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Australia · Multi-region weather view

Hunter Valley

A warm, humid New South Wales valley where much of the rain falls in summer.

Cloud, humidity, and rain near harvest can matter as much as the season's total heat.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature20.4°C
Dew Point10.4°C
Relative Humidity53%
24h Rainfall0.8 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Moderately cooler and significantly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature19.6°C
Temperature anomaly-0.8°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2344base 10°C
Hot days0≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2007

Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure. Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

Wetter than baseline · Moderate confidence

Growing-season precipitation was 158 mm above the 1991–2020 baseline.

Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure.

More harvest rain than usual · High confidence

Harvest-window precipitation totaled 375 mm, +96 mm versus baseline.

Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

How unusual was 2007?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

4th coolest of 35 vintages Cooler than 31 of 34 other vintages 19.6°C

Growing-season rainfall

6th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 29 of 34 other vintages 775.2 mm

Heat accumulation

5th lowest of 35 vintages Lower than 30 of 34 other vintages 2344 GDD

Hot days

Fewest of 35 vintages Fewer than every other vintage 0 days

2007 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2007 167 GDD
    Typical 174 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 27.4 mm
    Typical 46.9 mm
    2007 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Drier than the typical month.

  2. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2007 309 GDD
    Typical 257 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 23.6 mm
    Typical 55.2 mm
    2007 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Drier than the typical month.

  3. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2007 307 GDD
    Typical 314 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 129.7 mm
    Typical 77.6 mm
    2007 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Wetter than the typical month.

  4. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2007 351 GDD
    Typical 382 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 114.0 mm
    Typical 81.5 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2007 395 GDD
    Typical 430 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 105.7 mm
    Typical 77.5 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  6. 1–29
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2007 318 GDD
    Typical 374 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 171.2 mm
    Typical 109.5 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  7. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2007 313 GDD
    Typical 352 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 38.0 mm
    Typical 102.0 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  8. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2007 185 GDD
    Typical 245 GDD

    Rainfall

    2007 165.6 mm
    Typical 67.1 mm

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2007 GDDTypical GDD2007 rainfallTypical rainfall2007 freezing daysTypical freezing days
September 2007 167 GDD 174 GDD 27.4 mm 46.9 mm 00.0
October 2007 309 GDD 257 GDD 23.6 mm 55.2 mm 00.0
November 2007 307 GDD 314 GDD 129.7 mm 77.6 mm 00.0
December 2007 351 GDD 382 GDD 114.0 mm 81.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
January 2008 395 GDD 430 GDD 105.7 mm 77.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
February 2008 318 GDD 374 GDD 171.2 mm 109.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
March 2008 313 GDD 352 GDD 38.0 mm 102.0 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
April 2008 185 GDD 245 GDD 165.6 mm 67.1 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2007 growing season

243 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2011

    Most alike in Growing degree days and Growing-season mean temperature.

    Growing degree days
    lower: 25 GDD
    Growing-season mean temperature
    cooler: 0.1°C

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — more rain

    View 2011 →

  2. Second closest

    1999

    Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Harvest precipitation.

    Growing-season precipitation
    more rain: 12.2 mm
    Harvest precipitation
    more rain: 12.1 mm

    Largest difference: Hot-day count — more hot days

    View 1999 →

  3. Third closest

    1991

    Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Growing degree days.

    Growing-season precipitation
    less rain: 42.5 mm
    Growing degree days
    higher: 61 GDD

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain

    View 1991 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%). Measures omitted because they did not vary: Spring frost exposure.

Calculated distances: 2011 0.289; 1999 0.492; 1991 0.505.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +1.5°C −1.5°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +380 mm −380 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-0.5°C+115 mm4
1992-0.8°C-14 mm9
1993-0.5°C-60 mm12
1994-0.8°C-136 mm5
1995-1.0°C-40 mm4
1996-0.6°C-21 mm4
1997+1.0°C-177 mm25
1998-0.5°C+23 mm4
1999-1.0°C+170 mm8
2000+0.2°C+80 mm14
2001-0.4°C-6 mm8
2002+0.1°C-189 mm17
2003+0.0°C-71 mm20
2004-0.1°C+77 mm14
2005+0.8°C-210 mm18
2006+0.1°C-70 mm13
2007-0.8°C+158 mm0
2008-0.2°C+113 mm15
2009+0.7°C-131 mm19
2010+0.1°C-75 mm17
2011-0.9°C+218 mm2
2012+0.0°C+45 mm14
2013+0.4°C-18 mm11
2014+0.5°C+196 mm12
2015+0.5°C+104 mm16
2016+0.9°C-28 mm26
2017+1.0°C-172 mm21
2018+0.9°C-48 mm26
2019+0.8°C-69 mm21
2020-0.3°C+237 mm8
2021-0.4°C+369 mm1
2022-0.6°C+20 mm8
2023+0.9°C-38 mm12
2024+0.8°C+42 mm16
2025+0.9°C-254 mm20
2026+0.0°C+0 mm0

