Australia · Multi-region weather view
Coonawarra
Sign in to followA narrow southern South Australian district over terra rossa soils.
Southern Ocean influence supports a cooler, longer season than regions farther north.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Temperature16.5°C
Dew Point11.6°C
Relative Humidity73%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29
Vintage explorer
Mean temperature16.9°C
Temperature anomaly+0.7°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1696base 10°C
Hot days12≥ 35°C
What stood out in 2011
No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.
Close to the usual range · Low confidence
Temperature, rainfall, heat, and frost all stayed within the site's published thresholds.
No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.
How unusual was 2011?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
6th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 29 of 34 other vintages 16.9°CGrowing-season rainfall
12th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 23 of 34 other vintages 258.2 mmHeat accumulation
6th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 29 of 34 other vintages 1696 GDDHot days
16th most of 35 vintages More than 18 of 34 other vintages 12 days2011 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
Frost watch
Growing season
Harvest window
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 71 GDDTypical 55 GDDRainfall
2011 45.9 mmTypical 69.2 mm- 2011 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.2
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 131 GDDTypical 111 GDDRainfall
2011 31.3 mmTypical 44.5 mm- 2011 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.1
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 200 GDDTypical 172 GDDRainfall
2011 45.8 mmTypical 40.7 mm- 2011 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 261 GDDTypical 238 GDDRainfall
2011 41.8 mmTypical 37.9 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2011 350 GDDTypical 300 GDDRainfall
2011 11.9 mmTypical 28.7 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–29 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2011 293 GDDTypical 277 GDDRainfall
2011 13.1 mmTypical 21.7 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2011 228 GDDTypical 234 GDDRainfall
2011 43.5 mmTypical 26.7 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2011 163 GDDTypical 131 GDDRainfall
2011 24.9 mmTypical 37.0 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2011 GDD | Typical GDD | 2011 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2011 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2011 | 71 GDD | 55 GDD | 45.9 mm | 69.2 mm | 0 | 0.2 |
| October 2011 | 131 GDD | 111 GDD | 31.3 mm | 44.5 mm | 0 | 0.1 |
| November 2011 | 200 GDD | 172 GDD | 45.8 mm | 40.7 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| December 2011 | 261 GDD | 238 GDD | 41.8 mm | 37.9 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| January 2012 | 350 GDD | 300 GDD | 11.9 mm | 28.7 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| February 2012 | 293 GDD | 277 GDD | 13.1 mm | 21.7 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| March 2012 | 228 GDD | 234 GDD | 43.5 mm | 26.7 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| April 2012 | 163 GDD | 131 GDD | 24.9 mm | 37.0 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2011 growing season
243 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
Mean temperature
