Spain · Multi-region weather view
Castilla y León
Sign in to followHigh-plateau vineyards across Ribera del Duero, Rueda, and Toro.
Summer afternoons are hot and dry, but the elevation brings cold nights and a risk of frost.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Vintage explorer
What stood out in 2025
Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity. Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.
Warmer growing season · High confidence
Mean growing-season temperature was +1.3°C versus the 1991–2020 baseline.
Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity.
More hot days than usual · High confidence
There were 52 days at or above 32°C—+26 days versus baseline.
Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.
Spring frost recorded · Low confidence
The regional record had 3 spring day(s) at or below 0°C.
Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.
How unusual was 2025?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
4th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 31 of 34 other vintages 18.8°CGrowing-season rainfall
15th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 20 of 34 other vintages 234.8 mmHeat accumulation
4th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 31 of 34 other vintages 1895 GDDHot days
2nd most of 35 vintages More than 33 of 34 other vintages 52 days2025 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
-
1–31 Frost watchHeat accumulation
2025 0 GDDTypical 23 GDDRainfall
2025 105.2 mmTypical 40.9 mm- 2025 freezing days
- 3
- Typical
- 4.0
Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 80 GDDTypical 58 GDDRainfall
2025 66.5 mmTypical 53.9 mm- 2025 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 1.3
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 152 GDDTypical 157 GDDRainfall
2025 68.8 mmTypical 51.5 mm- 2025 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 389 GDDTypical 287 GDDRainfall
2025 37.8 mmTypical 30.2 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 407 GDDTypical 388 GDDRainfall
2025 8.2 mmTypical 16.2 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2025 456 GDDTypical 381 GDDRainfall
2025 4.4 mmTypical 15.3 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2025 249 GDDTypical 249 GDDRainfall
2025 11.5 mmTypical 29.5 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2025 161 GDDTypical 118 GDDRainfall
2025 37.5 mmTypical 59.0 mmHeat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2025 GDD | Typical GDD | 2025 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2025 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 2025 | 0 GDD | 23 GDD | 105.2 mm | 40.9 mm | 3 | 4.0 |
| April 2025 | 80 GDD | 58 GDD | 66.5 mm | 53.9 mm | 0 | 1.3 |
| May 2025 | 152 GDD | 157 GDD | 68.8 mm | 51.5 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| June 2025 | 389 GDD | 287 GDD | 37.8 mm | 30.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| July 2025 | 407 GDD | 388 GDD | 8.2 mm | 16.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| August 2025 | 456 GDD | 381 GDD | 4.4 mm | 15.3 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| September 2025 | 249 GDD | 249 GDD | 11.5 mm | 29.5 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| October 2025 | 161 GDD | 118 GDD | 37.5 mm | 59.0 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2025 growing season
214 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2015
Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Growing-season precipitation
- less rain: 4.1 mm
- Growing-season mean temperature
- cooler: 0.5°C
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain
View 2015 →Second closest
2022
Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Hot-day count
- more hot days: 1 day
- Growing-season mean temperature
- warmer: 0.4°C
Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — more frost-exposure days
View 2022 →Third closest
2019
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season precipitation.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing-season precipitation
- more rain: 22.3 mm
Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days
View 2019 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2015 0.717; 2022 0.731; 2019 0.944.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.6°C | -94 mm | 39 |
| 1992 | -0.8°C | +40 mm | 27 |
| 1993 | -1.8°C | +129 mm | 19 |
| 1994 | -0.7°C | -40 mm | 28 |
| 1995 | +0.3°C | -91 mm | 18 |
| 1996 | -0.8°C | -34 mm | 14 |
| 1997 | +0.1°C | +100 mm | 14 |
| 1998 | -0.6°C | +33 mm | 23 |
| 1999 | +0.1°C | +73 mm | 19 |
| 2000 | -0.6°C | +27 mm | 20 |
| 2001 | -0.1°C | -71 mm | 27 |
| 2002 | -0.5°C | +15 mm | 24 |
| 2003 | +0.7°C | +48 mm | 31 |
| 2004 | -0.3°C | -32 mm | 19 |
| 2005 | +0.7°C | -51 mm | 37 |
| 2006 | +1.1°C | +23 mm | 35 |
| 2007 | -0.8°C | +33 mm | 15 |
| 2008 | -1.0°C | +109 mm | 15 |
| 2009 | +0.7°C | -74 mm | 29 |
| 2010 | -0.4°C | +8 mm | 23 |
| 2011 | +1.0°C | -85 mm | 23 |
| 2012 | -0.1°C | +27 mm | 27 |
| 2013 | -0.8°C | +36 mm | 24 |
| 2014 | +0.6°C | -59 mm | 16 |
| 2015 | +0.8°C | -25 mm | 43 |
| 2016 | +0.2°C | -29 mm | 42 |
| 2017 | +1.8°C | -126 mm | 43 |
| 2018 | +0.5°C | +20 mm | 26 |
| 2019 | +0.7°C | +1 mm | 36 |
| 2020 | +0.5°C | +90 mm | 36 |
| 2021 | +0.0°C | +21 mm | 26 |
| 2022 | +1.8°C | -70 mm | 53 |
| 2023 | +1.4°C | +18 mm | 34 |
| 2024 | +0.3°C | +35 mm | 37 |
| 2025 | +1.3°C | -21 mm | 52 |
| 2026 | +3.3°C | -136 mm | 58 |
winter
6.2°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
122 mm rain · -8 mm
spring
11.6°C
-0.1°C vs baseline
240 mm rain · +94 mm
summer
23.6°C
+2.1°C vs baseline
50 mm rain · -11 mm
harvest
16.7°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
48 mm rain · -40 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Spring frost exposure
- Minimum temperature
- -1.4°C
- Duration
- 3 days
- Severe-freeze days
- 0 days
The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 33.1°C
- Duration
- 3 days
- Heat accumulation
- 40 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 33.9°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 28 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 36.4°C
- Duration
- 8 days
- Heat accumulation
- 127 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 37.3°C
- Duration
- 10 days
- Heat accumulation
- 165 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 37 days
- Total rain
- 1.6 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 35.1°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 31 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 38.0°C
- Duration
- 4 days
- Heat accumulation
- 63 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 39.1°C
- Duration
- 16 days
- Heat accumulation
- 283 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 37 days
- Total rain
- 4.0 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 33.7°C
- Duration
- 3 days
- Heat accumulation
- 44 GDD
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 34.7°C
- Duration
- 3 days
- Heat accumulation
- 41 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 20 days
- Total rain
- 0.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules ribera-del-duero-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +100.5 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +77.1 to +123.9 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1585 GDD | -54 GDD |
