Spain · Multi-region weather view
Bierzo & Valdeorras
Sign in to followMountain valleys along the transition from Galicia to Castilla y León.
Atlantic influence weakens toward the east, while enclosed valleys develop warmer summer days.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Vintage explorer
What stood out in 2024
Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window. A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.
More harvest rain than usual · High confidence
Harvest-window precipitation totaled 242 mm, +63 mm versus baseline.
Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.
Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence
The regional record had 2 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.
A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.
How unusual was 2024?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
16th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 19 of 34 other vintages 14.5°CGrowing-season rainfall
9th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 26 of 34 other vintages 571.8 mmHeat accumulation
17th lowest of 35 vintages Lower than 18 of 34 other vintages 1065 GDDHot days
9th most of 35 vintages More than 24 of 34 other vintages 1 days2024 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
-
1–31 Frost watchHeat accumulation
2024 0 GDDTypical 9 GDDRainfall
2024 200.9 mmTypical 97.4 mm- 2024 freezing days
- 6
- Typical
- 6.4
Wetter than the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 49 GDDTypical 26 GDDRainfall
2024 87.1 mmTypical 101.3 mm- 2024 freezing days
- 1
- Typical
- 2.6
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 57 GDDTypical 81 GDDRainfall
2024 97.2 mmTypical 97.3 mm- 2024 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.2
Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 169 GDDTypical 176 GDDRainfall
2024 107.8 mmTypical 59.6 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 280 GDDTypical 255 GDDRainfall
2024 20.4 mmTypical 36.9 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2024 314 GDDTypical 256 GDDRainfall
2024 17.0 mmTypical 39.5 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2024 116 GDDTypical 166 GDDRainfall
2024 87.3 mmTypical 61.3 mmHeat accumulation ran behind the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2024 81 GDDTypical 67 GDDRainfall
2024 155.1 mmTypical 118.3 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2024 GDD | Typical GDD | 2024 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2024 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2024 | 0 GDD | 9 GDD | 200.9 mm | 97.4 mm | 6 | 6.4 |
| April 2024 | 49 GDD | 26 GDD | 87.1 mm | 101.3 mm | 1 | 2.6 |
| May 2024 | 57 GDD | 81 GDD | 97.2 mm | 97.3 mm | 0 | 0.2 |
| June 2024 | 169 GDD | 176 GDD | 107.8 mm | 59.6 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2024 | 280 GDD | 255 GDD | 20.4 mm | 36.9 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2024 | 314 GDD | 256 GDD | 17.0 mm | 39.5 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2024 | 116 GDD | 166 GDD | 87.3 mm | 61.3 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2024 | 81 GDD | 67 GDD | 155.1 mm | 118.3 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2024 growing season
214 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Jul 14, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2015
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Harvest precipitation.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Harvest precipitation
- more rain: 16.3 mm
Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — warmer
View 2015 →Second closest
2020
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season precipitation.
- Spring frost exposure
- fewer frost-exposure days: 1 day
- Growing-season precipitation
- less rain: 25.9 mm
Largest difference: Growing-season mean temperature — warmer
View 2020 →Third closest
2014
Most alike in Growing degree days and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Growing degree days
- higher: 7 GDD
- Growing-season mean temperature
- warmer: 0.2°C
Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — fewer frost-exposure days
View 2014 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2015 0.430; 2020 0.433; 2014 0.544.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.4°C | -160 mm | 0 |
| 1992 | -1.2°C | -4 mm | 0 |
| 1993 | -1.8°C | +243 mm | 0 |
| 1994 | -0.8°C | -63 mm | 0 |
| 1995 | +0.5°C | -26 mm | 0 |
| 1996 | -0.4°C | -67 mm | 0 |
| 1997 | +0.2°C | +202 mm | 0 |
| 1998 | -0.6°C | +112 mm | 0 |
| 1999 | -0.4°C | +155 mm | 0 |
| 2000 | -0.6°C | +87 mm | 0 |
| 2001 | -0.1°C | -88 mm | 0 |
| 2002 | -0.7°C | -13 mm | 0 |
| 2003 | +0.6°C | +45 mm | 4 |
| 2004 | -0.1°C | +62 mm | 0 |
| 2005 | +0.6°C | -62 mm | 0 |
| 2006 | +1.1°C | +77 mm | 1 |
| 2007 | -0.7°C | -52 mm | 0 |
| 2008 | -1.1°C | +11 mm | 0 |
| 2009 | +0.2°C | -81 mm | 0 |
| 2010 | +0.5°C | -27 mm | 0 |
| 2011 | +0.8°C | -113 mm | 0 |
| 2012 | -0.8°C | +38 mm | 0 |
| 2013 | +0.2°C | -74 mm | 4 |
