Spain · Multi-region weather view
Southeast Spain
Sign in to followDry Mediterranean vineyards in inland Jumilla and around Alicante.
Rain is scarce and summer heat can be intense, though elevation and proximity to the coast bring some local relief.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Temperature15.4°C
Dew Point13.7°C
Relative Humidity89%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29
Vintage explorer
Mean temperature22.3°C
Temperature anomaly+1.8°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1987base 10°C
Hot days39≥ 35°C
What stood out in 2026
Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity. Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
Warmer growing season · High confidence
Mean growing-season temperature was +1.8°C versus the 1991–2020 baseline.
Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity.
More hot days than usual · High confidence
There were 39 days at or above 35°C—+32 days versus baseline.
Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.
Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 82 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
2026 month by month
Replay the 2026 growing season
Closest weather matches
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 0 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -1.0°C | -47 mm | 12 |
| 1992 | -1.1°C | -11 mm | 2 |
| 1993 | -1.2°C | -12 mm | 4 |
| 1994 | +0.2°C | -34 mm | 15 |
| 1995 | -0.5°C | -102 mm | 3 |
| 1996 | -1.0°C | +39 mm | 2 |
| 1997 | -0.1°C | +48 mm | 1 |
| 1998 | -0.2°C | -78 mm | 2 |
| 1999 | +0.6°C | -57 mm | 4 |
| 2000 | -0.1°C | -69 mm | 5 |
| 2001 | +0.6°C | -44 mm | 6 |
| 2002 | -0.5°C | +34 mm | 0 |
| 2003 | +0.4°C | +22 mm | 9 |
| 2004 | -0.3°C | +71 mm | 7 |
| 2005 | +0.3°C | -88 mm | 6 |
| 2006 | +0.8°C | -29 mm | 5 |
| 2007 | -0.7°C | +143 mm | 5 |
| 2008 | -0.3°C | +82 mm | 4 |
| 2009 | +0.3°C | -30 mm | 10 |
| 2010 | -0.6°C | +9 mm | 6 |
| 2011 | +0.4°C | -22 mm | 5 |
| 2012 | +0.7°C | +4 mm | 18 |
| 2013 | -0.1°C | -51 mm | 0 |
| 2014 | +1.0°C | -65 mm | 7 |
| 2015 | +0.9°C | +56 mm | 17 |
| 2016 | +0.4°C | -5 mm | 10 |
| 2017 | +0.8°C | -59 mm | 14 |
| 2018 | +0.1°C | +85 mm | 7 |
| 2019 | +0.2°C | +136 mm | 18 |
| 2020 | -0.1°C | +74 mm | 17 |
| 2021 | +0.1°C | +137 mm | 17 |
| 2022 | +1.2°C | +106 mm | 26 |
| 2023 | +1.4°C | +115 mm | 27 |
| 2024 | +1.0°C | -7 mm | 22 |
| 2025 | +1.5°C | -5 mm | 30 |
| 2026 | +1.8°C | -82 mm | 39 |
winter
10.8°C
+1.4°C vs baseline
118 mm rain · +39 mm
spring
15.7°C
+0.6°C vs baseline
154 mm rain · +47 mm
summer
27.6°C
+2.7°C vs baseline
35 mm rain · -6 mm
harvest
27.9°C
+7.0°C vs baseline
10 mm rain · -76 mm
Weather events
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +110.6 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +69.4 to +151.7 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 2205 GDD | -220 GDD |
| 1992 | 2183 GDD | -241 GDD |
| 1993 | 2147 GDD | -277 GDD |
| 1994 | 2478 GDD | +54 GDD |
| 1995 | 2302 GDD | -122 GDD |
| 1996 | 2202 GDD | -222 GDD |
| 1997 | 2402 GDD | -22 GDD |
| 1998 | 2369 GDD | -55 GDD |
| 1999 | 2561 GDD | +137 GDD |
| 2000 | 2399 GDD | -25 GDD |
| 2001 | 2554 GDD | +129 GDD |
| 2002 | 2311 GDD | -113 GDD |
| 2003 | 2517 GDD | +93 GDD |
| 2004 | 2368 GDD | -56 GDD |
| 2005 | 2499 GDD | +75 GDD |
| 2006 | 2596 GDD | +172 GDD |
| 2007 | 2271 GDD | -154 GDD |
| 2008 | 2340 GDD | -84 GDD |
| 2009 | 2488 GDD | +64 GDD |
| 2010 | 2283 GDD | -141 GDD |
| 2011 | 2520 GDD | +96 GDD |
| 2012 | 2575 GDD | +151 GDD |
| 2013 | 2403 GDD | -21 GDD |
| 2014 | 2655 GDD | +231 GDD |
| 2015 | 2635 GDD | +211 GDD |
| 2016 | 2517 GDD | +93 GDD |
| 2017 | 2609 GDD | +184 GDD |
| 2018 | 2454 GDD | +29 GDD |
| 2019 | 2475 GDD | +51 GDD |
| 2020 | 2406 GDD | -18 GDD |
| 2021 | 2459 GDD | +35 GDD |
| 2022 | 2714 GDD | +290 GDD |
| 2023 | 2743 GDD | +319 GDD |
| 2024 | 2658 GDD | +234 GDD |
| 2025 | 2768 GDD | +344 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.48 °C per decade 95% interval +0.29 to +0.66
- Growing degree days
- +110.55 GDD per decade 95% interval +69.36 to +151.75
- Growing-season precipitation
- +30.36 mm per decade 95% interval +10.34 to +50.38
- Hot days
- +5.54 days per decade 95% interval +2.55 to +8.52
- Spring frost days
- -0.02 days per decade 95% interval -0.27 to +0.24
- Longest dry spell
- -4.21 days per decade 95% interval -9.75 to +1.33
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +1.0°C | +0.7 to +1.5°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.6°C | +1.2 to +2.4°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +2.1°C | +1.7 to +3.0°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 30°C | 30°C | 29°C | 31°C | 33°C | 34°C | 33°C | 33°C | 33°C | 29°C |
