France · Multi-region weather view

Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence

Mediterranean vineyards from Provence west through Languedoc and Roussillon.

Summers are hot and dry, with wind, elevation, and distance from the sea creating local differences.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature23.9°C

Dew Point19.4°C

Relative Humidity76%

24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Slightly cooler and significantly drier than normal.

Mean temperature20.0°C

Temperature anomaly+2.7°Cvs 1991-2020

Growing degree days1631base 10°C

Hot days2≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2026

Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.

Warmer growing season · High confidence

Mean growing-season temperature was +2.7°C versus the 1991–2020 baseline.

Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity.

Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence

Growing-season precipitation was 274 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.

Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.

2026 month by month

Replay the 2026 growing season

Closest weather matches

How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 0 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020

Growing-season rainfall anomaly

View historical chart data as a table

Year	Temperature anomaly	Rainfall anomaly	Hot days
1991	-0.8°C	-2 mm	0
1992	-1.0°C	+184 mm	0
1993	-0.9°C	+185 mm	0
1994	-0.1°C	+55 mm	0
1995	-0.6°C	-46 mm	0
1996	-1.1°C	+24 mm	0
1997	-0.1°C	-137 mm	0
1998	-0.5°C	-62 mm	0
1999	+0.0°C	+50 mm	0
2000	-0.4°C	+79 mm	0
2001	+0.2°C	-54 mm	0
2002	-0.4°C	+105 mm	0
2003	+0.8°C	-33 mm	0
2004	-0.1°C	-31 mm	0
2005	+0.3°C	+17 mm	0
2006	+0.8°C	-116 mm	0
2007	-0.3°C	-104 mm	0
2008	-0.5°C	-28 mm	0
2009	+0.6°C	-61 mm	0
2010	-0.4°C	+37 mm	0
2011	+0.4°C	-44 mm	0
2012	+0.4°C	+16 mm	0
2013	-0.3°C	+66 mm	0
2014	+0.4°C	-17 mm	0
2015	+0.6°C	+15 mm	0
2016	+0.3°C	-54 mm	0
2017	+0.7°C	-204 mm	0
2018	+1.0°C	+211 mm	0
2019	+0.6°C	-4 mm	1
2020	+0.4°C	-48 mm	0
2021	+0.0°C	-56 mm	0
2022	+2.0°C	-89 mm	1
2023	+1.5°C	-32 mm	2
2024	+0.9°C	+81 mm	1
2025	+1.2°C	-50 mm	7
2026	+2.7°C	-274 mm	2

winter

7.9°C

+1.6°C vs baseline

450 mm rain · +267 mm

spring

14.0°C

+1.6°C vs baseline

180 mm rain · -22 mm

summer

25.0°C

+3.6°C vs baseline

88 mm rain · -24 mm

harvest

24.7°C

+7.4°C vs baseline

36 mm rain · -165 mm

Weather events

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +119.3 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +95.8 to +142.8 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data

Vintage	Growing degree days	Change from 1991–2020
1991	1548 GDD	-155 GDD
1992	1501 GDD	-203 GDD
1993	1504 GDD	-199 GDD
1994	1689 GDD	-14 GDD
1995	1567 GDD	-136 GDD
1996	1448 GDD	-255 GDD
1997	1665 GDD	-38 GDD
1998	1606 GDD	-97 GDD
1999	1699 GDD	-4 GDD
2000	1623 GDD	-80 GDD
2001	1732 GDD	+28 GDD
2002	1594 GDD	-110 GDD
2003	1911 GDD	+208 GDD
2004	1688 GDD	-15 GDD
2005	1753 GDD	+49 GDD
2006	1871 GDD	+168 GDD
2007	1659 GDD	-45 GDD
2008	1597 GDD	-106 GDD
2009	1820 GDD	+117 GDD
2010	1619 GDD	-85 GDD
2011	1781 GDD	+78 GDD
2012	1791 GDD	+88 GDD
2013	1652 GDD	-51 GDD
2014	1781 GDD	+77 GDD
2015	1823 GDD	+119 GDD
2016	1766 GDD	+63 GDD
2017	1843 GDD	+140 GDD
2018	1939 GDD	+236 GDD
2019	1843 GDD	+139 GDD
2020	1785 GDD	+81 GDD
2021	1714 GDD	+11 GDD
2022	2164 GDD	+460 GDD
2023	2030 GDD	+327 GDD
2024	1909 GDD	+205 GDD
2025	1975 GDD	+272 GDD

