Portugal · Multi-region weather view
Vinho Verde
Sign in to followAtlantic-influenced vineyards from Monção and the Lima valley through Braga to Amarante, known especially for Alvarinho and Loureiro.
Rain and humidity are persistent influences. Inland valleys and northern sites differ from the coast, while spring frost and harvest rain remain useful regional signals.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Oct 17, 2026.
Current conditions
Model estimate valid Nov 3, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Regional model estimate averaged across the configured sampling locations.
Temperature7.5°C
Dew Point1.9°C
Relative Humidity68%
24h RainfallUnavailable
Vintage explorer
Compare this vintage · View 2024 across regions →
Mean temperature17.8°C
Temperature anomaly+0.5°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1538base 10°C
Hot days7≥ 32°C
What stood out in 2024
Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure. Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.
Wetter than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 130 mm above the 1991–2020 baseline.
Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure.
More harvest rain than usual · High confidence
Harvest-window precipitation totaled 323 mm, +136 mm versus baseline.
Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.
How unusual was 2024?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
12th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 23 of 34 other vintages 17.8°CGrowing-season rainfall
8th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 27 of 34 other vintages 695.3 mmHeat accumulation
13th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 22 of 34 other vintages 1538 GDDHot days
12th most of 35 vintages More than 23 of 34 other vintages 7 days2024 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
Frost watch
Growing season
Harvest window
-
1–31 Frost watchHeat accumulation
2024 0 GDDTypical 52 GDDRainfall
2024 275.6 mmTypical 148.8 mm- 2024 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.5
Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 127 GDDTypical 80 GDDRainfall
2024 118.1 mmTypical 146.0 mm- 2024 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 136 GDDTypical 155 GDDRainfall
2024 142.4 mmTypical 125.9 mm- 2024 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 244 GDDTypical 240 GDDRainfall
2024 79.5 mmTypical 56.5 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 335 GDDTypical 314 GDDRainfall
2024 31.5 mmTypical 33.4 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2024 360 GDDTypical 321 GDDRainfall
2024 2.7 mmTypical 43.4 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2024 226 GDDTypical 249 GDDRainfall
2024 106.2 mmTypical 83.6 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–15 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2024 111 GDDTypical 86 GDDRainfall
2024 214.9 mmTypical 76.7 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2024 GDD | Typical GDD | 2024 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2024 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2024 | 0 GDD | 52 GDD | 275.6 mm | 148.8 mm | 0 | 0.5 |
| April 2024 | 127 GDD | 80 GDD | 118.1 mm | 146.0 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| May 2024 | 136 GDD | 155 GDD | 142.4 mm | 125.9 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| June 2024 | 244 GDD | 240 GDD | 79.5 mm | 56.5 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2024 | 335 GDD | 314 GDD | 31.5 mm | 33.4 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2024 | 360 GDD | 321 GDD | 2.7 mm | 43.4 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2024 | 226 GDD | 249 GDD | 106.2 mm | 83.6 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2024 | 111 GDD | 86 GDD | 214.9 mm | 76.7 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
Replay the 2024 growing season
198 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
Mean temperature
Daily rainfall
Season GDD
Season rainfall
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Oct 17, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2015
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing-season mean temperature
- cooler: 0.1°C
Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days
View 2015 →Second closest
2003
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing degree days
- higher: 1 GDD
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain
View 2003 →Third closest
1998
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Hot-day count.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Hot-day count
