2–42.1 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 17.2°C (15.1–19.5°C) | 8.2°C (6.2–10.2°C) | 36% | 38.6 mm (22.4–53.2 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 14.2°C (11.8–16.7°C) | 6.3°C (3.8–8.3°C) | 41% | 44.0 mm (20.7–54.9 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 12.8°C (10.8–14.5°C) | 4.9°C (2.3–6.9°C) | 38% | 33.6 mm (21.3–56.8 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 11.7°C (9.4–13.7°C) | 3.5°C (0.9–6.1°C) | 36% | 32.8 mm (24.1–44.0 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated July 15, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 8.3 mm | 2.3 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 8.4 mm | 4.5 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 8.4 mm | 6.3 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 9.1 mm | 8.2 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 9.1 mm | 9.0 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 9.2 mm | 10.6 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 9.2 mm | 11.7 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 9.2 mm | 13.0 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 2.7 | 8.8 | 17.7 mm | 15.1 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 2.7 | 10.5 | 17.8 mm | 18.0 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 2.7 | 11.9 | 18.6 mm | 21.6 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 2.7 | 13.0 | 22.0 mm | 23.9 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 2.7 | 13.7 | 23.2 mm | 27.4 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 23.2 mm | 29.1 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 2.7 | 15.6 | 23.6 mm | 32.2 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 2.7 | 17.0 | 24.1 mm | 34.3 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 2.7 | 18.5 | 25.5 mm | 37.3 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 2.7 | 19.9 | 26.4 mm | 39.1 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 26.7 mm | 42.9 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 3.2 | 22.6 | 27.1 mm | 47.9 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 5.4 | 24.4 | 27.1 mm | 51.9 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 9.0 | 25.9 | 27.1 mm | 55.0 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 14.3 | 27.1 | 27.1 mm | 57.9 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 19.7 | 28.9 | 27.1 mm | 59.1 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 25.2 | 30.5 | 27.1 mm | 63.0 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 31.2 | 32.2 | 27.1 mm | 65.6 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 37.6 | 34.1 | 27.1 mm | 66.9 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 44.5 | 35.7 | 27.1 mm | 69.8 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 49.8 | 37.4 | 27.1 mm | 72.7 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 53.1 | 39.1 | 36.1 mm | 76.1 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 54.8 | 41.0 | 48.0 mm | 77.1 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 59.2 | 43.3 | 61.6 mm | 78.2 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 64.1 | 45.5 | 68.8 mm | 80.8 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 69.8 | 47.7 | 69.3 mm | 84.8 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 76.2 | 49.7 | 69.7 mm | 86.7 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 82.1 | 51.7 | 69.7 mm | 88.5 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 88.2 | 53.9 | 69.7 mm | 90.3 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 95.3 | 56.5 | 69.7 mm | 93.3 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 103.0 | 59.6 | 69.7 mm | 94.7 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 106.9 | 62.8 | 70.0 mm | 97.4 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 109.6 | 66.3 | 70.0 mm | 99.4 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 113.6 | 69.8 | 70.0 mm | 101.5 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 118.7 | 74.1 | 70.0 mm | 103.6 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 124.4 | 78.0 | 70.0 mm | 107.3 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 130.9 | 81.7 | 70.0 mm | 108.6 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 138.7 | 85.6 | 73.4 mm | 111.5 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 147.2 | 89.3 | 73.5 mm | 114.5 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 153.0 | 93.2 | 73.5 mm | 116.5 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 156.8 | 97.5 | 73.5 mm | 120.1 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 161.5 | 102.2 | 73.6 mm | 123.2 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 167.7 | 106.7 | 76.9 mm | 127.8 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 174.9 | 111.2 | 80.6 mm | 130.8 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 179.2 | 115.9 | 85.0 mm | 133.2 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 185.0 | 120.4 | 85.4 mm | 135.0 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 190.2 | 125.2 | 90.3 mm | 136.5 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 195.4 | 130.7 | 90.6 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 199.8 | 137.0 | 93.6 mm | 138.3 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 206.0 | 143.3 | 93.6 mm | 139.5 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 212.5 | 149.4 | 93.8 mm | 142.9 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 216.7 | 155.3 | 96.8 mm | 145.5 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 221.2 | 161.0 | 97.5 mm | 147.2 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 224.9 | 166.2 | 101.9 mm | 149.5 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 226.2 | 171.8 | 102.9 mm | 150.8 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 228.1 | 178.2 | 103.0 mm | 152.4 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 231.2 | 184.6 | 104.0 mm | 154.3 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 235.5 | 190.8 | 104.6 mm | 156.8 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 241.8 | 196.7 | 104.7 mm | 159.5 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 250.2 | 202.7 | 104.7 mm | 162.5 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 259.8 | 209.2 | 104.7 mm | 163.9 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 269.6 | 216.3 | 104.7 mm | 164.3 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 280.0 | 223.6 | 104.7 mm | 165.3 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 290.9 | 231.5 | 104.7 mm | 166.7 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 302.3 | 239.4 | 104.7 mm | 168.7 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 314.5 | 247.0 | 104.7 mm | 170.6 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 327.4 | 254.9 | 104.7 mm | 172.3 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 340.4 | 262.5 | 104.7 mm | 173.6 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 352.0 | 270.3 | 104.9 mm | 174.1 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 364.0 | 278.5 | 105.0 mm | 175.1 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 374.3 | 286.7 | 105.0 mm | 176.7 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 384.6 | 295.1 | 105.0 mm | 178.5 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 393.7 | 303.3 | 105.0 mm | 180.3 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 