United States · Detailed regional profile
Napa Valley
Sign in to followA small California AVA known especially for Cabernet Sauvignon, with cooler conditions in the south and warmer sites farther north.
Summers are dry and warm, while marine air reaches parts of the valley. Heat, water stress, and harvest timing can all vary by site.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Temperature24.1°C
Dew Point12.6°C
Relative Humidity50%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29
NWS station average · 2 stations
Temperature, dew point, humidity, and wind are averaged using the same locations and weights as the historical record. The current temperature uses 100% of the configured regional weight.
- KAPC — Napa, Napa County Airport · 55% regional weight
- KSTS — Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa Sonoma County Airport · 45% regional weight
NOAA National Weather Service observations. Station readings are point measurements and may not represent every vineyard elevation or exposure.
Vintage explorer
Mean temperature18.4°C
Temperature anomaly-0.0°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2077base 10°C
Hot days7≥ 35°C
What stood out in 2025
No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.
Close to the usual range · Low confidence
Temperature, rainfall, heat, and frost all stayed within the site's published thresholds.
No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.
How unusual was 2025?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
17th coolest of 35 vintages Cooler than 18 of 34 other vintages 18.4°CGrowing-season rainfall
11th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 24 of 34 other vintages 177.1 mmHeat accumulation
16th lowest of 35 vintages Lower than 19 of 34 other vintages 2077 GDDHot days
3rd fewest of 35 vintages Fewer than 29 of 34 other vintages 7 days2025 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
Frost watch
Growing season
Harvest window
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 38 GDDTypical 83 GDDRainfall
2025 84.0 mmTypical 111.5 mm- 2025 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.2
Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 134 GDDTypical 131 GDDRainfall
2025 10.3 mmTypical 48.4 mm- 2025 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Drier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 261 GDDTypical 226 GDDRainfall
2025 3.5 mmTypical 29.5 mm- 2025 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Drier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 299 GDDTypical 315 GDDRainfall
2025 0.0 mmTypical 7.4 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 325 GDDTypical 374 GDDRainfall
2025 0.4 mmTypical 0.3 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2025 403 GDDTypical 372 GDDRainfall
2025 0.1 mmTypical 1.1 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2025 343 GDDTypical 330 GDDRainfall
2025 9.2 mmTypical 2.8 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2025 198 GDDTypical 232 GDDRainfall
2025 48.4 mmTypical 37.0 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–15 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2025 76 GDDTypical 55 GDDRainfall
2025 59.6 mmTypical 30.6 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2025 GDD | Typical GDD | 2025 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2025 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | 38 GDD | 83 GDD | 84.0 mm | 111.5 mm | 0 | 0.2 |
| April 2025 | 134 GDD | 131 GDD | 10.3 mm | 48.4 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| May 2025 | 261 GDD | 226 GDD | 3.5 mm | 29.5 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| June 2025 | 299 GDD | 315 GDD | 0.0 mm | 7.4 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2025 | 325 GDD | 374 GDD | 0.4 mm | 0.3 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2025 | 403 GDD | 372 GDD | 0.1 mm | 1.1 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2025 | 343 GDD | 330 GDD | 9.2 mm | 2.8 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2025 | 198 GDD | 232 GDD | 48.4 mm | 37.0 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| November 2025 | 76 GDD | 55 GDD | 59.6 mm | 30.6 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2025 growing season
246 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
Mean temperature
Daily rainfall
Season GDD
Season rainfall
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2004
Most alike in Hot-day count and Spring frost exposure.
