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Spain · Multi-region weather view

Southeast Spain

Dry Mediterranean vineyards in inland Jumilla and around Alicante.

Rain is scarce and summer heat can be intense, though elevation and proximity to the coast bring some local relief.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature15.4°C
Dew Point13.7°C
Relative Humidity89%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Slightly warmer and significantly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature20.7°C
Temperature anomaly+0.2°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2475base 10°C
Hot days18≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2019

Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure. Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

More hot days than usual · High confidence

There were 18 days at or above 35°C—+11 days versus baseline.

Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.

Wetter than baseline · Moderate confidence

Growing-season precipitation was 136 mm above the 1991–2020 baseline.

Frequent rain can mean more canopy growth and more disease pressure.

More harvest rain than usual · High confidence

Harvest-window precipitation totaled 194 mm, +108 mm versus baseline.

Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

How unusual was 2019?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

17th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 17 of 34 other vintages 20.7°C

Growing-season rainfall

3rd wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 32 of 34 other vintages 345.7 mm

Heat accumulation

18th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 17 of 34 other vintages 2475 GDD

Hot days

5th most of 35 vintages More than 29 of 34 other vintages 18 days

2019 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2019 33 GDD
    Typical 83 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 23.7 mm
    Typical 34.1 mm
    2019 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.5

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2019 116 GDD
    Typical 142 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 105.4 mm
    Typical 39.7 mm
    2019 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Wetter than the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2019 265 GDD
    Typical 260 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 11.4 mm
    Typical 33.8 mm
    2019 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Drier than the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2019 394 GDD
    Typical 387 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 3.7 mm
    Typical 19.9 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2019 532 GDD
    Typical 494 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 5.2 mm
    Typical 5.8 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2019 511 GDD
    Typical 495 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 17.2 mm
    Typical 15.7 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2019 363 GDD
    Typical 357 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 132.1 mm
    Typical 40.5 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2019 262 GDD
    Typical 237 GDD

    Rainfall

    2019 48.1 mm
    Typical 35.7 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2019 GDDTypical GDD2019 rainfallTypical rainfall2019 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2019 33 GDD 83 GDD 23.7 mm 34.1 mm 00.5
April 2019 116 GDD 142 GDD 105.4 mm 39.7 mm 00.0
May 2019 265 GDD 260 GDD 11.4 mm 33.8 mm 00.0
June 2019 394 GDD 387 GDD 3.7 mm 19.9 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2019 532 GDD 494 GDD 5.2 mm 5.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2019 511 GDD 495 GDD 17.2 mm 15.7 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2019 363 GDD 357 GDD 132.1 mm 40.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2019 262 GDD 237 GDD 48.1 mm 35.7 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2019 growing season

231 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2021

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season precipitation.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Growing-season precipitation
    more rain: 1.9 mm

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain

    View 2021 →

  2. Second closest

    2018

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Growing degree days
    lower: 21 GDD

    Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days

    View 2018 →

  3. Third closest

    2015

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Hot-day count.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Hot-day count
    fewer hot days: 1 day

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain

    View 2015 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2021 0.605; 2018 0.827; 2015 0.980.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +2.0°C −2.0°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +150 mm −150 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-1.0°C-47 mm12
1992-1.1°C-11 mm2
1993-1.2°C-12 mm4
1994+0.2°C-34 mm15
1995-0.5°C-102 mm3
1996-1.0°C+39 mm2
1997-0.1°C+48 mm1
1998-0.2°C-78 mm2
1999+0.6°C-57 mm4
2000-0.1°C-69 mm5
2001+0.6°C-44 mm6
2002-0.5°C+34 mm0
2003+0.4°C+22 mm9
2004-0.3°C+71 mm7
2005+0.3°C-88 mm6
2006+0.8°C-29 mm5
2007-0.7°C+143 mm5
2008-0.3°C+82 mm4
2009+0.3°C-30 mm10
2010-0.6°C+9 mm6
2011+0.4°C-22 mm5
2012+0.7°C+4 mm18
2013-0.1°C-51 mm0
2014+1.0°C-65 mm7
2015+0.9°C+56 mm17
2016+0.4°C-5 mm10
2017+0.8°C-59 mm14
2018+0.1°C+85 mm7
2019+0.2°C+136 mm18
2020-0.1°C+74 mm17
2021+0.1°C+137 mm17
2022+1.2°C+106 mm26
2023+1.4°C+115 mm27
2024+1.0°C-7 mm22
2025+1.5°C-5 mm30
2026+1.8°C-82 mm39

winter

10.2°C

+0.8°C vs baseline

16 mm rain · -63 mm

spring

15.1°C

-0.0°C vs baseline

140 mm rain · +33 mm

summer

25.6°C

+0.7°C vs baseline

26 mm rain · -15 mm

harvest

21.3°C

+0.3°C vs baseline

194 mm rain · +108 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Dry spell