402.5 | 311.9 | 105.0 mm | 181.8 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 412.5 | 320.6 | 105.0 mm | 183.1 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 423.2 | 329.4 | 105.0 mm | 184.3 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 434.4 | 338.4 | 105.0 mm | 186.5 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 447.7 | 347.6 | 105.0 mm | 187.3 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 461.1 | 357.1 | 105.0 mm | 188.6 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 474.3 | 366.6 | 105.0 mm | 189.4 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 483.0 | 376.0 | 105.0 mm | 190.3 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 493.1 | 385.1 | 105.0 mm | 191.9 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 505.7 | 394.6 | 105.0 mm | 193.2 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 519.0 | 404.7 | 105.0 mm | 194.1 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 531.9 | 415.0 | 105.0 mm | 196.9 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 544.0 | 425.8 | 105.0 mm | 197.4 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 557.6 | 436.6 | 105.1 mm | 198.4 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 573.1 | 447.3 | 105.1 mm | 199.5 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 589.3 | 458.0 | 105.1 mm | 200.0 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 607.0 | 468.7 | 105.1 mm | 200.6 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 625.0 | 479.7 | 106.8 mm | 201.1 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 643.1 | 491.4 | 108.4 mm | 201.8 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 660.0 | 503.2 | 110.5 mm | 201.9 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 676.5 | 515.0 | 111.1 mm | 202.5 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 692.7 | 526.8 | 115.6 mm | 203.1 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 709.8 | 539.0 | 119.4 mm | 203.2 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 726.1 | 551.4 | 119.5 mm | 203.3 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 743.4 | 563.9 | 119.5 mm | 203.4 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 760.4 | 576.2 | 119.6 mm | 204.0 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 777.3 | 588.8 | 121.4 mm | 204.2 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 792.0 | 601.5 | 122.4 mm | 204.4 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 804.9 | 614.6 | 130.1 mm | 204.7 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 819.1 | 628.0 | 130.2 mm | 204.7 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 834.4 | 641.4 | 130.2 mm | 204.8 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 849.8 | 654.8 | 130.4 mm | 205.0 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 863.6 | 668.1 | 130.4 mm | 205.0 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 878.2 | 681.3 | 131.0 mm | 205.1 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 893.2 | 694.2 | 131.0 mm | 205.7 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 908.2 | 706.9 | 131.0 mm | 206.1 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 924.1 | 719.3 | 131.0 mm | 206.5 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 942.4 | 731.8 | 131.0 mm | 206.9 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 961.2 | 744.5 | 131.0 mm | 207.0 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 981.0 | 757.4 | 131.0 mm | 207.3 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 1002.2 | 770.1 | 131.0 mm | 207.6 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 1023.7 | 782.8 | 131.0 mm | 207.9 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 1046.9 | 795.8 | 131.3 mm | 208.4 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 1069.4 | 809.1 | 131.3 mm | 208.6 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 1090.9 | 822.7 | 131.3 mm | 208.7 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 1112.6 | 836.1 | 131.3 mm | 208.8 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 1134.1 | 849.7 | 131.3 mm | 208.8 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 1156.2 | 863.6 | 131.4 mm | 209.0 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 1175.7 | 877.9 | 131.4 mm | 209.3 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 1194.2 | 892.5 | 131.4 mm | 209.5 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 1210.3 | 906.7 | 131.4 mm | 210.3 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 1227.6 | 920.4 | 131.4 mm | 210.5 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 1243.3 | 934.2 | 131.6 mm | 210.8 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 1256.7 | 948.3 | 131.6 mm | 210.9 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 1271.2 | 962.8 | 131.6 mm | 211.2 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 1287.6 | 977.0 | 131.6 mm | 211.4 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 1305.1 | 990.9 | 132.3 mm | 211.9 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 1323.6 | 1005.2 | 132.3 mm | 212.4 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1342.7 | 1019.8 | 132.3 mm | 212.6 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1360.7 | 1034.8 | 134.2 mm | 212.7 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1380.2 | 1049.7 | 134.8 mm | 213.0 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1398.8 | 1064.1 | 134.9 mm | 214.1 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1416.7 | 1078.4 | 134.9 mm | 214.4 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1433.3 | 1092.7 | 137.1 mm | 214.8 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1450.1 | 1107.5 | 137.1 mm | 215.6 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1466.5 | 1122.5 | 137.1 mm | 215.8 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1483.1 | 1137.1 | 137.1 mm | 216.2 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1501.8 | 1151.6 | 137.2 mm | 216.8 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1522.1 | 1165.5 | 137.4 mm | 217.2 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1541.4 | 1179.1 | 138.3 mm | 217.4 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1559.9 | 1192.6 | 138.3 mm | 217.5 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1578.6 | 1206.0 | 138.6 mm | 217.9 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1596.9 | 1219.4 | 141.8 mm | 218.0 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1614.5 | 1233.2 | 142.0 mm | 218.1 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1630.5 | 1247.1 | 143.3 mm | 218.4 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1646.5 | 1261.1 | 143.5 mm | 218.9 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1661.9 | 1275.6 | 143.5 mm | 219.6 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1678.6 | 1290.1 | 143.5 mm | 219.8 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1695.4 | 1304.2 | 143.7 mm | 220.2 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1711.1 | 1317.9 | 143.7 mm | 221.5 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1728.6 | 1331.7 | 143.7 mm | 222.8 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 162 GDDvs 114 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 0.0 mmvs 6.1 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Sardinia model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.