| 1992 | 1491 GDD | -147 GDD |
| 1993 | 1275 GDD | -364 GDD |
| 1994 | 1525 GDD | -114 GDD |
| 1995 | 1706 GDD | +68 GDD |
| 1996 | 1454 GDD | -185 GDD |
| 1997 | 1625 GDD | -14 GDD |
| 1998 | 1547 GDD | -92 GDD |
| 1999 | 1642 GDD | +3 GDD |
| 2000 | 1526 GDD | -113 GDD |
| 2001 | 1620 GDD | -18 GDD |
| 2002 | 1536 GDD | -103 GDD |
| 2003 | 1783 GDD | +144 GDD |
| 2004 | 1604 GDD | -34 GDD |
| 2005 | 1773 GDD | +134 GDD |
| 2006 | 1848 GDD | +209 GDD |
| 2007 | 1453 GDD | -185 GDD |
| 2008 | 1434 GDD | -205 GDD |
| 2009 | 1769 GDD | +130 GDD |
| 2010 | 1559 GDD | -80 GDD |
| 2011 | 1818 GDD | +180 GDD |
| 2012 | 1655 GDD | +16 GDD |
| 2013 | 1512 GDD | -127 GDD |
| 2014 | 1729 GDD | +90 GDD |
| 2015 | 1781 GDD | +143 GDD |
| 2016 | 1684 GDD | +45 GDD |
| 2017 | 1984 GDD | +345 GDD |
| 2018 | 1763 GDD | +124 GDD |
| 2019 | 1773 GDD | +134 GDD |
| 2020 | 1709 GDD | +70 GDD |
| 2021 | 1620 GDD | -19 GDD |
| 2022 | 2020 GDD | +381 GDD |
| 2023 | 1899 GDD | +260 GDD |
| 2024 | 1694 GDD | +56 GDD |
| 2025 | 1895 GDD | +256 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.52 °C per decade 95% interval +0.40 to +0.65
- Growing degree days
- +100.52 GDD per decade 95% interval +77.14 to +123.90
- Growing-season precipitation
- -4.49 mm per decade 95% interval -18.77 to +9.78
- Hot days
- +5.59 days per decade 95% interval +2.23 to +8.96
- Spring frost days
- -0.55 days per decade 95% interval -1.51 to +0.40
- Longest dry spell
- +4.57 days per decade 95% interval +0.11 to +9.04
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +1.1°C | +0.8 to +1.8°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.9°C | +1.4 to +2.7°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +2.4°C | +1.7 to +3.5°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 28°C | 29°C | 30°C | 33°C | 35°C | 37°C | 33°C | 33°C | 29°C | 29°C |
| Low | 14°C | 12°C | 13°C | 14°C | 14°C | 15°C | 19°C | 18°C | 15°C | 15°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.2 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm |
Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (31.6°C); Early January has the coolest (8.4°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (40%) and least frequent in Late July (9%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 8.4°C (6.4–10.3°C) | 0.9°C (-1.6–4.0°C) | 30% | 20.4 mm (6.5–42.5 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 8.7°C (6.8–10.5°C) | 0.7°C (-1.2–3.3°C) | 31% | 21.7 mm (10.2–29.7 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 10.5°C (8.0–12.7°C) | 0.8°C (-0.9–3.5°C) | 28% | 13.6 mm (6.8–22.5 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 11.2°C (8.5–14.1°C) | 1.2°C (-0.9–3.5°C) | 30% | 13.1 mm (4.0–28.4 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 13.7°C (10.7–16.6°C) | 2.9°C (0.8–5.1°C) | 28% | 13.4 mm (7.8–22.2 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 15.2°C (11.7–18.5°C) | 3.9°C (1.9–5.9°C) | 34% | 20.6 mm (11.1–29.4 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 15.4°C (12.2–19.4°C) | 4.8°C (2.8–6.9°C) | 38% | 22.9 mm (12.3–39.5 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 16.4°C (14.1–20.8°C) | 6.5°C (4.3–8.2°C) | 40% | 30.8 mm (16.5–41.7 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 19.1°C (15.9–23.1°C) | 8.0°C (5.4–10.1°C) | 40% | 24.0 mm (14.8–33.9 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 22.3°C (18.8–26.0°C) | 9.9°C (7.6–11.8°C) | 33% | 21.5 mm (10.8–30.2 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 