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France · Detailed regional profile

Burgundy

An inland region associated with Pinot Noir and Chardonnay across appellations stretching from Chablis to the Mâconnais.

Frost, a limited supply of warmth, summer heat, and rain near harvest can each have an outsized effect on the season.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Vineyard rows in Vougeot, Burgundy, France
Gu Bra / Pexels

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature17.9°C
Dew Point17.2°C
Relative Humidity96%
24h Rainfall0.7 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Moderately cooler and significantly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature16.4°C
Temperature anomaly-0.7°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1209base 10°C
Hot days1≥ 32°C

What stood out in 2021

Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure. A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

Wetter than baseline · Moderate confidence

Growing-season precipitation was 108 mm above the 1991–2020 baseline.

Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure.

Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence

The regional record had 4 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.

A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

How unusual was 2021?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

4th coolest of 35 vintages Cooler than 31 of 34 other vintages 16.4°C

Growing-season rainfall

5th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 30 of 34 other vintages 592.4 mm

Heat accumulation

4th lowest of 35 vintages Lower than 31 of 34 other vintages 1209 GDD

Hot days

6th fewest of 35 vintages Fewer than 28 of 34 other vintages 1 days

2021 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2021 0 GDD
    Typical 16 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 55.4 mm
    Typical 67.5 mm
    2021 freezing days
    7
    Typical
    5.1

    More freezing days than the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2021 22 GDD
    Typical 57 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 39.3 mm
    Typical 78.9 mm
    2021 freezing days
    4
    Typical
    0.9

    More freezing days than the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2021 80 GDD
    Typical 150 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 131.8 mm
    Typical 91.4 mm
    2021 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2021 287 GDD
    Typical 250 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 139.1 mm
    Typical 73.8 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2021 285 GDD
    Typical 326 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 135.0 mm
    Typical 71.2 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2021 272 GDD
    Typical 320 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 49.1 mm
    Typical 72.8 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2021 236 GDD
    Typical 189 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 88.5 mm
    Typical 79.4 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  8. 1–15
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2021 28 GDD
    Typical 54 GDD

    Rainfall

    2021 34.0 mm
    Typical 47.6 mm

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2021 GDDTypical GDD2021 rainfallTypical rainfall2021 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2021 0 GDD 16 GDD 55.4 mm 67.5 mm 75.1
April 2021 22 GDD 57 GDD 39.3 mm 78.9 mm 40.9
May 2021 80 GDD 150 GDD 131.8 mm 91.4 mm 00.0
June 2021 287 GDD 250 GDD 139.1 mm 73.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2021 285 GDD 326 GDD 135.0 mm 71.2 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2021 272 GDD 320 GDD 49.1 mm 72.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2021 236 GDD 189 GDD 88.5 mm 79.4 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2021 28 GDD 54 GDD 34.0 mm 47.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2021 growing season

184 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Jul 14, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2008

    Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Growing degree days.

    Growing-season mean temperature
    warmer: 0.0°C
    Growing degree days
    lower: 7 GDD

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2008 →

  2. Second closest

    1995

    Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Growing degree days.

    Growing-season mean temperature
    warmer: 0.0°C
    Growing degree days
    higher: 16 GDD

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain

    View 1995 →

  3. Third closest

    2016

    Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Growing-season mean temperature.

    Growing-season precipitation
    less rain: 25.8 mm
    Growing-season mean temperature
    warmer: 0.3°C

