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Spain · Multi-region weather view

Bierzo & Valdeorras

Mountain valleys along the transition from Galicia to Castilla y León.

Atlantic influence weakens toward the east, while enclosed valleys develop warmer summer days.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature12.9°C
Dew Point12.3°C
Relative Humidity96%
24h Rainfall0.4 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Moderately warmer and slightly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature15.1°C
Temperature anomaly+0.8°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1114base 10°C
Hot days0≥ 32°C

What stood out in 2015

Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window. A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

More harvest rain than usual · High confidence

Harvest-window precipitation totaled 259 mm, +79 mm versus baseline.

Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence

The regional record had 1 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.

A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

How unusual was 2015?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

7th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 28 of 34 other vintages 15.1°C

Growing-season rainfall

15th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 20 of 34 other vintages 523.8 mm

Heat accumulation

12th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 23 of 34 other vintages 1114 GDD

Hot days

12th most of 35 vintages More than 0 of 34 other vintages 0 days

2015 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2015 0 GDD
    Typical 9 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 26.7 mm
    Typical 97.4 mm
    2015 freezing days
    7
    Typical
    6.4

    Drier than the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2015 28 GDD
    Typical 26 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 98.0 mm
    Typical 101.3 mm
    2015 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    2.6

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2015 115 GDD
    Typical 81 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 48.4 mm
    Typical 97.3 mm
    2015 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.2

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2015 238 GDD
    Typical 176 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 67.0 mm
    Typical 59.6 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2015 313 GDD
    Typical 255 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 18.3 mm
    Typical 36.9 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  6. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2015 244 GDD
    Typical 256 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 33.5 mm
    Typical 39.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2015 126 GDD
    Typical 166 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 83.8 mm
    Typical 61.3 mm

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2015 50 GDD
    Typical 67 GDD

    Rainfall

    2015 174.8 mm
    Typical 118.3 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2015 GDDTypical GDD2015 rainfallTypical rainfall2015 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2015 0 GDD 9 GDD 26.7 mm 97.4 mm 76.4
April 2015 28 GDD 26 GDD 98.0 mm 101.3 mm 02.6
May 2015 115 GDD 81 GDD 48.4 mm 97.3 mm 00.2
June 2015 238 GDD 176 GDD 67.0 mm 59.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2015 313 GDD 255 GDD 18.3 mm 36.9 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2015 244 GDD 256 GDD 33.5 mm 39.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2015 126 GDD 166 GDD 83.8 mm 61.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2015 50 GDD 67 GDD 174.8 mm 118.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2015 growing season

214 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Jul 15, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2010

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing degree days.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Growing degree days
    higher: 5 GDD

    Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — more frost-exposure days

    View 2010 →

  2. Second closest

    2024

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Harvest precipitation.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Harvest precipitation
    less rain: 16.3 mm

    Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — cooler

    View 2024 →

  3. Third closest

    2020

    Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Growing degree days.

    Growing-season mean temperature
    cooler: 0.0°C
    Growing degree days
    higher: 16 GDD

    Largest difference: Hot-day count — more hot days

    View 2020 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2010 0.410; 2024 0.430; 2020 0.460.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +3.2°C −3.2°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +270 mm −270 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-0.4°C-160 mm0
1992-1.2°C-4 mm0
1993-1.8°C+243 mm0
1994-0.8°C-63 mm0
1995+0.5°C-26 mm0
1996-0.4°C-67 mm0
1997+0.2°C+202 mm0
1998-0.6°C+112 mm0
1999-0.4°C+155 mm0
2000-0.6°C+87 mm0
2001-0.1°C-88 mm0
2002-0.7°C-13 mm0
2003+0.6°C+45 mm4
2004-0.1°C+62 mm0
2005+0.6°C-62 mm0
2006+1.1°C+77 mm1
2007-0.7°C-52 mm0
2008-1.1°C+11 mm0
2009+0.2°C-81 mm0
2010+0.5°C-27 mm0
2011+0.8°C-113 mm0
2012-0.8°C+38 mm0
2013+0.2°C-74 mm4
2014+0.5°C-11 mm0
2015+0.8°C+10 mm0
2016+0.7°C-0 mm4
2017+1.6°C-236 mm3
2018+0.6°C+46 mm1
2019+0.1°C-42 mm0
2020+0.8°C+32 mm2
2021-0.1°C-19 mm0
2022+1.5°C-24 mm8
2023+1.4°C+127 mm5
2024+0.3°C+58 mm1
2025+1.4°C-117 mm9
2026+3.0°C-260 mm7

