Australia · Multi-region weather view
Adelaide Hills
Sign in to followElevated vineyards immediately east of Adelaide.
Altitude makes the hills cooler and wetter than the plains below, with frost and heat spikes both possible.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Temperature17.0°C
Dew Point8.3°C
Relative Humidity56%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29
Vintage explorer
Mean temperature18.7°C
Temperature anomaly+0.6°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2116base 10°C
Hot days28≥ 35°C
What stood out in 2007
Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
More hot days than usual · High confidence
There were 28 days at or above 35°C—+12 days versus baseline.
Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.
Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 70 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
How unusual was 2007?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
9th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 26 of 34 other vintages 18.7°CGrowing-season rainfall
6th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 29 of 34 other vintages 212.6 mmHeat accumulation
8th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 27 of 34 other vintages 2116 GDDHot days
2nd most of 35 vintages More than 33 of 34 other vintages 28 days2007 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
Frost watch
Growing season
Harvest window
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2007 119 GDDTypical 92 GDDRainfall
2007 39.0 mmTypical 66.1 mm- 2007 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2007 176 GDDTypical 166 GDDRainfall
2007 31.7 mmTypical 43.1 mm- 2007 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2007 280 GDDTypical 240 GDDRainfall
2007 33.7 mmTypical 32.8 mm- 2007 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2007 330 GDDTypical 305 GDDRainfall
2007 34.1 mmTypical 33.2 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2007 374 GDDTypical 365 GDDRainfall
2007 11.5 mmTypical 21.9 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–29 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2007 289 GDDTypical 328 GDDRainfall
2007 6.6 mmTypical 23.1 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2007 377 GDDTypical 288 GDDRainfall
2007 13.7 mmTypical 24.5 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2007 171 GDDTypical 189 GDDRainfall
2007 42.2 mmTypical 38.2 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2007 GDD | Typical GDD | 2007 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2007 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2007 | 119 GDD | 92 GDD | 39.0 mm | 66.1 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| October 2007 | 176 GDD | 166 GDD | 31.7 mm | 43.1 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| November 2007 | 280 GDD | 240 GDD | 33.7 mm | 32.8 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| December 2007 | 330 GDD | 305 GDD | 34.1 mm | 33.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| January 2008 | 374 GDD | 365 GDD | 11.5 mm | 21.9 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| February 2008 | 289 GDD | 328 GDD | 6.6 mm | 23.1 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| March 2008 | 377 GDD | 288 GDD | 13.7 mm | 24.5 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| April 2008 | 171 GDD | 189 GDD | 42.2 mm | 38.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2007 growing season
243 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
Mean temperature
Daily rainfall
Season GDD
Season rainfall
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2000
Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing degree days.
- Hot-day count
- fewer hot days: 1 day
- Growing degree days
- higher: 30 GDD
Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — more rain
View 2000 →Second closest
2018
Most alike in Growing degree days and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Growing degree days
- higher: 38 GDD
- Growing-season mean temperature
- warmer: 0.2°C
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain
View 2018 →Third closest
2012
Most alike in Growing degree days and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Growing degree days
- lower: 1 GDD
- Growing-season mean temperature
- warmer: 0.0°C
Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days
View 2012 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%). Measures omitted because they did not vary: Spring frost exposure.