| Low | 15°C | 16°C | 18°C | 18°C | 19°C | 18°C | 19°C | 18°C | 19°C | 18°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm |
Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (32.5°C); Late January has the coolest (13.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (26%) and least frequent in Late July (4%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 13.4°C (11.3–15.6°C) | 4.0°C (1.8–6.4°C) | 13% | 3.3 mm (0.8–13.6 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 13.3°C (11.4–15.6°C) | 4.4°C (2.4–6.4°C) | 20% | 11.6 mm (2.4–27.6 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 14.6°C (11.9–17.2°C) | 4.9°C (3.0–6.9°C) | 16% | 8.7 mm (2.7–15.5 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 15.2°C (12.3–17.7°C) | 5.4°C (3.2–7.3°C) | 21% | 13.3 mm (2.5–18.2 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 17.2°C (14.0–19.9°C) | 6.4°C (4.6–8.5°C) | 18% | 11.6 mm (2.2–22.6 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 18.3°C (15.4–20.7°C) | 7.5°C (5.9–9.3°C) | 19% | 12.1 mm (6.2–22.9 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 19.2°C (16.9–21.7°C) | 8.6°C (7.1–10.2°C) | 21% | 11.9 mm (6.6–15.8 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 20.6°C (18.4–23.3°C) | 10.3°C (8.7–11.8°C) | 26% | 15.0 mm (9.0–30.0 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 22.4°C (19.6–25.1°C) | 11.9°C (10.0–13.6°C) | 24% | 23.4 mm (5.4–31.5 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 25.5°C (23.1–27.3°C) | 13.8°C (12.1–15.4°C) | 14% | 9.4 mm (3.5–15.2 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 27.8°C (25.3–29.8°C) | 16.0°C (14.6–17.3°C) | 15% | 6.9 mm (3.2–14.7 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 30.4°C (28.2–32.2°C) | 18.1°C (16.7–19.7°C) | 9% | 2.2 mm (0.8–5.1 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 31.6°C (29.5–33.2°C) | 19.5°C (18.4–20.7°C) | 6% | 2.0 mm (1.0–4.3 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 32.5°C (31.2–33.9°C) | 20.3°C (19.4–21.2°C) | 4% | 2.0 mm (0.4–4.0 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 32.3°C (30.7–33.9°C) | 20.5°C (19.4–21.8°C) | 10% | 3.2 mm (1.5–7.1 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 31.5°C (29.7–33.3°C) | 20.1°C (19.0–21.0°C) | 15% | 6.4 mm (2.9–13.7 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 28.5°C (26.9–30.2°C) | 17.9°C (16.5–19.4°C) | 19% | 9.3 mm (3.5–18.3 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 25.6°C (23.5–27.6°C) | 16.0°C (14.3–17.3°C) | 26% | 13.5 mm (6.6–23.6 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 23.6°C (21.4–26.3°C) | 14.0°C (12.4–15.5°C) | 21% | 14.5 mm (6.6–23.8 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 21.5°C (19.1–23.6°C) | 12.1°C (10.2–13.9°C) | 19% | 10.4 mm (4.3–39.1 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 18.1°C (16.1–20.1°C) | 9.2°C (7.4–11.1°C) | 21% | 15.4 mm (6.0–25.8 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 15.4°C (13.1–17.6°C) | 6.6°C (4.5–9.2°C) | 19% | 10.3 mm (5.9–25.7 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 14.2°C (12.0–16.2°C) | 5.9°C (3.8–7.6°C) | 17% | 8.8 mm (3.7–21.5 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 13.4°C (11.8–15.5°C) | 4.8°C (2.3–7.0°C) | 16% | 9.3 mm (2.1–19.0 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026
Growing degree days1987.6base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall128.3 mmweighted regional total
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 mm | 0.3 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 0.0 mm | 1.2 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 0.0 mm | 1.8 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 7.8 | 10.0 | 0.0 mm | 2.5 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 mm | 3.1 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 11.4 | 16.2 | 2.4 mm | 4.8 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 11.4 | 19.4 | 6.4 mm | 6.1 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 11.9 | 22.4 | 6.4 mm | 7.2 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 13.0 | 25.2 | 6.5 mm | 8.8 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 14.0 | 27.9 | 6.5 mm | 10.3 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 17.2 | 30.5 | 6.5 mm | 11.8 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 19.5 | 33.1 | 6.5 mm | 12.8 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 20.1 | 36.2 | 6.7 mm | 14.2 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 22.4 | 39.9 | 6.7 mm | 15.3 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 22.4 | 43.3 | 6.7 mm | 16.8 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 22.4 | 47.2 | 6.7 mm | 18.0 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 27.5 | 50.9 | 6.7 mm | 19.2 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 31.1 | 54.6 | 6.7 mm | 19.9 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 35.5 | 58.2 | 6.7 mm | 21.6 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 38.9 | 62.1 | 6.7 mm | 22.2 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 43.7 | 66.0 | 6.7 mm | 23.3 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 50.1 | 69.5 | 6.7 mm | 24.5 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 55.3 | 73.5 | 6.7 mm | 25.3 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 61.0 | 78.0 | 6.7 mm | 26.5 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 68.0 | 82.1 | 6.7 mm | 27.6 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 76.9 | 85.9 | 6.7 mm | 28.6 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 86.3 | 90.5 | 6.7 mm | 29.2 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 95.3 | 94.3 | 7.0 mm | 30.1 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 99.3 | 98.4 | 24.0 mm | 30.8 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 100.7 | 102.5 | 37.5 mm | 31.3 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 104.4 | 106.9 | 37.5 mm | 32.1 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 110.1 | 111.4 | 37.5 mm | 35.1 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 116.7 | 115.7 | 37.5 mm | 38.6 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 124.8 | 120.3 | 37.5 mm | 39.9 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 133.5 | 125.0 | 37.5 mm | 41.7 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 142.2 | 129.9 | 37.5 mm | 43.3 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 151.4 | 134.7 | 37.5 mm | 45.6 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 160.0 | 139.7 | 37.5 mm | 46.9 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 170.3 | 144.9 | 37.7 mm | 49.0 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 178.4 | 150.7 | 37.9 mm | 49.7 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 184.1 | 156.8 | 39.9 mm | 50.1 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 188.8 | 162.9 | 42.8 mm | 51.7 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 194.2 | 169.3 | 42.8 mm | 52.5 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 200.0 | 175.5 | 42.8 mm | 54.3 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 206.0 | 181.5 | 43.7 mm | 56.8 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 213.7 | 187.1 | 43.8 mm | 58.0 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 222.7 | 193.2 | 44.0 mm | 58.9 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 230.9 | 199.1 | 53.8 mm | 59.8 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 238.3 | 204.9 | 54.3 mm | 61.4 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 246.1 | 210.8 | 55.5 mm | 64.2 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 255.1 | 217.3 | 57.6 mm | 65.2 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 262.9 | 224.0 | 57.7 mm | 66.7 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 268.3 | 230.4 | 61.0 mm | 68.6 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 272.8 | 237.2 | 72.4 mm | 70.9 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 277.2 | 244.7 | 73.3 mm | 72.7 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 282.9 | 252.5 | 85.5 mm | 74.3 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 289.1 | 260.7 | 85.9 mm | 76.2 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 296.5 | 268.8 | 85.9 mm | 77.8 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 303.8 | 276.9 | 86.1 mm | 79.1 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 312.1 | 284.9 | 86.1 mm | 79.8 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 320.9 | 292.8 | 86.1 mm | 81.2 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 326.4 | 300.9 | 86.5 mm | 81.6 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 330.9 | 309.1 | 86.5 mm | 82.4 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 335.8 | 317.7 | 91.8 mm | 83.1 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 343.0 | 326.4 | 92.1 mm | 83.9 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 353.1 | 335.2 | 92.1 mm | 84.5 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 365.0 | 343.7 | 92.1 mm | 84.8 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 375.6 | 352.3 | 92.1 mm | 85.2 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 387.9 | 361.6 | 92.1 mm | 85.8 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 399.2 | 371.1 | 92.1 mm | 86.4 