winter

3.6°C

-0.9°C vs baseline

286 mm rain · -26 mm

spring

10.5°C

+1.2°C vs baseline

173 mm rain · -123 mm

summer

18.6°C

+1.2°C vs baseline

118 mm rain · -17 mm

harvest

12.8°C

-0.7°C vs baseline

258 mm rain · +79 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -3.4°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Severe-freeze days
    1 day

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  2. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.9°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  3. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.2°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  4. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.0°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  5. Dry spell

    Duration
    26 days
    Total rain
    2.1 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  6. Dry spell

    Duration
    16 days
    Total rain
    1.1 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  7. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    76.5 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    72.1 mm
    Trigger threshold
    37.2 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  8. Dry spell

    Duration
    16 days
    Total rain
    1.6 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  9. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    73.4 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    73.3 mm
    Trigger threshold
    37.2 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules bierzo-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Jul 15, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +85.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +61.8 to +108.9 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911039 GDD+12 GDD
1992828 GDD-200 GDD
1993741 GDD-286 GDD
1994922 GDD-105 GDD
19951084 GDD+56 GDD
1996923 GDD-105 GDD
19971009 GDD-19 GDD
1998972 GDD-56 GDD
1999945 GDD-82 GDD
2000959 GDD-69 GDD
20011006 GDD-22 GDD
2002892 GDD-135 GDD
20031142 GDD+115 GDD
20041053 GDD+25 GDD
20051125 GDD+98 GDD
20061186 GDD+159 GDD
2007840 GDD-188 GDD
2008809 GDD-219 GDD
20091070 GDD+43 GDD
20101119 GDD+91 GDD
20111104 GDD+77 GDD
2012949 GDD-78 GDD
20131104 GDD+77 GDD
20141072 GDD+45 GDD
20151114 GDD+87 GDD
20161151 GDD+123 GDD
20171308 GDD+281 GDD
20181159 GDD+131 GDD
20191069 GDD+42 GDD
20201130 GDD+102 GDD
2021944 GDD-84 GDD
20221321 GDD+294 GDD
20231259 GDD+231 GDD
20241065 GDD+38 GDD
20251277 GDD+249 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.53 °C per decade 95% interval +0.38 to +0.68
Growing degree days
+85.35 GDD per decade 95% interval +61.84 to +108.86
Growing-season precipitation
-17.18 mm per decade 95% interval -46.22 to +11.87
Hot days
+1.25 days per decade 95% interval +0.53 to +1.98
Spring frost days
-0.47 days per decade 95% interval -1.74 to +0.80
Longest dry spell
+0.69 days per decade 95% interval -0.90 to +2.28