Calculated distances: 2000 0.417; 2018 0.593; 2012 0.602.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.6°C | +8 mm | 7 |
| 1992 | -0.9°C | +258 mm | 9 |
| 1993 | -0.8°C | +17 mm | 5 |
| 1994 | -0.6°C | -27 mm | 14 |
| 1995 | -1.0°C | -61 mm | 6 |
| 1996 | -0.5°C | -51 mm | 17 |
| 1997 | -0.6°C | +64 mm | 12 |
| 1998 | -0.2°C | -40 mm | 17 |
| 1999 | +0.2°C | +107 mm | 20 |
| 2000 | +0.7°C | -16 mm | 27 |
| 2001 | -1.2°C | +23 mm | 5 |
| 2002 | -0.2°C | -34 mm | 22 |
| 2003 | -0.4°C | -58 mm | 15 |
| 2004 | -0.2°C | -37 mm | 17 |
| 2005 | -0.0°C | +139 mm | 16 |
| 2006 | +0.9°C | -33 mm | 21 |
| 2007 | +0.6°C | -70 mm | 28 |
| 2008 | +0.2°C | -90 mm | 14 |
| 2009 | +1.0°C | +17 mm | 29 |
| 2010 | -0.6°C | +145 mm | 8 |
| 2011 | +0.3°C | +5 mm | 12 |
| 2012 | +0.6°C | -110 mm | 19 |
| 2013 | +0.4°C | +9 mm | 20 |
| 2014 | +0.2°C | -65 mm | 15 |
| 2015 | +1.3°C | -97 mm | 25 |
| 2016 | -0.1°C | +226 mm | 15 |
| 2017 | +1.3°C | -64 mm | 26 |
| 2018 | +0.8°C | -119 mm | 24 |
| 2019 | -0.1°C | -26 mm | 17 |
| 2020 | -0.1°C | -21 mm | 13 |
| 2021 | -0.1°C | -41 mm | 5 |
| 2022 | -0.7°C | +118 mm | 14 |
| 2023 | -0.1°C | -30 mm | 12 |
| 2024 | +1.3°C | -151 mm | 19 |
| 2025 | +0.2°C | +1 mm | 15 |
| 2026 | +0.0°C | +0 mm | 0 |
winter
10.6°C
-0.2°C vs baseline
171 mm rain · -66 mm
spring
16.3°C
+0.9°C vs baseline
104 mm rain · -38 mm
summer
20.9°C
-0.1°C vs baseline
52 mm rain · -26 mm
harvest
19.3°C
+0.3°C vs baseline
62 mm rain · -23 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 16 days
- Total rain
- 0.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 23 days
- Total rain
- 1.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 26 days
- Total rain
- 1.4 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 41.6°C
- Duration
- 5 days
- Heat accumulation
- 89 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 39.1°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 35 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 37.4°C
- Duration
- 4 days
- Heat accumulation
- 71 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 33 days
- Total rain
- 2.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 39.7°C
- Duration
- 13 days
- Heat accumulation
- 242 GDD
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 21.8 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 21.8 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 20.0 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules adelaide-hills-catalog-v2-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +80.0 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +26.8 to +133.2 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the September 1–April 30 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1831 GDD | -142 GDD |
| 1992 | 1761 GDD | -212 GDD |
| 1993 | 1772 GDD | -200 GDD |
| 1994 | 1816 GDD | -157 GDD |
| 1995 | 1735 GDD | -238 GDD |
| 1996 | 1841 GDD | -132 GDD |
| 1997 | 1830 GDD | -142 GDD |
| 1998 | 1909 GDD | -64 GDD |
| 1999 | 2028 GDD | +56 GDD |
| 2000 | 2146 GDD | +173 GDD |
| 2001 | 1670 GDD | -303 GDD |
| 2002 | 1919 GDD | -53 GDD |
| 2003 | 1877 GDD | -96 GDD |
| 2004 | 1923 GDD | -50 GDD |
| 2005 | 1961 GDD | -12 GDD |
| 2006 | 2186 GDD | +213 GDD |
| 2007 | 2116 GDD | +144 GDD |
| 2008 | 2008 GDD | +35 GDD |
| 2009 | 2217 GDD | +244 GDD |
| 2010 | 1825 GDD | -147 GDD |
| 2011 | 2045 GDD | +72 GDD |
| 2012 | 2115 GDD | +142 GDD |