Daily rainfall
Season GDD
Season rainfall
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2021
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing degree days
- lower: 75 GDD
Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days
View 2021 →Second closest
2012
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing degree days
- lower: 47 GDD
Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain
View 2012 →Third closest
2017
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season precipitation.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing-season precipitation
- more rain: 35.2 mm
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain
View 2017 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2021 0.546; 2012 0.560; 2017 0.636.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.4°C | -2 mm | 4 |
| 1992 | -0.5°C | +161 mm | 7 |
| 1993 | -0.7°C | -11 mm | 3 |
| 1994 | -0.6°C | +1 mm | 13 |
| 1995 | -1.1°C | -84 mm | 2 |
| 1996 | -0.6°C | -52 mm | 13 |
| 1997 | -0.4°C | +31 mm | 8 |
| 1998 | -0.1°C | -46 mm | 13 |
| 1999 | +0.5°C | +36 mm | 16 |
| 2000 | +0.6°C | +74 mm | 22 |
| 2001 | -1.1°C | -1 mm | 5 |
| 2002 | -0.1°C | +57 mm | 10 |
| 2003 | -0.9°C | -19 mm | 6 |
| 2004 | -0.1°C | -78 mm | 11 |
| 2005 | -0.0°C | +47 mm | 13 |
| 2006 | +0.8°C | -90 mm | 12 |
| 2007 | +0.3°C | -33 mm | 21 |
| 2008 | -0.2°C | -36 mm | 10 |
| 2009 | +0.8°C | +66 mm | 20 |
| 2010 | -0.5°C | +252 mm | 4 |
| 2011 | +0.7°C | -48 mm | 12 |
| 2012 | +0.6°C | -118 mm | 16 |
| 2013 | +0.3°C | +33 mm | 18 |
| 2014 | +0.1°C | -76 mm | 10 |
| 2015 | +1.4°C | -117 mm | 15 |
| 2016 | +0.0°C | +187 mm | 8 |
| 2017 | +1.2°C | -13 mm | 15 |
| 2018 | +0.2°C | -93 mm | 17 |
| 2019 | -0.2°C | -36 mm | 15 |
| 2020 | -0.0°C | +8 mm | 11 |
| 2021 | +0.4°C | -88 mm | 8 |
| 2022 | -0.4°C | +173 mm | 10 |
| 2023 | +0.2°C | -64 mm | 8 |
| 2024 | +1.1°C | -72 mm | 19 |
| 2025 | -0.0°C | +56 mm | 9 |
| 2026 | +0.0°C | +0 mm | 0 |
winter
10.4°C
+0.5°C vs baseline
244 mm rain · +15 mm
spring
14.3°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
123 mm rain · -31 mm
summer
19.9°C
+0.9°C vs baseline
66 mm rain · -22 mm
harvest
17.6°C
+0.4°C vs baseline
81 mm rain · -4 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 16 days
- Total rain
- 2.3 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 19 days
- Total rain
- 0.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 40.8°C
- Duration
- 4 days
- Heat accumulation
- 65 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 17 days
- Total rain
- 0.1 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 38.1°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 32 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 37.5°C
- Duration
- 3 days
- Heat accumulation
- 51 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 20 days
- Total rain
- 1.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 38.7°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 35 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 14 days
- Total rain
- 0.6 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules coonawarra-catalog-v2-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +73.0 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +34.0 to +111.9 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the September 1–April 30 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1414 GDD | -104 GDD |
| 1992 | 1417 GDD | -101 GDD |
| 1993 | 1355 GDD | -163 GDD |
| 1994 | 1388 GDD | -130 GDD |