| 2014 | +0.5°C | -11 mm | 0 |
| 2015 | +0.8°C | +10 mm | 0 |
| 2016 | +0.7°C | -0 mm | 4 |
| 2017 | +1.6°C | -236 mm | 3 |
| 2018 | +0.6°C | +46 mm | 1 |
| 2019 | +0.1°C | -42 mm | 0 |
| 2020 | +0.8°C | +32 mm | 2 |
| 2021 | -0.1°C | -19 mm | 0 |
| 2022 | +1.5°C | -24 mm | 8 |
| 2023 | +1.4°C | +127 mm | 5 |
| 2024 | +0.3°C | +58 mm | 1 |
| 2025 | +1.4°C | -117 mm | 9 |
| 2026 | +3.0°C | -260 mm | 7 |
winter
6.1°C
+1.6°C vs baseline
325 mm rain · +13 mm
spring
9.1°C
-0.2°C vs baseline
385 mm rain · +89 mm
summer
18.3°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
145 mm rain · +9 mm
harvest
13.0°C
-0.4°C vs baseline
242 mm rain · +63 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -3.8°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 1 day
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -1.9°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -1.5°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -2.2°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 1 day
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.1°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -0.2°C
- Duration
- 1 day
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 16 days
- Total rain
- 1.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 15 days
- Total rain
- 2.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 15 days
- Total rain
- 0.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 47.0 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 42.9 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 37.2 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 48.6 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 48.1 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 37.2 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules bierzo-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Jul 14, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +85.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +61.8 to +108.9 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1039 GDD | +12 GDD |
| 1992 | 828 GDD | -200 GDD |
| 1993 | 741 GDD | -286 GDD |
| 1994 | 922 GDD | -105 GDD |
| 1995 | 1084 GDD | +56 GDD |
| 1996 | 923 GDD | -105 GDD |
| 1997 | 1009 GDD | -19 GDD |
| 1998 | 972 GDD | -56 GDD |
| 1999 | 945 GDD | -82 GDD |
| 2000 | 959 GDD | -69 GDD |
| 2001 | 1006 GDD | -22 GDD |
| 2002 | 892 GDD | -135 GDD |
| 2003 | 1142 GDD | +115 GDD |
| 2004 | 1053 GDD | +25 GDD |
| 2005 | 1125 GDD | +98 GDD |
| 2006 | 1186 GDD | +159 GDD |
| 2007 | 840 GDD | -188 GDD |
| 2008 | 809 GDD | -219 GDD |
| 2009 | 1070 GDD | +43 GDD |
| 2010 | 1119 GDD | +91 GDD |
| 2011 | 1104 GDD | +77 GDD |
| 2012 | 949 GDD | -78 GDD |
| 2013 | 1104 GDD | +77 GDD |
| 2014 | 1072 GDD | +45 GDD |
| 2015 | 1114 GDD | +87 GDD |
| 2016 | 1151 GDD | +123 GDD |
| 2017 | 1308 GDD | +281 GDD |
| 2018 | 1159 GDD | +131 GDD |
| 2019 | 1069 GDD | +42 GDD |
| 2020 | 1130 GDD | +102 GDD |
| 2021 | 944 GDD | -84 GDD |
| 2022 | 1321 GDD | +294 GDD |
| 2023 | 1259 GDD | +231 GDD |
| 2024 | 1065 GDD | +38 GDD |
| 2025 | 1277 GDD | +249 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.53 °C per decade 95% interval +0.38 to +0.68
- Growing degree days
- +85.35 GDD per decade 95% interval +61.84 to +108.86
- Growing-season precipitation
- -17.18 mm per decade 95% interval -46.22 to +11.87
- Hot days
- +1.25 days per decade 95% interval +0.53 to +1.98
- Spring frost days
- -0.47 days per decade 95% interval -1.74 to +0.80
- Longest dry spell
- +0.69 days per decade 95% interval -0.90 to +2.28
Last Updated July 15, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +1.0°C | +0.6 to +1.5°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.6°C | +1.1 to +2.2°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.9°C | +1.4 to +2.9°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 24°C | 25°C | 28°C | 29°C | 32°C | 33°C | 31°C | 29°C | 24°C | 26°C |
| Low | 13°C | 10°C | 12°C | 13°C | 14°C | 16°C | 19°C | 15°C | 15°C | 12°C |
| Rain | 0.5 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.1 mm | 0.3 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm |
Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (25.0°C); Late January has the coolest (7.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (54%) and least frequent in Late July (18%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 7.4°C (5.3–9.4°C) | 1.0°C (-1.0–3.1°C) | 44% | 31.4 mm (21.1–84.8 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 7.3°C (5.0–9.3°C) | 0.7°C (-1.3–2.6°C) | 42% | 38.5 mm (13.7–85.0 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 8.7°C (5.8–10.9°C) | 0.8°C (-1.1–2.7°C) | 39% | 32.1 mm (18.2–66.5 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 9.0°C (6.3–12.2°C) | 0.8°C (-1.4–3.0°C) | 40% | 24.3 mm (18.7–43.9 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 10.9°C (7.9–14.2°C) | 2.6°C (0.2–4.4°C) | 39% | 37.3 mm (15.1–58.5 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 12.3°C (9.0–15.9°C) | 3.3°C (1.0–5.3°C) | 46% | 39.3 mm (18.2–68.9 