    Largest difference: Hot-day count — more hot days

    View 2016 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2008 0.335; 1995 0.595; 2016 0.639.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +3.6°C −3.6°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +350 mm −350 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-1.0°C-55 mm2
1992-0.3°C+58 mm5
1993-0.7°C+195 mm0
1994+0.0°C+23 mm8
1995-0.6°C+60 mm4
1996-1.4°C-49 mm0
1997+0.0°C-28 mm2
1998-0.6°C+17 mm7
1999+0.1°C+26 mm1
2000-0.1°C+61 mm0
2001-0.6°C+80 mm4
2002-0.6°C-40 mm4
2003+2.1°C-97 mm20
2004-0.2°C-81 mm2
2005+0.2°C-73 mm9
2006+0.9°C-31 mm12
2007-0.1°C+77 mm0
2008-0.7°C+56 mm0
2009+0.4°C-39 mm4
2010-0.4°C-22 mm6
2011+0.5°C-103 mm6
2012-0.1°C+146 mm7
2013-0.5°C+135 mm7
2014-0.2°C+52 mm4
2015+0.6°C-14 mm21
2016-0.4°C+83 mm8
2017+0.1°C-48 mm11
2018+1.9°C-205 mm11
2019+0.9°C-136 mm16
2020+0.9°C-49 mm16
2021-0.7°C+108 mm1
2022+1.5°C+2 mm16
2023+1.8°C-117 mm17
2024-0.4°C+204 mm5
2025+0.3°C-19 mm16
2026+3.3°C-339 mm37

winter

5.0°C

+1.2°C vs baseline

337 mm rain · +105 mm

spring

9.7°C

-1.4°C vs baseline

226 mm rain · -11 mm

summer

19.2°C

-0.6°C vs baseline

323 mm rain · +105 mm

harvest

16.2°C

-0.0°C vs baseline

133 mm rain · -23 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.0°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  2. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.8°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  3. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -2.1°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Severe-freeze days
    2 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  4. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.1°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  5. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.0°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  6. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -2.6°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Severe-freeze days
    2 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  7. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.8°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  8. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    36.4 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    36.4 mm
    Trigger threshold
    29.9 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  9. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    33.0 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    32.7 mm
    Trigger threshold
    29.9 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules burgundy-v4-2026-08. Source last updated Jul 14, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +65.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +38.6 to +92.0 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 15–October 15 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911212 GDD-116 GDD
19921282 GDD-47 GDD
19931177 GDD-151 GDD
19941342 GDD+13 GDD
19951225 GDD-103 GDD
19961061 GDD-267 GDD
19971340 GDD+11 GDD
19981228 GDD-101 GDD
19991348 GDD+20 GDD
20001300 GDD-29 GDD
20011232 GDD-96 GDD
20021215 GDD-114 GDD
20031693 GDD+365 GDD
20041281 GDD-47 GDD
20051361 GDD+33 GDD
20061476 GDD+147 GDD
20071284 GDD-44 GDD
20081203 GDD-126 GDD
20091396 GDD+68 GDD
20101249 GDD-80 GDD
20111392 GDD+63 GDD
20121310 GDD-19 GDD
20131246 GDD-83 GDD
20141277 GDD-52 GDD
20151436 GDD+108 GDD
20161288 GDD-41 GDD
20171370 GDD+42 GDD
20181650 GDD+322 GDD
20191488 GDD+160 GDD
20201491 GDD+163 GDD
20211209 GDD-119 GDD
20221585 GDD+257 GDD
20231648 GDD+320 GDD
20241269 GDD-59 GDD
20251371 GDD+43 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.38 °C per decade 95% interval +0.23 to +0.53
Growing degree days
+65.32 GDD per decade 95% interval +38.64 to +92.00
Growing-season precipitation
-9.85 mm per decade 95% interval -39.11 to +19.41
Hot days
+3.26 days per decade 95% interval +2.33 to +4.19
Spring frost days
-0.06 days per decade 95% interval -1.23 to +1.11
Longest dry spell
+0.76 days per decade 95% interval -0.63 to +2.15