- more hot days: 1 day
Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — cooler
View 1998 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2015 0.629; 2003 0.648; 1998 0.756.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | +0.4°C | -208 mm | 14 |
| 1992 | -0.6°C | -35 mm | 4 |
| 1993 | -1.2°C | +559 mm | 3 |
| 1994 | -0.9°C | +104 mm | 0 |
| 1995 | +0.7°C | -103 mm | 5 |
| 1996 | -0.4°C | -138 mm | 3 |
| 1997 | +0.2°C | +154 mm | 3 |
| 1998 | -0.2°C | +192 mm | 8 |
| 1999 | -0.3°C | +180 mm | 2 |
| 2000 | -0.8°C | +242 mm | 1 |
| 2001 | -0.2°C | -38 mm | 1 |
| 2002 | -0.8°C | -87 mm | 0 |
| 2003 | +0.5°C | +28 mm | 10 |
| 2004 | +0.1°C | -37 mm | 1 |
| 2005 | +0.4°C | -164 mm | 9 |
| 2006 | +0.9°C | -93 mm | 12 |
| 2007 | -0.5°C | -77 mm | 1 |
| 2008 | -1.1°C | +171 mm | 0 |
| 2009 | -0.2°C | -69 mm | 0 |
| 2010 | +0.8°C | -106 mm | 8 |
| 2011 | +1.1°C | -291 mm | 4 |
| 2012 | -0.9°C | +78 mm | 2 |
| 2013 | +0.5°C | -98 mm | 11 |
| 2014 | -0.1°C | +160 mm | 0 |
| 2015 | +0.4°C | +70 mm | 0 |
| 2016 | +0.3°C | +72 mm | 11 |
| 2017 | +1.0°C | -289 mm | 6 |
| 2018 | +0.5°C | -69 mm | 6 |
| 2019 | -0.3°C | -15 mm | 0 |
| 2020 | +0.9°C | -91 mm | 9 |
| 2021 | -0.2°C | -58 mm | 3 |
| 2022 | +1.1°C | -169 mm | 9 |
| 2023 | +1.1°C | -107 mm | 5 |
| 2024 | +0.5°C | +130 mm | 7 |
| 2025 | +1.2°C | -122 mm | 17 |
winter
9.9°C
+1.5°C vs baseline
605 mm rain · +86 mm
spring
13.1°C
+0.3°C vs baseline
536 mm rain · +115 mm
summer
20.2°C
+0.7°C vs baseline
113 mm rain · -20 mm
harvest
18.5°C
+0.4°C vs baseline
322 mm rain · +136 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 16 days
- Total rain
- 0.5 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 34.0°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 31 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 38 days
- Total rain
- 3.6 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 33.0°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 31 GDD
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 89.9 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 87.9 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 45.5 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 174.9 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 98.8 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 45.5 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules vinho-verde-catalog-v1-2026-10. Source last updated Oct 17, 2026, calculated Oct 18, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +66.1 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +40.4 to +91.8 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 15 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1518 GDD | +74 GDD |
| 1992 | 1315 GDD | -130 GDD |
| 1993 | 1217 GDD | -228 GDD |
| 1994 | 1278 GDD | -166 GDD |
| 1995 | 1602 GDD | +158 GDD |
| 1996 | 1358 GDD | -86 GDD |
| 1997 | 1477 GDD | +33 GDD |
| 1998 | 1413 GDD | -31 GDD |
| 1999 | 1383 GDD | -61 GDD |
| 2000 | 1304 GDD | -140 GDD |
| 2001 | 1411 GDD | -34 GDD |
| 2002 | 1291 GDD | -153 GDD |
| 2003 | 1540 GDD | +96 GDD |
| 2004 | 1458 GDD | +14 GDD |
| 2005 | 1527 GDD | +82 GDD |
| 2006 | 1620 GDD | +176 GDD |
| 2007 | 1344 GDD | -101 GDD |
| 2008 | 1212 GDD | -233 GDD |
| 2009 | 1404 GDD | -40 GDD |
| 2010 | 1597 GDD | +153 GDD |
| 2011 | 1639 GDD | +195 GDD |
| 2012 | 1272 GDD | -172 GDD |
| 2013 | 1539 GDD | +95 GDD |
| 2014 | 1416 GDD | -28 GDD |
| 2015 | 1517 GDD | +73 GDD |
| 2016 | 1512 GDD | +68 GDD |
| 2017 | 1626 GDD | +182 GDD |
| 2018 | 1555 GDD | +111 GDD |
| 2019 | 1379 GDD | -65 GDD |
| 2020 | 1603 GDD | +159 GDD |
| 2021 | 1392 GDD | -52 GDD |
| 2022 | 1654 GDD | +210 GDD |
| 2023 | 1649 GDD | +205 GDD |
| 2024 | 1538 GDD | +94 GDD |
| 2025 | 1680 GDD | +236 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.35 °C per decade 95% interval +0.22 to +0.48
- Growing degree days
- +66.06 GDD per decade 95% interval +40.36 to +91.76
- Growing-season precipitation
- -47.43 mm per decade 95% interval -87.87 to -6.98
- Hot days
- +0.96 days per decade 95% interval -0.51 to +2.43
- Spring frost days
- -0.03 days per decade 95% interval -0.28 to +0.23
- Longest dry spell
- +2.78 days per decade 95% interval +0.88 to +4.69
Last Updated October 17, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +0.9°C | +0.5 to +1.4°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.5°C | +0.9 to +2.2°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.7°C | +1.3 to +2.8°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Regional average across 4 sampling locations.