| 1995 | 1268 GDD | -250 GDD |
| 1996 | 1379 GDD | -139 GDD |
| 1997 | 1408 GDD | -110 GDD |
| 1998 | 1499 GDD | -19 GDD |
| 1999 | 1629 GDD | +111 GDD |
| 2000 | 1656 GDD | +138 GDD |
| 2001 | 1248 GDD | -270 GDD |
| 2002 | 1483 GDD | -34 GDD |
| 2003 | 1318 GDD | -200 GDD |
| 2004 | 1481 GDD | -37 GDD |
| 2005 | 1504 GDD | -14 GDD |
| 2006 | 1704 GDD | +186 GDD |
| 2007 | 1591 GDD | +73 GDD |
| 2008 | 1475 GDD | -43 GDD |
| 2009 | 1704 GDD | +186 GDD |
| 2010 | 1394 GDD | -124 GDD |
| 2011 | 1696 GDD | +178 GDD |
| 2012 | 1649 GDD | +132 GDD |
| 2013 | 1569 GDD | +51 GDD |
| 2014 | 1534 GDD | +16 GDD |
| 2015 | 1869 GDD | +351 GDD |
| 2016 | 1522 GDD | +5 GDD |
| 2017 | 1804 GDD | +286 GDD |
| 2018 | 1586 GDD | +68 GDD |
| 2019 | 1476 GDD | -41 GDD |
| 2020 | 1514 GDD | -3 GDD |
| 2021 | 1621 GDD | +104 GDD |
| 2022 | 1421 GDD | -97 GDD |
| 2023 | 1573 GDD | +56 GDD |
| 2024 | 1780 GDD | +263 GDD |
| 2025 | 1502 GDD | -15 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.31 °C per decade 95% interval +0.14 to +0.47
- Growing degree days
- +72.96 GDD per decade 95% interval +34.03 to +111.88
- Growing-season precipitation
- -6.24 mm per decade 95% interval -24.85 to +12.37
- Hot days
- +1.37 days per decade 95% interval -0.25 to +2.99
- Spring frost days
- +0.04 days per decade 95% interval -0.09 to +0.18
- Longest dry spell
- +3.70 days per decade 95% interval -0.65 to +8.04
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +0.5°C | +0.2 to +0.8°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.0°C | +0.6 to +1.3°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.3°C | +0.9 to +1.9°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 16°C | 17°C | 18°C | 13°C | 14°C | 14°C | 14°C | 13°C | 13°C | 13°C |
| Low | 8°C | 5°C | 9°C | 9°C | 9°C | 7°C | 10°C | 8°C | 8°C | 6°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 5.2 mm | 1.4 mm | 1.6 mm | 4.0 mm | 5.3 mm | 0.4 mm | 0.4 mm | 0.1 mm |
Across the typical year: Early February has the warmest median afternoon high (27.1°C); Early July has the coolest (13.5°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late July (52%) and least frequent in Early March (12%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 26.4°C (22.2–31.9°C) | 11.8°C (8.8–14.4°C) | 15% | 9.8 mm (3.6–17.6 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 26.2°C (23.4–31.4°C) | 11.7°C (9.4–14.4°C) | 13% | 6.8 mm (3.4–17.6 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 27.1°C (22.6–31.7°C) | 12.3°C (9.6–14.7°C) | 15% | 11.2 mm (1.8–14.2 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 26.3°C (22.5–31.1°C) | 12.0°C (9.0–14.9°C) | 12% | 4.2 mm (0.8–10.9 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 25.0°C (21.5–29.8°C) | 10.8°C (8.0–13.8°C) | 12% | 6.7 mm (2.5–9.0 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 22.3°C (19.6–26.2°C) | 9.9°C (7.2–12.4°C) | 23% | 15.2 mm (8.7–20.3 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 20.6°C (18.2–24.1°C) | 8.1°C (6.1–11.0°C) | 21% | 14.1 mm (5.5–21.2 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 19.1°C (16.9–22.1°C) | 7.5°C (4.5–9.9°C) | 27% | 19.9 mm (7.0–28.9 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 16.8°C (15.3–19.2°C) | 7.4°C (4.7–9.7°C) | 34% | 19.2 mm (8.3–35.1 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 15.8°C (14.4–17.5°C) | 7.2°C (4.4–9.5°C) | 40% | 27.3 mm (18.5–39.2 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 14.3°C (13.3–15.6°C) | 6.3°C (3.5–8.3°C) | 42% | 32.4 mm (23.1–44.1 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 14.0°C (12.6–15.1°C) | 5.8°C (3.4–7.8°C) | 45% | 27.8 mm (16.6–54.0 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 13.5°C (12.5–14.6°C) | 6.1°C (3.8–7.8°C) | 49% | 37.6 mm (30.0–51.6 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 13.6°C (12.5–14.8°C) | 5.5°C (3.3–7.3°C) | 52% | 38.3 mm (26.2–47.9 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 14.0°C (12.9–15.3°C) | 5.9°C (3.7–7.6°C) | 52% | 34.2 mm (26.4–52.8 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 14.5°C (13.0–16.3°C) | 5.5°C (3.5–7.6°C) | 50% | 35.9 mm (19.4–62.4 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 15.6°C (14.1–17.5°C) | 6.5°C (4.2–8.4°C) | 49% | 30.0 mm (21.8–45.7 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 16.2°C (14.7–18.7°C) | 6.4°C (4.0–8.8°C) | 45% | 30.0 mm (16.7–46.2 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 17.7°C (15.6–21.1°C) | 7.1°C (4.6–9.4°C) | 33% | 24.1 mm (10.3–35.1 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 18.9°C (16.5–23.2°C) | 7.5°C (4.8–10.0°C) | 28% | 14.8 mm (9.8–26.9 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 20.0°C (17.1–24.0°C) | 8.4°C (5.7–11.1°C) | 29% | 17.2 mm (10.9–28.8 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 22.8°C (19.2–27.8°C) | 9.3°C (6.4–12.1°C) | 21% | 9.4 mm (5.3–24.3 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 23.0°C (19.9–28.1°C) | 9.6°C (7.1–12.7°C) | 24% | 13.2 mm (3.8–27.1 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 24.7°C (21.1–29.5°C) | 10.4°C (7.6–13.1°C) | 19% | 13.5 mm (8.7–21.2 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Most recent season
Growing season heat and rainfall
Sep 1, 2025–Apr 30, 2026
Growing degree days1502.3base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall362.1 mmweighted regional total
2025 season1991–2020 average
2025 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-01 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 mm | 1.9 mm |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 5.2 mm | 4.7 mm |
| 2025-09-03 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 8.5 mm | 7.0 mm |
| 2025-09-04 | 2.9 | 6.2 | 10.3 mm | 10.7 mm |
| 2025-09-05 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 10.3 mm | 12.3 mm |
| 2025-09-06 | 5.7 | 8.4 | 10.3 mm | 14.3 mm |
| 2025-09-07 | 12.9 | 10.3 | 13.0 mm | 17.0 mm |
| 2025-09-08 | 16.1 | 12.1 | 16.6 mm | 20.1 mm |
| 2025-09-09 | 16.9 | 13.8 | 16.8 mm | 23.2 mm |
| 2025-09-10 | 16.9 | 14.9 | 17.4 mm | 24.3 mm |
| 2025-09-11 | 16.9 | 17.1 | 18.1 mm | 26.6 mm |
| 2025-09-12 | 17.6 | 18.9 | 18.8 mm | 29.8 mm |
| 2025-09-13 | 18.8 | 21.0 | 18.8 mm | 31.6 mm |
| 2025-09-14 | 21.6 | 22.8 | 18.8 mm | 34.2 mm |
| 2025-09-15 | 29.6 | 24.7 | 20.2 mm | 36.6 mm |
| 2025-09-16 | 32.0 | 26.3 | 25.2 mm | 38.6 mm |
| 2025-09-17 | 32.0 | 28.0 | 27.5 mm | 41.4 mm |
| 2025-09-18 | 33.9 | 30.1 | 27.8 mm | 42.8 mm |
| 2025-09-19 | 35.9 | 32.5 | 30.9 mm | 45.3 mm |
| 2025-09-20 | 35.9 | 33.9 | 34.0 mm | 47.2 mm |
| 2025-09-21 | 38.3 | 36.1 | 35.3 mm | 49.3 mm |
| 2025-09-22 | 39.2 | 38.9 | 35.7 mm | 51.7 mm |
| 2025-09-23 | 40.7 | 41.3 | 36.1 mm | 53.6 mm |
| 2025-09-24 | 44.3 | 42.8 | 36.9 mm | 56.3 mm |
| 2025-09-25 | 47.6 | 44.3 | 37.5 mm | 58.2 mm |
| 2025-09-26 | 50.7 | 46.3 | 38.4 mm | 61.1 mm |
| 2025-09-27 | 51.9 | 48.8 | 39.1 mm | 62.3 mm |
| 2025-09-28 | 52.8 | 51.1 | 39.7 mm | 64.6 mm |
| 2025-09-29 | 55.1 | 53.2 | 49.2 mm | 67.6 mm |