Last Updated July 15, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.0°C+0.6 to +1.6°C25
2041-2060+1.6°C+1.0 to +2.6°C25
2061-2075+2.0°C+1.5 to +3.6°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 24°C 23°C 24°C 26°C 27°C 30°C 31°C 31°C 27°C 23°C
Low 17°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 17°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 15°C
Rain 6.7 mm 0.5 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.5 mm 4.7 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (26.4°C); Late January has the coolest (5.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early May (52%) and least frequent in Early September (36%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Burgundy Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -5°C5°C15°C25°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Burgundy The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Burgundy typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–156.7°C (3.1–9.7°C)1.4°C (-1.6–4.6°C)47%39.1 mm (20.0–54.0 mm)
Jan 16–315.3°C (2.9–8.6°C)0.2°C (-2.1–3.0°C)45%37.1 mm (24.3–46.5 mm)
Feb 1–157.1°C (3.5–10.3°C)0.6°C (-1.9–3.3°C)46%40.2 mm (29.9–52.3 mm)
Feb 16–298.8°C (5.5–11.5°C)1.3°C (-1.2–3.7°C)42%26.6 mm (13.7–40.2 mm)
Mar 1–1511.1°C (8.2–14.0°C)2.7°C (0.3–5.1°C)43%29.8 mm (18.0–49.3 mm)
Mar 16–3112.9°C (9.9–16.1°C)4.1°C (1.7–6.4°C)40%28.6 mm (19.5–49.9 mm)
Apr 1–1514.3°C (11.3–17.5°C)5.3°C (3.0–7.1°C)41%31.3 mm (9.0–54.2 mm)
Apr 16–3016.4°C (13.4–20.6°C)7.3°C (4.7–9.6°C)48%38.6 mm (29.0–64.3 mm)
May 1–1518.3°C (15.1–21.8°C)9.3°C (6.9–11.3°C)52%50.5 mm (32.6–58.5 mm)
May 16–3120.5°C (17.7–23.7°C)10.7°C (8.6–12.7°C)43%40.4 mm (26.2–58.1 mm)
Jun 1–1521.8°C (18.8–25.6°C)12.5°C (10.7–14.6°C)52%42.2 mm (35.8–54.7 mm)
Jun 16–3024.4°C (21.4–27.9°C)13.9°C (11.7–16.0°C)38%27.2 mm (19.4–36.5 mm)
Jul 1–1525.0°C (21.6–28.0°C)14.7°C (13.0–16.4°C)42%35.8 mm (21.8–56.6 mm)
Jul 16–3126.4°C (23.5–29.5°C)15.8°C (13.7–17.3°C)37%31.1 mm (21.1–44.8 mm)
Aug 1–1525.7°C (22.9–29.2°C)15.3°C (13.6–17.3°C)40%30.7 mm (23.2–41.6 mm)
Aug 16–3124.9°C (21.6–28.9°C)14.5°C (12.5–16.3°C)38%36.5 mm (26.8–52.7 mm)
Sep 1–1521.8°C (19.2–25.1°C)12.4°C (10.2–14.6°C)36%30.1 mm (12.9–54.2 mm)
Sep 16–3019.8°C (17.1–23.0°C)10.5°C (8.5–12.8°C)38%33.4 mm (18.2–59.6 mm)
Oct 1–1517.1°C (14.4–20.1°C)9.5°C (7.6–11.7°C)47%44.8 mm (25.8–57.5 mm)
Oct 16–3115.0°C (11.8–17.7°C)7.6°C (4.6–10.2°C)41%43.0 mm (25.6–58.2 mm)
Nov 1–1511.6°C (9.1–13.7°C)5.2°C (2.7–7.6°C)52%45.7 mm (23.3–77.9 mm)
Nov 16–308.6°C (5.1–11.2°C)2.9°C (0.4–5.9°C)44%39.5 mm (27.3–53.3 mm)
Dec 1–156.6°C (3.7–9.6°C)1.7°C (-1.2–4.8°C)47%44.6 mm (21.2–61.8 mm)
Dec 16–316.6°C (3.0–9.7°C)1.2°C (-1.4–4.8°C)49%51.3 mm (28.9–69.3 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated July 15, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 15–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1369.2base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall145.2 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1369 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 337 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-150.41.50.0 mm3.2 mm
