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Portugal · Multi-region weather view

Vinho Verde

Atlantic-influenced vineyards from Monção and the Lima valley through Braga to Amarante, known especially for Alvarinho and Loureiro.

Rain and humidity are persistent influences. Inland valleys and northern sites differ from the coast, while spring frost and harvest rain remain useful regional signals.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Oct 17, 2026.

Current conditions

Model estimate valid Nov 3, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Regional model estimate averaged across the configured sampling locations.

Temperature7.5°C
Dew Point1.9°C
Relative Humidity68%
24h RainfallUnavailable

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage · View 2003 across regions →

Moderately warmer and slightly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature17.8°C
Temperature anomaly+0.5°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1539base 10°C
Hot days10≥ 32°C

What stood out in 2003

No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.

Close to the usual range · Low confidence

Temperature, rainfall, heat, and frost all stayed within the site's published thresholds.

No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.

How unusual was 2003?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

11th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 24 of 34 other vintages 17.8°C

Growing-season rainfall

13th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 22 of 34 other vintages 593.6 mm

Heat accumulation

11th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 24 of 34 other vintages 1540 GDD

Hot days

6th most of 35 vintages More than 29 of 34 other vintages 10 days

2003 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2003 0 GDD
    Typical 52 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 133.2 mm
    Typical 148.8 mm
    2003 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.5

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2003 78 GDD
    Typical 80 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 225.7 mm
    Typical 146.0 mm
    2003 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Wetter than the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2003 174 GDD
    Typical 155 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 18.9 mm
    Typical 125.9 mm
    2003 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Drier than the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2003 270 GDD
    Typical 240 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 69.6 mm
    Typical 56.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2003 278 GDD
    Typical 314 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 70.8 mm
    Typical 33.4 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2003 382 GDD
    Typical 321 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 69.4 mm
    Typical 43.4 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2003 276 GDD
    Typical 249 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 44.1 mm
    Typical 83.6 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  8. 1–15
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2003 83 GDD
    Typical 86 GDD

    Rainfall

    2003 95.3 mm
    Typical 76.7 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2003 GDDTypical GDD2003 rainfallTypical rainfall2003 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2003 0 GDD 52 GDD 133.2 mm 148.8 mm 00.5
April 2003 78 GDD 80 GDD 225.7 mm 146.0 mm 00.0
May 2003 174 GDD 155 GDD 18.9 mm 125.9 mm 00.0
June 2003 270 GDD 240 GDD 69.6 mm 56.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2003 278 GDD 314 GDD 70.8 mm 33.4 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2003 382 GDD 321 GDD 69.4 mm 43.4 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2003 276 GDD 249 GDD 44.1 mm 83.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2003 83 GDD 86 GDD 95.3 mm 76.7 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Oct 17, 2026.

Replay the 2003 growing season

198 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Oct 17, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2016

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Growing degree days
    lower: 28 GDD

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain

    View 2016 →

  2. Second closest

    2020

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Hot-day count.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Hot-day count
    fewer hot days: 1 day

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2020 →

  3. Third closest

    2006

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Hot-day count.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Hot-day count
    more hot days: 2 days

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2006 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2016 0.477; 2020 0.507; 2006 0.603.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2025 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +1.5°C −1.5°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2025
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2025 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +570 mm −570 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2025
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991+0.4°C-208 mm14
1992-0.6°C-35 mm4
1993-1.2°C+559 mm3
1994-0.9°C+104 mm0
1995+0.7°C-103 mm5
1996-0.4°C-138 mm3
1997+0.2°C+154 mm3
1998-0.2°C+192 mm8
1999-0.3°C+180 mm2
2000-0.8°C+242 mm1
2001-0.2°C-38 mm1
2002-0.8°C-87 mm0
2003+0.5°C+28 mm10
2004+0.1°C-37 mm1
2005+0.4°C-164 mm9
2006+0.9°C-93 mm12
2007-0.5°C-77 mm1
2008-1.1°C+171 mm0
2009-0.2°C-69 mm0
2010+0.8°C-106 mm8
2011+1.1°C-291 mm4
2012-0.9°C+78 mm2
2013+0.5°C-98 mm11
2014-0.1°C+160 mm0
2015+0.4°C+70 mm0
2016+0.3°C+72 mm11
2017+1.0°C-289 mm6
2018+0.5°C-69 mm6
2019-0.3°C-15 mm0
2020+0.9°C-91 mm9
2021-0.2°C-58 mm3
2022+1.1°C-169 mm9
2023+1.1°C-107 mm5
2024+0.5°C+130 mm7
2025+1.2°C-122 mm17

