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Hungary · Multi-region weather view

Tokaj

Northeastern Hungarian vineyards from the Mád and Tarcal area through Tolcsva to Sátoraljaújhely, known for Furmint and Tokaji Aszú.

Continental seasons bring spring frost and summer heat. Autumn rain and dry intervals matter during the long harvest, while local noble-rot conditions require finer evidence.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Oct 17, 2026.

Current conditions

Model estimate valid Nov 3, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Regional model estimate averaged across the configured sampling locations.

Temperature6.6°C
Dew Point3.2°C
Relative Humidity79%
24h RainfallUnavailable

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage · View 2022 across regions →

Moderately warmer and significantly drier than normal.

Mean temperature16.8°C
Temperature anomaly+0.9°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1830base 10°C
Hot days34≥ 32°C

What stood out in 2022

Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation. A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

More hot days than usual · High confidence

There were 34 days at or above 32°C—+20 days versus baseline.

Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.

Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence

Growing-season precipitation was 145 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.

Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.

Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence

The regional record had 10 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.

A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

How unusual was 2022?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

4th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 30 of 34 other vintages 16.8°C

Growing-season rainfall

Driest of 35 vintages Drier than every other vintage 394.2 mm

Heat accumulation

4th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 31 of 34 other vintages 1831 GDD

Hot days

2nd most of 35 vintages More than 33 of 34 other vintages 34 days

2022 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2022 0 GDD
    Typical 9 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 33.9 mm
    Typical 42.4 mm
    2022 freezing days
    22
    Typical
    11.2

    More freezing days than the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2022 38 GDD
    Typical 82 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 58.0 mm
    Typical 54.8 mm
    2022 freezing days
    3
    Typical
    1.4

    More freezing days than the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2022 249 GDD
    Typical 207 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 15.9 mm
    Typical 78.6 mm
    2022 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2022 382 GDD
    Typical 311 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 29.4 mm
    Typical 79.0 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2022 436 GDD
    Typical 376 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 31.6 mm
    Typical 91.3 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  6. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2022 449 GDD
    Typical 374 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 56.5 mm
    Typical 62.5 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2022 181 GDD
    Typical 205 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 126.0 mm
    Typical 62.8 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2022 88 GDD
    Typical 71 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 32.9 mm
    Typical 57.8 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  9. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2022 8 GDD
    Typical 9 GDD

    Rainfall

    2022 44.0 mm
    Typical 52.4 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2022 GDDTypical GDD2022 rainfallTypical rainfall2022 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2022 0 GDD 9 GDD 33.9 mm 42.4 mm 2211.2
April 2022 38 GDD 82 GDD 58.0 mm 54.8 mm 31.4
May 2022 249 GDD 207 GDD 15.9 mm 78.6 mm 00.0
June 2022 382 GDD 311 GDD 29.4 mm 79.0 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2022 436 GDD 376 GDD 31.6 mm 91.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2022 449 GDD 374 GDD 56.5 mm 62.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2022 181 GDD 205 GDD 126.0 mm 62.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2022 88 GDD 71 GDD 32.9 mm 57.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
November 2022 8 GDD 9 GDD 44.0 mm 52.4 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Oct 17, 2026.

Replay the 2022 growing season

244 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Oct 17, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2003

    Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Harvest precipitation.

    Growing-season precipitation
    more rain: 12.4 mm
    Harvest precipitation
    less rain: 10.7 mm

    Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days

    View 2003 →

  2. Second closest

    2015

    Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Growing degree days.

    Growing-season mean temperature
    cooler: 0.0°C
    Growing degree days
    higher: 12 GDD

    Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — fewer frost-exposure days

    View 2015 →

  3. Third closest

    2012

    Most alike in Growing degree days and Hot-day count.

    Growing degree days
    higher: 14 GDD
    Hot-day count
    fewer hot days: 1 day

    Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — fewer frost-exposure days

    View 2012 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2003 0.528; 2015 0.618; 2012 0.864.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2025 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +2.4°C −2.4°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2025
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2025 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +320 mm −320 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2025
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-1.4°C-34 mm4
1992-0.4°C-78 mm17
1993-1.0°C-138 mm9
1994-0.1°C-45 mm23
1995-1.1°C-4 mm11
1996-0.5°C+52 mm6
1997-1.5°C+5 mm3
1998-1.1°C+223 mm10
1999-0.2°C+71 mm5
2000+0.9°C-136 mm20
2001-0.8°C+88 mm6
2002+0.2°C+27 mm13
2003+0.4°C-132 mm26
2004-0.6°C+58 mm7
2005-0.4°C+43 mm9
2006+0.2°C-22 mm13
2007+0.3°C-58 mm22
2008+0.1°C-86 mm7
2009+0.9°C-74 mm15
2010-0.4°C+312 mm8
2011-0.1°C-139 mm11
2012+1.1°C-21 mm33
2013+0.4°C-52 mm18
2014+0.4°C+38 mm6
2015+0.9°C-85 mm39
2016+0.2°C+76 mm12
2017+0.1°C+66 mm21
2018+2.1°C-89 mm17
2019+1.3°C+51 mm25
2020+0.1°C+83 mm6
2021-0.3°C-107 mm25
2022+0.9°C-145 mm34
2023+0.8°C+126 mm16
2024+0.6°C-70 mm29
2025-0.6°C-78 mm10

winter

1.7°C

+1.7°C vs baseline

103 mm rain · -25 mm

spring

11.1°C

-0.3°C vs baseline

107 mm rain · -68 mm

summer

23.8°C

+2.2°C vs baseline

117 mm rain · -115 mm

harvest

11.6°C

+0.5°C vs baseline

202 mm rain · +30 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.0°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  2. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -7.7°C
    Duration
    11 days
    Severe-freeze days
    6 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  3. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -4.8°C
    Duration
    8 days
    Severe-freeze days
    4 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  4. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.4°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  5. Dry spell

    Duration
    24 days
    Total rain
    2.9 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  6. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.5°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    29 GDD

  7. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    38.3°C
    Duration
    7 days
    Heat accumulation
    119 GDD

  8. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.7°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    53 GDD

  9. Dry spell

    Duration
    17 days
    Total rain
    1.7 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  10. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    38.5°C
    Duration
    5 days
    Heat accumulation
    83 GDD

  11. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.5°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    30 GDD

  12. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    35.4°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    48 GDD

  13. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.3°C
    Duration
    4 days
    Heat accumulation
    67 GDD

  14. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.1°C
    Duration
    4 days
    Heat accumulation
    64 GDD

  15. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    27.1 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    27.1 mm
    Trigger threshold
    23.6 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  16. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    27.5 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    27.5 mm
    Trigger threshold
    23.6 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  17. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    37.0 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    35.5 mm
    Trigger threshold
    23.6 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  18. Dry spell

    Duration
    15 days
    Total rain
    1.8 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day
How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules tokaj-catalog-v1-2026-10. Source last updated Oct 17, 2026, calculated Oct 18, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +82.8 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +47.7 to +117.8 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 1–November 30 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911367 GDD-267 GDD
19921574 GDD-60 GDD
19931546 GDD-88 GDD
19941649 GDD+14 GDD
19951520 GDD-115 GDD
19961450 GDD-184 GDD
19971426 GDD-208 GDD
19981416 GDD-219 GDD
19991608 GDD-27 GDD
20001740 GDD+106 GDD
20011496 GDD-139 GDD
20021702 GDD+67 GDD
20031767 GDD+133 GDD
20041461 GDD-174 GDD
20051555 GDD-79 GDD
20061614 GDD-21 GDD
20071744 GDD+110 GDD
20081606 GDD-28 GDD
20091803 GDD+169 GDD
20101455 GDD-179 GDD
20111673 GDD+39 GDD
20121844 GDD+210 GDD
20131678 GDD+43 GDD
20141659 GDD+24 GDD
20151843 GDD+209 GDD
20161684 GDD+49 GDD
20171644 GDD+10 GDD
20182063 GDD+428 GDD
20191813 GDD+179 GDD
20201633 GDD-1 GDD
20211585 GDD-50 GDD
20221831 GDD+197 GDD
20231812 GDD+177 GDD
20241822 GDD+187 GDD
20251488 GDD-147 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.47 °C per decade 95% interval +0.27 to +0.68
Growing degree days
+82.76 GDD per decade 95% interval +47.75 to +117.78
Growing-season precipitation
-2.61 mm per decade 95% interval -31.45 to +26.24
Hot days
+3.83 days per decade 95% interval +1.89 to +5.77
Spring frost days
-0.76 days per decade 95% interval -2.74 to +1.22
Longest dry spell
+2.19 days per decade 95% interval +0.63 to +3.75

Last Updated October 17, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.1°C+0.7 to +1.6°C25
2041-2060+1.7°C+1.1 to +2.7°C25
2061-2075+2.1°C+1.6 to +3.6°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

Regional average across 3 sampling locations.