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 17°C | 15°C | 15°C | 15°C | 17°C | 18°C | 17°C | 16°C | 15°C | 15°C |
| Low | 7°C | 5°C | 4°C | 4°C | 11°C | 13°C | 15°C | 13°C | 13°C | 12°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 20.4 mm | 10.8 mm | 14.0 mm | 48.6 mm | 43.8 mm | 29.1 mm | 10.1 mm |
Across the typical year: Early August has the warmest median afternoon high (25.7°C); Early January has the coolest (11.6°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (52%) and least frequent in Late July (14%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 11.6°C (9.9–12.9°C) | 4.5°C (1.3–7.3°C) | 48% | 68.8 mm (29.7–181.5 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 11.7°C (10.2–13.0°C) | 3.9°C (1.8–6.5°C) | 42% | 77.5 mm (15.3–110.6 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 12.7°C (10.9–14.5°C) | 4.5°C (2.2–7.0°C) | 39% | 47.2 mm (21.4–97.4 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 13.0°C (11.1–15.3°C) | 4.6°C (2.5–6.6°C) | 37% | 36.6 mm (13.6–66.5 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 14.3°C (12.3–17.4°C) | 6.3°C (4.3–7.9°C) | 36% | 39.7 mm (26.9–79.5 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 15.3°C (12.8–19.2°C) | 7.4°C (5.2–8.9°C) | 40% | 56.8 mm (20.1–103.8 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 16.1°C (12.9–19.6°C) | 7.6°C (5.6–9.5°C) | 46% | 54.8 mm (32.1–98.9 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 16.2°C (13.6–19.7°C) | 8.4°C (6.5–10.0°C) | 52% | 65.3 mm (35.2–100.5 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 18.0°C (15.6–21.0°C) | 9.6°C (7.9–11.1°C) | 48% | 58.8 mm (33.8–89.1 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 20.3°C (16.7–23.9°C) | 11.2°C (9.6–13.1°C) | 41% | 46.1 mm (25.4–77.4 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 21.5°C (18.3–24.6°C) | 12.4°C (10.9–14.0°C) | 32% | 32.9 mm (12.8–45.8 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 23.3°C (20.9–26.7°C) | 14.0°C (12.2–15.5°C) | 24% | 18.9 mm (8.5–29.2 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 24.5°C (21.5–27.5°C) | 14.3°C (12.9–16.0°C) | 21% | 16.0 mm (4.3–23.3 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 25.6°C (23.2–28.4°C) | 15.3°C (14.0–16.7°C) | 14% | 9.5 mm (4.5–23.3 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 25.7°C (23.1–29.2°C) | 15.2°C (13.8–16.8°C) | 16% | 8.1 mm (1.9–18.8 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 24.8°C (22.8–27.5°C) | 14.8°C (13.4–16.2°C) | 22% | 15.6 mm (5.2–38.4 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 24.2°C (21.7–27.1°C) | 14.2°C (12.8–15.7°C) | 24% | 19.1 mm (2.1–46.4 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 21.8°C (19.6–24.3°C) | 12.7°C (11.2–14.5°C) | 34% | 39.9 mm (10.5–83.8 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 20.0°C (17.5–22.5°C) | 11.2°C (9.6–13.2°C) | 40% | 57.7 mm (35.1–98.9 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 17.6°C (15.7–19.8°C) | 10.5°C (7.9–12.7°C) | 50% | 106.4 mm (68.6–183.3 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 15.1°C (13.3–16.9°C) | 8.1°C (5.9–10.4°C) | 50% | 97.5 mm (53.7–167.5 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 13.2°C (11.7–14.8°C) | 5.9°C (3.6–8.4°C) | 45% | 83.1 mm (35.3–137.4 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 12.4°C (11.0–13.7°C) | 5.5°C (2.9–8.0°C) | 44% | 79.6 mm (40.0–127.7 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 11.8°C (10.4–13.1°C) | 4.6°C (2.0–7.9°C) | 47% | 72.6 mm (25.9–151.6 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated October 17, 2026
Most recent season
Growing season heat and rainfall
Apr 1–Oct 15, 2026
Growing degree days1772.3base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall390.1 mmweighted regional total