winter

8.6°C

+0.2°C vs baseline

813 mm rain · +294 mm

spring

13.4°C

+0.6°C vs baseline

377 mm rain · -43 mm

summer

20.1°C

+0.6°C vs baseline

209 mm rain · +76 mm

harvest

18.4°C

+0.2°C vs baseline

204 mm rain · +18 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Dry spell

    Duration
    19 days
    Total rain
    3.7 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  2. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.8°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    34 GDD

  3. Dry spell

    Duration
    15 days
    Total rain
    3.1 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  4. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    35.4°C
    Duration
    4 days
    Heat accumulation
    69 GDD

  5. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.1°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    35 GDD

  6. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    58.1 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    57.8 mm
    Trigger threshold
    45.5 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  7. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    93.0 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    87.5 mm
    Trigger threshold
    45.5 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules vinho-verde-catalog-v1-2026-10. Source last updated Oct 17, 2026, calculated Oct 18, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +66.1 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +40.4 to +91.8 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 15 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911518 GDD+74 GDD
19921315 GDD-130 GDD
19931217 GDD-228 GDD
19941278 GDD-166 GDD
19951602 GDD+158 GDD
19961358 GDD-86 GDD
19971477 GDD+33 GDD
19981413 GDD-31 GDD
19991383 GDD-61 GDD
20001304 GDD-140 GDD
20011411 GDD-34 GDD
20021291 GDD-153 GDD
20031540 GDD+96 GDD
20041458 GDD+14 GDD
20051527 GDD+82 GDD
20061620 GDD+176 GDD
20071344 GDD-101 GDD
20081212 GDD-233 GDD
20091404 GDD-40 GDD
20101597 GDD+153 GDD
20111639 GDD+195 GDD
20121272 GDD-172 GDD
20131539 GDD+95 GDD
20141416 GDD-28 GDD
20151517 GDD+73 GDD
20161512 GDD+68 GDD
20171626 GDD+182 GDD
20181555 GDD+111 GDD
20191379 GDD-65 GDD
20201603 GDD+159 GDD
20211392 GDD-52 GDD
20221654 GDD+210 GDD
20231649 GDD+205 GDD
20241538 GDD+94 GDD
20251680 GDD+236 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.35 °C per decade 95% interval +0.22 to +0.48
Growing degree days
+66.06 GDD per decade 95% interval +40.36 to +91.76
Growing-season precipitation
-47.43 mm per decade 95% interval -87.87 to -6.98
Hot days
+0.96 days per decade 95% interval -0.51 to +2.43
Spring frost days
-0.03 days per decade 95% interval -0.28 to +0.23
Longest dry spell
+2.78 days per decade 95% interval +0.88 to +4.69

Last Updated October 17, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+0.9°C+0.5 to +1.4°C25
2041-2060+1.5°C+0.9 to +2.2°C25
2061-2075+1.7°C+1.3 to +2.8°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

Regional average across 4 sampling locations.

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Nov 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Nov 3, 2026 at 08:24 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThu
High 17°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 18°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 15°C
Low 7°C 5°C 4°C 4°C 11°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 13°C 12°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 20.4 mm 10.8 mm 14.0 mm 48.6 mm 43.8 mm 29.1 mm 10.1 mm