24.5°C (20.6–28.5°C) | 11.6°C (9.5–13.9°C) | 26% | 15.1 mm (7.3–25.5 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 28.7°C (25.1–31.4°C) | 14.0°C (11.5–16.0°C) | 20% | 11.4 mm (5.7–17.7 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 29.5°C (25.9–32.1°C) | 14.5°C (12.3–16.4°C) | 14% | 8.2 mm (3.5–11.8 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 31.6°C (28.8–33.5°C) | 15.8°C (14.0–17.3°C) | 9% | 3.1 mm (2.1–8.4 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 30.4°C (27.4–33.4°C) | 15.2°C (13.3–17.1°C) | 12% | 5.1 mm (1.9–9.5 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 29.7°C (26.5–32.1°C) | 14.9°C (12.8–16.4°C) | 13% | 6.4 mm (1.8–14.0 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 27.0°C (24.0–29.3°C) | 12.7°C (10.8–14.7°C) | 17% | 9.3 mm (3.8–14.3 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 23.6°C (19.8–26.8°C) | 10.9°C (8.8–13.0°C) | 25% | 20.9 mm (11.2–28.2 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 20.6°C (17.1–23.3°C) | 9.1°C (6.9–11.2°C) | 26% | 15.5 mm (10.5–27.9 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 17.5°C (14.2–20.0°C) | 8.0°C (5.1–10.2°C) | 39% | 34.6 mm (20.6–57.8 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 13.6°C (11.4–15.8°C) | 5.3°C (2.9–7.7°C) | 38% | 25.0 mm (16.5–40.4 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 10.8°C (8.8–12.8°C) | 2.9°C (0.3–5.5°C) | 34% | 20.8 mm (7.7–39.0 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 9.1°C (7.6–11.1°C) | 2.1°C (-0.1–4.3°C) | 30% | 17.4 mm (9.8–29.1 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 8.8°C (6.9–10.5°C) | 1.0°C (-1.5–4.1°C) | 32% | 16.9 mm (6.7–39.3 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Apr 1–Aug 30, 2026
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.0 mm | 1.6 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.1 mm | 3.3 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 0.1 mm | 5.4 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 0.1 mm | 7.0 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 9.2 | 5.9 | 0.1 mm | 8.5 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 16.1 | 8.0 | 0.1 mm | 10.1 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 22.5 | 9.6 | 2.2 mm | 11.8 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 25.9 | 11.2 | 6.0 mm | 12.7 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 31.2 | 13.0 | 6.0 mm | 14.6 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 39.5 | 14.7 | 6.0 mm | 17.3 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 43.4 | 16.3 | 7.7 mm | 18.6 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 43.4 | 17.6 | 9.7 mm | 19.9 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 43.4 | 19.2 | 9.8 mm | 21.2 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 45.3 | 21.1 | 9.9 mm | 23.2 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 49.0 | 22.9 | 9.9 mm | 25.5 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 53.3 | 24.8 | 9.9 mm | 27.5 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 59.3 | 26.6 | 9.9 mm | 29.0 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 66.5 | 28.5 | 10.6 mm | 31.5 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 74.7 | 30.3 | 10.8 mm | 34.1 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 82.4 | 32.5 | 10.9 mm | 36.2 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 89.4 | 34.7 | 11.8 mm | 38.3 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 96.4 | 36.6 | 11.8 mm | 40.5 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 103.5 | 38.9 | 16.5 mm | 41.7 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 110.3 | 41.8 | 22.0 mm | 43.3 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 117.3 | 44.7 | 27.5 mm | 45.2 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 124.8 | 47.2 | 30.2 mm | 47.7 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 132.7 | 49.9 | 32.7 mm | 49.5 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 139.9 | 52.6 | 34.2 mm | 50.9 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 145.4 | 55.2 | 41.6 mm | 52.6 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 149.2 | 57.7 | 42.5 mm | 53.9 mm |