winter

12.5°C

+0.0°C vs baseline

475 mm rain · +321 mm

spring

18.6°C

+0.4°C vs baseline

180 mm rain · +1 mm

summer

21.7°C

-1.4°C vs baseline

390 mm rain · +122 mm

harvest

19.1°C

-1.8°C vs baseline

374 mm rain · +96 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Dry spell

    Duration
    32 days
    Total rain
    3.0 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  2. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    99.2 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    53.6 mm
    Trigger threshold
    41.4 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  3. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    45.1 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    45.1 mm
    Trigger threshold
    41.4 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  4. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    114.3 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    87.7 mm
    Trigger threshold
    41.4 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules hunter-valley-catalog-v2-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +86.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +40.7 to +132.0 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the September 1–April 30 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19912405 GDD-124 GDD
19922340 GDD-189 GDD
19932399 GDD-130 GDD
19942345 GDD-184 GDD
19952295 GDD-233 GDD
19962382 GDD-147 GDD
19972774 GDD+245 GDD
19982417 GDD-112 GDD
19992304 GDD-225 GDD
20002572 GDD+43 GDD
20012433 GDD-96 GDD
20022547 GDD+18 GDD
20032539 GDD+10 GDD
20042498 GDD-31 GDD
20052718 GDD+189 GDD
20062563 GDD+34 GDD
20072344 GDD-185 GDD
20082489 GDD-40 GDD
20092697 GDD+168 GDD
20102562 GDD+33 GDD
20112319 GDD-210 GDD
20122537 GDD+8 GDD
20132625 GDD+96 GDD
20142647 GDD+118 GDD
20152668 GDD+139 GDD
20162735 GDD+206 GDD
20172779 GDD+250 GDD
20182758 GDD+229 GDD
20192734 GDD+205 GDD
20202445 GDD-84 GDD
20212439 GDD-90 GDD
20222380 GDD-149 GDD
20232765 GDD+236 GDD
20242709 GDD+181 GDD
20252746 GDD+217 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.36 °C per decade 95% interval +0.17 to +0.55
Growing degree days
+86.34 GDD per decade 95% interval +40.70 to +131.97
Growing-season precipitation
+17.55 mm per decade 95% interval -30.87 to +65.97
Hot days
+2.20 days per decade 95% interval -0.28 to +4.68
Spring frost days
No variation recorded
Longest dry spell
-1.09 days per decade 95% interval -3.19 to +1.01

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+0.8°C+0.3 to +1.1°C25
2041-2060+1.3°C+0.9 to +1.9°C25
2061-2075+1.9°C+1.0 to +2.5°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 20°C 21°C 23°C 24°C 25°C 22°C 26°C 19°C 20°C 17°C
Low 11°C 8°C 8°C 13°C 15°C 9°C 14°C 11°C 8°C 11°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.1 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.6 mm