Across the typical year: Early August has the warmest median afternoon high (25.7°C); Early January has the coolest (11.6°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (52%) and least frequent in Late July (14%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Vinho Verde Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. 0°C5°C10°C15°C20°C25°C30°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Vinho Verde The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Vinho Verde typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–1511.6°C (9.9–12.9°C)4.5°C (1.3–7.3°C)48%68.8 mm (29.7–181.5 mm)
Jan 16–3111.7°C (10.2–13.0°C)3.9°C (1.8–6.5°C)42%77.5 mm (15.3–110.6 mm)
Feb 1–1512.7°C (10.9–14.5°C)4.5°C (2.2–7.0°C)39%47.2 mm (21.4–97.4 mm)
Feb 16–2913.0°C (11.1–15.3°C)4.6°C (2.5–6.6°C)37%36.6 mm (13.6–66.5 mm)
Mar 1–1514.3°C (12.3–17.4°C)6.3°C (4.3–7.9°C)36%39.7 mm (26.9–79.5 mm)
Mar 16–3115.3°C (12.8–19.2°C)7.4°C (5.2–8.9°C)40%56.8 mm (20.1–103.8 mm)
Apr 1–1516.1°C (12.9–19.6°C)7.6°C (5.6–9.5°C)46%54.8 mm (32.1–98.9 mm)
Apr 16–3016.2°C (13.6–19.7°C)8.4°C (6.5–10.0°C)52%65.3 mm (35.2–100.5 mm)
May 1–1518.0°C (15.6–21.0°C)9.6°C (7.9–11.1°C)48%58.8 mm (33.8–89.1 mm)
May 16–3120.3°C (16.7–23.9°C)11.2°C (9.6–13.1°C)41%46.1 mm (25.4–77.4 mm)
Jun 1–1521.5°C (18.3–24.6°C)12.4°C (10.9–14.0°C)32%32.9 mm (12.8–45.8 mm)
Jun 16–3023.3°C (20.9–26.7°C)14.0°C (12.2–15.5°C)24%18.9 mm (8.5–29.2 mm)
Jul 1–1524.5°C (21.5–27.5°C)14.3°C (12.9–16.0°C)21%16.0 mm (4.3–23.3 mm)
Jul 16–3125.6°C (23.2–28.4°C)15.3°C (14.0–16.7°C)14%9.5 mm (4.5–23.3 mm)
Aug 1–1525.7°C (23.1–29.2°C)15.2°C (13.8–16.8°C)16%8.1 mm (1.9–18.8 mm)
Aug 16–3124.8°C (22.8–27.5°C)14.8°C (13.4–16.2°C)22%15.6 mm (5.2–38.4 mm)
Sep 1–1524.2°C (21.7–27.1°C)14.2°C (12.8–15.7°C)24%19.1 mm (2.1–46.4 mm)
Sep 16–3021.8°C (19.6–24.3°C)12.7°C (11.2–14.5°C)34%39.9 mm (10.5–83.8 mm)
Oct 1–1520.0°C (17.5–22.5°C)11.2°C (9.6–13.2°C)40%57.7 mm (35.1–98.9 mm)
Oct 16–3117.6°C (15.7–19.8°C)10.5°C (7.9–12.7°C)50%106.4 mm (68.6–183.3 mm)
Nov 1–1515.1°C (13.3–16.9°C)8.1°C (5.9–10.4°C)50%97.5 mm (53.7–167.5 mm)
Nov 16–3013.2°C (11.7–14.8°C)5.9°C (3.6–8.4°C)45%83.1 mm (35.3–137.4 mm)
Dec 1–1512.4°C (11.0–13.7°C)5.5°C (2.9–8.0°C)44%79.6 mm (40.0–127.7 mm)
Dec 16–3111.8°C (10.4–13.1°C)4.6°C (2.0–7.9°C)47%72.6 mm (25.9–151.6 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated October 17, 2026