| 2025-09-30 | 58.3 | 55.4 | 63.6 mm | 69.2 mm |
| 2025-10-01 | 59.6 | 58.1 | 69.0 mm | 71.5 mm |
| 2025-10-02 | 59.8 | 61.5 | 72.8 mm | 72.8 mm |
| 2025-10-03 | 63.1 | 64.5 | 73.4 mm | 74.4 mm |
| 2025-10-04 | 67.8 | 68.1 | 73.4 mm | 75.8 mm |
| 2025-10-05 | 74.9 | 71.5 | 80.4 mm | 76.7 mm |
| 2025-10-06 | 76.1 | 74.4 | 83.3 mm | 78.0 mm |
| 2025-10-07 | 77.7 | 77.0 | 83.6 mm | 80.4 mm |
| 2025-10-08 | 80.9 | 79.0 | 84.6 mm | 83.0 mm |
| 2025-10-09 | 84.2 | 81.5 | 86.5 mm | 85.0 mm |
| 2025-10-10 | 88.2 | 85.1 | 87.5 mm | 86.1 mm |
| 2025-10-11 | 91.3 | 88.2 | 88.7 mm | 87.3 mm |
| 2025-10-12 | 93.8 | 91.9 | 94.2 mm | 88.8 mm |
| 2025-10-13 | 93.8 | 94.8 | 95.7 mm | 90.9 mm |
| 2025-10-14 | 96.4 | 98.5 | 96.1 mm | 92.1 mm |
| 2025-10-15 | 98.9 | 102.5 | 96.1 mm | 93.3 mm |
| 2025-10-16 | 106.7 | 105.8 | 96.7 mm | 94.5 mm |
| 2025-10-17 | 110.6 | 109.5 | 96.7 mm | 96.0 mm |
| 2025-10-18 | 114.3 | 114.1 | 96.8 mm | 97.8 mm |
| 2025-10-19 | 121.8 | 118.0 | 98.5 mm | 99.0 mm |
| 2025-10-20 | 125.5 | 121.3 | 101.2 mm | 99.8 mm |
| 2025-10-21 | 127.4 | 124.8 | 103.3 mm | 101.3 mm |
| 2025-10-22 | 130.0 | 128.8 | 109.0 mm | 102.6 mm |
| 2025-10-23 | 133.2 | 133.5 | 109.9 mm | 104.0 mm |
| 2025-10-24 | 135.1 | 138.2 | 110.4 mm | 104.7 mm |
| 2025-10-25 | 136.6 | 142.2 | 116.7 mm | 105.9 mm |
| 2025-10-26 | 141.5 | 145.4 | 126.6 mm | 107.1 mm |
| 2025-10-27 | 142.6 | 148.5 | 127.2 mm | 108.2 mm |
| 2025-10-28 | 143.8 | 152.0 | 127.2 mm | 109.8 mm |
| 2025-10-29 | 146.6 | 156.6 | 127.4 mm | 110.6 mm |
| 2025-10-30 | 152.2 | 161.6 | 127.7 mm | 111.9 mm |
| 2025-10-31 | 157.9 | 166.1 | 131.4 mm | 113.6 mm |
| 2025-11-01 | 163.9 | 171.1 | 131.8 mm | 117.2 mm |
| 2025-11-02 | 171.2 | 176.3 | 135.2 mm | 119.0 mm |
| 2025-11-03 | 173.0 | 180.3 | 143.5 mm | 121.4 mm |
| 2025-11-04 | 173.0 | 183.6 | 149.9 mm | 124.1 mm |
| 2025-11-05 | 175.8 | 187.7 | 152.1 mm | 126.1 mm |
| 2025-11-06 | 177.0 | 192.5 | 153.2 mm | 127.6 mm |
| 2025-11-07 | 184.3 | 197.3 | 157.5 mm | 128.7 mm |
| 2025-11-08 | 185.7 | 201.7 | 158.2 mm | 130.7 mm |
| 2025-11-09 | 186.8 | 206.9 | 159.0 mm | 131.7 mm |
| 2025-11-10 | 189.3 | 212.1 | 161.7 mm | 132.3 mm |
| 2025-11-11 | 189.7 | 217.9 | 165.5 mm | 133.3 mm |
| 2025-11-12 | 191.2 | 224.0 | 165.9 mm | 134.3 mm |
| 2025-11-13 | 192.1 | 229.9 | 165.9 mm | 135.7 mm |
| 2025-11-14 | 196.5 | 235.0 | 168.0 mm | 136.9 mm |
| 2025-11-15 | 200.6 | 239.9 | 168.1 mm | 137.7 mm |
| 2025-11-16 | 203.0 | 244.6 | 175.6 mm | 138.9 mm |
| 2025-11-17 | 205.6 | 250.8 | 179.9 mm | 139.9 mm |
| 2025-11-18 | 210.9 | 257.9 | 181.1 mm | 140.4 mm |
| 2025-11-19 | 214.7 | 265.4 | 181.6 mm | 141.2 mm |
| 2025-11-20 | 214.7 | 272.9 | 181.8 mm | 142.1 mm |
| 2025-11-21 | 215.7 | 278.6 | 181.8 mm | 143.9 mm |
| 2025-11-22 | 220.9 | 284.0 | 184.3 mm | 145.2 mm |
| 2025-11-23 | 229.3 | 289.7 | 184.9 mm | 145.8 mm |
| 2025-11-24 | 242.0 | 296.6 | 185.2 mm | 146.7 mm |
| 2025-11-25 | 249.9 | 303.9 | 185.7 mm | 148.5 mm |
| 2025-11-26 | 255.0 | 311.4 | 193.4 mm | 149.9 mm |
| 2025-11-27 | 259.2 | 318.3 | 194.4 mm | 151.2 mm |
| 2025-11-28 | 261.3 | 324.6 | 200.0 mm | 152.3 mm |
| 2025-11-29 | 264.6 | 331.3 | 208.4 mm | 153.3 mm |
| 2025-11-30 | 267.4 | 338.2 | 212.6 mm | 154.3 mm |
| 2025-12-01 | 269.3 | 344.7 | 216.7 mm | 155.9 mm |
| 2025-12-02 | 272.2 | 351.7 | 216.9 mm | 157.0 mm |
| 2025-12-03 | 280.0 | 357.4 | 216.9 mm | 158.7 mm |
| 2025-12-04 | 291.7 | 363.9 | 217.0 mm | 159.7 mm |
| 2025-12-05 | 298.7 | 370.6 | 217.0 mm | 161.7 mm |