Growing-season mean temperature: +0.55 °C per decade 95% interval +0.44 to +0.65
Growing degree days: +119.30 GDD per decade 95% interval +95.77 to +142.82
Growing-season precipitation: -20.41 mm per decade 95% interval -49.63 to +8.81
Hot days: +0.53 days per decade 95% interval -0.08 to +1.15
Spring frost days: -0.41 days per decade 95% interval -0.92 to +0.09
Longest dry spell: -1.41 days per decade 95% interval -3.03 to +0.20

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

Period	Weighted median	Weighted central 80%	Models per pathway
2021-2040	+1.2°C	+0.8 to +1.6°C	25
2041-2060	+1.7°C	+1.2 to +2.5°C	25
2061-2075	+2.1°C	+1.6 to +3.2°C	25

How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

Date	SunAug 30	MonAug 31	TueSep 1	WedSep 2	ThuSep 3	FriSep 4	SatSep 5	SunSep 6	MonSep 7	TueSep 8
High	25°C	28°C	25°C	26°C	27°C	27°C	25°C	25°C	25°C	28°C
Low	24°C	24°C	23°C	23°C	23°C	25°C	21°C	24°C	24°C	24°C
Rain	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm	0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (28.3°C); Late January has the coolest (9.8°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late October (47%) and least frequent in Late July (18%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
Period	Afternoon high, median (middle 50%)	Overnight low, median (middle 50%)	Wet-day frequency	Period rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–15	10.1°C (8.3–12.0°C)	2.1°C (-0.2–4.4°C)	34%	18.5 mm (7.3–44.7 mm)
Jan 16–31	9.8°C (8.0–11.4°C)	1.7°C (-0.1–3.7°C)	35%	28.6 mm (11.3–45.4 mm)
Feb 1–15	10.9°C (8.4–12.7°C)	1.7°C (0.0–3.7°C)	30%	21.8 mm (11.2–36.8 mm)
Feb 16–29	11.7°C (9.5–13.7°C)	3.0°C (0.9–4.5°C)	33%	18.9 mm (9.7–28.3 mm)
Mar 1–15	13.6°C (11.3–15.8°C)	4.3°C (2.4–6.2°C)	32%	22.8 mm (11.3–40.9 mm)
Mar 16–31	15.0°C (12.9–16.7°C)	5.6°C (3.6–7.2°C)	34%	25.2 mm (17.8–35.1 mm)
Apr 1–15	15.9°C (13.9–17.9°C)	6.6°C (5.0–8.1°C)	42%	22.5 mm (14.9–47.2 mm)
Apr 16–30	17.5°C (15.3–19.7°C)	8.1°C (6.4–10.0°C)	45%	43.1 mm (21.2–61.1 mm)
May 1–15	19.5°C (17.5–21.4°C)	10.1°C (8.7–11.8°C)	45%	31.5 mm (20.7–55.8 mm)
May 16–31	21.6°C (19.9–23.5°C)	11.8°C (10.5–13.3°C)	36%	25.8 mm (9.7–38.0 mm)
Jun 1–15	23.4°C (21.6–25.2°C)	13.7°C (12.2–15.0°C)	39%	22.3 mm (17.2–56.6 mm)
Jun 16–30	26.4°C (24.3–28.3°C)	15.5°C (14.0–17.2°C)	23%	10.4 mm (5.9–19.8 mm)
Jul 1–15	27.3°C (25.2–29.1°C)	16.6°C (15.0–18.0°C)	24%	13.2 mm (6.3–20.3 mm)
Jul 16–31	28.3°C (26.8–29.7°C)	17.6°C (16.3–18.7°C)	18%	9.6 mm (5.9–18.1 mm)
Aug 1–15	27.9°C (26.4–29.4°C)	17.2°C (16.0–18.5°C)	28%	14.7 mm (8.3–24.3 mm)
Aug 16–31	27.3°C (25.6–28.7°C)	16.7°C (15.1–17.9°C)	25%	14.7 mm (10.2–22.6 mm)
Sep 1–15	24.9°C (22.9–26.4°C)	14.3°C (12.8–15.9°C)	30%	24.6 mm (17.3–40.0 mm)
Sep 16–30	22.3°C (20.3–23.9°C)	12.6°C (10.6–14.1°C)	38%	36.9 mm (15.9–69.4 mm)
Oct 1–15	20.2°C (18.0–21.8°C)	11.2°C (9.3–13.0°C)	42%	43.2 mm (23.2–65.4 mm)
Oct 16–31	18.0°C (15.8–19.7°C)	9.5°C (7.2–11.5°C)	47%	46.5 mm (27.3–93.0 mm)
Nov 1–15	15.2°C (13.3–16.8°C)	7.0°C (4.8–9.0°C)	46%	39.6 mm (26.4–70.3 mm)
Nov 16–30	12.6°C (10.3–14.4°C)	4.5°C (1.9–6.5°C)	44%	41.0 mm (16.2–72.6 mm)
Dec 1–15	11.1°C (9.1–12.6°C)	2.9°C (0.8–5.0°C)	37%	23.8 mm (12.7–43.5 mm)
Dec 16–31	10.3°C (7.9–12.0°C)	2.6°C (0.2–5.0°C)	35%	25.5 mm (11.8–63.5 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1631.7base 10°C