| 2026-05-01 | 155.2 | 60.6 | 43.2 mm | 55.1 mm |
| 2026-05-02 | 160.4 | 63.6 | 53.6 mm | 56.3 mm |
| 2026-05-03 | 164.3 | 66.9 | 57.1 mm | 57.7 mm |
| 2026-05-04 | 166.5 | 70.5 | 59.3 mm | 59.2 mm |
| 2026-05-05 | 166.6 | 73.6 | 60.4 mm | 60.9 mm |
| 2026-05-06 | 167.3 | 77.1 | 60.4 mm | 62.1 mm |
| 2026-05-07 | 170.0 | 81.2 | 62.6 mm | 64.3 mm |
| 2026-05-08 | 172.2 | 85.5 | 65.9 mm | 66.8 mm |
| 2026-05-09 | 175.4 | 90.1 | 69.0 mm | 69.1 mm |
| 2026-05-10 | 177.0 | 94.9 | 73.8 mm | 71.5 mm |
| 2026-05-11 | 179.2 | 99.2 | 78.2 mm | 73.1 mm |
| 2026-05-12 | 180.9 | 103.5 | 87.3 mm | 74.6 mm |
| 2026-05-13 | 183.6 | 107.9 | 88.0 mm | 76.0 mm |
| 2026-05-14 | 185.5 | 112.3 | 88.0 mm | 77.6 mm |
| 2026-05-15 | 186.0 | 116.9 | 89.6 mm | 78.8 mm |
| 2026-05-16 | 186.0 | 122.1 | 89.6 mm | 80.9 mm |
| 2026-05-17 | 189.1 | 127.2 | 89.8 mm | 83.0 mm |
| 2026-05-18 | 192.6 | 132.1 | 89.8 mm | 85.0 mm |
| 2026-05-19 | 198.0 | 136.6 | 89.9 mm | 86.5 mm |
| 2026-05-20 | 206.8 | 141.3 | 89.9 mm | 87.8 mm |
| 2026-05-21 | 218.3 | 146.8 | 89.9 mm | 89.5 mm |
| 2026-05-22 | 230.7 | 152.8 | 89.9 mm | 91.4 mm |
| 2026-05-23 | 243.2 | 159.1 | 90.0 mm | 93.2 mm |
| 2026-05-24 | 257.0 | 165.5 | 91.5 mm | 94.5 mm |
| 2026-05-25 | 270.8 | 171.8 | 91.7 mm | 96.9 mm |
| 2026-05-26 | 284.2 | 178.3 | 91.9 mm | 98.1 mm |
| 2026-05-27 | 297.7 | 185.1 | 92.5 mm | 98.8 mm |
| 2026-05-28 | 311.8 | 192.1 | 92.6 mm | 100.3 mm |
| 2026-05-29 | 326.3 | 199.8 | 92.6 mm | 102.0 mm |
| 2026-05-30 | 341.1 | 207.4 | 92.6 mm | 103.4 mm |
| 2026-05-31 | 353.5 | 215.0 | 92.6 mm | 105.4 mm |
| 2026-06-01 | 365.3 | 222.6 | 92.6 mm | 107.0 mm |
| 2026-06-02 | 375.6 | 230.3 | 92.6 mm | 107.8 mm |
| 2026-06-03 | 384.4 | 238.2 | 92.6 mm | 108.6 mm |
| 2026-06-04 | 391.7 | 245.8 | 92.6 mm | 110.1 mm |
| 2026-06-05 | 397.7 | 253.3 | 92.6 mm | 111.8 mm |
| 2026-06-06 | 407.6 | 261.0 | 92.6 mm | 113.0 mm |
| 2026-06-07 | 419.1 | 269.0 | 92.6 mm | 114.5 mm |
| 2026-06-08 | 430.8 | 277.0 | 92.6 mm | 115.3 mm |
| 2026-06-09 | 439.8 | 284.8 | 92.6 mm | 117.5 mm |
| 2026-06-10 | 446.6 | 292.2 | 92.6 mm | 119.5 mm |
| 2026-06-11 | 455.3 | 300.0 | 92.6 mm | 120.9 mm |
| 2026-06-12 | 468.0 | 309.0 | 92.6 mm | 121.5 mm |
| 2026-06-13 | 482.9 | 318.4 | 92.6 mm | 121.7 mm |
| 2026-06-14 | 497.6 | 327.7 | 94.2 mm | 122.6 mm |
| 2026-06-15 | 510.5 | 337.0 | 95.4 mm | 123.6 mm |
| 2026-06-16 | 524.1 | 346.3 | 95.5 mm | 125.3 mm |
| 2026-06-17 | 539.8 | 355.8 | 97.1 mm | 126.2 mm |
| 2026-06-18 | 555.1 | 365.9 | 97.9 mm | 126.7 mm |
| 2026-06-19 | 570.4 | 376.2 | 100.6 mm | 127.2 mm |
| 2026-06-20 | 587.0 | 387.0 | 101.1 mm | 128.1 mm |
| 2026-06-21 | 606.4 | 397.8 | 101.1 mm | 128.5 mm |
| 2026-06-22 | 626.3 | 409.3 | 101.3 mm | 129.5 mm |
| 2026-06-23 | 646.2 | 421.0 | 101.3 mm | 130.8 mm |
| 2026-06-24 | 665.7 | 432.2 | 101.7 mm | 131.9 mm |
| 2026-06-25 | 681.0 | 443.6 | 102.3 mm | 132.4 mm |
| 2026-06-26 | 694.6 | 455.6 | 102.3 mm | 132.9 mm |
| 2026-06-27 | 709.4 | 467.3 | 102.3 mm | 133.6 mm |
| 2026-06-28 | 724.0 | 478.9 | 102.8 mm | 134.4 mm |
| 2026-06-29 | 738.3 | 490.3 | 102.8 mm | 135.0 mm |