2026-04-163.93.20.3 mm6.5 mm
2026-04-177.94.60.4 mm9.1 mm
2026-04-1812.76.20.4 mm11.2 mm
2026-04-1917.07.81.5 mm12.9 mm
2026-04-2018.210.01.5 mm14.7 mm
2026-04-2118.613.01.5 mm16.2 mm
2026-04-2219.916.51.5 mm18.0 mm
2026-04-2322.619.61.5 mm20.6 mm
2026-04-2426.122.71.5 mm22.7 mm
2026-04-2529.926.11.5 mm26.9 mm
2026-04-2633.829.11.5 mm32.1 mm
2026-04-2738.331.81.5 mm36.5 mm
2026-04-2841.934.52.0 mm39.9 mm
2026-04-2948.137.32.0 mm43.2 mm
2026-04-3054.640.02.0 mm47.6 mm
2026-05-0160.642.72.3 mm52.0 mm
2026-05-0268.545.82.3 mm56.0 mm
2026-05-0373.949.03.2 mm58.8 mm
2026-05-0476.852.710.1 mm61.2 mm
2026-05-0580.256.126.2 mm64.5 mm
2026-05-0681.559.835.7 mm66.9 mm
2026-05-0783.763.836.3 mm68.1 mm
2026-05-0887.268.136.4 mm72.5 mm
2026-05-0993.772.736.4 mm75.5 mm
2026-05-1098.077.842.8 mm78.0 mm
2026-05-11100.382.752.4 mm81.8 mm
2026-05-12100.687.153.1 mm85.0 mm
2026-05-13101.291.354.8 mm89.2 mm
2026-05-14101.295.461.4 mm93.1 mm
2026-05-15101.299.165.5 mm95.1 mm
2026-05-16101.2103.567.5 mm97.7 mm
2026-05-17101.8108.568.9 mm100.9 mm
2026-05-18104.5113.271.8 mm104.8 mm
2026-05-19108.4117.574.2 mm107.5 mm
2026-05-20114.2122.274.4 mm110.1 mm
2026-05-21120.8127.574.4 mm113.2 mm
2026-05-22129.7132.674.4 mm116.8 mm
2026-05-23140.1137.974.4 mm118.9 mm
2026-05-24152.4144.074.4 mm120.2 mm
2026-05-25165.8150.774.4 mm121.9 mm
2026-05-26179.3157.474.4 mm124.5 mm
2026-05-27192.2164.074.4 mm126.9 mm
2026-05-28205.3170.574.5 mm130.0 mm
2026-05-29218.3177.074.5 mm132.1 mm
2026-05-30231.2183.674.5 mm135.5 mm
2026-05-31241.4189.875.1 mm139.0 mm
2026-06-01250.0196.375.2 mm141.5 mm
2026-06-02257.7203.679.2 mm145.7 mm
2026-06-03264.6210.580.0 mm149.1 mm
2026-06-04269.5217.586.3 mm151.3 mm
2026-06-05274.0224.686.7 mm155.1 mm
2026-06-06280.0232.087.1 mm158.6 mm
2026-06-07286.2239.587.1 mm161.3 mm
2026-06-08293.0247.293.9 mm164.4 mm
2026-06-09298.4255.194.3 mm166.3 mm
2026-06-10302.1262.997.8 mm169.1 mm
2026-06-11306.2270.498.2 mm172.7 mm
2026-06-12315.2277.898.4 mm175.3 mm
2026-06-13326.0285.398.4 mm177.8 mm
2026-06-14336.0293.198.4 mm180.3 mm
2026-06-15345.3301.598.4 mm184.3 mm
2026-06-16358.3309.798.5 mm186.0 mm
2026-06-17371.9318.198.5 mm188.1 mm
2026-06-18387.7326.998.5 mm189.1 mm
2026-06-19404.4335.998.5 mm190.9 mm
2026-06-20420.7344.498.6 mm193.1 mm
2026-06-21438.5353.698.7 mm195.3 mm
2026-06-22456.9362.598.7 mm197.3 mm
2026-06-23475.4371.398.7 mm198.8 mm
2026-06-24494.2380.498.7 mm200.5 mm
2026-06-25512.9389.798.7 mm202.3 mm
2026-06-26533.4399.498.7 mm204.4 mm
2026-06-27553.1409.698.7 mm206.6 mm
2026-06-28571.0419.7100.9 mm208.8 mm
2026-06-29584.5429.7112.7 mm211.3 mm
2026-06-30598.8439.7112.9 mm212.9 mm
2026-07-01611.1449.9113.6 mm215.2 mm