Growing-season rainfall194.8 mmweighted regional total

Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

View growing-season accumulation data

Date	Season GDD	1991–2020 average GDD	Season rainfall	1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-03-15	0.0	1.0	3.0 mm	3.1 mm
2026-03-16	0.8	2.2	3.0 mm	5.1 mm
2026-03-17	2.5	3.3	3.0 mm	6.9 mm
2026-03-18	2.5	4.4	3.4 mm	7.9 mm
2026-03-19	2.5	5.6	3.5 mm	8.5 mm
2026-03-20	2.5	6.8	3.5 mm	9.3 mm
2026-03-21	2.5	7.9	3.9 mm	10.9 mm
2026-03-22	2.5	8.9	15.6 mm	12.3 mm
2026-03-23	2.5	9.9	16.1 mm	13.8 mm
2026-03-24	3.0	10.8	16.1 mm	17.0 mm
2026-03-25	4.1	11.7	16.2 mm	19.7 mm
2026-03-26	4.1	12.4	16.2 mm	21.4 mm
2026-03-27	4.1	13.2	16.2 mm	22.6 mm
2026-03-28	4.1	14.2	16.2 mm	24.2 mm
2026-03-29	4.1	15.3	17.2 mm	26.0 mm
2026-03-30	4.3	16.3	17.2 mm	27.6 mm
2026-03-31	4.5	17.7	17.3 mm	29.5 mm
2026-04-01	4.5	18.8	17.9 mm	31.9 mm
2026-04-02	4.5	20.1	18.0 mm	33.9 mm
2026-04-03	7.1	21.9	18.0 mm	36.5 mm
2026-04-04	12.1	23.5	18.0 mm	38.7 mm
2026-04-05	16.0	25.2	18.1 mm	40.5 mm
2026-04-06	21.0	27.0	18.1 mm	41.7 mm
2026-04-07	25.4	28.7	18.1 mm	43.6 mm
2026-04-08	30.3	30.4	18.1 mm	45.2 mm
2026-04-09	36.4	32.1	18.1 mm	47.4 mm
2026-04-10	44.8	33.7	18.1 mm	50.1 mm
2026-04-11	50.6	35.5	18.1 mm	54.2 mm
2026-04-12	53.4	37.3	22.5 mm	56.6 mm
2026-04-13	54.4	39.1	29.2 mm	58.8 mm
2026-04-14	57.2	40.9	31.4 mm	60.2 mm
2026-04-15	61.9	42.7	31.4 mm	62.3 mm
2026-04-16	68.4	44.7	31.4 mm	65.7 mm
2026-04-17	74.6	46.5	31.4 mm	67.6 mm
2026-04-18	82.2	48.8	31.4 mm	68.6 mm
2026-04-19	90.4	50.8	31.8 mm	70.5 mm
2026-04-20	97.3	52.9	31.8 mm	73.4 mm
2026-04-21	103.4	55.5	31.8 mm	76.0 mm
2026-04-22	106.8	58.3	34.2 mm	78.5 mm
2026-04-23	111.5	61.6	35.1 mm	81.5 mm
2026-04-24	115.9	65.1	35.1 mm	84.4 mm
2026-04-25	120.7	68.9	35.1 mm	88.0 mm
2026-04-26	127.7	72.6	35.1 mm	91.7 mm
2026-04-27	134.2	76.3	35.3 mm	95.6 mm
2026-04-28	139.9	79.6	35.9 mm	98.3 mm
2026-04-29	145.7	82.9	36.1 mm	102.1 mm
2026-04-30	151.1	86.1	38.3 mm	105.3 mm
2026-05-01	157.2	89.3	38.4 mm	108.3 mm
2026-05-02	162.1	93.0	38.5 mm	112.3 mm
2026-05-03	167.8	97.1	41.5 mm	116.2 mm
2026-05-04	171.6	101.4	72.7 mm	119.8 mm
2026-05-05	176.7	105.7	86.2 mm	121.5 mm
2026-05-06	180.7	110.3	89.4 mm	123.4 mm
2026-05-07	184.4	114.8	89.6 mm	124.7 mm
2026-05-08	188.7	119.5	90.1 mm	127.1 mm
2026-05-09	193.7	124.7	92.3 mm	129.8 mm
2026-05-10	199.0	130.1	96.7 mm	132.9 mm
2026-05-11	205.1	135.5	98.1 mm	136.1 mm
2026-05-12	211.1	140.9	98.5 mm	138.1 mm
2026-05-13	215.3	146.3	98.5 mm	140.1 mm
2026-05-14	218.2	151.8	99.3 mm	142.6 mm
2026-05-15	219.6	157.2	101.0 mm	144.2 mm
2026-05-16	221.8	162.5	101.0 mm	145.7 mm
2026-05-17	225.6	168.1	101.2 mm	148.8 mm
2026-05-18	229.6	174.0	102.2 mm	151.8 mm
2026-05-19	234.8	179.7	102.3 mm	154.4 mm