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Nov 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Nov 3, 2026 at 08:24 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThu
High 10°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 16°C
Low 6°C 4°C 3°C 2°C -0°C -1°C 0°C 1°C 4°C 8°C
Rain 0.8 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.3 mm 0.1 mm

Across the typical year: Early August has the warmest median afternoon high (28.3°C); Late January has the coolest (1.2°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late May (43%) and least frequent in Late August (28%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Tokaj Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -10°C0°C10°C20°C30°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Tokaj The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Tokaj typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–151.8°C (-1.5–5.0°C)-2.3°C (-6.3–0.5°C)30%14.5 mm (11.9–25.1 mm)
Jan 16–311.2°C (-1.1–4.2°C)-3.4°C (-6.6–-0.8°C)29%16.7 mm (10.7–25.4 mm)
Feb 1–153.9°C (0.3–6.9°C)-2.2°C (-5.3–0.4°C)34%18.9 mm (10.1–34.9 mm)
Feb 16–295.2°C (2.2–8.8°C)-1.4°C (-3.9–0.6°C)31%16.5 mm (8.6–21.8 mm)
Mar 1–159.4°C (5.4–11.9°C)0.6°C (-1.9–3.7°C)32%16.4 mm (8.1–28.1 mm)
Mar 16–3111.6°C (7.8–15.8°C)2.0°C (-0.5–5.0°C)30%18.5 mm (8.9–32.4 mm)
Apr 1–1515.5°C (12.1–19.0°C)5.5°C (2.8–7.9°C)35%23.7 mm (16.1–31.8 mm)
Apr 16–3019.5°C (15.8–22.3°C)8.1°C (5.9–10.0°C)32%25.1 mm (14.2–35.3 mm)
May 1–1521.3°C (18.3–24.5°C)10.4°C (8.4–12.5°C)37%30.3 mm (15.8–36.7 mm)
May 16–3123.0°C (19.0–26.7°C)12.1°C (9.9–14.2°C)43%37.5 mm (27.6–61.6 mm)
Jun 1–1525.6°C (22.0–28.7°C)14.7°C (12.4–16.5°C)43%45.3 mm (32.1–54.8 mm)
Jun 16–3026.1°C (23.3–29.3°C)15.4°C (13.3–17.7°C)42%30.5 mm (18.6–48.9 mm)
Jul 1–1527.8°C (24.4–30.4°C)16.1°C (14.1–17.9°C)40%34.2 mm (26.1–48.0 mm)
Jul 16–3128.2°C (24.7–31.0°C)17.3°C (15.3–18.8°C)40%54.2 mm (21.9–65.0 mm)
Aug 1–1528.3°C (25.6–31.3°C)17.1°C (15.3–19.0°C)34%27.7 mm (18.8–46.3 mm)
Aug 16–3127.2°C (24.3–30.4°C)15.8°C (13.5–17.5°C)28%21.7 mm (12.6–42.1 mm)
Sep 1–1524.1°C (20.4–27.1°C)12.9°C (10.6–15.0°C)31%21.5 mm (12.7–49.0 mm)
Sep 16–3020.2°C (17.2–23.4°C)10.2°C (8.3–12.4°C)32%32.9 mm (16.4–44.0 mm)
Oct 1–1517.9°C (14.2–21.1°C)8.1°C (5.7–10.7°C)28%20.1 mm (8.2–43.3 mm)
Oct 16–3113.3°C (10.8–16.5°C)5.4°C (2.4–8.2°C)29%27.1 mm (11.5–44.4 mm)
Nov 1–1510.6°C (7.6–13.9°C)3.2°C (0.1–6.1°C)32%26.0 mm (9.1–39.2 mm)
Nov 16–306.5°C (2.9–9.8°C)0.8°C (-1.6–4.3°C)35%19.5 mm (12.0–32.6 mm)
Dec 1–153.6°C (0.9–6.2°C)-0.9°C (-3.1–1.8°C)31%21.7 mm (8.9–30.2 mm)
Dec 16–311.6°C (-1.3–4.8°C)-2.5°C (-5.9–0.6°C)33%29.4 mm (9.5–35.7 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated October 17, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 1–Nov 2, 2026