- Hot-day count
- the same: 0 days
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain
View 2004 →Second closest
2000
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing degree days
- lower: 33 GDD
Largest difference: Hot-day count — more hot days
View 2000 →Third closest
2007
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing-season mean temperature
- cooler: 0.0°C
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain
View 2007 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2004 0.382; 2000 0.510; 2007 0.517.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.6°C | +13 mm | 10 |
| 1992 | +0.7°C | -19 mm | 9 |
| 1993 | +0.1°C | +14 mm | 10 |
| 1994 | -0.6°C | +33 mm | 7 |
| 1995 | -0.4°C | +21 mm | 16 |
| 1996 | +0.2°C | +11 mm | 23 |
| 1997 | +0.8°C | -27 mm | 10 |
| 1998 | -1.0°C | +87 mm | 16 |
| 1999 | -0.6°C | -7 mm | 10 |
| 2000 | -0.2°C | -2 mm | 13 |
| 2001 | +0.6°C | -65 mm | 17 |
| 2002 | -0.2°C | -59 mm | 16 |
| 2003 | -0.1°C | +57 mm | 17 |
| 2004 | +0.3°C | -28 mm | 7 |
| 2005 | -0.5°C | +111 mm | 10 |
| 2006 | -0.2°C | +136 mm | 16 |
| 2007 | -0.1°C | -71 mm | 11 |
| 2008 | +0.1°C | -93 mm | 18 |
| 2009 | -0.2°C | -4 mm | 17 |
| 2010 | -1.0°C | +82 mm | 12 |
| 2011 | -1.1°C | +193 mm | 3 |
| 2012 | -0.5°C | +50 mm | 9 |
| 2013 | +0.3°C | -125 mm | 13 |
| 2014 | +0.8°C | -64 mm | 6 |
| 2015 | +0.7°C | -101 mm | 17 |
| 2016 | +0.3°C | +14 mm | 14 |
| 2017 | +0.8°C | +6 mm | 27 |
| 2018 | +0.2°C | -30 mm | 7 |
| 2019 | +0.4°C | -31 mm | 13 |
| 2020 | +0.9°C | -104 mm | 23 |
| 2021 | +0.3°C | +90 mm | 12 |
| 2022 | +0.5°C | -55 mm | 18 |
| 2023 | -0.6°C | -29 mm | 10 |
| 2024 | +0.8°C | -65 mm | 28 |
| 2025 | -0.0°C | -32 mm | 7 |
| 2026 | +0.5°C | -88 mm | 7 |
winter
10.1°C
+0.6°C vs baseline
414 mm rain · -46 mm
spring
14.7°C
+0.1°C vs baseline
97 mm rain · -92 mm
summer
21.2°C
-0.4°C vs baseline
0 mm rain · -8 mm
harvest
19.5°C
+0.3°C vs baseline
117 mm rain · +46 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 18 days
- Total rain
- 0.2 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 14 days
- Total rain
- 0.2 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 119 days
- Total rain
- 1.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 36.9°C
- Duration
- 3 days
- Heat accumulation
- 47 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 19 days
- Total rain
- 2.6 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 36.4 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 36.4 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 20.0 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 41.2 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 41.0 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 20.0 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules napa-v2-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +42.2 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +10.8 to +73.7 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the March 15–November 15 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1962 GDD | -124 GDD |
| 1992 | 2259 GDD | +173 GDD |
| 1993 | 2089 GDD | +3 GDD |
| 1994 | 1945 GDD | -141 GDD |
| 1995 | 1988 GDD | -98 GDD |
| 1996 | 2140 GDD | +54 GDD |
| 1997 | 2272 GDD | +186 GDD |
| 1998 | 1848 GDD | -238 GDD |
| 1999 | 1942 GDD | -144 GDD |
| 2000 | 2044 GDD | -42 GDD |
| 2001 | 2231 GDD | +145 GDD |
| 2002 | 2034 GDD | -52 GDD |
| 2003 | 2080 GDD | -6 GDD |
| 2004 | 2144 GDD | +58 GDD |
| 2005 | 1952 GDD | -134 GDD |
| 2006 | 2037 GDD | -49 GDD |
| 2007 | 2064 GDD | -22 GDD |
| 2008 | 2116 GDD | +30 GDD |
| 2009 | 2036 GDD | -50 GDD |
| 2010 | 1842 GDD | -244 GDD |
| 2011 | 1824 GDD | -262 GDD |
| 2012 | 1976 GDD | -110 GDD |
| 2013 | 2141 GDD | +55 GDD |
| 2014 | 2278 GDD | +192 GDD |
| 2015 | 2252 GDD | +166 GDD |
| 2016 | 2139 GDD | +53 GDD |
| 2017 | 2281 GDD | +195 GDD |
| 2018 | 2156 GDD | +70 GDD |
| 2019 | 2184 GDD | +98 GDD |
| 2020 | 2325 GDD | +239 GDD |
| 2021 | 2151 GDD | +65 GDD |
| 2022 | 2212 GDD | +126 GDD |
| 2023 | 1966 GDD | -120 GDD |
| 2024 | 2292 GDD | +206 GDD |
| 2025 | 2077 GDD | -9 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.17 °C per decade 95% interval +0.04 to +0.30
- Growing degree days
- +42.21 GDD per decade 95% interval +10.75 to +73.68
- Growing-season precipitation
- -15.39 mm per decade 95% interval -26.01 to -4.76
- Hot days
- +1.02 days per decade 95% interval -0.30 to +2.34
- Spring frost days
- +0.03 days per decade 95% interval -0.07 to +0.14
- Longest dry spell
- +7.97 days per decade 95% interval -1.34 to +17.29