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 12.8°C (9.1–16.7°C) | 3.6°C (1.4–5.8°C) | 45% | 40.4 mm (24.5–66.4 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 13.4°C (9.8–17.1°C) | 4.7°C (2.8–6.9°C) | 54% | 43.1 mm (30.8–74.7 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 15.3°C (12.2–18.8°C) | 6.4°C (3.8–8.1°C) | 50% | 51.2 mm (26.1–69.0 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 18.4°C (14.3–21.4°C) | 8.1°C (6.0–10.1°C) | 44% | 45.5 mm (27.1–62.4 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 20.0°C (16.0–23.2°C) | 9.6°C (7.6–11.6°C) | 36% | 26.8 mm (13.6–54.4 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 22.9°C (19.4–25.8°C) | 11.7°C (9.7–13.6°C) | 32% | 22.4 mm (10.2–34.3 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 23.4°C (19.4–26.3°C) | 12.0°C (10.1–14.1°C) | 26% | 17.9 mm (10.2–25.8 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 25.0°C (22.5–27.5°C) | 13.2°C (11.7–15.0°C) | 18% | 14.5 mm (8.0–18.5 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 24.7°C (21.5–27.7°C) | 12.8°C (10.8–14.7°C) | 21% | 12.9 mm (5.9–23.3 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 23.9°C (21.1–26.4°C) | 12.6°C (10.5–14.2°C) | 22% | 18.9 mm (3.3–29.8 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 22.8°C (19.5–25.1°C) | 11.3°C (9.4–12.7°C) | 27% | 22.1 mm (7.3–35.2 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 19.4°C (16.4–22.4°C) | 9.7°C (7.7–11.4°C) | 34% | 39.7 mm (19.3–49.8 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 17.1°C (13.8–19.5°C) | 7.8°C (6.0–10.1°C) | 38% | 39.2 mm (26.1–53.6 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 14.3°C (11.5–16.8°C) | 7.0°C (4.2–9.2°C) | 48% | 65.3 mm (30.7–93.5 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 11.3°C (9.0–13.7°C) | 4.3°C (2.3–6.7°C) | 51% | 47.0 mm (29.7–99.7 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 9.0°C (7.1–11.3°C) | 2.4°C (0.5–4.6°C) | 48% | 47.6 mm (20.7–82.5 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 8.4°C (6.4–10.2°C) | 1.9°C (-0.2–4.2°C) | 44% | 47.2 mm (18.3–80.3 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 7.6°C (5.9–9.5°C) | 1.3°C (-0.8–3.8°C) | 44% | 49.8 mm (22.0–83.0 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated July 15, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Apr 1–Aug 30, 2026
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 mm | 4.1 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 mm | 8.1 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 mm | 12.5 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 mm | 15.6 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 mm | 17.9 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 14.9 | 3.5 | 0.2 mm | 21.0 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 18.3 | 4.4 | 7.4 mm | 23.2 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 19.5 | 5.4 | 10.9 mm | 25.4 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 23.5 | 6.2 | 11.0 mm | 29.2 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 29.7 | 7.2 | 11.0 mm | 34.1 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 29.7 | 8.0 | 11.3 mm | 36.6 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 29.7 | 8.7 | 13.2 mm | 39.3 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 29.7 | 9.6 | 14.7 mm | 42.0 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 30.0 | 10.6 | 15.8 mm | 45.1 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 31.3 | 11.3 | 15.8 mm | 49.8 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 33.9 | 12.1 | 15.9 mm | 53.6 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 36.9 | 13.0 | 15.9 mm | 56.8 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 41.7 | 13.8 | 16.3 mm | 61.8 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 47.2 | 14.5 | 16.9 mm | 66.7 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 52.6 | 15.3 | 17.0 mm | 70.4 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 58.3 | 16.0 | 19.3 mm | 73.7 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 62.1 | 16.7 | 19.6 mm | 76.8 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 66.7 | 17.8 | 20.9 mm | 79.4 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 71.3 | 19.1 | 31.1 mm | 82.2 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 75.6 | 20.6 | 32.5 mm | 87.0 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 80.8 | 21.7 | 34.5 mm | 89.4 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 85.5 | 22.8 | 46.6 mm | 91.7 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 89.7 | 23.9 | 56.0 mm | 94.0 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 91.3 | 25.0 | 76.5 mm | 96.9 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 93.3 | 26.1 | 77.7 mm | 101.3 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 96.1 | 27.3 | 78.2 mm | 104.3 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 97.8 | 28.7 | 90.5 mm | 106.5 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 98.1 | 30.4 | 98.0 mm | 108.7 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 