| 2026-06-30 | 753.3 | 502.0 | 102.8 mm | 135.6 mm |
| 2026-07-01 | 765.8 | 513.5 | 102.8 mm | 136.4 mm |
| 2026-07-02 | 777.1 | 524.2 | 102.8 mm | 137.2 mm |
| 2026-07-03 | 790.7 | 535.3 | 102.8 mm | 137.8 mm |
| 2026-07-04 | 805.1 | 546.4 | 102.8 mm | 138.2 mm |
| 2026-07-05 | 821.3 | 557.3 | 102.8 mm | 138.6 mm |
| 2026-07-06 | 838.6 | 568.3 | 102.8 mm | 139.5 mm |
| 2026-07-07 | 856.5 | 579.3 | 104.2 mm | 140.1 mm |
| 2026-07-08 | 872.9 | 590.8 | 104.2 mm | 140.9 mm |
| 2026-07-09 | 889.9 | 602.7 | 104.3 mm | 141.3 mm |
| 2026-07-10 | 907.6 | 614.8 | 105.0 mm | 142.0 mm |
| 2026-07-11 | 924.4 | 626.8 | 105.2 mm | 142.3 mm |
| 2026-07-12 | 940.2 | 639.2 | 107.5 mm | 143.4 mm |
| 2026-07-13 | 953.3 | 651.8 | 107.5 mm | 144.1 mm |
| 2026-07-14 | 968.2 | 664.1 | 107.5 mm | 144.6 mm |
| 2026-07-15 | 983.6 | 676.6 | 107.5 mm | 145.5 mm |
| 2026-07-16 | 998.6 | 689.7 | 107.6 mm | 146.0 mm |
| 2026-07-17 | 1012.0 | 703.0 | 107.6 mm | 146.2 mm |
| 2026-07-18 | 1026.4 | 716.5 | 107.6 mm | 146.4 mm |
| 2026-07-19 | 1041.1 | 730.3 | 107.6 mm | 146.7 mm |
| 2026-07-20 | 1055.7 | 743.8 | 107.6 mm | 147.0 mm |
| 2026-07-21 | 1070.9 | 757.1 | 107.6 mm | 147.3 mm |
| 2026-07-22 | 1087.0 | 770.1 | 107.6 mm | 147.8 mm |
| 2026-07-23 | 1102.5 | 783.3 | 107.6 mm | 148.5 mm |
| 2026-07-24 | 1115.1 | 796.6 | 107.6 mm | 148.7 mm |
| 2026-07-25 | 1125.1 | 809.9 | 108.5 mm | 149.4 mm |
| 2026-07-26 | 1134.9 | 823.2 | 108.5 mm | 150.0 mm |
| 2026-07-27 | 1148.2 | 836.3 | 108.5 mm | 150.7 mm |
| 2026-07-28 | 1164.7 | 849.6 | 108.5 mm | 151.1 mm |
| 2026-07-29 | 1182.3 | 863.2 | 108.5 mm | 151.2 mm |
| 2026-07-30 | 1200.5 | 876.6 | 108.5 mm | 151.5 mm |
| 2026-07-31 | 1216.2 | 890.0 | 108.5 mm | 151.8 mm |
| 2026-08-01 | 1231.4 | 903.4 | 108.5 mm | 152.2 mm |
| 2026-08-02 | 1246.7 | 916.4 | 108.5 mm | 152.6 mm |
| 2026-08-03 | 1261.6 | 929.5 | 108.6 mm | 152.8 mm |
| 2026-08-04 | 1275.8 | 943.0 | 108.6 mm | 153.2 mm |
| 2026-08-05 | 1290.3 | 956.5 | 108.6 mm | 153.5 mm |
| 2026-08-06 | 1305.6 | 969.6 | 108.6 mm | 153.7 mm |
| 2026-08-07 | 1321.5 | 982.6 | 108.6 mm | 154.5 mm |
| 2026-08-08 | 1337.3 | 994.9 | 110.2 mm | 155.0 mm |
| 2026-08-09 | 1352.4 | 1006.4 | 110.2 mm | 155.5 mm |
| 2026-08-10 | 1367.1 | 1018.3 | 110.2 mm | 156.1 mm |
| 2026-08-11 | 1383.3 | 1030.5 | 110.2 mm | 156.8 mm |
| 2026-08-12 | 1401.0 | 1043.0 | 110.2 mm | 157.2 mm |
| 2026-08-13 | 1419.0 | 1055.1 | 110.2 mm | 157.3 mm |
| 2026-08-14 | 1436.2 | 1067.9 | 110.3 mm | 157.6 mm |
| 2026-08-15 | 1451.5 | 1080.8 | 112.7 mm | 158.0 mm |
| 2026-08-16 | 1466.3 | 1093.5 | 112.8 mm | 158.5 mm |
| 2026-08-17 | 1482.5 | 1106.2 | 112.8 mm | 159.3 mm |
| 2026-08-18 | 1499.5 | 1119.2 | 112.8 mm | 159.8 mm |
| 2026-08-19 | 1517.0 | 1131.9 | 113.2 mm | 160.1 mm |
| 2026-08-20 | 1529.8 | 1144.3 | 118.7 mm | 160.5 mm |
| 2026-08-21 | 1540.3 | 1156.8 | 119.7 mm | 161.0 mm |
| 2026-08-22 | 1552.7 | 1169.0 | 119.7 mm | 161.3 mm |
| 2026-08-23 | 1565.9 | 1181.4 | 119.7 mm | 161.6 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 137 GDDvs 102 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 0.2 mmvs 6.8 mm average
The forecast includes a period of potentially stressful heat. The region's 32°C heat threshold is reached Sep 2–6.
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Castilla y León model uses a April 1–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.
- Consejo Regulador Ribera del Duero: harvest ran 9 September to late October
- WMO climate normals guidance
The historical series uses 3 ERA5 locations, 4 temperature stations, and 4 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: ribera-del-duero-catalog-v1-2026-07.