Last Updated July 15, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.0°C+0.6 to +1.5°C25
2041-2060+1.6°C+1.1 to +2.2°C25
2061-2075+1.9°C+1.4 to +2.9°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 24°C 25°C 28°C 29°C 32°C 33°C 31°C 29°C 24°C 26°C
Low 13°C 10°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 16°C 19°C 15°C 15°C 12°C
Rain 0.5 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.1 mm 0.3 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (25.0°C); Late January has the coolest (7.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (54%) and least frequent in Late July (18%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Bierzo & Valdeorras Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -5°C5°C15°C25°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Bierzo & Valdeorras The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Bierzo & Valdeorras typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–157.4°C (5.3–9.4°C)1.0°C (-1.0–3.1°C)44%31.4 mm (21.1–84.8 mm)
Jan 16–317.3°C (5.0–9.3°C)0.7°C (-1.3–2.6°C)42%38.5 mm (13.7–85.0 mm)
Feb 1–158.7°C (5.8–10.9°C)0.8°C (-1.1–2.7°C)39%32.1 mm (18.2–66.5 mm)
Feb 16–299.0°C (6.3–12.2°C)0.8°C (-1.4–3.0°C)40%24.3 mm (18.7–43.9 mm)
Mar 1–1510.9°C (7.9–14.2°C)2.6°C (0.2–4.4°C)39%37.3 mm (15.1–58.5 mm)
Mar 16–3112.3°C (9.0–15.9°C)3.3°C (1.0–5.3°C)46%39.3 mm (18.2–68.9 mm)
Apr 1–1512.8°C (9.1–16.7°C)3.6°C (1.4–5.8°C)45%40.4 mm (24.5–66.4 mm)
Apr 16–3013.4°C (9.8–17.1°C)4.7°C (2.8–6.9°C)54%43.1 mm (30.8–74.7 mm)
May 1–1515.3°C (12.2–18.8°C)6.4°C (3.8–8.1°C)50%51.2 mm (26.1–69.0 mm)
May 16–3118.4°C (14.3–21.4°C)8.1°C (6.0–10.1°C)44%45.5 mm (27.1–62.4 mm)
Jun 1–1520.0°C (16.0–23.2°C)9.6°C (7.6–11.6°C)36%26.8 mm (13.6–54.4 mm)
Jun 16–3022.9°C (19.4–25.8°C)11.7°C (9.7–13.6°C)32%22.4 mm (10.2–34.3 mm)
Jul 1–1523.4°C (19.4–26.3°C)12.0°C (10.1–14.1°C)26%17.9 mm (10.2–25.8 mm)
Jul 16–3125.0°C (22.5–27.5°C)13.2°C (11.7–15.0°C)18%14.5 mm (8.0–18.5 mm)
Aug 1–1524.7°C (21.5–27.7°C)12.8°C (10.8–14.7°C)21%12.9 mm (5.9–23.3 mm)
Aug 16–3123.9°C (21.1–26.4°C)12.6°C (10.5–14.2°C)22%18.9 mm (3.3–29.8 mm)
Sep 1–1522.8°C (19.5–25.1°C)11.3°C (9.4–12.7°C)27%22.1 mm (7.3–35.2 mm)
Sep 16–3019.4°C (16.4–22.4°C)9.7°C (7.7–11.4°C)34%39.7 mm (19.3–49.8 mm)
Oct 1–1517.1°C (13.8–19.5°C)7.8°C (6.0–10.1°C)38%39.2 mm (26.1–53.6 mm)
Oct 16–3114.3°C (11.5–16.8°C)7.0°C (4.2–9.2°C)48%65.3 mm (30.7–93.5 mm)
Nov 1–1511.3°C (9.0–13.7°C)4.3°C (2.3–6.7°C)51%47.0 mm (29.7–99.7 mm)
Nov 16–309.0°C (7.1–11.3°C)2.4°C (0.5–4.6°C)48%47.6 mm (20.7–82.5 mm)
Dec 1–158.4°C (6.4–10.2°C)1.9°C (-0.2–4.2°C)44%47.2 mm (18.3–80.3 mm)
Dec 16–317.6°C (5.9–9.5°C)1.3°C (-0.8–3.8°C)44%49.8 mm (22.0–83.0 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated July 15, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 1–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1080.0base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall254.4 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1080 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 321 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-010.00.60.0 mm4.1 mm