2026-05-20	243.3	185.5	102.3 mm	156.6 mm
2026-05-21	252.4	191.3	102.3 mm	158.3 mm
2026-05-22	261.9	197.9	102.3 mm	160.0 mm
2026-05-23	272.3	204.8	102.3 mm	161.2 mm
2026-05-24	283.4	211.7	103.1 mm	162.3 mm
2026-05-25	295.4	218.9	103.1 mm	164.0 mm
2026-05-26	307.8	226.4	103.1 mm	166.4 mm
2026-05-27	320.8	233.9	103.1 mm	168.0 mm
2026-05-28	335.8	241.4	103.8 mm	170.1 mm
2026-05-29	348.5	249.0	106.1 mm	171.6 mm
2026-05-30	360.5	256.6	106.3 mm	173.1 mm
2026-05-31	373.9	264.3	106.4 mm	174.7 mm
2026-06-01	387.3	272.0	106.4 mm	177.1 mm
2026-06-02	398.1	279.9	111.2 mm	179.2 mm
2026-06-03	408.0	288.2	111.2 mm	180.8 mm
2026-06-04	416.8	296.5	118.1 mm	183.3 mm
2026-06-05	423.8	304.6	118.1 mm	186.5 mm
2026-06-06	432.0	312.6	118.1 mm	189.2 mm
2026-06-07	442.2	320.8	118.1 mm	191.7 mm
2026-06-08	452.3	329.1	118.3 mm	193.1 mm
2026-06-09	463.4	337.7	118.7 mm	194.9 mm
2026-06-10	472.2	346.3	118.7 mm	197.6 mm
2026-06-11	481.8	354.9	118.7 mm	199.8 mm
2026-06-12	493.4	363.7	118.7 mm	201.7 mm
2026-06-13	507.5	373.0	118.7 mm	203.5 mm
2026-06-14	520.7	382.3	118.7 mm	205.2 mm
2026-06-15	534.1	391.9	118.8 mm	207.7 mm
2026-06-16	546.7	402.0	118.8 mm	209.6 mm
2026-06-17	560.1	411.9	119.1 mm	211.3 mm
2026-06-18	573.7	422.2	119.9 mm	212.1 mm
2026-06-19	587.0	432.5	119.9 mm	212.8 mm
2026-06-20	601.5	442.8	119.9 mm	213.3 mm
2026-06-21	617.0	453.3	123.5 mm	214.1 mm
2026-06-22	632.8	464.2	124.8 mm	215.4 mm
2026-06-23	649.0	475.0	127.2 mm	216.6 mm
2026-06-24	665.5	485.8	129.1 mm	217.6 mm
2026-06-25	681.3	496.8	130.2 mm	218.3 mm
2026-06-26	697.6	507.9	130.2 mm	219.6 mm
2026-06-27	714.2	519.4	130.3 mm	220.4 mm
2026-06-28	731.1	531.2	130.6 mm	221.5 mm
2026-06-29	748.4	543.0	131.7 mm	222.4 mm
2026-06-30	765.2	554.9	134.8 mm	222.9 mm
2026-07-01	780.9	566.4	134.8 mm	224.1 mm
2026-07-02	796.2	577.8	134.8 mm	225.1 mm
2026-07-03	812.0	589.3	134.8 mm	225.8 mm
2026-07-04	828.6	600.9	134.8 mm	227.1 mm
2026-07-05	845.6	612.9	134.8 mm	228.1 mm
2026-07-06	862.7	624.8	134.8 mm	229.1 mm
2026-07-07	878.4	636.5	134.8 mm	230.5 mm
2026-07-08	896.9	648.1	134.8 mm	231.2 mm
2026-07-09	915.4	659.5	134.8 mm	231.8 mm
2026-07-10	930.9	670.9	135.4 mm	233.3 mm
2026-07-11	946.2	682.7	138.3 mm	233.7 mm
2026-07-12	961.0	694.6	138.3 mm	234.4 mm
2026-07-13	976.8	706.5	138.3 mm	235.3 mm
2026-07-14	993.3	718.4	138.3 mm	236.3 mm
2026-07-15	1010.3	730.4	138.6 mm	237.6 mm
2026-07-16	1026.5	742.5	138.7 mm	238.1 mm
2026-07-17	1044.4	754.8	139.1 mm	239.0 mm
2026-07-18	1062.2	767.2	139.3 mm	239.7 mm
2026-07-19	1080.2	779.4	139.4 mm	240.4 mm
2026-07-20	1097.6	791.7	140.2 mm	241.2 mm
2026-07-21	1114.5	804.3	140.3 mm	241.7 mm
2026-07-22	1129.1	817.0	140.3 mm	242.5 mm
2026-07-23	1144.3	830.0	140.3 mm	243.7 mm
2026-07-24	1158.8	843.0	140.3 mm	244.5 mm