Across the typical year: Late January has the warmest median afternoon high (29.4°C); Early July has the coolest (17.0°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early February (39%) and least frequent in Early August (17%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Hunter Valley Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. 0°C10°C20°C30°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Hunter Valley The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Hunter Valley typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–1529.0°C (25.6–33.0°C)18.1°C (16.3–19.7°C)29%16.0 mm (8.9–34.8 mm)
Jan 16–3129.4°C (26.4–33.4°C)18.9°C (16.9–20.4°C)38%42.3 mm (20.3–60.6 mm)
Feb 1–1528.5°C (25.5–32.3°C)18.5°C (16.6–20.0°C)39%44.4 mm (17.1–83.8 mm)
Feb 16–2927.9°C (25.3–30.7°C)17.9°C (16.4–19.5°C)38%39.2 mm (24.1–56.3 mm)
Mar 1–1526.5°C (24.4–29.1°C)16.9°C (15.0–18.5°C)39%39.8 mm (19.8–58.8 mm)
Mar 16–3126.2°C (23.7–28.8°C)15.7°C (13.8–17.5°C)36%32.2 mm (19.0–71.4 mm)
Apr 1–1524.1°C (22.4–26.6°C)13.1°C (11.2–15.0°C)33%23.1 mm (12.0–40.8 mm)
Apr 16–3023.3°C (21.0–25.3°C)12.1°C (10.3–13.8°C)30%22.3 mm (9.5–38.7 mm)
May 1–1521.2°C (19.6–22.8°C)10.1°C (8.0–12.2°C)27%15.1 mm (9.6–35.7 mm)
May 16–3119.7°C (18.3–21.4°C)9.1°C (6.5–11.0°C)28%19.8 mm (9.5–47.6 mm)
Jun 1–1518.0°C (16.8–19.3°C)8.4°C (6.2–10.6°C)32%34.4 mm (13.1–67.3 mm)
Jun 16–3017.2°C (16.1–18.5°C)7.0°C (5.0–8.9°C)29%22.7 mm (11.3–41.3 mm)
Jul 1–1517.0°C (15.8–18.4°C)6.4°C (4.4–8.5°C)27%12.0 mm (5.9–25.1 mm)
Jul 16–3117.5°C (16.1–19.0°C)6.0°C (4.1–8.2°C)22%14.9 mm (7.3–31.0 mm)
Aug 1–1518.7°C (16.9–20.3°C)5.8°C (3.8–7.9°C)17%7.1 mm (3.1–18.1 mm)
Aug 16–3119.3°C (17.4–21.7°C)7.0°C (5.0–9.4°C)21%15.7 mm (4.8–37.8 mm)
Sep 1–1521.2°C (18.9–23.4°C)8.6°C (6.5–10.6°C)25%18.9 mm (9.8–24.7 mm)
Sep 16–3022.9°C (20.0–26.2°C)9.7°C (7.6–12.0°C)23%17.5 mm (5.0–32.7 mm)
Oct 1–1523.9°C (20.6–27.6°C)11.5°C (9.0–13.5°C)24%17.4 mm (7.6–37.6 mm)
Oct 16–3124.9°C (21.6–28.3°C)12.6°C (10.1–14.6°C)28%22.1 mm (15.4–35.0 mm)
Nov 1–1525.8°C (22.4–29.0°C)13.8°C (11.5–16.0°C)34%26.6 mm (13.2–45.6 mm)
Nov 16–3026.6°C (23.0–30.3°C)15.2°C (13.3–17.4°C)36%37.9 mm (13.5–55.6 mm)
Dec 1–1527.7°C (24.2–30.8°C)16.4°C (14.1–18.0°C)37%38.6 mm (29.2–60.7 mm)
Dec 16–3128.1°C (24.8–31.9°C)17.0°C (15.4–18.7°C)32%29.6 mm (16.6–42.3 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Most recent season