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 mm | 7.3 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 0.0 mm | 13.6 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 12.1 | 5.9 | 0.0 mm | 19.8 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 17.7 | 8.0 | 0.0 mm | 24.8 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 23.3 | 10.5 | 0.0 mm | 28.2 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 32.0 | 13.3 | 5.6 mm | 32.6 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 35.0 | 16.2 | 18.2 mm | 35.1 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 36.4 | 19.0 | 27.3 mm | 38.7 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 42.6 | 21.8 | 27.6 mm | 44.0 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 52.2 | 24.4 | 27.7 mm | 49.4 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 53.6 | 26.9 | 27.7 mm | 52.9 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 53.6 | 29.4 | 28.6 mm | 57.0 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 53.6 | 32.3 | 30.7 mm | 60.5 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 56.7 | 35.2 | 33.0 mm | 65.4 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 59.6 | 38.0 | 33.4 mm | 70.5 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 63.5 | 40.3 | 33.5 mm | 75.9 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 66.8 | 42.8 | 33.5 mm | 80.8 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 72.6 | 45.3 | 33.5 mm | 87.3 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 78.6 | 47.8 | 33.6 mm | 94.1 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 83.4 | 50.7 | 33.6 mm | 99.9 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 91.0 | 53.5 | 38.0 mm | 105.0 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 95.4 | 56.3 | 38.2 mm | 111.1 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 100.5 | 59.2 | 38.6 mm | 116.2 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 105.7 | 62.2 | 38.6 mm | 122.4 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 111.3 | 65.3 | 38.7 mm | 129.0 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 118.8 | 68.3 | 41.2 mm | 132.5 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 126.8 | 71.3 | 42.7 mm | 135.1 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 135.2 | 74.2 | 47.1 mm | 137.5 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 140.3 | 77.1 | 67.5 mm | 141.9 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 144.9 | 80.0 | 69.5 mm | 146.0 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 149.2 | 83.0 | 69.8 mm | 150.0 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 152.5 | 86.5 | 80.8 mm | 153.1 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 155.7 | 90.7 | 91.3 mm | 155.8 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 157.8 | 94.8 | 93.9 mm | 161.5 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 159.2 | 98.8 | 96.0 mm | 166.1 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 161.1 | 102.6 | 96.5 mm | 168.9 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 163.5 | 106.6 | 97.8 mm | 173.0 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 166.2 | 110.6 | 103.6 mm | 177.5 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 169.3 | 114.6 | 121.6 mm | 181.5 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 172.3 | 118.5 | 137.8 mm | 186.5 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 176.3 | 122.5 | 151.3 mm | 191.2 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 179.7 | 126.7 | 157.9 mm | 195.6 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 183.3 | 131.1 | 159.0 mm | 200.5 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 185.9 | 135.4 | 159.1 mm | 205.8 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 189.0 | 140.4 | 160.1 mm | 208.7 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 191.1 | 146.0 | 160.2 mm | 214.9 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 194.0 | 151.5 | 160.5 mm | 220.3 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 196.0 | 156.4 | 160.6 mm | 224.6 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 201.1 | 161.1 | 164.2 mm | 229.3 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 207.8 | 166.1 | 164.2 mm | 232.4 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 217.5 | 171.7 | 164.2 mm | 235.1 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 228.7 | 177.5 | 165.9 mm | 239.6 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 239.6 | 183.6 | 171.0 mm | 244.9 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 251.2 | 189.7 | 174.2 mm | 248.3 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 