2026-04-020.00.90.0 mm8.1 mm
2026-04-031.41.40.0 mm12.5 mm
2026-04-044.41.90.0 mm15.6 mm
2026-04-059.02.50.0 mm17.9 mm
2026-04-0614.93.50.2 mm21.0 mm
2026-04-0718.34.47.4 mm23.2 mm
2026-04-0819.55.410.9 mm25.4 mm
2026-04-0923.56.211.0 mm29.2 mm
2026-04-1029.77.211.0 mm34.1 mm
2026-04-1129.78.011.3 mm36.6 mm
2026-04-1229.78.713.2 mm39.3 mm
2026-04-1329.79.614.7 mm42.0 mm
2026-04-1430.010.615.8 mm45.1 mm
2026-04-1531.311.315.8 mm49.8 mm
2026-04-1633.912.115.9 mm53.6 mm
2026-04-1736.913.015.9 mm56.8 mm
2026-04-1841.713.816.3 mm61.8 mm
2026-04-1947.214.516.9 mm66.7 mm
2026-04-2052.615.317.0 mm70.4 mm
2026-04-2158.316.019.3 mm73.7 mm
2026-04-2262.116.719.6 mm76.8 mm
2026-04-2366.717.820.9 mm79.4 mm
2026-04-2471.319.131.1 mm82.2 mm
2026-04-2575.620.632.5 mm87.0 mm
2026-04-2680.821.734.5 mm89.4 mm
2026-04-2785.522.846.6 mm91.7 mm
2026-04-2889.723.956.0 mm94.0 mm
2026-04-2991.325.076.5 mm96.9 mm
2026-04-3093.326.177.7 mm101.3 mm
2026-05-0196.127.378.2 mm104.3 mm
2026-05-0297.828.790.5 mm106.5 mm
2026-05-0398.130.498.0 mm108.7 mm
2026-05-0498.132.3102.2 mm112.0 mm
2026-05-0598.133.7106.8 mm115.5 mm
2026-05-0698.135.3107.1 mm119.1 mm
2026-05-0798.137.1111.5 mm122.6 mm
2026-05-0898.139.1122.4 mm126.6 mm
2026-05-0998.141.1131.7 mm130.3 mm
2026-05-1098.143.0137.5 mm134.1 mm
2026-05-1198.544.8150.9 mm137.5 mm
2026-05-1298.546.6164.5 mm141.7 mm
2026-05-1399.148.6164.6 mm144.9 mm
2026-05-1499.150.2165.3 mm148.5 mm
2026-05-1599.152.5169.7 mm151.1 mm
2026-05-1699.155.2169.8 mm155.0 mm
2026-05-1799.158.0170.4 mm158.4 mm
2026-05-1899.360.6170.4 mm161.7 mm
2026-05-19102.363.0171.1 mm164.7 mm
2026-05-20106.265.6171.1 mm167.0 mm
2026-05-21114.068.6171.2 mm169.5 mm
2026-05-22124.172.1172.0 mm172.1 mm
2026-05-23132.375.8177.3 mm175.9 mm
2026-05-24142.179.2179.7 mm179.1 mm
2026-05-25152.482.6181.5 mm182.8 mm
2026-05-26161.686.0181.5 mm184.9 mm
2026-05-27173.389.7182.9 mm186.9 mm
2026-05-28185.093.7183.2 mm189.7 mm
2026-05-29195.398.1183.5 mm193.4 mm
2026-05-30204.8102.6183.8 mm195.8 mm
2026-05-31213.2107.1183.8 mm198.5 mm
2026-06-01221.0111.7183.8 mm201.4 mm
2026-06-02225.3116.3184.2 mm203.2 mm
2026-06-03230.4121.3184.2 mm204.4 mm
2026-06-04232.9125.6186.1 mm207.5 mm
2026-06-05234.3129.8186.1 mm209.7 mm
2026-06-06239.4134.5186.6 mm213.0 mm
2026-06-07245.6139.0186.6 mm215.6 mm
2026-06-08250.7143.3186.6 mm218.6 mm
2026-06-09255.4147.3186.8 mm222.3 mm
2026-06-10259.1150.9186.8 mm225.1 mm
2026-06-11266.3155.3186.8 mm226.5 mm
2026-06-12277.2160.7186.8 mm227.8 mm
2026-06-13289.0166.3188.0 mm229.0 mm
2026-06-14299.2172.1192.1 mm231.4 mm
2026-06-15309.1177.7192.1 mm232.6 mm
2026-06-16318.9183.4192.8 mm234.5 mm
2026-06-17329.9189.3197.7 mm236.4 mm
2026-06-18340.8195.9200.6 mm237.3 mm
2026-06-19350.8202.8200.7 mm238.2 mm
2026-06-20362.4209.8201.9 mm240.0 mm
2026-06-21377.1216.8203.6 mm241.2 mm
2026-06-22391.6224.2204.6 mm242.1 mm
2026-06-23407.0231.7204.7 mm244.5 mm
2026-06-24422.0239.0207.0 mm245.9 mm
2026-06-25431.5246.4212.1 mm247.7 mm
2026-06-26440.7254.1212.9 mm249.1 mm
2026-06-27450.4261.5213.1 mm250.4 mm
2026-06-28458.3268.6213.2 mm252.6 mm
2026-06-29468.1275.8213.2 mm255.1 mm