Most recent season

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 1–Oct 15, 2026

Compare this season across regions →

Growing degree days1772.3base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall390.1 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1772 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAugSepOct
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 565 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAugSepOct
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-014.52.10.0 mm7.3 mm
2026-04-028.13.90.0 mm13.6 mm
2026-04-0312.15.90.0 mm19.8 mm
2026-04-0417.78.00.0 mm24.8 mm
2026-04-0523.310.50.0 mm28.2 mm
2026-04-0632.013.35.6 mm32.6 mm
2026-04-0735.016.218.2 mm35.1 mm
2026-04-0836.419.027.3 mm38.7 mm
2026-04-0942.621.827.6 mm44.0 mm
2026-04-1052.224.427.7 mm49.4 mm
2026-04-1153.626.927.7 mm52.9 mm
2026-04-1253.629.428.6 mm57.0 mm
2026-04-1353.632.330.7 mm60.5 mm
2026-04-1456.735.233.0 mm65.4 mm
2026-04-1559.638.033.4 mm70.5 mm
2026-04-1663.540.333.5 mm75.9 mm
2026-04-1766.842.833.5 mm80.8 mm
2026-04-1872.645.333.5 mm87.3 mm
2026-04-1978.647.833.6 mm94.1 mm
2026-04-2083.450.733.6 mm99.9 mm
2026-04-2191.053.538.0 mm105.0 mm
2026-04-2295.456.338.2 mm111.1 mm
2026-04-23100.559.238.6 mm116.2 mm
2026-04-24105.762.238.6 mm122.4 mm
2026-04-25111.365.338.7 mm129.0 mm
2026-04-26118.868.341.2 mm132.5 mm
2026-04-27126.871.342.7 mm135.1 mm
2026-04-28135.274.247.1 mm137.5 mm
2026-04-29140.377.167.5 mm141.9 mm
2026-04-30144.980.069.5 mm146.0 mm
2026-05-01149.283.069.8 mm150.0 mm
2026-05-02152.586.580.8 mm153.1 mm
2026-05-03155.790.791.3 mm155.8 mm
2026-05-04157.894.893.9 mm161.5 mm
2026-05-05159.298.896.0 mm166.1 mm
2026-05-06161.1102.696.5 mm168.9 mm
2026-05-07163.5106.697.8 mm173.0 mm
2026-05-08166.2110.6103.6 mm177.5 mm
2026-05-09169.3114.6121.6 mm181.5 mm
2026-05-10172.3118.5137.8 mm186.5 mm
2026-05-11176.3122.5151.3 mm191.2 mm
2026-05-12179.7126.7157.9 mm195.6 mm
2026-05-13183.3131.1159.0 mm200.5 mm
2026-05-14185.9135.4159.1 mm205.8 mm
2026-05-15189.0140.4160.1 mm208.7 mm
2026-05-16191.1146.0160.2 mm214.9 mm
2026-05-17194.0151.5160.5 mm220.3 mm
2026-05-18196.0156.4160.6 mm224.6 mm
2026-05-19201.1161.1164.2 mm229.3 mm
2026-05-20207.8166.1164.2 mm232.4 mm
2026-05-21217.5171.7164.2 mm235.1 mm
2026-05-22228.7177.5165.9 mm239.6 mm
2026-05-23239.6183.6171.0 mm244.9 mm
2026-05-24251.2189.7174.2 mm248.3 mm
2026-05-25261.8195.5175.8 mm252.1 mm
2026-05-26272.4201.6175.8 mm255.7 mm
2026-05-27285.8207.7176.1 mm259.8 mm
2026-05-28297.4214.4176.1 mm263.4 mm
2026-05-29307.7221.2176.1 mm267.2 mm
2026-05-30317.3228.0176.2 mm269.7 mm
2026-05-31326.7235.2176.2 mm271.9 mm
2026-06-01335.4242.5176.4 mm274.6 mm
2026-06-02342.3249.5176.8 mm276.3 mm
2026-06-03348.5256.3177.8 mm277.6 mm
2026-06-04353.6262.9179.0 mm279.1 mm
2026-06-05356.5269.3179.2 mm281.1 mm
2026-06-06364.0276.4179.8 mm285.5 mm
2026-06-07370.6283.3179.8 mm288.6 mm
2026-06-08377.1289.9179.8 mm291.5 mm
2026-06-09384.0296.0179.8 mm294.9 mm
2026-06-10391.3302.3179.8 mm297.7 mm
2026-06-11402.6309.2179.8 mm298.8 mm
2026-06-12418.1317.0179.8 mm300.0 mm
2026-06-13433.3325.3180.1 mm302.3 mm
2026-06-14445.3333.6181.8 mm305.0 mm
2026-06-15455.0342.0181.9 mm306.9 mm
2026-06-16465.2350.1182.1 mm309.3 mm
2026-06-17476.9358.5183.0 mm311.2 mm
2026-06-18487.7367.2183.0 mm312.3 mm
2026-06-19497.1376.4183.0 mm313.3 mm
2026-06-20508.5385.2183.0 mm314.3 mm
2026-06-21522.7394.3183.3 mm315.5 mm
2026-06-22536.8403.4184.0 mm316.6 mm
2026-06-23552.1412.3184.2 mm318.2 mm
2026-06-24564.7421.1191.1 mm319.0 mm
2026-06-25574.5430.2215.4 mm319.7 mm
2026-06-26585.2439.4219.3 mm320.7 mm
2026-06-27594.7448.3219.3 mm322.3 mm
2026-06-28604.8456.8219.4 mm324.4 mm
2026-06-29616.0466.0219.4 mm326.3 mm
2026-06-30628.6475.1219.4 mm328.4 mm
2026-07-01642.6483.6219.4 mm330.5 mm
2026-07-02658.8491.4219.4 mm332.1 mm
2026-07-03676.5499.6219.4 mm333.3 mm
2026-07-04694.4508.4219.4 mm334.5 mm
2026-07-05711.6517.2219.4 mm336.2 mm
2026-07-06725.1526.6219.4 mm337.7 mm