Growing season heat and rainfall

Sep 1, 2025–Apr 30, 2026

Growing degree days2745.6base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall363.3 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2025 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2025 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 2746 GDD 0 Sep ’25OctNovDecJan ’26FebMarApr
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2025 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2025 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 604 mm 0 Sep ’25OctNovDecJan ’26FebMarApr
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2025-09-012.84.70.0 mm0.9 mm
2025-09-026.49.20.5 mm2.5 mm
2025-09-0310.014.40.5 mm3.9 mm
2025-09-0415.119.40.6 mm6.6 mm
2025-09-0518.724.30.9 mm8.9 mm
2025-09-0623.729.21.0 mm11.8 mm
2025-09-0729.033.61.0 mm13.3 mm
2025-09-0838.038.41.0 mm14.5 mm
2025-09-0947.743.22.1 mm15.5 mm
2025-09-1054.847.925.1 mm19.4 mm
2025-09-1157.452.538.5 mm20.8 mm
2025-09-1260.557.439.9 mm21.7 mm
2025-09-1364.162.839.9 mm22.2 mm
2025-09-1469.568.739.9 mm23.5 mm
2025-09-1576.875.139.9 mm24.1 mm
2025-09-1686.081.139.9 mm24.6 mm
2025-09-1796.286.940.2 mm26.8 mm
2025-09-18101.393.240.2 mm29.2 mm
2025-09-19108.299.940.6 mm30.6 mm
2025-09-20116.9106.142.3 mm32.7 mm
2025-09-21121.3112.142.3 mm33.9 mm
2025-09-22127.9118.943.9 mm34.5 mm
2025-09-23131.2126.448.1 mm35.2 mm
2025-09-24136.5133.948.2 mm36.2 mm
2025-09-25143.9140.648.2 mm39.3 mm
2025-09-26155.0147.048.2 mm41.8 mm
2025-09-27165.6153.348.2 mm43.1 mm
2025-09-28176.5160.248.3 mm43.8 mm
2025-09-29185.7167.348.5 mm45.7 mm
2025-09-30195.9173.948.5 mm46.9 mm
2025-10-01206.0181.248.5 mm47.7 mm
2025-10-02213.1188.848.5 mm49.8 mm
2025-10-03220.9197.048.5 mm52.0 mm
2025-10-04226.8204.848.5 mm54.0 mm
2025-10-05236.0213.248.5 mm56.1 mm
2025-10-06250.3221.948.6 mm57.8 mm
2025-10-07260.2229.949.4 mm60.0 mm
2025-10-08274.1237.749.5 mm61.4 mm
2025-10-09286.0244.849.9 mm62.0 mm
2025-10-10297.8252.051.6 mm62.7 mm
2025-10-11310.1259.751.6 mm64.4 mm
2025-10-12321.2267.551.8 mm65.6 mm
2025-10-13330.6275.952.3 mm66.5 mm
2025-10-14339.9284.052.3 mm68.8 mm
2025-10-15348.9291.952.3 mm70.3 mm
2025-10-16360.8300.052.3 mm71.2 mm
2025-10-17375.7308.453.4 mm72.4 mm
2025-10-18385.7316.959.9 mm73.3 mm
2025-10-19395.4325.559.9 mm76.8 mm
2025-10-20410.0333.759.9 mm79.5 mm
2025-10-21422.4341.559.9 mm81.9 mm
2025-10-22439.6349.559.9 mm83.6 mm
2025-10-23450.1358.059.9 mm86.3 mm
2025-10-24460.6366.559.9 mm88.5 mm
2025-10-25468.1376.059.9 mm91.4 mm
2025-10-26477.4385.559.9 mm94.5 mm
2025-10-27489.0394.560.0 mm97.4 mm
2025-10-28492.9402.962.3 mm98.3 mm
2025-10-29498.1411.977.2 mm99.3 mm
2025-10-30506.7421.078.0 mm100.8 mm
2025-10-31516.6431.178.4 mm102.2 mm
2025-11-01527.4440.981.1 mm103.7 mm
2025-11-02538.6450.583.2 mm105.8 mm
2025-11-03554.2460.683.4 mm107.8 mm
2025-11-04563.7469.884.3 mm110.4 mm
2025-11-05572.1478.684.3 mm113.4 mm
2025-11-06580.4488.284.3 mm116.5 mm
2025-11-07592.9498.084.3 mm118.2 mm
2025-11-08608.9507.685.3 mm121.4 mm
2025-11-09619.6517.285.4 mm124.1 mm
2025-11-10627.5526.885.5 mm125.7 mm
2025-11-11637.3536.085.5 mm126.9 mm
2025-11-12642.7546.385.5 mm129.2 mm
2025-11-13650.9557.085.5 mm131.1 mm
2025-11-14661.6567.885.5 mm133.4 mm
2025-11-15674.8579.085.7 mm135.4 mm
2025-11-16690.9588.987.0 mm138.3 mm
2025-11-17702.1598.187.4 mm141.9 mm
2025-11-18711.2608.187.4 mm146.3 mm
2025-11-19723.4618.987.4 mm150.0 mm
2025-11-20737.4630.588.2 mm153.3 mm
2025-11-21747.0641.590.5 mm156.7 mm
2025-11-22758.1652.493.2 mm160.1 mm
2025-11-23773.9662.497.7 mm163.3 mm
2025-11-24785.9672.798.0 mm166.1 mm
2025-11-25802.4684.198.6 mm167.9 mm
2025-11-26820.7696.699.2 mm170.2 mm
2025-11-27836.1708.4103.8 mm171.6 mm
2025-11-28849.3720.5103.9 mm173.5 mm
2025-11-29865.2733.1103.9 mm176.1 mm
2025-11-30877.7745.0104.0 mm179.8 mm
2025-12-01886.5757.0104.1 mm183.6 mm