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +0.9°C | +0.5 to +1.3°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.3°C | +1.0 to +2.1°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.8°C | +1.4 to +2.7°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 29°C | 23°C | 20°C | 21°C | 24°C | 26°C | 26°C | 29°C | 26°C | 26°C |
| Low | 12°C | 12°C | 12°C | 12°C | 12°C | 14°C | 12°C | 12°C | 17°C | 19°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.1 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.5 mm | 0.8 mm |
Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (30.7°C); Late December has the coolest (13.0°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late February (42%) and least frequent in Early July (0%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 13.3°C (11.4–15.3°C) | 4.0°C (2.1–6.2°C) | 36% | 49.2 mm (8.9–99.9 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 14.0°C (12.4–16.6°C) | 4.5°C (2.6–6.8°C) | 40% | 48.6 mm (18.5–130.2 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 15.4°C (13.6–18.3°C) | 5.2°C (3.2–7.5°C) | 35% | 55.3 mm (15.1–107.5 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 15.1°C (12.6–18.8°C) | 5.4°C (3.3–7.1°C) | 42% | 70.1 mm (26.7–130.9 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 17.4°C (14.3–20.7°C) | 6.0°C (4.0–8.1°C) | 36% | 53.1 mm (13.9–79.5 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 18.4°C (15.5–22.2°C) | 6.8°C (4.8–8.5°C) | 33% | 24.2 mm (11.6–71.7 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 19.4°C (16.4–22.4°C) | 6.7°C (4.9–8.5°C) | 27% | 24.8 mm (10.5–55.7 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 21.9°C (19.0–26.0°C) | 8.3°C (6.5–10.0°C) | 18% | 13.0 mm (6.1–23.4 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 23.8°C (20.4–26.8°C) | 9.3°C (7.8–10.9°C) | 14% | 4.2 mm (0.7–21.7 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 25.0°C (21.9–28.5°C) | 10.3°C (9.0–11.9°C) | 13% | 3.1 mm (0.4–25.7 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 27.5°C (24.7–30.7°C) | 11.7°C (10.3–13.3°C) | 6% | 0.7 mm (0.0–3.2 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 29.5°C (27.0–32.4°C) | 12.5°C (11.2–14.1°C) | 3% | 0.0 mm (0.0–0.8 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 30.3°C (28.4–32.6°C) | 13.0°C (12.0–14.3°C) | 0% | 0.0 mm (0.0–0.0 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 30.7°C (28.2–32.7°C) | 13.5°C (12.3–14.7°C) | 0% | 0.0 mm (0.0–0.1 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 30.5°C (28.1–33.1°C) | 13.2°C (12.2–14.6°C) | 0% | 0.0 mm (0.0–0.1 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 30.0°C (28.1–32.8°C) | 13.1°C (12.1–14.2°C) | 1% | 0.0 mm (0.0–0.1 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 29.5°C (27.3–32.5°C) | 12.5°C (11.4–14.1°C) | 2% | 0.0 mm (0.0–0.3 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 29.0°C (26.2–31.8°C) | 12.1°C (10.9–13.4°C) | 4% | 0.2 mm (0.0–1.6 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 26.2°C (23.1–29.3°C) | 10.7°C (9.1–12.3°C) | 9% | 2.2 mm (0.0–17.9 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 23.4°C (20.6–26.6°C) | 9.6°C (7.9–11.0°C) | 16% | 11.6 mm (0.4–34.3 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 19.2°C (16.6–22.6°C) | 7.4°C (5.5–9.2°C) | 21% | 20.6 mm (6.5–46.7 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 16.2°C (14.1–18.3°C) | 5.5°C (3.7–7.8°C) | 30% | 29.7 mm (20.8–58.0 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 14.1°C (12.7–15.9°C) | 4.4°C (2.4–7.5°C) | 42% | 68.3 mm (22.1–123.0 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 13.0°C (11.4–15.1°C) | 3.5°C (1.8–5.5°C) | 35% | 53.8 mm (9.9–127.5 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Mar 15–Aug 29, 2026
Growing degree days1455.9base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall120.8 mmweighted regional total
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 0.0 mm | 4.1 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 19.1 | 6.6 | 0.0 mm | 7.4 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 29.9 | 10.1 | 0.0 mm | 9.8 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 40.7 | 13.6 | 0.0 mm | 11.3 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 51.9 | 17.0 | 0.0 mm | 13.5 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 63.9 | 20.1 | 0.0 mm | 18.1 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 75.0 | 23.0 | 0.0 mm | 21.1 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 83.6 | 25.6 | 0.0 mm | 25.8 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 91.5 | 28.0 | 0.0 mm | 30.4 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 99.5 | 30.1 | 0.0 mm | 35.6 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 106.4 | 32.2 | 0.0 mm | 39.8 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 113.4 | 34.4 | 0.0 mm | 42.2 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 121.9 | 37.0 | 0.0 mm | 44.7 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 129.9 | 40.2 | 0.0 mm | 46.4 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 139.4 | 43.8 | 0.0 mm | 48.1 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 147.5 | 47.6 | 0.0 mm | 48.8 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 152.5 | 51.4 | 6.2 mm | 51.7 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 154.9 | 55.2 | 9.9 mm | 54.7 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 156.0 | 59.1 | 12.7 mm | 56.0 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 160.7 | 62.4 | 12.7 mm | 57.5 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 166.9 | 65.4 | 12.7 mm | 60.3 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 174.4 | 68.3 | 12.7 mm | 62.2 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 180.7 | 71.4 | 12.7 mm | 64.6 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 186.2 | 74.6 | 12.7 mm | 67.9 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 193.1 | 77.4 | 12.8 mm | 70.3 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 199.4 | 80.4 | 12.9 mm | 71.5 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 203.9 | 84.1 | 24.5 mm | 72.7 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 205.2 | 87.7 | 41.3 mm | 76.1 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 205.5 | 91.5 | 55.3 mm | 80.8 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 206.4 | 95.3 | 57.0 mm | 83.1 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 208.0 | 99.1 | 57.0 mm | 83.6 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 209.9 | 102.3 | 57.0 mm | 84.4 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 213.0 | 106.1 | 57.0 mm | 86.2 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 218.0 | 110.4 | 57.0 mm | 88.3 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 222.7 | 114.7 | 57.0 mm | 89.2 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 227.6 | 119.4 | 57.0 mm | 89.9 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 229.9 | 124.4 | 67.3 mm | 91.2 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 231.4 | 129.4 | 91.2 mm | 91.9 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 232.8 | 134.8 | 99.6 mm | 93.1 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 235.8 | 140.1 | 99.6 mm | 94.4 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 239.5 | 145.6 | 99.6 mm | 95.5 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 241.2 | 151.0 | 99.6 mm | 97.1 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 242.6 | 156.8 | 99.7 mm | 97.6 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 244.8 | 162.8 | 100.1 mm | 98.2 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 248.1 | 168.9 | 100.1 mm | 99.2 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 253.6 | 175.4 | 100.1 mm | 99.9 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 260.4 | 182.2 | 100.1 mm | 100.1 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 267.3 | 189.2 | 100.1 mm | 101.6 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 272.2 | 196.1 | 100.1 mm | 102.6 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 276.0 | 202.6 | 100.1 mm | 103.9 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 278.1 | 208.9 | 102.1 mm | 104.7 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 281.2 | 215.1 | 110.0 mm | 105.8 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 287.4 | 221.3 | 110.0 mm | 106.3 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 294.4 | 228.0 | 110.0 mm | 107.5 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 301.7 | 234.9 | 110.0 mm | 108.4 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 310.6 | 241.5 | 110.0 mm | 109.2 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 319.3 | 248.3 | 110.0 mm | 109.7 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 329.9 | 255.1 | 110.0 mm | 110.0 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 338.8 | 261.8 | 110.0 mm | 110.9 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 346.7 | 268.4 | 110.0 mm | 111.4 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 355.4 | 275.3 | 110.0 mm | 112.0 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 365.2 | 282.6 | 110.0 mm | 114.3 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 373.8 | 289.8 | 110.0 mm | 116.4 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 380.9 | 297.1 | 110.0 mm | 117.8 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 390.6 | 304.5 | 110.0 mm | 120.3 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 401.4 | 311.8 | 110.0 mm | 121.6 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 