261.8 | 195.5 | 175.8 mm | 252.1 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 272.4 | 201.6 | 175.8 mm | 255.7 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 285.8 | 207.7 | 176.1 mm | 259.8 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 297.4 | 214.4 | 176.1 mm | 263.4 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 307.7 | 221.2 | 176.1 mm | 267.2 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 317.3 | 228.0 | 176.2 mm | 269.7 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 326.7 | 235.2 | 176.2 mm | 271.9 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 335.4 | 242.5 | 176.4 mm | 274.6 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 342.3 | 249.5 | 176.8 mm | 276.3 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 348.5 | 256.3 | 177.8 mm | 277.6 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 353.6 | 262.9 | 179.0 mm | 279.1 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 356.5 | 269.3 | 179.2 mm | 281.1 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 364.0 | 276.4 | 179.8 mm | 285.5 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 370.6 | 283.3 | 179.8 mm | 288.6 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 377.1 | 289.9 | 179.8 mm | 291.5 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 384.0 | 296.0 | 179.8 mm | 294.9 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 391.3 | 302.3 | 179.8 mm | 297.7 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 402.6 | 309.2 | 179.8 mm | 298.8 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 418.1 | 317.0 | 179.8 mm | 300.0 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 433.3 | 325.3 | 180.1 mm | 302.3 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 445.3 | 333.6 | 181.8 mm | 305.0 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 455.0 | 342.0 | 181.9 mm | 306.9 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 465.2 | 350.1 | 182.1 mm | 309.3 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 476.9 | 358.5 | 183.0 mm | 311.2 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 487.7 | 367.2 | 183.0 mm | 312.3 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 497.1 | 376.4 | 183.0 mm | 313.3 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 508.5 | 385.2 | 183.0 mm | 314.3 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 522.7 | 394.3 | 183.3 mm | 315.5 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 536.8 | 403.4 | 184.0 mm | 316.6 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 552.1 | 412.3 | 184.2 mm | 318.2 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 564.7 | 421.1 | 191.1 mm | 319.0 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 574.5 | 430.2 | 215.4 mm | 319.7 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 585.2 | 439.4 | 219.3 mm | 320.7 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 594.7 | 448.3 | 219.3 mm | 322.3 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 604.8 | 456.8 | 219.4 mm | 324.4 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 616.0 | 466.0 | 219.4 mm | 326.3 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 628.6 | 475.1 | 219.4 mm | 328.4 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 642.6 | 483.6 | 219.4 mm | 330.5 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 658.8 | 491.4 | 219.4 mm | 332.1 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 676.5 | 499.6 | 219.4 mm | 333.3 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 694.4 | 508.4 | 219.4 mm | 334.5 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 711.6 | 517.2 | 219.4 mm | 336.2 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 725.1 | 526.6 | 219.4 mm | 337.7 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 735.8 | 536.3 | 219.5 mm | 339.2 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 747.1 | 546.3 | 219.5 mm | 340.3 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 757.1 | 556.6 | 219.5 mm | 341.4 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 767.5 | 566.6 | 219.5 mm | 342.0 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 779.9 | 576.5 | 220.6 mm | 342.2 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 