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France · Multi-region weather view

Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence

Mediterranean vineyards from Provence west through Languedoc and Roussillon.

Summers are hot and dry, with wind, elevation, and distance from the sea creating local differences.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature23.9°C
Dew Point19.4°C
Relative Humidity76%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Slightly warmer and moderately drier than normal.

Mean temperature17.6°C
Temperature anomaly+0.3°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1766base 10°C
Hot days0≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2016

No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.

Close to the usual range · Low confidence

Temperature, rainfall, heat, and frost all stayed within the site's published thresholds.

No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.

How unusual was 2016?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

16th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 19 of 34 other vintages 17.6°C

Growing-season rainfall

9th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 26 of 34 other vintages 414.1 mm

Heat accumulation

16th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 19 of 34 other vintages 1766 GDD

Hot days

6th most of 35 vintages More than 0 of 34 other vintages 0 days

2016 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 10 GDD
    Typical 25 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 47.8 mm
    Typical 57.9 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    1.5

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 79 GDD
    Typical 68 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 51.6 mm
    Typical 75.8 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.1

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 160 GDD
    Typical 178 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 75.3 mm
    Typical 69.3 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 296 GDD
    Typical 291 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 36.5 mm
    Typical 48.2 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 401 GDD
    Typical 380 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 31.3 mm
    Typical 27.6 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 386 GDD
    Typical 376 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 17.1 mm
    Typical 36.0 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 306 GDD
    Typical 250 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 47.7 mm
    Typical 77.4 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 129 GDD
    Typical 143 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 128.1 mm
    Typical 104.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2016 GDDTypical GDD2016 rainfallTypical rainfall2016 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2016 10 GDD 25 GDD 47.8 mm 57.9 mm 01.5
April 2016 79 GDD 68 GDD 51.6 mm 75.8 mm 00.1
May 2016 160 GDD 178 GDD 75.3 mm 69.3 mm 00.0
June 2016 296 GDD 291 GDD 36.5 mm 48.2 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2016 401 GDD 380 GDD 31.3 mm 27.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2016 386 GDD 376 GDD 17.1 mm 36.0 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2016 306 GDD 250 GDD 47.7 mm 77.4 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2016 129 GDD 143 GDD 128.1 mm 104.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2016 growing season

231 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2001

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing-season precipitation.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Growing-season precipitation
    more rain: 0.1 mm

    Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — more frost-exposure days

    View 2001 →

  2. Second closest

    2014

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Spring frost exposure.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — more rain

    View 2014 →

  3. Third closest

    2011

    Most alike in Hot-day count and Spring frost exposure.

    Hot-day count
    the same: 0 days
    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain

    View 2011 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2001 0.184; 2014 0.242; 2011 0.273.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +2.9°C −2.9°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +280 mm −280 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-0.8°C-2 mm0
1992-1.0°C+184 mm0
1993-0.9°C+185 mm0
1994-0.1°C+55 mm0
1995-0.6°C-46 mm0
1996-1.1°C+24 mm0
1997-0.1°C-137 mm0
1998-0.5°C-62 mm0
1999+0.0°C+50 mm0
2000-0.4°C+79 mm0
2001+0.2°C-54 mm0
2002-0.4°C+105 mm0
2003+0.8°C-33 mm0
2004-0.1°C-31 mm0
2005+0.3°C+17 mm0
2006+0.8°C-116 mm0
2007-0.3°C-104 mm0
2008-0.5°C-28 mm0
2009+0.6°C-61 mm0
2010-0.4°C+37 mm0
2011+0.4°C-44 mm0
2012+0.4°C+16 mm0
2013-0.3°C+66 mm0
2014+0.4°C-17 mm0
2015+0.6°C+15 mm0
2016+0.3°C-54 mm0
2017+0.7°C-204 mm0
2018+1.0°C+211 mm0
2019+0.6°C-4 mm1
2020+0.4°C-48 mm0
2021+0.0°C-56 mm0
2022+2.0°C-89 mm1
2023+1.5°C-32 mm2
2024+0.9°C+81 mm1
2025+1.2°C-50 mm7
2026+2.7°C-274 mm2