98.1 | 32.3 | 102.2 mm | 112.0 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 98.1 | 33.7 | 106.8 mm | 115.5 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 98.1 | 35.3 | 107.1 mm | 119.1 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 98.1 | 37.1 | 111.5 mm | 122.6 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 98.1 | 39.1 | 122.4 mm | 126.6 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 98.1 | 41.1 | 131.7 mm | 130.3 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 98.1 | 43.0 | 137.5 mm | 134.1 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 98.5 | 44.8 | 150.9 mm | 137.5 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 98.5 | 46.6 | 164.5 mm | 141.7 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 99.1 | 48.6 | 164.6 mm | 144.9 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 99.1 | 50.2 | 165.3 mm | 148.5 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 99.1 | 52.5 | 169.7 mm | 151.1 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 99.1 | 55.2 | 169.8 mm | 155.0 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 99.1 | 58.0 | 170.4 mm | 158.4 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 99.3 | 60.6 | 170.4 mm | 161.7 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 102.3 | 63.0 | 171.1 mm | 164.7 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 106.2 | 65.6 | 171.1 mm | 167.0 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 114.0 | 68.6 | 171.2 mm | 169.5 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 124.1 | 72.1 | 172.0 mm | 172.1 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 132.3 | 75.8 | 177.3 mm | 175.9 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 142.1 | 79.2 | 179.7 mm | 179.1 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 152.4 | 82.6 | 181.5 mm | 182.8 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 161.6 | 86.0 | 181.5 mm | 184.9 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 173.3 | 89.7 | 182.9 mm | 186.9 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 185.0 | 93.7 | 183.2 mm | 189.7 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 195.3 | 98.1 | 183.5 mm | 193.4 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 204.8 | 102.6 | 183.8 mm | 195.8 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 213.2 | 107.1 | 183.8 mm | 198.5 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 221.0 | 111.7 | 183.8 mm | 201.4 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 225.3 | 116.3 | 184.2 mm | 203.2 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 230.4 | 121.3 | 184.2 mm | 204.4 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 232.9 | 125.6 | 186.1 mm | 207.5 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 234.3 | 129.8 | 186.1 mm | 209.7 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 239.4 | 134.5 | 186.6 mm | 213.0 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 245.6 | 139.0 | 186.6 mm | 215.6 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 250.7 | 143.3 | 186.6 mm | 218.6 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 255.4 | 147.3 | 186.8 mm | 222.3 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 259.1 | 150.9 | 186.8 mm | 225.1 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 266.3 | 155.3 | 186.8 mm | 226.5 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 277.2 | 160.7 | 186.8 mm | 227.8 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 289.0 | 166.3 | 188.0 mm | 229.0 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 299.2 | 172.1 | 192.1 mm | 231.4 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 309.1 | 177.7 | 192.1 mm | 232.6 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 318.9 | 183.4 | 192.8 mm | 234.5 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 329.9 | 189.3 | 197.7 mm | 236.4 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 340.8 | 195.9 | 200.6 mm | 237.3 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 350.8 | 202.8 | 200.7 mm | 238.2 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 362.4 | 209.8 | 201.9 mm | 240.0 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 377.1 | 216.8 | 203.6 mm | 241.2 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 391.6 | 224.2 | 204.6 mm | 242.1 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 407.0 | 231.7 | 204.7 mm | 244.5 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 422.0 | 239.0 | 207.0 mm | 245.9 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 431.5 | 246.4 | 212.1 mm | 247.7 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 440.7 | 254.1 | 212.9 mm | 249.1 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 450.4 | 261.5 | 213.1 mm | 250.4 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 458.3 | 268.6 | 213.2 mm | 252.6 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 468.1 | 275.8 | 213.2 mm | 255.1 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 479.2 | 283.3 | 213.2 mm | 258.1 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 490.1 | 290.1 | 213.2 