| 2013 | 2068 GDD | +96 GDD |
| 2014 | 2011 GDD | +39 GDD |
| 2015 | 2287 GDD | +315 GDD |
| 2016 | 1955 GDD | -18 GDD |
| 2017 | 2278 GDD | +306 GDD |
| 2018 | 2155 GDD | +182 GDD |
| 2019 | 1958 GDD | -14 GDD |
| 2020 | 1935 GDD | -38 GDD |
| 2021 | 1933 GDD | -39 GDD |
| 2022 | 1812 GDD | -161 GDD |
| 2023 | 1949 GDD | -23 GDD |
| 2024 | 2283 GDD | +310 GDD |
| 2025 | 2013 GDD | +40 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.33 °C per decade 95% interval +0.11 to +0.56
- Growing degree days
- +80.00 GDD per decade 95% interval +26.83 to +133.18
- Growing-season precipitation
- -19.69 mm per decade 95% interval -42.19 to +2.80
- Hot days
- +1.45 days per decade 95% interval -1.22 to +4.11
- Spring frost days
- No variation recorded
- Longest dry spell
- +2.89 days per decade 95% interval -2.15 to +7.93
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +0.5°C | +0.3 to +0.8°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.1°C | +0.7 to +1.4°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.5°C | +1.0 to +1.9°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 17°C | 18°C | 18°C | 12°C | 12°C | 18°C | 12°C | 11°C | 13°C | 12°C |
| Low | 6°C | 4°C | 10°C | 8°C | 9°C | 9°C | 7°C | 6°C | 5°C | 6°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 2.0 mm | 2.1 mm | 10.7 mm | 7.5 mm | 6.8 mm | 0.1 mm | 0.3 mm | 0.0 mm |
Across the typical year: Early February has the warmest median afternoon high (28.4°C); Early July has the coolest (14.2°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early July (51%) and least frequent in Early March (9%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 27.8°C (23.8–33.3°C) | 14.2°C (12.1–16.8°C) | 13% | 8.8 mm (4.2–13.9 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 28.0°C (24.3–32.5°C) | 14.3°C (12.5–16.6°C) | 11% | 9.1 mm (2.4–14.1 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 28.4°C (24.0–32.7°C) | 14.1°C (12.2–16.8°C) | 14% | 8.6 mm (2.1–15.2 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 27.3°C (23.7–32.6°C) | 14.2°C (12.1–17.0°C) | 10% | 2.6 mm (1.3–9.0 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 25.7°C (22.9–30.8°C) | 13.1°C (11.1–15.7°C) | 9% | 3.8 mm (0.8–9.8 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 23.6°C (20.7–27.5°C) | 12.0°C (10.1–14.2°C) | 19% | 9.7 mm (7.0–18.5 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 21.9°C (19.6–25.8°C) | 10.9°C (8.8–12.9°C) | 20% | 12.9 mm (4.6–22.1 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 20.3°C (18.0–24.0°C) | 9.8°C (7.6–12.1°C) | 26% | 19.1 mm (5.3–33.9 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 18.3°C (16.4–20.6°C) | 8.9°C (6.9–10.9°C) | 32% | 22.3 mm (12.2–36.9 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 17.0°C (15.4–19.1°C) | 8.4°C (5.7–10.2°C) | 39% | 37.0 mm (24.6–47.3 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 15.2°C (14.1–16.6°C) | 7.3°C (4.8–9.2°C) | 44% | 40.6 mm (26.6–51.7 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 14.7°C (13.5–15.9°C) | 6.9°C (4.6–8.6°C) | 45% | 34.9 mm (18.3–56.5 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 14.2°C (13.1–15.4°C) | 6.5°C (4.6–8.0°C) | 51% | 42.4 mm (29.3–53.3 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 14.5°C (13.2–16.1°C) | 6.3°C (3.9–8.0°C) | 43% | 32.7 mm (23.0–57.4 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 14.7°C (13.4–16.3°C) | 6.4°C (4.7–8.2°C) | 49% | 37.5 mm (22.8–55.7 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 15.3°C (13.9–18.0°C) | 6.4°C (4.1–8.2°C) | 41% | 32.6 mm (17.2–58.0 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 16.6°C (15.0–19.8°C) | 7.6°C (5.7–9.3°C) | 42% | 27.1 mm (19.9–40.7 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 17.9°C (15.7–21.8°C) | 7.9°C (5.6–9.8°C) | 32% | 23.9 mm (13.1–41.3 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 19.6°C (16.8–24.2°C) | 8.7°C (6.4–11.0°C) | 28% | 18.6 mm (6.5–38.2 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 20.8°C (18.2–25.5°C) | 9.4°C (7.0–11.7°C) | 21% | 14.4 mm (7.3–27.5 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 22.0°C (19.2–26.9°C) | 10.7°C (8.5–13.0°C) | 24% | 15.0 mm (10.4–27.3 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 24.8°C (20.9–30.5°C) | 11.8°C (9.3–14.1°C) | 16% | 6.1 mm (2.3–16.6 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 24.4°C (21.4–29.1°C) | 12.3°C (10.4–14.5°C) | 22% | 10.8 mm (5.8–25.6 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 26.2°C (22.6–31.7°C) | 13.0°C (11.0–15.5°C) | 13% | 7.7 mm (3.7–19.6 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Most recent season
Growing season heat and rainfall
Sep 1, 2025–Apr 30, 2026
Growing degree days2012.6base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall283.7 mmweighted regional total
2025 season1991–2020 average
2025 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-01 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 4.2 mm | 1.8 mm |
| 2025-09-02 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 4.7 mm | 4.9 mm |
| 2025-09-03 | 4.9 | 7.8 | 4.8 mm | 7.8 mm |
| 2025-09-04 | 6.8 | 9.6 | 5.6 mm | 11.5 mm |
| 2025-09-05 | 7.5 | 11.5 | 5.8 mm | 13.2 mm |
| 2025-09-06 | 14.2 | 13.6 | 5.9 mm | 15.0 mm |
| 2025-09-07 | 21.4 | 16.6 | 7.7 mm | 17.8 mm |
| 2025-09-08 | 24.8 | 19.7 | 8.0 mm | 20.3 mm |
| 2025-09-09 | 24.8 | 22.4 | 9.8 mm | 22.5 mm |
| 2025-09-10 | 26.0 | 24.6 | 14.5 mm | 24.1 mm |
| 2025-09-11 | 27.2 | 28.1 | 16.7 mm | 25.6 mm |
| 2025-09-12 | 27.5 | 31.1 | 17.4 mm | 27.2 mm |
| 2025-09-13 | 28.3 | 34.3 | 17.6 mm | 29.3 mm |
| 2025-09-14 | 33.5 | 37.1 | 17.6 mm | 32.7 mm |
| 2025-09-15 | 43.7 | 40.0 | 18.3 mm | 35.4 mm |
| 2025-09-16 | 47.1 | 42.8 | 22.0 mm | 37.7 mm |
| 2025-09-17 | 48.9 | 45.6 | 24.3 mm | 40.0 mm |
| 2025-09-18 | 53.7 | 49.2 | 24.4 mm | 41.5 mm |
| 2025-09-19 | 57.4 | 52.6 | 25.1 mm | 43.7 mm |
| 2025-09-20 | 58.6 | 55.5 | 26.2 mm | 45.0 mm |
| 2025-09-21 | 61.6 | 59.3 | 28.4 mm | 46.4 mm |
| 2025-09-22 | 63.6 | 63.5 | 29.6 mm | 47.9 mm |
| 2025-09-23 | 64.2 | 67.4 | 29.6 mm | 50.2 mm |
| 2025-09-24 | 68.0 | 70.1 | 29.6 mm | 52.8 mm |
| 2025-09-25 | 73.7 | 73.0 | 29.6 mm | 55.1 mm |
| 2025-09-26 | 79.5 | 76.4 | 29.6 mm | 57.0 mm |
| 2025-09-27 | 82.9 | 80.8 | 29.7 mm | 57.4 mm |
| 2025-09-28 | 87.1 | 84.9 | 30.2 mm | 59.0 mm |
| 2025-09-29 | 93.5 | 87.9 | 32.2 mm | 63.7 mm |
| 2025-09-30 | 97.0 | 91.7 | 36.5 mm | 66.1 mm |
| 2025-10-01 | 100.1 | 96.4 | 43.6 mm | 67.8 mm |
| 2025-10-02 | 102.8 | 101.2 | 49.6 mm | 69.0 mm |
| 2025-10-03 | 108.6 | 105.9 | 49.6 mm | 71.6 mm |
| 2025-10-04 | 116.9 | 111.1 | 49.6 mm | 73.9 mm |
| 2025-10-05 | 127.4 | 116.3 | 50.7 mm | 75.4 mm |
| 2025-10-06 | 130.3 | 120.7 | 56.3 mm | 76.6 mm |
| 2025-10-07 | 132.9 | 124.8 | 56.6 mm | 78.0 mm |
| 2025-10-08 | 136.2 | 128.7 | 56.8 mm | 80.2 mm |