2026-07-02622.3460.3113.6 mm217.9 mm
2026-07-03635.1470.5113.6 mm221.4 mm
2026-07-04647.0480.8113.6 mm223.3 mm
2026-07-05659.8490.9113.6 mm226.8 mm
2026-07-06673.6500.5113.6 mm231.1 mm
2026-07-07689.9509.8113.6 mm233.7 mm
2026-07-08704.9519.3113.6 mm235.7 mm
2026-07-09720.9528.9113.6 mm237.5 mm
2026-07-10738.0538.5113.6 mm241.1 mm
2026-07-11756.1548.2113.6 mm243.0 mm
2026-07-12774.0558.0113.6 mm244.8 mm
2026-07-13792.7567.8114.4 mm248.0 mm
2026-07-14810.6577.7115.2 mm251.0 mm
2026-07-15826.4587.8119.5 mm252.2 mm
2026-07-16840.8598.7122.1 mm252.9 mm
2026-07-17853.8609.7126.8 mm254.8 mm
2026-07-18865.8620.6128.8 mm256.6 mm
2026-07-19877.0631.9128.9 mm258.3 mm
2026-07-20886.4643.3128.9 mm260.5 mm
2026-07-21895.8654.3128.9 mm263.1 mm
2026-07-22905.9665.1128.9 mm266.2 mm
2026-07-23916.4676.2128.9 mm269.5 mm
2026-07-24927.7687.2128.9 mm270.9 mm
2026-07-25941.0698.2129.4 mm272.2 mm
2026-07-26953.4709.7129.5 mm273.3 mm
2026-07-27966.2721.6130.1 mm275.4 mm
2026-07-28980.1732.7130.1 mm279.1 mm
2026-07-29998.3743.8130.1 mm280.4 mm
2026-07-301015.2755.0130.3 mm282.7 mm
2026-07-311029.9765.8133.1 mm284.1 mm
2026-08-011043.9776.8136.8 mm286.0 mm
2026-08-021059.7788.2136.8 mm288.7 mm
2026-08-031078.1799.6137.2 mm290.5 mm
2026-08-041094.9810.7138.2 mm292.3 mm
2026-08-051109.7822.3138.2 mm294.2 mm
2026-08-061122.9833.9138.2 mm297.2 mm
2026-08-071134.9845.5138.2 mm300.2 mm
2026-08-081148.0856.5138.2 mm304.1 mm
2026-08-091164.1867.4138.8 mm306.8 mm
2026-08-101180.8877.7138.9 mm309.5 mm
2026-08-111197.5887.7138.9 mm311.1 mm
2026-08-121215.1898.1138.9 mm313.2 mm
2026-08-131234.0908.2138.9 mm315.0 mm
2026-08-141253.1918.1139.0 mm316.6 mm
2026-08-151271.0928.5139.1 mm318.3 mm
2026-08-161287.5938.5140.0 mm321.1 mm
2026-08-171301.8949.2140.9 mm322.8 mm
2026-08-181315.3960.2140.9 mm325.7 mm
2026-08-191330.6971.0140.9 mm327.5 mm
2026-08-201342.5981.5141.8 mm329.5 mm
2026-08-211352.0991.6145.1 mm332.5 mm
2026-08-221359.71002.0145.2 mm334.9 mm
2026-08-231369.21012.3145.2 mm337.2 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
111 GDDvs 76 GDD average
Total rainfall
12.4 mmvs 21.1 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 24°Cavg 23°C 17°Cavg 13°C +10 GDD 6.7 mm
Mon8/31 23°Cavg 23°C 15°Cavg 13°C +8 GDD 0.5 mm
Tue9/1 24°Cavg 22°C 14°Cavg 13°C +9 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 26°Cavg 23°C 14°Cavg 12°C +9 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 27°Cavg 23°C 15°Cavg 13°C +10 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 30°Cavg 23°C 17°Cavg 13°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 31°Cavg 22°C 19°Cavg 13°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 31°Cavg 22°C 20°Cavg 12°C +15 GDD 0.5 mm
Mon9/7 27°Cavg 22°C 18°Cavg 13°C +13 GDD 4.7 mm
Tue9/8 23°Cavg 22°C 15°Cavg 12°C +9 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Burgundy model uses a April 15–October 15 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.