412.4 | 319.0 | 110.0 mm | 122.2 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 423.8 | 326.6 | 110.0 mm | 123.4 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 432.5 | 334.4 | 110.0 mm | 123.6 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 439.3 | 342.6 | 110.0 mm | 124.0 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 445.5 | 350.5 | 110.0 mm | 124.6 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 449.8 | 358.2 | 110.0 mm | 125.3 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 454.4 | 365.5 | 110.7 mm | 125.9 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 458.6 | 373.2 | 112.6 mm | 126.9 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 463.6 | 381.3 | 119.4 mm | 127.9 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 469.4 | 389.9 | 120.2 mm | 128.8 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 476.1 | 398.6 | 120.2 mm | 129.1 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 485.2 | 408.0 | 120.2 mm | 129.6 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 496.1 | 417.8 | 120.2 mm | 129.8 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 506.3 | 427.4 | 120.2 mm | 129.9 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 517.5 | 436.9 | 120.2 mm | 130.2 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 529.5 | 446.2 | 120.2 mm | 131.9 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 542.5 | 455.3 | 120.2 mm | 132.3 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 552.8 | 464.1 | 120.2 mm | 132.3 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 561.3 | 473.1 | 120.2 mm | 132.4 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 569.7 | 482.7 | 120.4 mm | 132.9 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 579.6 | 492.7 | 120.4 mm | 133.0 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 594.5 | 502.6 | 120.4 mm | 133.1 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 612.8 | 512.7 | 120.4 mm | 133.2 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 627.8 | 523.0 | 120.4 mm | 133.4 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 641.0 | 533.6 | 120.4 mm | 133.4 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 652.6 | 544.5 | 120.4 mm | 133.5 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 663.8 | 554.9 | 120.4 mm | 133.8 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 674.0 | 565.4 | 120.4 mm | 134.3 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 683.6 | 576.2 | 120.4 mm | 134.5 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 691.7 | 587.2 | 120.4 mm | 134.6 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 699.3 | 598.3 | 120.4 mm | 134.6 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 707.7 | 609.6 | 120.4 mm | 134.6 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 716.9 | 620.8 | 120.4 mm | 134.6 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 726.3 | 632.2 | 120.4 mm | 134.6 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 735.4 | 643.4 | 120.4 mm | 134.6 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 744.1 | 654.5 | 120.4 mm | 134.7 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 753.2 | 665.7 | 120.4 mm | 135.1 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 762.5 | 676.9 | 120.5 mm | 135.2 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 771.4 | 688.3 | 120.5 mm | 135.3 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 780.9 | 699.7 | 120.5 mm | 136.3 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 791.4 | 711.2 | 120.5 mm | 136.9 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 801.7 | 723.3 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 810.9 | 735.4 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 819.8 | 747.3 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 829.7 | 759.0 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 840.3 | 771.0 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 849.7 | 782.7 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 858.4 | 794.4 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 866.8 | 806.1 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 876.0 | 818.2 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 887.9 | 830.2 | 120.5 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 898.9 | 842.0 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 909.7 | 853.6 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 923.2 | 865.4 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 938.2 | 877.9 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 954.6 | 890.3 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 971.6 | 902.6 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 985.3 | 914.5 