| 2025-10-09 | 141.2 | 133.0 | 57.4 mm | 81.4 mm |
| 2025-10-10 | 146.9 | 138.3 | 57.6 mm | 82.4 mm |
| 2025-10-11 | 151.6 | 143.2 | 58.4 mm | 83.9 mm |
| 2025-10-12 | 156.1 | 148.6 | 58.5 mm | 85.1 mm |
| 2025-10-13 | 159.4 | 153.2 | 58.5 mm | 86.5 mm |
| 2025-10-14 | 163.6 | 158.7 | 58.9 mm | 87.6 mm |
| 2025-10-15 | 170.0 | 164.8 | 59.0 mm | 88.6 mm |
| 2025-10-16 | 180.8 | 169.8 | 59.6 mm | 89.7 mm |
| 2025-10-17 | 186.9 | 175.4 | 60.9 mm | 91.3 mm |
| 2025-10-18 | 193.9 | 181.7 | 60.9 mm | 93.5 mm |
| 2025-10-19 | 205.9 | 187.3 | 60.9 mm | 95.4 mm |
| 2025-10-20 | 211.8 | 192.7 | 62.1 mm | 96.1 mm |
| 2025-10-21 | 218.7 | 198.1 | 67.0 mm | 97.2 mm |
| 2025-10-22 | 222.9 | 203.9 | 81.0 mm | 98.0 mm |
| 2025-10-23 | 227.5 | 210.2 | 81.8 mm | 99.2 mm |
| 2025-10-24 | 232.1 | 217.1 | 81.8 mm | 100.0 mm |
| 2025-10-25 | 240.1 | 222.8 | 84.7 mm | 101.1 mm |
| 2025-10-26 | 247.8 | 227.6 | 92.1 mm | 101.8 mm |
| 2025-10-27 | 251.4 | 232.7 | 95.1 mm | 102.6 mm |
| 2025-10-28 | 253.5 | 238.3 | 95.4 mm | 103.3 mm |
| 2025-10-29 | 258.1 | 244.7 | 95.4 mm | 104.3 mm |
| 2025-10-30 | 264.2 | 251.1 | 95.9 mm | 106.2 mm |
| 2025-10-31 | 273.2 | 257.6 | 99.2 mm | 109.2 mm |
| 2025-11-01 | 282.8 | 264.4 | 99.2 mm | 110.7 mm |
| 2025-11-02 | 293.7 | 271.4 | 100.4 mm | 112.9 mm |
| 2025-11-03 | 295.2 | 277.2 | 105.5 mm | 114.5 mm |
| 2025-11-04 | 296.8 | 283.1 | 114.3 mm | 115.9 mm |
| 2025-11-05 | 301.6 | 289.1 | 114.4 mm | 117.3 mm |
| 2025-11-06 | 307.0 | 295.8 | 114.5 mm | 119.2 mm |
| 2025-11-07 | 315.6 | 302.8 | 115.1 mm | 120.5 mm |
| 2025-11-08 | 318.6 | 309.8 | 117.1 mm | 122.5 mm |
| 2025-11-09 | 321.7 | 316.8 | 117.4 mm | 123.2 mm |
| 2025-11-10 | 326.4 | 324.6 | 117.8 mm | 123.9 mm |
| 2025-11-11 | 329.3 | 332.8 | 119.8 mm | 125.3 mm |
| 2025-11-12 | 332.9 | 341.2 | 119.8 mm | 126.7 mm |
| 2025-11-13 | 338.5 | 349.3 | 120.7 mm | 127.8 mm |
| 2025-11-14 | 345.8 | 356.9 | 121.8 mm | 128.4 mm |
| 2025-11-15 | 351.1 | 364.5 | 123.4 mm | 128.8 mm |
| 2025-11-16 | 356.0 | 372.0 | 126.4 mm | 129.6 mm |
| 2025-11-17 | 359.6 | 380.9 | 131.6 mm | 129.7 mm |
| 2025-11-18 | 366.5 | 390.5 | 132.1 mm | 130.8 mm |
| 2025-11-19 | 372.5 | 400.8 | 132.3 mm | 131.2 mm |
| 2025-11-20 | 376.2 | 409.9 | 132.3 mm | 131.8 mm |
| 2025-11-21 | 381.4 | 417.6 | 133.1 mm | 133.5 mm |
| 2025-11-22 | 387.2 | 424.9 | 134.4 mm | 135.5 mm |
| 2025-11-23 | 398.2 | 432.5 | 147.5 mm | 136.6 mm |
| 2025-11-24 | 412.4 | 441.5 | 149.8 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2025-11-25 | 421.1 | 451.6 | 149.9 mm | 138.5 mm |
| 2025-11-26 | 427.6 | 461.4 | 151.3 mm | 139.9 mm |
| 2025-11-27 | 434.0 | 471.0 | 152.4 mm | 140.2 mm |
| 2025-11-28 | 439.4 | 479.9 | 155.9 mm | 140.9 mm |
| 2025-11-29 | 443.9 | 488.5 | 170.0 mm | 141.6 mm |
| 2025-11-30 | 448.4 | 497.5 | 171.7 mm | 142.0 mm |
| 2025-12-01 | 452.8 | 506.0 | 176.4 mm | 143.3 mm |
| 2025-12-02 | 458.6 | 514.6 | 177.0 mm | 144.6 mm |
| 2025-12-03 | 469.0 | 522.7 | 177.0 mm | 146.2 mm |
| 2025-12-04 | 484.3 | 531.3 | 177.0 mm | 146.7 mm |
| 2025-12-05 | 495.2 | 539.9 | 177.1 mm | 147.7 mm |
| 2025-12-06 | 502.1 | 549.2 | 177.4 mm | 148.9 mm |
| 2025-12-07 | 506.5 | 558.7 | 177.4 mm | 149.9 mm |
| 2025-12-08 | 515.6 | 568.0 | 177.4 mm | 153.0 mm |
| 2025-12-09 | 525.6 | 577.5 | 177.4 mm | 154.1 mm |
| 2025-12-10 | 536.1 | 586.2 | 177.4 mm | 154.8 mm |
| 2025-12-11 | 548.5 | 595.3 | 177.4 mm | 155.3 mm |