    Duration
    14 days
    Total rain
    0.5 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  2. Dry spell

    Duration
    20 days
    Total rain
    2.8 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  3. Dry spell

    Duration
    21 days
    Total rain
    0.1 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  4. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.4°C
    Duration
    4 days
    Heat accumulation
    72 GDD

  5. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.1°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    39 GDD

  6. Dry spell

    Duration
    35 days
    Total rain
    1.3 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  7. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.2°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    40 GDD

  8. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    35.8°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    36 GDD

  9. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    39.9°C
    Duration
    6 days
    Heat accumulation
    120 GDD

  10. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    117.4 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    115.8 mm
    Trigger threshold
    20.0 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  11. Dry spell

    Duration
    22 days
    Total rain
    0.4 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  12. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    46.4 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    43.9 mm
    Trigger threshold
    20.0 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules jumilla-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +110.6 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +69.4 to +151.7 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19912205 GDD-220 GDD
19922183 GDD-241 GDD
19932147 GDD-277 GDD
19942478 GDD+54 GDD
19952302 GDD-122 GDD
19962202 GDD-222 GDD
19972402 GDD-22 GDD
19982369 GDD-55 GDD
19992561 GDD+137 GDD
20002399 GDD-25 GDD
20012554 GDD+129 GDD
20022311 GDD-113 GDD
20032517 GDD+93 GDD
20042368 GDD-56 GDD
20052499 GDD+75 GDD
20062596 GDD+172 GDD
20072271 GDD-154 GDD
20082340 GDD-84 GDD
20092488 GDD+64 GDD
20102283 GDD-141 GDD
20112520 GDD+96 GDD
20122575 GDD+151 GDD
20132403 GDD-21 GDD
20142655 GDD+231 GDD
20152635 GDD+211 GDD
20162517 GDD+93 GDD
20172609 GDD+184 GDD
20182454 GDD+29 GDD
20192475 GDD+51 GDD
20202406 GDD-18 GDD
20212459 GDD+35 GDD
20222714 GDD+290 GDD
20232743 GDD+319 GDD
20242658 GDD+234 GDD
20252768 GDD+344 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.48 °C per decade 95% interval +0.29 to +0.66
Growing degree days
+110.55 GDD per decade 95% interval +69.36 to +151.75
Growing-season precipitation
+30.36 mm per decade 95% interval +10.34 to +50.38
Hot days
+5.54 days per decade 95% interval +2.55 to +8.52
Spring frost days
-0.02 days per decade 95% interval -0.27 to +0.24
Longest dry spell
-4.21 days per decade 95% interval -9.75 to +1.33