Compare this season across regions →

Growing degree days1658.8base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall194.3 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1659 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAugSepOctNov
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 481 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAugSepOctNov
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-010.01.10.0 mm1.1 mm
2026-04-020.72.00.1 mm2.7 mm
2026-04-033.73.40.1 mm4.1 mm
2026-04-044.55.40.1 mm5.0 mm
2026-04-057.27.50.1 mm7.3 mm
2026-04-069.79.10.2 mm10.8 mm
2026-04-079.710.90.2 mm12.3 mm
2026-04-089.712.80.2 mm13.1 mm
2026-04-099.714.40.5 mm14.5 mm
2026-04-109.715.80.6 mm15.9 mm
2026-04-119.717.20.8 mm17.6 mm
2026-04-129.719.10.8 mm20.5 mm
2026-04-139.921.10.8 mm22.2 mm
2026-04-1414.423.04.4 mm24.8 mm
2026-04-1518.725.04.5 mm26.4 mm
2026-04-1622.527.55.0 mm27.5 mm
2026-04-1726.329.95.2 mm29.8 mm
2026-04-1828.732.15.2 mm32.8 mm
2026-04-1930.634.85.5 mm35.6 mm
2026-04-2031.737.57.4 mm38.1 mm
2026-04-2131.740.37.8 mm39.7 mm
2026-04-2231.743.77.9 mm41.2 mm
2026-04-2332.747.67.9 mm42.1 mm
2026-04-2435.051.57.9 mm43.8 mm
2026-04-2539.356.07.9 mm45.9 mm
2026-04-2640.160.77.9 mm48.0 mm
2026-04-2740.165.97.9 mm49.9 mm
2026-04-2840.871.27.9 mm51.8 mm
2026-04-2940.876.67.9 mm53.5 mm
2026-04-3040.882.37.9 mm54.8 mm
2026-05-0140.888.57.9 mm56.3 mm
2026-05-0244.794.57.9 mm58.0 mm
2026-05-0347.9100.97.9 mm59.0 mm
2026-05-0453.0106.47.9 mm61.2 mm
2026-05-0559.5111.97.9 mm63.3 mm
2026-05-0666.9117.57.9 mm65.6 mm
2026-05-0774.5123.213.8 mm67.4 mm
2026-05-0881.1128.616.7 mm69.4 mm
2026-05-0987.5134.416.7 mm70.9 mm
2026-05-1093.5140.616.7 mm72.4 mm
2026-05-1198.8147.633.8 mm74.2 mm
2026-05-12101.8154.344.8 mm77.6 mm
2026-05-13103.1160.246.1 mm80.7 mm
2026-05-14104.3165.746.1 mm83.2 mm
2026-05-15108.2171.448.0 mm86.5 mm
2026-05-16112.6177.059.9 mm90.4 mm
2026-05-17117.7183.260.6 mm93.6 mm
2026-05-18121.7190.261.2 mm97.6 mm
2026-05-19127.6197.862.5 mm100.0 mm
2026-05-20135.7205.362.6 mm101.5 mm
2026-05-21143.8212.762.6 mm104.8 mm
2026-05-22153.9219.962.6 mm108.2 mm
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2026-10-251658.81619.7181.4 mm478.3 mm
2026-10-261658.81621.2194.3 mm479.0 mm
2026-10-271658.81622.3194.3 mm480.8 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Nov 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

Regional average across 3 sampling locations. Daily highs and lows are averages of the locations’ daily highs and lows.

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
1 GDDvs 5 GDD average
Total rainfall
1.2 mmvs 21.8 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Tue11/3 10°Cavg 12°C 6°Cavg 3°C +0 GDD 0.8 mm
Wed11/4 10°Cavg 12°C 4°Cavg 4°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu11/5 9°Cavg 12°C 3°Cavg 3°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri11/6 9°Cavg 12°C 2°Cavg 3°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat11/7 8°Cavg 12°C 0°Cavg 4°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun11/8 8°Cavg 11°C -1°Cavg 4°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon11/9 9°Cavg 11°C 0°Cavg 4°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue11/10 7°Cavg 9°C 1°Cavg 3°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed11/11 10°Cavg 9°C 4°Cavg 2°C +0 GDD 0.3 mm
Thu11/12 16°Cavg 9°C 8°Cavg 2°C +1 GDD 0.1 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed November 2, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Tokaj model uses a April 1–November 30 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.