2026-07-07735.8536.3219.5 mm339.2 mm
2026-07-08747.1546.3219.5 mm340.3 mm
2026-07-09757.1556.6219.5 mm341.4 mm
2026-07-10767.5566.6219.5 mm342.0 mm
2026-07-11779.9576.5220.6 mm342.2 mm
2026-07-12789.7586.8222.0 mm342.4 mm
2026-07-13798.6597.3222.9 mm343.0 mm
2026-07-14808.4608.4223.1 mm344.4 mm
2026-07-15818.2619.3223.2 mm346.8 mm
2026-07-16827.7630.3223.4 mm347.9 mm
2026-07-17837.5641.4224.2 mm348.2 mm
2026-07-18848.3652.0224.3 mm348.7 mm
2026-07-19859.8662.5224.8 mm350.1 mm
2026-07-20871.8672.2225.4 mm350.6 mm
2026-07-21884.3681.9225.6 mm350.8 mm
2026-07-22895.7692.1225.6 mm353.4 mm
2026-07-23905.8702.6225.7 mm354.7 mm
2026-07-24915.4713.2230.3 mm355.7 mm
2026-07-25926.2723.6230.6 mm356.9 mm
2026-07-26936.5734.4230.6 mm357.7 mm
2026-07-27951.3745.2230.6 mm358.6 mm
2026-07-28965.1756.2230.6 mm359.7 mm
2026-07-29976.9767.3230.6 mm360.2 mm
2026-07-30986.8778.3230.7 mm361.0 mm
2026-07-31997.3788.9230.7 mm361.7 mm
2026-08-011008.9799.1230.7 mm362.3 mm
2026-08-021019.4809.6230.8 mm362.8 mm
2026-08-031029.9820.2232.5 mm363.3 mm
2026-08-041040.6830.9234.6 mm364.2 mm
2026-08-051052.0841.7234.6 mm364.8 mm
2026-08-061063.6852.9234.6 mm366.3 mm
2026-08-071074.9863.7234.6 mm368.0 mm
2026-08-081087.5874.4235.2 mm370.8 mm
2026-08-091098.9885.2235.4 mm373.5 mm
2026-08-101110.3896.1235.4 mm375.6 mm
2026-08-111122.7907.1235.4 mm376.8 mm
2026-08-121136.4918.1235.4 mm377.5 mm
2026-08-131149.6928.8235.4 mm377.7 mm
2026-08-141162.8939.5235.5 mm378.7 mm
2026-08-151176.8950.0236.2 mm379.8 mm
2026-08-161191.8960.1236.3 mm381.6 mm
2026-08-171208.8970.3236.3 mm384.2 mm
2026-08-181225.8980.3236.3 mm386.0 mm
2026-08-191238.8990.5236.4 mm387.0 mm
2026-08-201249.01001.0237.4 mm387.9 mm
2026-08-211257.61011.3237.4 mm388.7 mm
2026-08-221266.41021.5237.5 mm390.4 mm
2026-08-231276.51031.6246.0 mm391.5 mm
2026-08-241285.11041.4270.0 mm392.5 mm
2026-08-251294.71051.1276.8 mm393.5 mm
2026-08-261301.51060.8302.2 mm394.8 mm
2026-08-271306.61070.7336.3 mm397.1 mm
2026-08-281314.01080.4339.3 mm400.0 mm
2026-08-291321.91089.8339.7 mm401.8 mm
2026-08-301330.81099.7340.5 mm404.4 mm
2026-08-311338.71109.7340.5 mm405.1 mm
2026-09-011347.61119.8340.5 mm406.1 mm
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2026-09-031371.61140.1340.5 mm407.8 mm
2026-09-041384.11149.9340.5 mm408.8 mm
2026-09-051399.61159.5340.7 mm411.1 mm
2026-09-061411.41169.2340.7 mm413.5 mm
2026-09-071421.81178.5340.8 mm416.4 mm
2026-09-081430.21187.5349.6 mm418.6 mm
2026-09-091439.11196.4349.7 mm420.2 mm
2026-09-101446.61205.2349.7 mm422.0 mm
2026-09-111457.11214.3349.7 mm423.8 mm
2026-09-121470.21222.8349.7 mm424.8 mm
2026-09-131484.11231.4349.7 mm427.7 mm
2026-09-141496.81240.1349.7 mm429.3 mm
2026-09-151507.91248.7349.7 mm433.7 mm
2026-09-161517.11257.0349.7 mm437.4 mm
2026-09-171524.41264.7349.7 mm440.7 mm
2026-09-181532.91272.4349.7 mm444.4 mm
2026-09-191543.91280.1349.7 mm447.5 mm
2026-09-201557.71288.2349.7 mm450.5 mm
2026-09-211571.81295.5349.7 mm455.7 mm
2026-09-221585.61302.8349.7 mm459.9 mm
2026-09-231597.71310.0349.7 mm463.8 mm
2026-09-241607.91316.9349.7 mm466.5 mm
2026-09-251616.71323.3349.7 mm471.1 mm
2026-09-261625.71329.7349.7 mm473.6 mm
2026-09-271634.91336.6349.8 mm475.8 mm
2026-09-281643.51343.8352.2 mm480.9 mm
2026-09-291653.31351.1373.2 mm484.2 mm
2026-09-301659.51358.3376.9 mm488.7 mm
2026-10-011665.11365.0376.9 mm492.5 mm
2026-10-021672.81371.5377.1 mm496.8 mm
2026-10-031682.51377.4377.6 mm502.0 mm
2026-10-041691.61383.7377.9 mm507.2 mm
2026-10-051701.31389.7380.6 mm512.6 mm
2026-10-061708.21395.4389.3 mm516.5 mm
2026-10-071716.01401.4389.6 mm521.5 mm
2026-10-081722.21407.4389.6 mm526.5 mm
2026-10-091727.31413.0389.6 mm530.9 mm
2026-10-101733.51418.9389.6 mm536.4 mm
2026-10-111739.91424.6390.0 mm542.9 mm
2026-10-121747.01430.0390.0 mm548.8 mm
2026-10-131755.41434.9390.0 mm555.6 mm
2026-10-141764.11439.4390.0 mm560.5 mm
2026-10-151772.31444.1390.1 mm565.4 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Nov 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