2025-12-02893.9768.6104.9 mm186.5 mm
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2026-01-111441.21275.8159.2 mm285.3 mm
2026-01-121451.11290.0177.4 mm286.6 mm
2026-01-131464.81304.1177.9 mm287.5 mm
2026-01-141478.21318.2180.0 mm288.9 mm
2026-01-151492.61332.0188.8 mm291.1 mm
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2026-01-181528.61373.8222.8 mm298.7 mm
2026-01-191539.81387.2234.3 mm300.6 mm
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2026-01-291671.31530.8235.1 mm335.4 mm
2026-01-301685.81545.1235.1 mm336.9 mm
2026-01-311703.51559.6235.1 mm338.7 mm
2026-02-011721.71573.4236.9 mm341.8 mm
2026-02-021731.01587.2248.0 mm347.3 mm
2026-02-031741.31600.9248.2 mm349.9 mm
2026-02-041755.21614.5248.2 mm352.2 mm
2026-02-051772.21628.4248.2 mm357.2 mm
2026-02-061789.51642.3248.4 mm360.7 mm
2026-02-071807.21655.8253.8 mm365.5 mm
2026-02-081820.81669.5254.0 mm369.3 mm
2026-02-091834.71683.7258.0 mm376.4 mm
2026-02-101849.41697.5259.8 mm379.8 mm
2026-02-111865.81711.3259.8 mm383.4 mm
2026-02-121880.51725.2260.3 mm386.7 mm
2026-02-131890.11738.3261.8 mm393.1 mm
2026-02-141901.21751.1262.6 mm395.2 mm
2026-02-151912.71764.2263.1 mm399.9 mm
2026-02-161923.31777.6264.6 mm402.2 mm
2026-02-171935.01790.2265.3 mm404.6 mm
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2026-02-201984.11830.1266.0 mm414.0 mm
2026-02-212002.71843.1268.7 mm418.5 mm
2026-02-222020.31856.2273.7 mm421.5 mm
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2026-02-242054.91881.9274.1 mm428.2 mm
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2026-02-262085.71907.8275.3 mm438.0 mm
2026-02-272098.31920.9276.2 mm440.1 mm
2026-02-282111.51933.6280.2 mm443.8 mm
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2026-03-042167.11981.7287.2 mm460.4 mm
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2026-04-062547.42343.6358.5 mm556.0 mm
2026-04-072558.92352.6358.8 mm557.9 mm
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2026-04-142626.72411.0358.9 mm567.5 mm
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2026-04-162643.62428.3358.9 mm571.0 mm
2026-04-172654.02436.8359.0 mm573.6 mm
2026-04-182660.52444.8359.4 mm575.4 mm
2026-04-192665.42453.0359.5 mm576.6 mm
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2026-04-212678.22468.7360.0 mm584.5 mm
2026-04-222685.72476.1360.8 mm588.8 mm
2026-04-232692.72483.3361.1 mm592.2 mm
2026-04-242700.52491.0361.8 mm594.2 mm
2026-04-252709.32498.5363.1 mm597.7 mm
2026-04-262716.02506.0363.2 mm599.4 mm
2026-04-272722.82512.7363.2 mm600.1 mm
2026-04-282729.62519.7363.2 mm601.7 mm
2026-04-292737.22526.6363.2 mm602.6 mm
2026-04-302745.62533.4363.3 mm603.8 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
59 GDDvs 48 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.6 mmvs 19.9 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 20°Cavg 21°C 11°Cavg 9°C +6 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 21°Cavg 21°C 8°Cavg 9°C +4 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 23°Cavg 21°C 8°Cavg 8°C +5 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 24°Cavg 21°C 13°Cavg 8°C +8 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 25°Cavg 22°C 15°Cavg 9°C +9 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 22°Cavg 21°C 9°Cavg 9°C +5 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 26°Cavg 21°C 14°Cavg 9°C +10 GDD 0.1 mm
Sun9/6 19°Cavg 21°C 11°Cavg 9°C +5 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 20°Cavg 21°C 8°Cavg 8°C +4 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 17°Cavg 21°C 11°Cavg 9°C +4 GDD 0.6 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Hunter Valley model uses a September 1–April 30 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 1 ERA5 location, 4 temperature stations, and 34 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: hunter-valley-catalog-v2-2026-07.