2026-06-30479.2283.3213.2 mm258.1 mm
2026-07-01490.1290.1213.2 mm259.6 mm
2026-07-02502.0296.2213.2 mm261.7 mm
2026-07-03515.1302.6213.2 mm263.2 mm
2026-07-04529.4309.2213.2 mm264.8 mm
2026-07-05544.1315.8213.2 mm266.2 mm
2026-07-06558.4322.7213.4 mm267.7 mm
2026-07-07572.8329.7215.6 mm269.2 mm
2026-07-08586.5337.4215.6 mm271.2 mm
2026-07-09599.0345.4215.7 mm273.6 mm
2026-07-10612.3353.4222.1 mm274.5 mm
2026-07-11625.5361.2222.6 mm275.1 mm
2026-07-12636.6369.5223.5 mm275.8 mm
2026-07-13644.7378.0223.5 mm276.9 mm
2026-07-14654.5386.7223.7 mm277.7 mm
2026-07-15664.4395.4224.5 mm280.5 mm
2026-07-16672.9404.5229.9 mm281.7 mm
2026-07-17679.8413.6230.5 mm282.1 mm
2026-07-18689.1422.5230.7 mm282.5 mm
2026-07-19699.4431.5231.0 mm283.5 mm
2026-07-20710.2440.1231.5 mm284.2 mm
2026-07-21722.6448.7231.5 mm284.6 mm
2026-07-22734.2457.5231.5 mm287.1 mm
2026-07-23746.1466.6231.5 mm288.3 mm
2026-07-24753.9475.4233.6 mm289.0 mm
2026-07-25760.0484.5234.6 mm290.1 mm
2026-07-26766.9493.6234.6 mm291.1 mm
2026-07-27778.3502.4234.6 mm292.4 mm
2026-07-28791.6511.5234.6 mm293.2 mm
2026-07-29805.4520.6234.6 mm293.5 mm
2026-07-30817.2529.8234.6 mm294.3 mm
2026-07-31828.3538.7234.9 mm295.0 mm
2026-08-01839.5547.2234.9 mm295.9 mm
2026-08-02850.6555.7234.9 mm296.9 mm
2026-08-03860.9564.5235.7 mm297.3 mm
2026-08-04870.3573.6236.0 mm298.1 mm
2026-08-05880.5582.8236.1 mm298.6 mm
2026-08-06891.2592.0236.1 mm299.8 mm
2026-08-07902.3600.7236.1 mm301.7 mm
2026-08-08913.8609.0238.6 mm303.8 mm
2026-08-09923.0617.1238.7 mm305.9 mm
2026-08-10933.2625.5238.7 mm308.3 mm
2026-08-11945.2634.2238.7 mm309.4 mm
2026-08-12958.9642.8238.9 mm310.2 mm
2026-08-13973.0650.9239.0 mm310.6 mm
2026-08-14986.6659.6240.7 mm311.3 mm
2026-08-15998.1668.2245.3 mm312.6 mm
2026-08-161009.7676.6250.2 mm313.8 mm
2026-08-171022.5685.1250.2 mm315.2 mm
2026-08-181036.3693.6250.2 mm317.1 mm
2026-08-191049.7701.9250.7 mm318.2 mm
2026-08-201057.4710.4254.3 mm318.8 mm
2026-08-211063.1719.0254.4 mm319.2 mm
2026-08-221071.1727.1254.4 mm320.2 mm
2026-08-231080.0735.3254.4 mm321.2 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
106 GDDvs 71 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.9 mmvs 16.3 mm average

The forecast includes a period of potentially stressful heat. The region's 32°C heat threshold is reached Sep 4.

Sun8/30 24°Cavg 23°C 13°Cavg 11°C +8 GDD 0.5 mm
Mon8/31 25°Cavg 23°C 10°Cavg 12°C +7 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 28°Cavg 23°C 12°Cavg 11°C +9 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 29°Cavg 24°C 13°Cavg 11°C +11 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 32°Cavg 23°C 14°Cavg 12°C +12 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 33°Cavg 23°C 16°Cavg 12°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 31°Cavg 23°C 19°Cavg 12°C +15 GDD 0.1 mm
Sun9/6 29°Cavg 23°C 15°Cavg 11°C +11 GDD 0.3 mm
Mon9/7 24°Cavg 22°C 15°Cavg 11°C +10 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 26°Cavg 22°C 12°Cavg 11°C +10 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Bierzo & Valdeorras model uses a April 1–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.