789.7 | 586.8 | 222.0 mm | 342.4 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 798.6 | 597.3 | 222.9 mm | 343.0 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 808.4 | 608.4 | 223.1 mm | 344.4 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 818.2 | 619.3 | 223.2 mm | 346.8 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 827.7 | 630.3 | 223.4 mm | 347.9 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 837.5 | 641.4 | 224.2 mm | 348.2 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 848.3 | 652.0 | 224.3 mm | 348.7 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 859.8 | 662.5 | 224.8 mm | 350.1 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 871.8 | 672.2 | 225.4 mm | 350.6 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 884.3 | 681.9 | 225.6 mm | 350.8 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 895.7 | 692.1 | 225.6 mm | 353.4 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 905.8 | 702.6 | 225.7 mm | 354.7 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 915.4 | 713.2 | 230.3 mm | 355.7 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 926.2 | 723.6 | 230.6 mm | 356.9 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 936.5 | 734.4 | 230.6 mm | 357.7 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 951.3 | 745.2 | 230.6 mm | 358.6 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 965.1 | 756.2 | 230.6 mm | 359.7 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 976.9 | 767.3 | 230.6 mm | 360.2 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 986.8 | 778.3 | 230.7 mm | 361.0 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 997.3 | 788.9 | 230.7 mm | 361.7 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1008.9 | 799.1 | 230.7 mm | 362.3 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1019.4 | 809.6 | 230.8 mm | 362.8 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1029.9 | 820.2 | 232.5 mm | 363.3 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1040.6 | 830.9 | 234.6 mm | 364.2 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1052.0 | 841.7 | 234.6 mm | 364.8 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1063.6 | 852.9 | 234.6 mm | 366.3 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1074.9 | 863.7 | 234.6 mm | 368.0 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1087.5 | 874.4 | 235.2 mm | 370.8 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1098.9 | 885.2 | 235.4 mm | 373.5 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1110.3 | 896.1 | 235.4 mm | 375.6 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1122.7 | 907.1 | 235.4 mm | 376.8 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1136.4 | 918.1 | 235.4 mm | 377.5 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1149.6 | 928.8 | 235.4 mm | 377.7 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1162.8 | 939.5 | 235.5 mm | 378.7 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1176.8 | 950.0 | 236.2 mm | 379.8 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1191.8 | 960.1 | 236.3 mm | 381.6 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1208.8 | 970.3 | 236.3 mm | 384.2 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1225.8 | 980.3 | 236.3 mm | 386.0 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1238.8 | 990.5 | 236.4 mm | 387.0 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1249.0 | 1001.0 | 237.4 mm | 387.9 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1257.6 | 1011.3 | 237.4 mm | 388.7 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1266.4 | 1021.5 | 237.5 mm | 390.4 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1276.5 | 1031.6 | 246.0 mm | 391.5 mm |
| 2026-08-24 | 1285.1 | 1041.4 | 270.0 mm | 392.5 mm |
| 2026-08-25 | 1294.7 | 1051.1 | 276.8 mm | 393.5 mm |
| 2026-08-26 | 1301.5 | 1060.8 | 302.2 mm | 394.8 mm |
| 2026-08-27 | 1306.6 | 1070.7 | 336.3 mm | 397.1 mm |
| 2026-08-28 | 1314.0 | 1080.4 | 339.3 mm | 400.0 mm |
| 2026-08-29 | 1321.9 | 1089.8 | 339.7 mm | 401.8 mm |
| 2026-08-30 | 1330.8 | 1099.7 | 340.5 mm | 404.4 mm |
| 2026-08-31 | 1338.7 | 1109.7 | 340.5 mm | 405.1 mm |
| 2026-09-01 | 1347.6 | 1119.8 | 340.5 mm | 406.1 mm |