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 410.5 | 380.5 | 92.1 mm | 87.5 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 421.8 | 390.1 | 92.1 mm | 88.2 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 432.9 | 400.3 | 92.1 mm | 88.5 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 445.0 | 410.6 | 92.1 mm | 89.3 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 458.3 | 421.0 | 92.1 mm | 89.9 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 473.3 | 431.6 | 92.1 mm | 90.1 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 489.9 | 442.4 | 92.1 mm | 90.9 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 505.6 | 453.1 | 92.5 mm | 92.7 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 520.7 | 463.9 | 92.5 mm | 93.2 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 537.8 | 475.1 | 92.5 mm | 94.2 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 550.6 | 486.4 | 92.9 mm | 95.5 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 565.1 | 497.7 | 92.9 mm | 96.3 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 575.4 | 509.0 | 93.6 mm | 96.7 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 589.0 | 520.3 | 93.6 mm | 97.8 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 602.0 | 531.6 | 93.6 mm | 98.5 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 616.4 | 543.2 | 93.6 mm | 99.9 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 630.4 | 554.6 | 93.7 mm | 101.7 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 643.6 | 566.5 | 93.8 mm | 102.5 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 656.1 | 578.5 | 93.9 mm | 103.2 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 667.6 | 590.3 | 93.9 mm | 103.3 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 680.5 | 602.9 | 93.9 mm | 104.0 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 694.5 | 615.9 | 93.9 mm | 104.8 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 710.5 | 629.1 | 95.9 mm | 106.8 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 725.0 | 642.1 | 96.0 mm | 107.4 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 740.1 | 655.0 | 96.0 mm | 108.0 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 754.9 | 667.9 | 96.7 mm | 108.9 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 770.3 | 681.4 | 96.7 mm | 109.1 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 787.3 | 694.7 | 96.7 mm | 109.3 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 805.3 | 708.6 | 96.7 mm | 109.6 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 823.3 | 722.7 | 96.7 mm | 109.9 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 841.5 | 737.1 | 96.7 mm | 110.1 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 858.9 | 751.4 | 96.7 mm | 111.0 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 875.5 | 765.7 | 96.7 mm | 111.3 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 892.1 | 780.3 | 96.7 mm | 111.3 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 909.4 | 795.1 | 96.7 mm | 111.5 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 926.5 | 810.2 | 97.6 mm | 112.2 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 943.8 | 825.3 | 98.0 mm | 112.3 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 961.2 | 840.3 | 98.2 mm | 112.5 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 979.6 | 855.2 | 98.2 mm | 113.3 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 996.2 | 870.6 | 98.2 mm | 113.5 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 1012.3 | 886.0 | 98.2 mm | 113.8 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 1028.6 | 901.4 | 98.2 mm | 113.9 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 1045.6 | 917.1 | 98.2 mm | 113.9 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 1063.9 | 932.8 | 98.2 mm | 114.0 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 1083.0 | 948.3 | 98.2 mm | 114.2 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 1103.4 | 963.4 | 98.2 mm | 114.4 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 1124.2 | 978.5 | 98.2 mm | 114.5 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 1142.0 | 994.0 | 98.2 mm | 114.8 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 1159.5 | 1009.3 | 98.2 mm | 114.9 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 1176.7 | 1025.0 | 98.3 mm | 115.0 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 1195.8 | 1040.8 | 98.3 mm | 115.2 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 1215.3 | 1056.5 | 98.3 mm | 115.6 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 1237.2 | 1071.9 | 99.4 mm | 115.7 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 1259.1 | 1087.5 | 100.8 mm | 116.0 