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.0°C+0.7 to +1.5°C25
2041-2060+1.6°C+1.2 to +2.4°C25
2061-2075+2.1°C+1.7 to +3.0°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 30°C 30°C 29°C 31°C 33°C 34°C 33°C 33°C 33°C 29°C
Low 15°C 16°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 18°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (32.5°C); Late January has the coolest (13.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (26%) and least frequent in Late July (4%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Southeast Spain Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. 0°C10°C20°C30°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Southeast Spain The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Southeast Spain typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–1513.4°C (11.3–15.6°C)4.0°C (1.8–6.4°C)13%3.3 mm (0.8–13.6 mm)
Jan 16–3113.3°C (11.4–15.6°C)4.4°C (2.4–6.4°C)20%11.6 mm (2.4–27.6 mm)
Feb 1–1514.6°C (11.9–17.2°C)4.9°C (3.0–6.9°C)16%8.7 mm (2.7–15.5 mm)
Feb 16–2915.2°C (12.3–17.7°C)5.4°C (3.2–7.3°C)21%13.3 mm (2.5–18.2 mm)
Mar 1–1517.2°C (14.0–19.9°C)6.4°C (4.6–8.5°C)18%11.6 mm (2.2–22.6 mm)
Mar 16–3118.3°C (15.4–20.7°C)7.5°C (5.9–9.3°C)19%12.1 mm (6.2–22.9 mm)
Apr 1–1519.2°C (16.9–21.7°C)8.6°C (7.1–10.2°C)21%11.9 mm (6.6–15.8 mm)
Apr 16–3020.6°C (18.4–23.3°C)10.3°C (8.7–11.8°C)26%15.0 mm (9.0–30.0 mm)
May 1–1522.4°C (19.6–25.1°C)11.9°C (10.0–13.6°C)24%23.4 mm (5.4–31.5 mm)
May 16–3125.5°C (23.1–27.3°C)13.8°C (12.1–15.4°C)14%9.4 mm (3.5–15.2 mm)
Jun 1–1527.8°C (25.3–29.8°C)16.0°C (14.6–17.3°C)15%6.9 mm (3.2–14.7 mm)
Jun 16–3030.4°C (28.2–32.2°C)18.1°C (16.7–19.7°C)9%2.2 mm (0.8–5.1 mm)
Jul 1–1531.6°C (29.5–33.2°C)19.5°C (18.4–20.7°C)6%2.0 mm (1.0–4.3 mm)
Jul 16–3132.5°C (31.2–33.9°C)20.3°C (19.4–21.2°C)4%2.0 mm (0.4–4.0 mm)
Aug 1–1532.3°C (30.7–33.9°C)20.5°C (19.4–21.8°C)10%3.2 mm (1.5–7.1 mm)
Aug 16–3131.5°C (29.7–33.3°C)20.1°C (19.0–21.0°C)15%6.4 mm (2.9–13.7 mm)
Sep 1–1528.5°C (26.9–30.2°C)17.9°C (16.5–19.4°C)19%9.3 mm (3.5–18.3 mm)
Sep 16–3025.6°C (23.5–27.6°C)16.0°C (14.3–17.3°C)26%13.5 mm (6.6–23.6 mm)
Oct 1–1523.6°C (21.4–26.3°C)14.0°C (12.4–15.5°C)21%14.5 mm (6.6–23.8 mm)
Oct 16–3121.5°C (19.1–23.6°C)12.1°C (10.2–13.9°C)19%10.4 mm (4.3–39.1 mm)
Nov 1–1518.1°C (16.1–20.1°C)9.2°C (7.4–11.1°C)21%15.4 mm (6.0–25.8 mm)
Nov 16–3015.4°C (13.1–17.6°C)6.6°C (4.5–9.2°C)19%10.3 mm (5.9–25.7 mm)
Dec 1–1514.2°C (12.0–16.2°C)5.9°C (3.8–7.6°C)17%8.8 mm (3.7–21.5 mm)
Dec 16–3113.4°C (11.8–15.5°C)4.8°C (2.3–7.0°C)16%9.3 mm (2.1–19.0 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1987.6base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall128.3 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1988 GDD 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 128 mm 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-03-152.02.30.0 mm0.3 mm
2026-03-162.54.70.0 mm1.2 mm
2026-03-174.97.20.0 mm1.8 mm
2026-03-187.810.00.0 mm2.5 mm
2026-03-1910.013.00.0 mm3.1 mm
2026-03-2011.416.22.4 mm4.8 mm
2026-03-2111.419.46.4 mm6.1 mm
2026-03-2211.922.46.4 mm7.2 mm
2026-03-2313.025.26.5 mm8.8 mm
2026-03-2414.027.96.5 mm10.3 mm
2026-03-2517.230.56.5 mm11.8 mm
2026-03-2619.533.16.5 mm12.8 mm
2026-03-2720.136.26.7 mm14.2 mm
2026-03-2822.439.96.7 mm15.3 mm