winter

8.2°C

+1.9°C vs baseline

142 mm rain · -41 mm

spring

12.2°C

-0.2°C vs baseline

174 mm rain · -28 mm

summer

21.8°C

+0.4°C vs baseline

84 mm rain · -27 mm

harvest

18.3°C

+0.8°C vs baseline

188 mm rain · -13 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    36.3 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    35.9 mm
    Trigger threshold
    32.6 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  2. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    90.0 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    84.9 mm
    Trigger threshold
    32.6 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules provence-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +119.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +95.8 to +142.8 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911548 GDD-155 GDD
19921501 GDD-203 GDD
19931504 GDD-199 GDD
19941689 GDD-14 GDD
19951567 GDD-136 GDD
19961448 GDD-255 GDD
19971665 GDD-38 GDD
19981606 GDD-97 GDD
19991699 GDD-4 GDD
20001623 GDD-80 GDD
20011732 GDD+28 GDD
20021594 GDD-110 GDD
20031911 GDD+208 GDD
20041688 GDD-15 GDD
20051753 GDD+49 GDD
20061871 GDD+168 GDD
20071659 GDD-45 GDD
20081597 GDD-106 GDD
20091820 GDD+117 GDD
20101619 GDD-85 GDD
20111781 GDD+78 GDD
20121791 GDD+88 GDD
20131652 GDD-51 GDD
20141781 GDD+77 GDD
20151823 GDD+119 GDD
20161766 GDD+63 GDD
20171843 GDD+140 GDD
20181939 GDD+236 GDD
20191843 GDD+139 GDD
20201785 GDD+81 GDD
20211714 GDD+11 GDD
20222164 GDD+460 GDD
20232030 GDD+327 GDD
20241909 GDD+205 GDD
20251975 GDD+272 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.55 °C per decade 95% interval +0.44 to +0.65
Growing degree days
+119.30 GDD per decade 95% interval +95.77 to +142.82
Growing-season precipitation
-20.41 mm per decade 95% interval -49.63 to +8.81
Hot days
+0.53 days per decade 95% interval -0.08 to +1.15
Spring frost days
-0.41 days per decade 95% interval -0.92 to +0.09
Longest dry spell
-1.41 days per decade 95% interval -3.03 to +0.20