| 2025-12-06 | 302.1 | 378.1 | 221.3 mm | 163.1 mm |
| 2025-12-07 | 302.7 | 385.3 | 221.6 mm | 164.4 mm |
| 2025-12-08 | 309.3 | 392.5 | 221.6 mm | 166.1 mm |
| 2025-12-09 | 315.2 | 400.1 | 221.6 mm | 167.2 mm |
| 2025-12-10 | 322.2 | 406.9 | 221.6 mm | 168.0 mm |
| 2025-12-11 | 329.9 | 414.3 | 221.6 mm | 169.0 mm |
| 2025-12-12 | 340.2 | 422.1 | 221.6 mm | 170.1 mm |
| 2025-12-13 | 349.6 | 430.2 | 221.6 mm | 172.7 mm |
| 2025-12-14 | 353.7 | 437.7 | 221.7 mm | 174.1 mm |
| 2025-12-15 | 356.0 | 445.6 | 221.7 mm | 175.1 mm |
| 2025-12-16 | 361.9 | 453.4 | 221.7 mm | 176.2 mm |
| 2025-12-17 | 373.5 | 461.0 | 221.7 mm | 177.5 mm |
| 2025-12-18 | 387.9 | 469.7 | 221.7 mm | 179.1 mm |
| 2025-12-19 | 400.7 | 478.6 | 221.8 mm | 180.6 mm |
| 2025-12-20 | 410.0 | 487.0 | 221.9 mm | 182.3 mm |
| 2025-12-21 | 414.0 | 495.0 | 232.6 mm | 184.0 mm |
| 2025-12-22 | 419.2 | 502.4 | 236.1 mm | 185.9 mm |
| 2025-12-23 | 424.6 | 510.3 | 236.4 mm | 186.4 mm |
| 2025-12-24 | 429.9 | 518.2 | 236.5 mm | 186.6 mm |
| 2025-12-25 | 432.8 | 525.9 | 236.5 mm | 186.9 mm |
| 2025-12-26 | 438.0 | 532.8 | 236.5 mm | 188.0 mm |
| 2025-12-27 | 445.6 | 539.8 | 236.5 mm | 188.9 mm |
| 2025-12-28 | 456.9 | 547.8 | 236.5 mm | 189.7 mm |
| 2025-12-29 | 472.1 | 556.2 | 236.5 mm | 190.4 mm |
| 2025-12-30 | 478.2 | 565.9 | 236.5 mm | 190.8 mm |
| 2025-12-31 | 483.2 | 575.7 | 236.5 mm | 192.2 mm |
| 2026-01-01 | 488.7 | 584.9 | 236.5 mm | 193.3 mm |
| 2026-01-02 | 499.5 | 594.2 | 236.5 mm | 194.2 mm |
| 2026-01-03 | 508.4 | 603.9 | 236.5 mm | 194.6 mm |
| 2026-01-04 | 517.4 | 613.2 | 236.5 mm | 196.0 mm |
| 2026-01-05 | 525.3 | 622.2 | 236.5 mm | 196.9 mm |
| 2026-01-06 | 537.5 | 631.2 | 236.5 mm | 197.9 mm |
| 2026-01-07 | 555.7 | 640.0 | 236.5 mm | 198.4 mm |
| 2026-01-08 | 572.6 | 648.0 | 236.5 mm | 199.1 mm |
| 2026-01-09 | 585.5 | 657.0 | 236.6 mm | 199.5 mm |
| 2026-01-10 | 593.1 | 668.0 | 236.9 mm | 199.7 mm |
| 2026-01-11 | 597.9 | 678.8 | 236.9 mm | 199.9 mm |
| 2026-01-12 | 604.5 | 689.1 | 236.9 mm | 201.2 mm |
| 2026-01-13 | 612.4 | 699.8 | 236.9 mm | 204.7 mm |
| 2026-01-14 | 622.3 | 709.8 | 236.9 mm | 207.6 mm |
| 2026-01-15 | 631.2 | 719.5 | 237.6 mm | 208.3 mm |
| 2026-01-16 | 642.1 | 729.2 | 237.6 mm | 208.4 mm |
| 2026-01-17 | 654.8 | 739.4 | 237.8 mm | 208.5 mm |
| 2026-01-18 | 669.9 | 749.1 | 237.8 mm | 208.7 mm |
| 2026-01-19 | 686.8 | 759.7 | 238.2 mm | 209.4 mm |
| 2026-01-20 | 701.5 | 770.2 | 239.5 mm | 212.1 mm |
| 2026-01-21 | 709.8 | 779.4 | 239.5 mm | 212.9 mm |
| 2026-01-22 | 715.3 | 789.4 | 239.5 mm | 214.0 mm |
| 2026-01-23 | 724.0 | 798.8 | 239.5 mm | 215.4 mm |
| 2026-01-24 | 741.3 | 808.1 | 239.5 mm | 216.5 mm |
| 2026-01-25 | 754.4 | 818.1 | 239.5 mm | 217.2 mm |
| 2026-01-26 | 769.4 | 827.9 | 239.5 mm | 218.2 mm |
| 2026-01-27 | 791.2 | 837.5 | 239.5 mm | 219.6 mm |
| 2026-01-28 | 804.1 | 846.9 | 239.5 mm | 220.0 mm |
| 2026-01-29 | 815.5 | 856.1 | 239.5 mm | 220.9 mm |
| 2026-01-30 | 829.9 | 866.3 | 239.5 mm | 221.9 mm |
| 2026-01-31 | 840.4 | 875.6 | 239.9 mm | 222.6 mm |
| 2026-02-01 | 846.1 | 885.3 | 240.7 mm | 223.6 mm |
| 2026-02-02 | 849.9 | 896.4 | 240.7 mm | 224.4 mm |
| 2026-02-03 | 859.0 | 907.4 | 240.7 mm | 225.1 mm |
| 2026-02-04 | 866.5 | 918.2 | 240.7 mm | 225.7 mm |
| 2026-02-05 | 876.3 | 928.2 | 240.7 mm | 227.0 mm |
| 2026-02-06 | 884.1 | 937.9 | 240.7 mm | 227.7 mm |
| 2026-02-07 | 895.3 | 948.1 | 240.7 mm | 228.4 mm |
| 2026-02-08 | 907.4 | 958.0 | 240.7 mm | 229.0 mm |
| 2026-02-09 | 917.6 | 966.8 | 240.7 mm | 230.2 mm |