2026-03-2922.443.36.7 mm16.8 mm
2026-03-3022.447.26.7 mm18.0 mm
2026-03-3127.550.96.7 mm19.2 mm
2026-04-0131.154.66.7 mm19.9 mm
2026-04-0235.558.26.7 mm21.6 mm
2026-04-0338.962.16.7 mm22.2 mm
2026-04-0443.766.06.7 mm23.3 mm
2026-04-0550.169.56.7 mm24.5 mm
2026-04-0655.373.56.7 mm25.3 mm
2026-04-0761.078.06.7 mm26.5 mm
2026-04-0868.082.16.7 mm27.6 mm
2026-04-0976.985.96.7 mm28.6 mm
2026-04-1086.390.56.7 mm29.2 mm
2026-04-1195.394.37.0 mm30.1 mm
2026-04-1299.398.424.0 mm30.8 mm
2026-04-13100.7102.537.5 mm31.3 mm
2026-04-14104.4106.937.5 mm32.1 mm
2026-04-15110.1111.437.5 mm35.1 mm
2026-04-16116.7115.737.5 mm38.6 mm
2026-04-17124.8120.337.5 mm39.9 mm
2026-04-18133.5125.037.5 mm41.7 mm
2026-04-19142.2129.937.5 mm43.3 mm
2026-04-20151.4134.737.5 mm45.6 mm
2026-04-21160.0139.737.5 mm46.9 mm
2026-04-22170.3144.937.7 mm49.0 mm
2026-04-23178.4150.737.9 mm49.7 mm
2026-04-24184.1156.839.9 mm50.1 mm
2026-04-25188.8162.942.8 mm51.7 mm
2026-04-26194.2169.342.8 mm52.5 mm
2026-04-27200.0175.542.8 mm54.3 mm
2026-04-28206.0181.543.7 mm56.8 mm
2026-04-29213.7187.143.8 mm58.0 mm
2026-04-30222.7193.244.0 mm58.9 mm
2026-05-01230.9199.153.8 mm59.8 mm
2026-05-02238.3204.954.3 mm61.4 mm
2026-05-03246.1210.855.5 mm64.2 mm
2026-05-04255.1217.357.6 mm65.2 mm
2026-05-05262.9224.057.7 mm66.7 mm
2026-05-06268.3230.461.0 mm68.6 mm
2026-05-07272.8237.272.4 mm70.9 mm
2026-05-08277.2244.773.3 mm72.7 mm
2026-05-09282.9252.585.5 mm74.3 mm
2026-05-10289.1260.785.9 mm76.2 mm
2026-05-11296.5268.885.9 mm77.8 mm
2026-05-12303.8276.986.1 mm79.1 mm
2026-05-13312.1284.986.1 mm79.8 mm
2026-05-14320.9292.886.1 mm81.2 mm
2026-05-15326.4300.986.5 mm81.6 mm
2026-05-16330.9309.186.5 mm82.4 mm
2026-05-17335.8317.791.8 mm83.1 mm
2026-05-18343.0326.492.1 mm83.9 mm
2026-05-19353.1335.292.1 mm84.5 mm
2026-05-20365.0343.792.1 mm84.8 mm
2026-05-21375.6352.392.1 mm85.2 mm
2026-05-22387.9361.692.1 mm85.8 mm
2026-05-23399.2371.192.1 mm86.4 mm
2026-05-24410.5380.592.1 mm87.5 mm
2026-05-25421.8390.192.1 mm88.2 mm
2026-05-26432.9400.392.1 mm88.5 mm
2026-05-27445.0410.692.1 mm89.3 mm
2026-05-28458.3421.092.1 mm89.9 mm
2026-05-29473.3431.692.1 mm90.1 mm
2026-05-30489.9442.492.1 mm90.9 mm
2026-05-31505.6453.192.5 mm92.7 mm
2026-06-01520.7463.992.5 mm93.2 mm
2026-06-02537.8475.192.5 mm94.2 mm
2026-06-03550.6486.492.9 mm95.5 mm
2026-06-04565.1497.792.9 mm96.3 mm
2026-06-05575.4509.093.6 mm96.7 mm
2026-06-06589.0520.393.6 mm97.8 mm
2026-06-07602.0531.693.6 mm98.5 mm
2026-06-08616.4543.293.6 mm99.9 mm
2026-06-09630.4554.693.7 mm101.7 mm
2026-06-10643.6566.593.8 mm102.5 mm
2026-06-11656.1578.593.9 mm103.2 mm
2026-06-12667.6590.393.9 mm103.3 mm
2026-06-13680.5602.993.9 mm104.0 mm
2026-06-14694.5615.993.9 mm104.8 mm
2026-06-15710.5629.195.9 mm106.8 mm
2026-06-16725.0642.196.0 mm107.4 mm
2026-06-17740.1655.096.0 mm108.0 mm
2026-06-18754.9667.996.7 mm108.9 mm
2026-06-19770.3681.496.7 mm109.1 mm
2026-06-20787.3694.796.7 mm109.3 mm
2026-06-21805.3708.696.7 mm109.6 mm
2026-06-22823.3722.796.7 mm109.9 mm
2026-06-23841.5737.196.7 mm110.1 mm
2026-06-24858.9751.496.7 mm111.0 mm
2026-06-25875.5765.796.7 mm111.3 mm
2026-06-26892.1780.396.7 mm111.3 mm
2026-06-27909.4795.196.7 mm111.5 mm
2026-06-28926.5810.297.6 mm112.2 mm
2026-06-29943.8825.398.0 mm112.3 mm
2026-06-30961.2840.398.2 mm112.5 mm
2026-07-01979.6855.298.2 mm113.3 mm