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.2°C+0.8 to +1.6°C25
2041-2060+1.7°C+1.2 to +2.5°C25
2061-2075+2.1°C+1.6 to +3.2°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 25°C 28°C 25°C 26°C 27°C 27°C 25°C 25°C 25°C 28°C
Low 24°C 24°C 23°C 23°C 23°C 25°C 21°C 24°C 24°C 24°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (28.3°C); Late January has the coolest (9.8°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late October (47%) and least frequent in Late July (18%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -5°C5°C15°C25°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–1510.1°C (8.3–12.0°C)2.1°C (-0.2–4.4°C)34%18.5 mm (7.3–44.7 mm)
Jan 16–319.8°C (8.0–11.4°C)1.7°C (-0.1–3.7°C)35%28.6 mm (11.3–45.4 mm)
Feb 1–1510.9°C (8.4–12.7°C)1.7°C (0.0–3.7°C)30%21.8 mm (11.2–36.8 mm)
Feb 16–2911.7°C (9.5–13.7°C)3.0°C (0.9–4.5°C)33%18.9 mm (9.7–28.3 mm)
Mar 1–1513.6°C (11.3–15.8°C)4.3°C (2.4–6.2°C)32%22.8 mm (11.3–40.9 mm)
Mar 16–3115.0°C (12.9–16.7°C)5.6°C (3.6–7.2°C)34%25.2 mm (17.8–35.1 mm)
Apr 1–1515.9°C (13.9–17.9°C)6.6°C (5.0–8.1°C)42%22.5 mm (14.9–47.2 mm)
Apr 16–3017.5°C (15.3–19.7°C)8.1°C (6.4–10.0°C)45%43.1 mm (21.2–61.1 mm)
May 1–1519.5°C (17.5–21.4°C)10.1°C (8.7–11.8°C)45%31.5 mm (20.7–55.8 mm)
May 16–3121.6°C (19.9–23.5°C)11.8°C (10.5–13.3°C)36%25.8 mm (9.7–38.0 mm)
Jun 1–1523.4°C (21.6–25.2°C)13.7°C (12.2–15.0°C)39%22.3 mm (17.2–56.6 mm)
Jun 16–3026.4°C (24.3–28.3°C)15.5°C (14.0–17.2°C)23%10.4 mm (5.9–19.8 mm)
Jul 1–1527.3°C (25.2–29.1°C)16.6°C (15.0–18.0°C)24%13.2 mm (6.3–20.3 mm)
Jul 16–3128.3°C (26.8–29.7°C)17.6°C (16.3–18.7°C)18%9.6 mm (5.9–18.1 mm)
Aug 1–1527.9°C (26.4–29.4°C)17.2°C (16.0–18.5°C)28%14.7 mm (8.3–24.3 mm)
Aug 16–3127.3°C (25.6–28.7°C)16.7°C (15.1–17.9°C)25%14.7 mm (10.2–22.6 mm)
Sep 1–1524.9°C (22.9–26.4°C)14.3°C (12.8–15.9°C)30%24.6 mm (17.3–40.0 mm)
Sep 16–3022.3°C (20.3–23.9°C)12.6°C (10.6–14.1°C)38%36.9 mm (15.9–69.4 mm)
Oct 1–1520.2°C (18.0–21.8°C)11.2°C (9.3–13.0°C)42%43.2 mm (23.2–65.4 mm)
Oct 16–3118.0°C (15.8–19.7°C)9.5°C (7.2–11.5°C)47%46.5 mm (27.3–93.0 mm)
Nov 1–1515.2°C (13.3–16.8°C)7.0°C (4.8–9.0°C)46%39.6 mm (26.4–70.3 mm)
Nov 16–3012.6°C (10.3–14.4°C)4.5°C (1.9–6.5°C)44%41.0 mm (16.2–72.6 mm)
Dec 1–1511.1°C (9.1–12.6°C)2.9°C (0.8–5.0°C)37%23.8 mm (12.7–43.5 mm)
Dec 16–3110.3°C (7.9–12.0°C)2.6°C (0.2–5.0°C)35%25.5 mm (11.8–63.5 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1631.7base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall194.8 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1632 GDD 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 276 mm 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-03-150.01.03.0 mm3.1 mm
2026-03-160.82.23.0 mm5.1 mm
2026-03-172.53.33.0 mm6.9 mm
2026-03-182.54.43.4 mm7.9 mm
2026-03-192.55.63.5 mm8.5 mm
2026-03-202.56.83.5 mm9.3 mm
2026-03-212.57.93.9 mm10.9 mm
2026-03-222.58.915.6 mm12.3 mm
2026-03-232.59.916.1 mm13.8 mm
2026-03-243.010.816.1 mm17.0 mm
2026-03-254.111.716.2 mm19.7 mm
2026-03-264.112.416.2 mm21.4 mm
2026-03-274.113.216.2 mm22.6 mm
2026-03-284.114.216.2 mm24.2 mm
2026-03-294.115.317.2 mm26.0 mm
2026-03-304.316.317.2 mm27.6 mm
2026-03-314.517.717.3 mm29.5 mm
2026-04-014.518.817.9 mm31.9 mm
2026-04-024.520.118.0 mm33.9 mm