| 2026-09-02 | 1358.5 | 1130.1 | 340.5 mm | 406.8 mm |
| 2026-09-03 | 1371.6 | 1140.1 | 340.5 mm | 407.8 mm |
| 2026-09-04 | 1384.1 | 1149.9 | 340.5 mm | 408.8 mm |
| 2026-09-05 | 1399.6 | 1159.5 | 340.7 mm | 411.1 mm |
| 2026-09-06 | 1411.4 | 1169.2 | 340.7 mm | 413.5 mm |
| 2026-09-07 | 1421.8 | 1178.5 | 340.8 mm | 416.4 mm |
| 2026-09-08 | 1430.2 | 1187.5 | 349.6 mm | 418.6 mm |
| 2026-09-09 | 1439.1 | 1196.4 | 349.7 mm | 420.2 mm |
| 2026-09-10 | 1446.6 | 1205.2 | 349.7 mm | 422.0 mm |
| 2026-09-11 | 1457.1 | 1214.3 | 349.7 mm | 423.8 mm |
| 2026-09-12 | 1470.2 | 1222.8 | 349.7 mm | 424.8 mm |
| 2026-09-13 | 1484.1 | 1231.4 | 349.7 mm | 427.7 mm |
| 2026-09-14 | 1496.8 | 1240.1 | 349.7 mm | 429.3 mm |
| 2026-09-15 | 1507.9 | 1248.7 | 349.7 mm | 433.7 mm |
| 2026-09-16 | 1517.1 | 1257.0 | 349.7 mm | 437.4 mm |
| 2026-09-17 | 1524.4 | 1264.7 | 349.7 mm | 440.7 mm |
| 2026-09-18 | 1532.9 | 1272.4 | 349.7 mm | 444.4 mm |
| 2026-09-19 | 1543.9 | 1280.1 | 349.7 mm | 447.5 mm |
| 2026-09-20 | 1557.7 | 1288.2 | 349.7 mm | 450.5 mm |
| 2026-09-21 | 1571.8 | 1295.5 | 349.7 mm | 455.7 mm |
| 2026-09-22 | 1585.6 | 1302.8 | 349.7 mm | 459.9 mm |
| 2026-09-23 | 1597.7 | 1310.0 | 349.7 mm | 463.8 mm |
| 2026-09-24 | 1607.9 | 1316.9 | 349.7 mm | 466.5 mm |
| 2026-09-25 | 1616.7 | 1323.3 | 349.7 mm | 471.1 mm |
| 2026-09-26 | 1625.7 | 1329.7 | 349.7 mm | 473.6 mm |
| 2026-09-27 | 1634.9 | 1336.6 | 349.8 mm | 475.8 mm |
| 2026-09-28 | 1643.5 | 1343.8 | 352.2 mm | 480.9 mm |
| 2026-09-29 | 1653.3 | 1351.1 | 373.2 mm | 484.2 mm |
| 2026-09-30 | 1659.5 | 1358.3 | 376.9 mm | 488.7 mm |
| 2026-10-01 | 1665.1 | 1365.0 | 376.9 mm | 492.5 mm |
| 2026-10-02 | 1672.8 | 1371.5 | 377.1 mm | 496.8 mm |
| 2026-10-03 | 1682.5 | 1377.4 | 377.6 mm | 502.0 mm |
| 2026-10-04 | 1691.6 | 1383.7 | 377.9 mm | 507.2 mm |
| 2026-10-05 | 1701.3 | 1389.7 | 380.6 mm | 512.6 mm |
| 2026-10-06 | 1708.2 | 1395.4 | 389.3 mm | 516.5 mm |
| 2026-10-07 | 1716.0 | 1401.4 | 389.6 mm | 521.5 mm |
| 2026-10-08 | 1722.2 | 1407.4 | 389.6 mm | 526.5 mm |
| 2026-10-09 | 1727.3 | 1413.0 | 389.6 mm | 530.9 mm |
| 2026-10-10 | 1733.5 | 1418.9 | 389.6 mm | 536.4 mm |
| 2026-10-11 | 1739.9 | 1424.6 | 390.0 mm | 542.9 mm |
| 2026-10-12 | 1747.0 | 1430.0 | 390.0 mm | 548.8 mm |
| 2026-10-13 | 1755.4 | 1434.9 | 390.0 mm | 555.6 mm |
| 2026-10-14 | 1764.1 | 1439.4 | 390.0 mm | 560.5 mm |
| 2026-10-15 | 1772.3 | 1444.1 | 390.1 mm | 565.4 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Nov 3, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
Regional average across 4 sampling locations. Daily highs and lows are averages of the locations’ daily highs and lows.
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 26 GDDvs 19 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 176.8 mmvs 63.7 mm average
A notable amount of rain is forecast during the period. The 10-day total meets the 30 mm forecast threshold, with rain forecast Nov 6–12.
Tue11/3
17°Cavg 16°C
7°Cavg 10°C
+1 GDD
0.0 mm
Wed11/4
15°Cavg 15°C
5°Cavg 9°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Thu11/5
15°Cavg 16°C
4°Cavg 9°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Fri11/6
15°Cavg 16°C
4°Cavg 8°C
+0 GDD
20.4 mm
Sat11/7
17°Cavg 15°C
11°Cavg 8°C
+3 GDD
10.8 mm
Sun11/8
18°Cavg 15°C
13°Cavg 7°C
+5 GDD
14.0 mm
Mon11/9
17°Cavg 15°C
15°Cavg 8°C
+5 GDD
48.6 mm
Tue11/10
16°Cavg 15°C
13°Cavg 8°C
+4 GDD
43.8 mm
Wed11/11
15°Cavg 15°C
13°Cavg 7°C
+4 GDD
29.1 mm
Thu11/12
15°Cavg 15°C
12°Cavg 7°C
+3 GDD
10.1 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed November 2, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Vinho Verde model uses a April 1–October 15 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.
- CVRVV: subregional geography, climate and Loureiro characteristics
- CVRVV: cultivar differences in ripening and harvest selection; does not establish a fixed harvest date
- Monverde: one Vinho Verde producer documents September–early October harvest activity; context rather than a regional normal
The historical series uses 4 ERA5 locations, 1 temperature station, and 1 rain station. Interpretation confidence: high. Rules: vinho-verde-catalog-v1-2026-10.