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 995.9 | 926.4 | 120.5 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 1006.5 | 938.4 | 120.5 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 1017.3 | 950.5 | 120.5 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 1028.7 | 962.4 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 1043.9 | 974.2 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 1056.0 | 986.4 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 1067.4 | 998.8 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 1079.6 | 1011.1 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 1091.9 | 1023.5 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 1104.2 | 1036.1 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 1115.9 | 1048.7 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 1128.4 | 1061.1 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 1141.5 | 1073.1 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 1154.5 | 1085.3 | 120.6 mm | 137.3 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 1167.7 | 1097.5 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1183.3 | 1109.8 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1199.7 | 1122.2 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1216.2 | 1134.4 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1230.4 | 1146.1 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1243.1 | 1157.3 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1255.7 | 1168.7 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1269.2 | 1180.2 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1282.9 | 1192.1 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1297.8 | 1204.3 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1310.1 | 1216.5 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1321.1 | 1228.8 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1330.9 | 1241.3 | 120.6 mm | 137.4 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1338.6 | 1254.0 | 120.7 mm | 137.5 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1347.5 | 1266.6 | 120.7 mm | 137.5 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1357.2 | 1279.0 | 120.7 mm | 137.5 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1368.5 | 1291.8 | 120.7 mm | 137.5 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1380.7 | 1304.1 | 120.7 mm | 137.6 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1393.3 | 1316.0 | 120.7 mm | 137.6 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1406.0 | 1327.4 | 120.7 mm | 137.6 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1417.5 | 1338.4 | 120.7 mm | 138.1 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1429.4 | 1349.9 | 120.8 mm | 138.1 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1442.0 | 1361.6 | 120.8 mm | 138.3 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1455.9 | 1373.4 | 120.8 mm | 138.3 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 87 GDDvs 119 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 1.5 mmvs 0.2 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Sun8/30
29°Cavg 30°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+10 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon8/31
23°Cavg 30°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+6 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/1
20°Cavg 31°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+5 GDD
0.1 mm
Wed9/2
21°Cavg 31°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+6 GDD
0.0 mm
Thu9/3
24°Cavg 31°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+7 GDD
0.0 mm
Fri9/4
26°Cavg 30°C
14°Cavg 13°C
+8 GDD
0.0 mm
Sat9/5
26°Cavg 31°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+9 GDD
0.0 mm
Sun9/6
29°Cavg 31°C
12°Cavg 13°C
+12 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon9/7
26°Cavg 31°C
17°Cavg 13°C
+12 GDD
0.5 mm
Tue9/8
26°Cavg 30°C
19°Cavg 13°C
+12 GDD
0.8 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current temperature, dew point, humidity, and wind use geographically weighted NWS station observations. The 24-hour rain total and 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Napa Valley model uses a March 15–November 15 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.
- Napa Valley Vintners: grape life cycle
- UC Davis: history of the UC grape and wine program and the origin of the Winkler zone approach
- WSU Viticulture & Enology: growing degree days and season heat accumulation
- Penn State Extension: spring frost and freeze damage
The historical series uses 4 ERA5 locations, 13 temperature stations, and 12 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: authoritative. Rules: napa-v2-2026-07.