| 2025-12-12 | 564.8 | 605.2 | 177.4 mm | 156.3 mm |
| 2025-12-13 | 574.7 | 615.3 | 177.8 mm | 157.6 mm |
| 2025-12-14 | 581.7 | 625.2 | 177.8 mm | 159.2 mm |
| 2025-12-15 | 588.2 | 635.0 | 177.8 mm | 159.8 mm |
| 2025-12-16 | 596.8 | 645.2 | 177.8 mm | 160.4 mm |
| 2025-12-17 | 610.7 | 655.2 | 177.8 mm | 161.6 mm |
| 2025-12-18 | 628.4 | 666.0 | 177.8 mm | 164.3 mm |
| 2025-12-19 | 642.3 | 677.9 | 177.9 mm | 166.3 mm |
| 2025-12-20 | 651.8 | 689.3 | 177.9 mm | 167.6 mm |
| 2025-12-21 | 660.5 | 699.8 | 180.3 mm | 168.7 mm |
| 2025-12-22 | 666.7 | 709.3 | 180.6 mm | 170.8 mm |
| 2025-12-23 | 674.7 | 719.3 | 180.7 mm | 171.1 mm |
| 2025-12-24 | 681.1 | 729.2 | 180.7 mm | 171.2 mm |
| 2025-12-25 | 688.1 | 739.1 | 180.7 mm | 171.7 mm |
| 2025-12-26 | 695.2 | 748.3 | 180.7 mm | 172.1 mm |
| 2025-12-27 | 705.3 | 758.1 | 180.7 mm | 172.5 mm |
| 2025-12-28 | 719.3 | 768.2 | 180.7 mm | 174.3 mm |
| 2025-12-29 | 736.5 | 779.0 | 180.7 mm | 174.7 mm |
| 2025-12-30 | 744.8 | 791.0 | 180.7 mm | 174.9 mm |
| 2025-12-31 | 751.5 | 802.9 | 180.7 mm | 175.2 mm |
| 2026-01-01 | 759.6 | 814.4 | 180.7 mm | 176.3 mm |
| 2026-01-02 | 771.7 | 826.0 | 180.7 mm | 177.0 mm |
| 2026-01-03 | 782.0 | 837.8 | 180.7 mm | 177.1 mm |
| 2026-01-04 | 791.9 | 849.4 | 180.7 mm | 177.7 mm |
| 2026-01-05 | 802.8 | 860.6 | 180.7 mm | 178.2 mm |
| 2026-01-06 | 818.5 | 871.6 | 180.7 mm | 178.8 mm |
| 2026-01-07 | 839.2 | 882.5 | 180.7 mm | 179.6 mm |
| 2026-01-08 | 861.7 | 892.7 | 180.7 mm | 181.1 mm |
| 2026-01-09 | 877.6 | 903.9 | 180.7 mm | 181.5 mm |
| 2026-01-10 | 886.0 | 917.1 | 180.7 mm | 181.8 mm |
| 2026-01-11 | 893.4 | 929.7 | 180.7 mm | 182.0 mm |
| 2026-01-12 | 902.3 | 941.7 | 180.7 mm | 182.5 mm |
| 2026-01-13 | 912.1 | 954.5 | 180.7 mm | 183.9 mm |
| 2026-01-14 | 923.1 | 966.8 | 180.7 mm | 185.2 mm |
| 2026-01-15 | 930.6 | 978.5 | 180.8 mm | 185.7 mm |
| 2026-01-16 | 939.4 | 990.9 | 180.9 mm | 185.9 mm |
| 2026-01-17 | 951.4 | 1003.7 | 180.9 mm | 186.0 mm |
| 2026-01-18 | 966.2 | 1015.4 | 180.9 mm | 186.2 mm |
| 2026-01-19 | 981.9 | 1028.5 | 180.9 mm | 186.5 mm |
| 2026-01-20 | 995.4 | 1041.3 | 180.9 mm | 188.8 mm |
| 2026-01-21 | 1004.4 | 1052.8 | 180.9 mm | 190.0 mm |
| 2026-01-22 | 1012.8 | 1064.9 | 180.9 mm | 191.2 mm |
| 2026-01-23 | 1026.4 | 1076.3 | 180.9 mm | 191.8 mm |
| 2026-01-24 | 1047.5 | 1087.8 | 180.9 mm | 192.8 mm |
| 2026-01-25 | 1062.3 | 1099.7 | 180.9 mm | 193.8 mm |
| 2026-01-26 | 1082.3 | 1111.5 | 180.9 mm | 194.4 mm |
| 2026-01-27 | 1105.1 | 1122.6 | 181.0 mm | 194.7 mm |
| 2026-01-28 | 1119.8 | 1133.8 | 181.0 mm | 194.9 mm |
| 2026-01-29 | 1136.1 | 1145.1 | 181.0 mm | 195.7 mm |
| 2026-01-30 | 1155.3 | 1157.1 | 181.0 mm | 196.8 mm |
| 2026-01-31 | 1170.7 | 1168.8 | 181.0 mm | 197.0 mm |
| 2026-02-01 | 1179.6 | 1180.8 | 181.0 mm | 198.2 mm |
| 2026-02-02 | 1187.5 | 1193.7 | 181.0 mm | 199.2 mm |
| 2026-02-03 | 1198.8 | 1206.1 | 181.0 mm | 200.0 mm |
| 2026-02-04 | 1210.4 | 1219.0 | 181.0 mm | 200.4 mm |
| 2026-02-05 | 1222.5 | 1230.6 | 181.0 mm | 201.2 mm |
| 2026-02-06 | 1234.9 | 1242.2 | 181.0 mm | 202.2 mm |
| 2026-02-07 | 1247.3 | 1254.2 | 181.0 mm | 203.2 mm |
| 2026-02-08 | 1260.0 | 1265.9 | 181.1 mm | 204.1 mm |
| 2026-02-09 | 1271.6 | 1276.8 | 181.1 mm | 204.7 mm |
| 2026-02-10 | 1286.3 | 1287.9 | 181.1 mm | 205.0 mm |
| 2026-02-11 | 1302.3 | 1298.6 | 181.5 mm | 205.7 mm |
| 2026-02-12 | 1308.8 | 1309.1 | 181.8 mm | 206.4 mm |