2026-04-037.121.918.0 mm36.5 mm
2026-04-0412.123.518.0 mm38.7 mm
2026-04-0516.025.218.1 mm40.5 mm
2026-04-0621.027.018.1 mm41.7 mm
2026-04-0725.428.718.1 mm43.6 mm
2026-04-0830.330.418.1 mm45.2 mm
2026-04-0936.432.118.1 mm47.4 mm
2026-04-1044.833.718.1 mm50.1 mm
2026-04-1150.635.518.1 mm54.2 mm
2026-04-1253.437.322.5 mm56.6 mm
2026-04-1354.439.129.2 mm58.8 mm
2026-04-1457.240.931.4 mm60.2 mm
2026-04-1561.942.731.4 mm62.3 mm
2026-04-1668.444.731.4 mm65.7 mm
2026-04-1774.646.531.4 mm67.6 mm
2026-04-1882.248.831.4 mm68.6 mm
2026-04-1990.450.831.8 mm70.5 mm
2026-04-2097.352.931.8 mm73.4 mm
2026-04-21103.455.531.8 mm76.0 mm
2026-04-22106.858.334.2 mm78.5 mm
2026-04-23111.561.635.1 mm81.5 mm
2026-04-24115.965.135.1 mm84.4 mm
2026-04-25120.768.935.1 mm88.0 mm
2026-04-26127.772.635.1 mm91.7 mm
2026-04-27134.276.335.3 mm95.6 mm
2026-04-28139.979.635.9 mm98.3 mm
2026-04-29145.782.936.1 mm102.1 mm
2026-04-30151.186.138.3 mm105.3 mm
2026-05-01157.289.338.4 mm108.3 mm
2026-05-02162.193.038.5 mm112.3 mm
2026-05-03167.897.141.5 mm116.2 mm
2026-05-04171.6101.472.7 mm119.8 mm
2026-05-05176.7105.786.2 mm121.5 mm
2026-05-06180.7110.389.4 mm123.4 mm
2026-05-07184.4114.889.6 mm124.7 mm
2026-05-08188.7119.590.1 mm127.1 mm
2026-05-09193.7124.792.3 mm129.8 mm
2026-05-10199.0130.196.7 mm132.9 mm
2026-05-11205.1135.598.1 mm136.1 mm
2026-05-12211.1140.998.5 mm138.1 mm
2026-05-13215.3146.398.5 mm140.1 mm
2026-05-14218.2151.899.3 mm142.6 mm
2026-05-15219.6157.2101.0 mm144.2 mm
2026-05-16221.8162.5101.0 mm145.7 mm
2026-05-17225.6168.1101.2 mm148.8 mm
2026-05-18229.6174.0102.2 mm151.8 mm
2026-05-19234.8179.7102.3 mm154.4 mm
2026-05-20243.3185.5102.3 mm156.6 mm
2026-05-21252.4191.3102.3 mm158.3 mm
2026-05-22261.9197.9102.3 mm160.0 mm
2026-05-23272.3204.8102.3 mm161.2 mm
2026-05-24283.4211.7103.1 mm162.3 mm
2026-05-25295.4218.9103.1 mm164.0 mm
2026-05-26307.8226.4103.1 mm166.4 mm
2026-05-27320.8233.9103.1 mm168.0 mm
2026-05-28335.8241.4103.8 mm170.1 mm
2026-05-29348.5249.0106.1 mm171.6 mm
2026-05-30360.5256.6106.3 mm173.1 mm
2026-05-31373.9264.3106.4 mm174.7 mm
2026-06-01387.3272.0106.4 mm177.1 mm
2026-06-02398.1279.9111.2 mm179.2 mm
2026-06-03408.0288.2111.2 mm180.8 mm
2026-06-04416.8296.5118.1 mm183.3 mm
2026-06-05423.8304.6118.1 mm186.5 mm
2026-06-06432.0312.6118.1 mm189.2 mm
2026-06-07442.2320.8118.1 mm191.7 mm
2026-06-08452.3329.1118.3 mm193.1 mm
2026-06-09463.4337.7118.7 mm194.9 mm
2026-06-10472.2346.3118.7 mm197.6 mm
2026-06-11481.8354.9118.7 mm199.8 mm
2026-06-12493.4363.7118.7 mm201.7 mm
2026-06-13507.5373.0118.7 mm203.5 mm
2026-06-14520.7382.3118.7 mm205.2 mm
2026-06-15534.1391.9118.8 mm207.7 mm
2026-06-16546.7402.0118.8 mm209.6 mm
2026-06-17560.1411.9119.1 mm211.3 mm
2026-06-18573.7422.2119.9 mm212.1 mm
2026-06-19587.0432.5119.9 mm212.8 mm
2026-06-20601.5442.8119.9 mm213.3 mm
2026-06-21617.0453.3123.5 mm214.1 mm
2026-06-22632.8464.2124.8 mm215.4 mm
2026-06-23649.0475.0127.2 mm216.6 mm
2026-06-24665.5485.8129.1 mm217.6 mm
2026-06-25681.3496.8130.2 mm218.3 mm
2026-06-26697.6507.9130.2 mm219.6 mm
2026-06-27714.2519.4130.3 mm220.4 mm
2026-06-28731.1531.2130.6 mm221.5 mm
2026-06-29748.4543.0131.7 mm222.4 mm
2026-06-30765.2554.9134.8 mm222.9 mm
2026-07-01780.9566.4134.8 mm224.1 mm