mm | 259.6 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 502.0 | 296.2 | 213.2 mm | 261.7 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 515.1 | 302.6 | 213.2 mm | 263.2 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 529.4 | 309.2 | 213.2 mm | 264.8 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 544.1 | 315.8 | 213.2 mm | 266.2 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 558.4 | 322.7 | 213.4 mm | 267.7 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 572.8 | 329.7 | 215.6 mm | 269.2 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 586.5 | 337.4 | 215.6 mm | 271.2 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 599.0 | 345.4 | 215.7 mm | 273.6 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 612.3 | 353.4 | 222.1 mm | 274.5 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 625.5 | 361.2 | 222.6 mm | 275.1 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 636.6 | 369.5 | 223.5 mm | 275.8 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 644.7 | 378.0 | 223.5 mm | 276.9 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 654.5 | 386.7 | 223.7 mm | 277.7 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 664.4 | 395.4 | 224.5 mm | 280.5 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 672.9 | 404.5 | 229.9 mm | 281.7 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 679.8 | 413.6 | 230.5 mm | 282.1 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 689.1 | 422.5 | 230.7 mm | 282.5 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 699.4 | 431.5 | 231.0 mm | 283.5 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 710.2 | 440.1 | 231.5 mm | 284.2 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 722.6 | 448.7 | 231.5 mm | 284.6 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 734.2 | 457.5 | 231.5 mm | 287.1 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 746.1 | 466.6 | 231.5 mm | 288.3 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 753.9 | 475.4 | 233.6 mm | 289.0 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 760.0 | 484.5 | 234.6 mm | 290.1 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 766.9 | 493.6 | 234.6 mm | 291.1 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 778.3 | 502.4 | 234.6 mm | 292.4 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 791.6 | 511.5 | 234.6 mm | 293.2 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 805.4 | 520.6 | 234.6 mm | 293.5 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 817.2 | 529.8 | 234.6 mm | 294.3 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 828.3 | 538.7 | 234.9 mm | 295.0 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 839.5 | 547.2 | 234.9 mm | 295.9 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 850.6 | 555.7 | 234.9 mm | 296.9 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 860.9 | 564.5 | 235.7 mm | 297.3 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 870.3 | 573.6 | 236.0 mm | 298.1 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 880.5 | 582.8 | 236.1 mm | 298.6 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 891.2 | 592.0 | 236.1 mm | 299.8 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 902.3 | 600.7 | 236.1 mm | 301.7 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 913.8 | 609.0 | 238.6 mm | 303.8 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 923.0 | 617.1 | 238.7 mm | 305.9 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 933.2 | 625.5 | 238.7 mm | 308.3 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 945.2 | 634.2 | 238.7 mm | 309.4 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 958.9 | 642.8 | 238.9 mm | 310.2 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 973.0 | 650.9 | 239.0 mm | 310.6 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 986.6 | 659.6 | 240.7 mm | 311.3 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 998.1 | 668.2 | 245.3 mm | 312.6 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1009.7 | 676.6 | 250.2 mm | 313.8 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1022.5 | 685.1 | 250.2 mm | 315.2 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1036.3 | 693.6 | 250.2 mm | 317.1 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1049.7 | 701.9 | 250.7 mm | 318.2 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1057.4 | 710.4 | 254.3 mm | 318.8 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1063.1 | 719.0 | 254.4 mm | 319.2 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1071.1 | 727.1 | 254.4 mm | 320.2 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1080.0 | 735.3 | 254.4 mm | 321.2 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 106 GDDvs 71 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 0.9 mmvs 16.3 mm average
The forecast includes a period of potentially stressful heat. The region's 32°C heat threshold is reached Sep 4.
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Bierzo & Valdeorras model uses a April 1–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.