| 2026-02-13 | 1316.6 | 1320.1 | 181.8 mm | 206.8 mm |
| 2026-02-14 | 1327.9 | 1332.6 | 181.8 mm | 208.6 mm |
| 2026-02-15 | 1343.1 | 1345.1 | 181.8 mm | 209.2 mm |
| 2026-02-16 | 1361.5 | 1356.5 | 181.8 mm | 210.3 mm |
| 2026-02-17 | 1376.2 | 1368.6 | 183.2 mm | 210.4 mm |
| 2026-02-18 | 1384.0 | 1381.3 | 185.2 mm | 210.6 mm |
| 2026-02-19 | 1394.1 | 1393.5 | 185.2 mm | 212.1 mm |
| 2026-02-20 | 1408.3 | 1404.3 | 185.2 mm | 214.3 mm |
| 2026-02-21 | 1422.7 | 1415.3 | 185.2 mm | 216.0 mm |
| 2026-02-22 | 1434.5 | 1426.9 | 190.0 mm | 216.9 mm |
| 2026-02-23 | 1444.2 | 1439.0 | 190.7 mm | 217.2 mm |
| 2026-02-24 | 1455.4 | 1450.8 | 190.7 mm | 217.4 mm |
| 2026-02-25 | 1466.0 | 1462.9 | 190.7 mm | 217.8 mm |
| 2026-02-26 | 1478.3 | 1474.5 | 190.7 mm | 218.1 mm |
| 2026-02-27 | 1493.5 | 1485.1 | 190.8 mm | 218.3 mm |
| 2026-02-28 | 1506.4 | 1495.3 | 195.8 mm | 218.8 mm |
| 2026-03-01 | 1519.4 | 1505.4 | 212.6 mm | 220.7 mm |
| 2026-03-02 | 1527.5 | 1516.1 | 218.7 mm | 221.3 mm |
| 2026-03-03 | 1535.6 | 1526.7 | 218.9 mm | 221.7 mm |
| 2026-03-04 | 1544.5 | 1537.3 | 218.9 mm | 222.2 mm |
| 2026-03-05 | 1553.5 | 1547.6 | 218.9 mm | 222.5 mm |
| 2026-03-06 | 1563.5 | 1557.7 | 218.9 mm | 222.8 mm |
| 2026-03-07 | 1572.4 | 1567.8 | 219.0 mm | 223.8 mm |
| 2026-03-08 | 1580.0 | 1578.2 | 219.0 mm | 224.7 mm |
| 2026-03-09 | 1588.1 | 1588.8 | 219.0 mm | 226.1 mm |
| 2026-03-10 | 1600.1 | 1599.4 | 219.0 mm | 226.7 mm |
| 2026-03-11 | 1609.3 | 1610.5 | 219.0 mm | 226.8 mm |
| 2026-03-12 | 1615.8 | 1621.3 | 219.0 mm | 227.0 mm |
| 2026-03-13 | 1622.3 | 1630.7 | 219.0 mm | 227.5 mm |
| 2026-03-14 | 1630.6 | 1639.9 | 219.0 mm | 227.7 mm |
| 2026-03-15 | 1642.5 | 1649.0 | 219.1 mm | 228.7 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 1649.6 | 1657.8 | 229.4 mm | 229.8 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 1657.6 | 1667.6 | 240.9 mm | 230.6 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 1666.7 | 1677.2 | 242.4 mm | 231.6 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 1677.0 | 1686.6 | 243.4 mm | 232.0 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 1686.8 | 1695.5 | 243.7 mm | 232.4 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 1695.8 | 1703.8 | 243.7 mm | 234.7 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 1705.5 | 1712.2 | 243.7 mm | 235.2 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 1718.5 | 1720.4 | 243.8 mm | 236.4 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 1733.0 | 1728.9 | 243.8 mm | 237.5 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 1744.9 | 1737.2 | 244.0 mm | 238.1 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 1751.1 | 1745.6 | 244.4 mm | 239.1 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 1755.3 | 1753.8 | 244.7 mm | 240.1 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 1760.3 | 1761.5 | 245.0 mm | 240.9 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 1768.6 | 1768.9 | 245.1 mm | 242.0 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 1779.6 | 1775.7 | 245.2 mm | 242.5 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 1789.9 | 1783.0 | 245.2 mm | 243.0 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 1799.8 | 1790.8 | 247.8 mm | 243.5 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 1806.6 | 1798.3 | 247.9 mm | 244.1 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 1813.0 | 1804.9 | 248.0 mm | 244.6 