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 1280.0 | 1103.5 | 102.1 mm | 116.2 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 1300.4 | 1119.5 | 102.1 mm | 116.2 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 1320.0 | 1135.6 | 102.9 mm | 116.3 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 1341.6 | 1151.9 | 104.4 mm | 116.4 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 1363.6 | 1168.3 | 106.8 mm | 116.6 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 1384.1 | 1184.6 | 107.3 mm | 116.7 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 1406.8 | 1201.1 | 107.9 mm | 116.9 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 1429.2 | 1217.9 | 111.1 mm | 117.0 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 1448.2 | 1234.6 | 111.1 mm | 117.2 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 1465.0 | 1251.3 | 111.1 mm | 117.2 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 1480.7 | 1268.2 | 111.1 mm | 117.8 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 1497.6 | 1284.9 | 111.1 mm | 117.9 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 1515.5 | 1301.6 | 111.1 mm | 118.1 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 1534.1 | 1318.1 | 111.1 mm | 118.2 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 1553.9 | 1334.6 | 111.6 mm | 118.4 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1573.4 | 1351.5 | 112.1 mm | 118.6 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1593.6 | 1368.2 | 112.1 mm | 118.8 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1612.9 | 1385.0 | 112.1 mm | 119.1 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1632.8 | 1401.7 | 112.1 mm | 119.4 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1651.7 | 1418.5 | 112.1 mm | 119.5 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1670.7 | 1435.5 | 112.5 mm | 119.9 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1689.5 | 1452.4 | 112.5 mm | 120.0 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1708.9 | 1469.1 | 112.5 mm | 120.4 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1728.7 | 1485.3 | 112.7 mm | 120.9 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1748.1 | 1501.2 | 114.5 mm | 123.0 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1767.5 | 1517.0 | 114.5 mm | 123.2 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1787.3 | 1533.1 | 115.5 mm | 123.3 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1806.8 | 1548.6 | 115.6 mm | 123.6 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1826.9 | 1564.1 | 117.8 mm | 124.0 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1845.0 | 1579.9 | 119.9 mm | 124.3 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1862.2 | 1595.7 | 119.9 mm | 125.0 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1881.0 | 1611.8 | 119.9 mm | 125.6 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1900.3 | 1627.8 | 119.9 mm | 125.9 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1921.3 | 1643.9 | 120.1 mm | 126.5 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1938.5 | 1660.1 | 128.3 mm | 126.7 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1954.8 | 1675.9 | 128.3 mm | 127.1 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1970.9 | 1691.5 | 128.3 mm | 127.8 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1987.6 | 1707.3 | 128.3 mm | 128.2 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 140 GDDvs 138 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 0.0 mmvs 10.1 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Sun8/30
30°Cavg 30°C
15°Cavg 19°C
+12 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon8/31
30°Cavg 29°C
16°Cavg 19°C
+12 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/1
29°Cavg 29°C
18°Cavg 19°C
+13 GDD
0.0 mm
Wed9/2
31°Cavg 29°C
18°Cavg 19°C
+14 GDD
0.0 mm
Thu9/3
33°Cavg 30°C
19°Cavg 19°C
+15 GDD
0.0 mm
Fri9/4
34°Cavg 30°C
18°Cavg 19°C
+16 GDD
0.0 mm
Sat9/5
33°Cavg 29°C
19°Cavg 19°C
+15 GDD
0.0 mm
Sun9/6
33°Cavg 28°C
18°Cavg 18°C
+15 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon9/7
33°Cavg 28°C
19°Cavg 18°C
+15 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/8
29°Cavg 28°C
18°Cavg 18°C
+13 GDD
0.0 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Southeast Spain model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.
- DOP Jumilla: Monastrell harvest generalises in September and closes end of October
- WMO climate normals guidance
The historical series uses 2 ERA5 locations, 2 temperature stations, and 2 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: moderate. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: jumilla-catalog-v1-2026-07.