2026-07-02996.2870.698.2 mm113.5 mm
2026-07-031012.3886.098.2 mm113.8 mm
2026-07-041028.6901.498.2 mm113.9 mm
2026-07-051045.6917.198.2 mm113.9 mm
2026-07-061063.9932.898.2 mm114.0 mm
2026-07-071083.0948.398.2 mm114.2 mm
2026-07-081103.4963.498.2 mm114.4 mm
2026-07-091124.2978.598.2 mm114.5 mm
2026-07-101142.0994.098.2 mm114.8 mm
2026-07-111159.51009.398.2 mm114.9 mm
2026-07-121176.71025.098.3 mm115.0 mm
2026-07-131195.81040.898.3 mm115.2 mm
2026-07-141215.31056.598.3 mm115.6 mm
2026-07-151237.21071.999.4 mm115.7 mm
2026-07-161259.11087.5100.8 mm116.0 mm
2026-07-171280.01103.5102.1 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-181300.41119.5102.1 mm116.2 mm
2026-07-191320.01135.6102.9 mm116.3 mm
2026-07-201341.61151.9104.4 mm116.4 mm
2026-07-211363.61168.3106.8 mm116.6 mm
2026-07-221384.11184.6107.3 mm116.7 mm
2026-07-231406.81201.1107.9 mm116.9 mm
2026-07-241429.21217.9111.1 mm117.0 mm
2026-07-251448.21234.6111.1 mm117.2 mm
2026-07-261465.01251.3111.1 mm117.2 mm
2026-07-271480.71268.2111.1 mm117.8 mm
2026-07-281497.61284.9111.1 mm117.9 mm
2026-07-291515.51301.6111.1 mm118.1 mm
2026-07-301534.11318.1111.1 mm118.2 mm
2026-07-311553.91334.6111.6 mm118.4 mm
2026-08-011573.41351.5112.1 mm118.6 mm
2026-08-021593.61368.2112.1 mm118.8 mm
2026-08-031612.91385.0112.1 mm119.1 mm
2026-08-041632.81401.7112.1 mm119.4 mm
2026-08-051651.71418.5112.1 mm119.5 mm
2026-08-061670.71435.5112.5 mm119.9 mm
2026-08-071689.51452.4112.5 mm120.0 mm
2026-08-081708.91469.1112.5 mm120.4 mm
2026-08-091728.71485.3112.7 mm120.9 mm
2026-08-101748.11501.2114.5 mm123.0 mm
2026-08-111767.51517.0114.5 mm123.2 mm
2026-08-121787.31533.1115.5 mm123.3 mm
2026-08-131806.81548.6115.6 mm123.6 mm
2026-08-141826.91564.1117.8 mm124.0 mm
2026-08-151845.01579.9119.9 mm124.3 mm
2026-08-161862.21595.7119.9 mm125.0 mm
2026-08-171881.01611.8119.9 mm125.6 mm
2026-08-181900.31627.8119.9 mm125.9 mm
2026-08-191921.31643.9120.1 mm126.5 mm
2026-08-201938.51660.1128.3 mm126.7 mm
2026-08-211954.81675.9128.3 mm127.1 mm
2026-08-221970.91691.5128.3 mm127.8 mm
2026-08-231987.61707.3128.3 mm128.2 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
140 GDDvs 138 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.0 mmvs 10.1 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 30°Cavg 30°C 15°Cavg 19°C +12 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 30°Cavg 29°C 16°Cavg 19°C +12 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 29°Cavg 29°C 18°Cavg 19°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 31°Cavg 29°C 18°Cavg 19°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 33°Cavg 30°C 19°Cavg 19°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 34°Cavg 30°C 18°Cavg 19°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 33°Cavg 29°C 19°Cavg 19°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 33°Cavg 28°C 18°Cavg 18°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 33°Cavg 28°C 19°Cavg 18°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 29°Cavg 28°C 18°Cavg 18°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Southeast Spain model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 2 ERA5 locations, 2 temperature stations, and 2 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: jumilla-catalog-v1-2026-07.