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 1821.0 | 1811.9 | 248.4 mm | 245.3 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 1830.4 | 1819.2 | 252.6 mm | 246.6 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 1841.0 | 1826.2 | 255.6 mm | 248.9 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 1847.0 | 1833.0 | 256.6 mm | 250.4 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 1851.5 | 1839.9 | 258.4 mm | 251.2 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 1858.5 | 1846.9 | 268.0 mm | 252.1 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 1863.7 | 1854.2 | 277.4 mm | 252.8 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 1866.9 | 1861.3 | 279.0 mm | 253.4 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 1870.9 | 1868.2 | 279.8 mm | 254.7 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 1874.2 | 1875.3 | 280.4 mm | 255.7 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 1877.8 | 1882.3 | 280.7 mm | 257.3 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 1883.1 | 1888.7 | 281.1 mm | 258.2 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 1890.6 | 1894.2 | 281.1 mm | 259.0 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 1895.4 | 1899.9 | 281.2 mm | 259.8 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 1900.1 | 1905.9 | 281.2 mm | 260.5 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 1909.8 | 1912.9 | 281.4 mm | 261.1 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 1916.9 | 1919.8 | 281.8 mm | 263.0 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 1926.6 | 1926.2 | 281.8 mm | 264.6 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 1938.4 | 1931.8 | 281.8 mm | 265.8 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 1948.6 | 1937.4 | 281.8 mm | 266.8 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 1958.7 | 1942.6 | 281.8 mm | 268.4 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 1970.2 | 1947.7 | 281.8 mm | 270.7 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 1978.2 | 1952.7 | 283.5 mm | 273.1 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 1984.0 | 1957.8 | 283.7 mm | 275.8 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 1991.8 | 1962.8 | 283.7 mm | 277.1 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 2000.5 | 1967.7 | 283.7 mm | 279.7 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 2012.6 | 1972.3 | 283.7 mm | 281.9 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 9 GDDvs 25 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 29.5 mmvs 26.4 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Sun8/30
17°Cavg 18°C
6°Cavg 7°C
+2 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon8/31
18°Cavg 17°C
4°Cavg 7°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/1
18°Cavg 17°C
10°Cavg 7°C
+3 GDD
2.0 mm
Wed9/2
12°Cavg 18°C
8°Cavg 7°C
+0 GDD
2.1 mm
Thu9/3
12°Cavg 17°C
9°Cavg 8°C
+0 GDD
10.7 mm
Fri9/4
18°Cavg 16°C
9°Cavg 7°C
+2 GDD
7.5 mm
Sat9/5
12°Cavg 17°C
7°Cavg 7°C
+0 GDD
6.8 mm
Sun9/6
11°Cavg 17°C
6°Cavg 7°C
+0 GDD
0.1 mm
Mon9/7
13°Cavg 18°C
5°Cavg 8°C
+0 GDD
0.3 mm
Tue9/8
12°Cavg 17°C
6°Cavg 9°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Adelaide Hills model uses a September 1–April 30 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.
The historical series uses 1 ERA5 location, 7 temperature stations, and 69 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: adelaide-hills-catalog-v2-2026-07.