Regional average across 4 sampling locations. Daily highs and lows are averages of the locations’ daily highs and lows.

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
26 GDDvs 19 GDD average
Total rainfall
176.8 mmvs 63.7 mm average

A notable amount of rain is forecast during the period. The 10-day total meets the 30 mm forecast threshold, with rain forecast Nov 6–12.

Tue11/3 17°Cavg 16°C 7°Cavg 10°C +1 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed11/4 15°Cavg 15°C 5°Cavg 9°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu11/5 15°Cavg 16°C 4°Cavg 9°C +0 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri11/6 15°Cavg 16°C 4°Cavg 8°C +0 GDD 20.4 mm
Sat11/7 17°Cavg 15°C 11°Cavg 8°C +3 GDD 10.8 mm
Sun11/8 18°Cavg 15°C 13°Cavg 7°C +5 GDD 14.0 mm
Mon11/9 17°Cavg 15°C 15°Cavg 8°C +5 GDD 48.6 mm
Tue11/10 16°Cavg 15°C 13°Cavg 8°C +4 GDD 43.8 mm
Wed11/11 15°Cavg 15°C 13°Cavg 7°C +4 GDD 29.1 mm
Thu11/12 15°Cavg 15°C 12°Cavg 7°C +3 GDD 10.1 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed November 2, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Vinho Verde model uses a April 1–October 15 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.

The historical series uses 4 ERA5 locations, 1 temperature station, and 1 rain station. Interpretation confidence: high. Rules: vinho-verde-catalog-v1-2026-10.