| 2026-02-10 | 928.7 | 975.6 | 240.7 mm | 230.8 mm |
| 2026-02-11 | 935.6 | 983.9 | 244.5 mm | 232.2 mm |
| 2026-02-12 | 938.7 | 992.9 | 246.0 mm | 233.2 mm |
| 2026-02-13 | 942.8 | 1002.4 | 246.0 mm | 233.9 mm |
| 2026-02-14 | 953.5 | 1013.6 | 246.0 mm | 234.0 mm |
| 2026-02-15 | 967.1 | 1024.4 | 246.0 mm | 234.5 mm |
| 2026-02-16 | 984.7 | 1033.9 | 246.0 mm | 235.3 mm |
| 2026-02-17 | 996.2 | 1043.9 | 252.0 mm | 235.4 mm |
| 2026-02-18 | 1002.9 | 1054.4 | 255.2 mm | 236.0 mm |
| 2026-02-19 | 1013.2 | 1064.7 | 255.3 mm | 237.1 mm |
| 2026-02-20 | 1025.3 | 1074.0 | 255.3 mm | 238.4 mm |
| 2026-02-21 | 1037.9 | 1083.2 | 255.3 mm | 240.0 mm |
| 2026-02-22 | 1047.3 | 1093.0 | 263.5 mm | 240.4 mm |
| 2026-02-23 | 1053.0 | 1103.1 | 264.7 mm | 240.7 mm |
| 2026-02-24 | 1060.2 | 1113.0 | 264.8 mm | 241.3 mm |
| 2026-02-25 | 1069.2 | 1123.4 | 264.8 mm | 241.8 mm |
| 2026-02-26 | 1079.8 | 1133.1 | 264.8 mm | 242.6 mm |
| 2026-02-27 | 1095.2 | 1141.7 | 266.6 mm | 243.1 mm |
| 2026-02-28 | 1107.0 | 1149.7 | 285.4 mm | 243.5 mm |
| 2026-03-01 | 1118.5 | 1158.2 | 320.6 mm | 244.6 mm |
| 2026-03-02 | 1126.5 | 1167.3 | 321.8 mm | 245.4 mm |
| 2026-03-03 | 1133.2 | 1176.4 | 321.9 mm | 246.0 mm |
| 2026-03-04 | 1139.9 | 1185.3 | 321.9 mm | 246.5 mm |
| 2026-03-05 | 1147.4 | 1193.5 | 321.9 mm | 247.1 mm |
| 2026-03-06 | 1155.8 | 1201.5 | 322.0 mm | 247.2 mm |
| 2026-03-07 | 1161.7 | 1209.8 | 322.0 mm | 247.4 mm |
| 2026-03-08 | 1169.1 | 1218.2 | 322.0 mm | 248.5 mm |
| 2026-03-09 | 1176.4 | 1227.1 | 322.1 mm | 250.3 mm |
| 2026-03-10 | 1186.2 | 1236.0 | 322.1 mm | 250.7 mm |
| 2026-03-11 | 1192.8 | 1244.8 | 323.1 mm | 251.1 mm |
| 2026-03-12 | 1197.0 | 1253.9 | 323.3 mm | 251.8 mm |
| 2026-03-13 | 1203.8 | 1261.9 | 323.3 mm | 252.1 mm |
| 2026-03-14 | 1211.2 | 1269.2 | 323.3 mm | 252.4 mm |
| 2026-03-15 | 1218.6 | 1276.9 | 323.3 mm | 253.0 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 1224.3 | 1283.5 | 327.8 mm | 253.7 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 1233.4 | 1291.1 | 329.6 mm | 254.3 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 1242.4 | 1298.6 | 329.7 mm | 255.4 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 1251.3 | 1305.9 | 329.7 mm | 255.9 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 1259.7 | 1312.7 | 329.7 mm | 258.0 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 1268.2 | 1319.8 | 329.7 mm | 261.9 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 1276.3 | 1326.9 | 329.7 mm | 263.0 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 1286.6 | 1333.9 | 329.7 mm | 264.1 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 1298.0 | 1341.1 | 330.2 mm | 265.1 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 1305.5 | 1347.6 | 332.3 mm | 265.7 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 1307.4 | 1354.0 | 334.1 mm | 266.7 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 1309.7 | 1360.2 | 335.0 mm | 267.7 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 1314.2 | 1366.2 | 335.1 mm | 268.3 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 1322.5 | 1371.8 | 335.1 mm | 269.6 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 1331.2 | 1377.1 | 335.1 mm | 270.3 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 1341.9 | 1382.7 | 335.1 mm | 270.7 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 1349.7 | 1388.4 | 339.1 mm | 271.4 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 1354.9 | 1393.8 | 339.2 mm | 272.4 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 