2026-07-25	1172.3	855.8	145.1 mm	245.0 mm
2026-07-26	1185.3	868.9	145.8 mm	245.5 mm
2026-07-27	1200.5	881.9	145.8 mm	246.8 mm
2026-07-28	1215.3	895.2	145.8 mm	247.6 mm
2026-07-29	1230.8	908.2	145.8 mm	248.7 mm
2026-07-30	1247.2	921.5	145.9 mm	249.5 mm
2026-07-31	1263.3	934.5	146.4 mm	250.5 mm
2026-08-01	1280.7	947.1	146.5 mm	251.6 mm
2026-08-02	1297.1	959.9	146.8 mm	252.4 mm
2026-08-03	1313.8	972.9	147.8 mm	254.0 mm
2026-08-04	1330.3	986.2	155.4 mm	255.1 mm
2026-08-05	1347.7	999.3	155.4 mm	256.3 mm
2026-08-06	1365.4	1012.3	155.5 mm	257.3 mm
2026-08-07	1382.8	1025.2	155.5 mm	258.8 mm
2026-08-08	1399.0	1038.0	155.5 mm	260.5 mm
2026-08-09	1415.2	1050.3	155.8 mm	262.2 mm
2026-08-10	1432.1	1062.6	156.0 mm	263.7 mm
2026-08-11	1448.3	1074.7	157.1 mm	264.9 mm
2026-08-12	1464.6	1086.8	157.1 mm	265.6 mm
2026-08-13	1482.0	1099.0	157.3 mm	266.8 mm
2026-08-14	1499.4	1110.8	158.1 mm	267.4 mm
2026-08-15	1515.8	1122.8	161.0 mm	268.1 mm
2026-08-16	1531.9	1134.8	162.0 mm	268.8 mm
2026-08-17	1548.2	1146.8	162.0 mm	269.8 mm
2026-08-18	1564.9	1158.9	162.0 mm	270.6 mm
2026-08-19	1581.2	1171.4	162.3 mm	271.6 mm
2026-08-20	1595.8	1184.0	184.5 mm	272.3 mm
2026-08-21	1607.8	1196.0	194.6 mm	273.5 mm
2026-08-22	1619.2	1208.0	194.6 mm	274.4 mm
2026-08-23	1631.7	1220.0	194.8 mm	275.8 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation: 146 GDDvs 99 GDD average
Total rainfall: 0.1 mmvs 17.7 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 25°Cavg 26°C 24°Cavg 15°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm

Mon8/31 28°Cavg 26°C 24°Cavg 15°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm

Tue9/1 25°Cavg 25°C 23°Cavg 15°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm

Wed9/2 26°Cavg 25°C 23°Cavg 14°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm

Thu9/3 27°Cavg 25°C 23°Cavg 14°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm

Fri9/4 27°Cavg 25°C 25°Cavg 15°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm

Sat9/5 25°Cavg 25°C 21°Cavg 15°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm

Sun9/6 25°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 14°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm

Mon9/7 25°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 15°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm

Tue9/8 28°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 15°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Languedoc, Roussillon & Provence model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 3 ERA5 locations, 4 temperature stations, and 5 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: moderate. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: provence-catalog-v1-2026-07.