2026-07-02796.2577.8134.8 mm225.1 mm
2026-07-03812.0589.3134.8 mm225.8 mm
2026-07-04828.6600.9134.8 mm227.1 mm
2026-07-05845.6612.9134.8 mm228.1 mm
2026-07-06862.7624.8134.8 mm229.1 mm
2026-07-07878.4636.5134.8 mm230.5 mm
2026-07-08896.9648.1134.8 mm231.2 mm
2026-07-09915.4659.5134.8 mm231.8 mm
2026-07-10930.9670.9135.4 mm233.3 mm
2026-07-11946.2682.7138.3 mm233.7 mm
2026-07-12961.0694.6138.3 mm234.4 mm
2026-07-13976.8706.5138.3 mm235.3 mm
2026-07-14993.3718.4138.3 mm236.3 mm
2026-07-151010.3730.4138.6 mm237.6 mm
2026-07-161026.5742.5138.7 mm238.1 mm
2026-07-171044.4754.8139.1 mm239.0 mm
2026-07-181062.2767.2139.3 mm239.7 mm
2026-07-191080.2779.4139.4 mm240.4 mm
2026-07-201097.6791.7140.2 mm241.2 mm
2026-07-211114.5804.3140.3 mm241.7 mm
2026-07-221129.1817.0140.3 mm242.5 mm
2026-07-231144.3830.0140.3 mm243.7 mm
2026-07-241158.8843.0140.3 mm244.5 mm
2026-07-251172.3855.8145.1 mm245.0 mm
2026-07-261185.3868.9145.8 mm245.5 mm
2026-07-271200.5881.9145.8 mm246.8 mm
2026-07-281215.3895.2145.8 mm247.6 mm
2026-07-291230.8908.2145.8 mm248.7 mm
2026-07-301247.2921.5145.9 mm249.5 mm
2026-07-311263.3934.5146.4 mm250.5 mm
2026-08-011280.7947.1146.5 mm251.6 mm
2026-08-021297.1959.9146.8 mm252.4 mm
2026-08-031313.8972.9147.8 mm254.0 mm
2026-08-041330.3986.2155.4 mm255.1 mm
2026-08-051347.7999.3155.4 mm256.3 mm
2026-08-061365.41012.3155.5 mm257.3 mm
2026-08-071382.81025.2155.5 mm258.8 mm
2026-08-081399.01038.0155.5 mm260.5 mm
2026-08-091415.21050.3155.8 mm262.2 mm
2026-08-101432.11062.6156.0 mm263.7 mm
2026-08-111448.31074.7157.1 mm264.9 mm
2026-08-121464.61086.8157.1 mm265.6 mm
2026-08-131482.01099.0157.3 mm266.8 mm
2026-08-141499.41110.8158.1 mm267.4 mm
2026-08-151515.81122.8161.0 mm268.1 mm
2026-08-161531.91134.8162.0 mm268.8 mm
2026-08-171548.21146.8162.0 mm269.8 mm
2026-08-181564.91158.9162.0 mm270.6 mm
2026-08-191581.21171.4162.3 mm271.6 mm
2026-08-201595.81184.0184.5 mm272.3 mm
2026-08-211607.81196.0194.6 mm273.5 mm
2026-08-221619.21208.0194.6 mm274.4 mm
2026-08-231631.71220.0194.8 mm275.8 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
146 GDDvs 99 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.1 mmvs 17.7 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 25°Cavg 26°C 24°Cavg 15°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 28°Cavg 26°C 24°Cavg 15°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 25°Cavg 25°C 23°Cavg 15°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 26°Cavg 25°C 23°Cavg 14°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 27°Cavg 25°C 23°Cavg 14°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 27°Cavg 25°C 25°Cavg 15°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 25°Cavg 25°C 21°Cavg 15°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 25°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 14°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 25°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 15°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 28°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 15°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 3 ERA5 locations, 4 temperature stations, and 5 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: provence-catalog-v1-2026-07.