1358.6 | 1398.0 | 339.2 mm | 273.0 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 1362.4 | 1402.8 | 339.2 mm | 273.4 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 1367.7 | 1408.0 | 343.8 mm | 274.7 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 1377.2 | 1413.0 | 348.6 mm | 277.2 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 1382.4 | 1417.6 | 349.5 mm | 278.5 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 1382.9 | 1422.7 | 351.2 mm | 279.9 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 1390.2 | 1427.9 | 354.5 mm | 281.0 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 1392.8 | 1433.1 | 357.2 mm | 281.6 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 1393.6 | 1438.5 | 358.5 mm | 282.2 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 1396.7 | 1443.8 | 359.2 mm | 282.9 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 1400.8 | 1449.1 | 359.6 mm | 283.7 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 1406.3 | 1454.1 | 360.6 mm | 285.5 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 1411.6 | 1458.4 | 361.1 mm | 286.8 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 1414.9 | 1462.3 | 361.9 mm | 287.6 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 1417.5 | 1466.3 | 361.9 mm | 288.1 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 1417.5 | 1470.1 | 361.9 mm | 288.9 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 1421.8 | 1474.2 | 362.1 mm | 290.1 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 1427.5 | 1479.2 | 362.1 mm | 292.2 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 1434.0 | 1483.7 | 362.1 mm | 293.6 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 1445.3 | 1487.6 | 362.1 mm | 295.2 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 1453.0 | 1491.4 | 362.1 mm | 296.4 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 1462.5 | 1494.9 | 362.1 mm | 297.9 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 1471.9 | 1498.2 | 362.1 mm | 300.3 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 1478.0 | 1501.6 | 362.1 mm | 301.5 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 1480.3 | 1504.7 | 362.1 mm | 302.9 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 1484.5 | 1508.2 | 362.1 mm | 303.9 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 1492.3 | 1511.3 | 362.1 mm | 305.8 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 1502.3 | 1513.9 | 362.1 mm | 307.8 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 12 GDDvs 15 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 18.6 mmvs 27.6 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Sun8/30
16°Cavg 16°C
8°Cavg 6°C
+2 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon8/31
17°Cavg 16°C
5°Cavg 6°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/1
18°Cavg 16°C
9°Cavg 6°C
+3 GDD
5.2 mm
Wed9/2
13°Cavg 16°C
9°Cavg 6°C
+1 GDD
1.4 mm
Thu9/3
14°Cavg 16°C
9°Cavg 6°C
+2 GDD
1.6 mm
Fri9/4
14°Cavg 16°C
7°Cavg 6°C
+1 GDD
4.0 mm
Sat9/5
14°Cavg 16°C
10°Cavg 5°C
+2 GDD
5.3 mm
Sun9/6
13°Cavg 16°C
8°Cavg 6°C
+0 GDD
0.4 mm
Mon9/7
13°Cavg 16°C
8°Cavg 7°C
+0 GDD
0.4 mm
Tue9/8
13°Cavg 16°C
6°Cavg 7°C
+0 GDD
0.1 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Coonawarra model uses a September 1–April 30 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.
The historical series uses 1 ERA5 location, 1 temperature station, and 9 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: coonawarra-catalog-v2-2026-07.