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Spain · Multi-region weather view

Castilla y León

High-plateau vineyards across Ribera del Duero, Rueda, and Toro.

Summer afternoons are hot and dry, but the elevation brings cold nights and a risk of frost.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature13.6°C
Dew Point12.5°C
Relative Humidity93%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Slightly warmer and moderately drier than normal.

Mean temperature17.7°C
Temperature anomaly+0.2°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1683base 10°C
Hot days42≥ 32°C

What stood out in 2016

Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress. A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

More hot days than usual · High confidence

There were 42 days at or above 32°C—+16 days versus baseline.

Repeated hot days can speed ripening and put vines under stress.

Spring freeze recorded · Moderate confidence

The regional record had 1 spring day(s) at or below -2°C.

A freeze after budbreak can damage new growth and reduce the crop.

How unusual was 2016?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

17th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 18 of 34 other vintages 17.7°C

Growing-season rainfall

13th driest of 35 vintages Drier than 22 of 34 other vintages 226.7 mm

Heat accumulation

17th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 18 of 34 other vintages 1684 GDD

Hot days

5th most of 35 vintages More than 30 of 34 other vintages 42 days

2016 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2016 0 GDD
    Typical 23 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 51.9 mm
    Typical 40.9 mm
    2016 freezing days
    10
    Typical
    4.0

    More freezing days than the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 18 GDD
    Typical 58 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 93.3 mm
    Typical 53.9 mm
    2016 freezing days
    2
    Typical
    1.3

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 112 GDD
    Typical 157 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 49.2 mm
    Typical 51.5 mm
    2016 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 282 GDD
    Typical 287 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 14.7 mm
    Typical 30.2 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 424 GDD
    Typical 388 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 7.3 mm
    Typical 16.2 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  6. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2016 409 GDD
    Typical 381 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 2.1 mm
    Typical 15.3 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 291 GDD
    Typical 249 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 15.2 mm
    Typical 29.5 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2016 148 GDD
    Typical 118 GDD

    Rainfall

    2016 44.9 mm
    Typical 59.0 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2016 GDDTypical GDD2016 rainfallTypical rainfall2016 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2016 0 GDD 23 GDD 51.9 mm 40.9 mm 104.0
April 2016 18 GDD 58 GDD 93.3 mm 53.9 mm 21.3
May 2016 112 GDD 157 GDD 49.2 mm 51.5 mm 00.0
June 2016 282 GDD 287 GDD 14.7 mm 30.2 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2016 424 GDD 388 GDD 7.3 mm 16.2 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2016 409 GDD 381 GDD 2.1 mm 15.3 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2016 291 GDD 249 GDD 15.2 mm 29.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2016 148 GDD 118 GDD 44.9 mm 59.0 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2016 growing season

214 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2015

    Most alike in Growing-season precipitation and Hot-day count.

    Growing-season precipitation
    more rain: 4.0 mm
    Hot-day count
    more hot days: 1 day

    Largest difference: Spring frost exposure — fewer frost-exposure days

    View 2015 →

  2. Second closest

    2005

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season precipitation.

    Spring frost exposure
    more frost-exposure days: 1 day
    Growing-season precipitation
    less rain: 22.1 mm

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain

    View 2005 →

  3. Third closest

    1991

    Most alike in Harvest precipitation and Hot-day count.

    Harvest precipitation
    more rain: 7.3 mm
    Hot-day count
    fewer hot days: 3 days

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 1991 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2015 0.753; 2005 0.792; 1991 0.851.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +3.5°C −3.5°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +150 mm −150 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-0.6°C-94 mm39
1992-0.8°C+40 mm27
1993-1.8°C+129 mm19
1994-0.7°C-40 mm28
1995+0.3°C-91 mm18
1996-0.8°C-34 mm14
1997+0.1°C+100 mm14
1998-0.6°C+33 mm23
1999+0.1°C+73 mm19
2000-0.6°C+27 mm20
2001-0.1°C-71 mm27
2002-0.5°C+15 mm24
2003+0.7°C+48 mm31
2004-0.3°C-32 mm19
2005+0.7°C-51 mm37
2006+1.1°C+23 mm35
2007-0.8°C+33 mm15
2008-1.0°C+109 mm15
2009+0.7°C-74 mm29
2010-0.4°C+8 mm23
2011+1.0°C-85 mm23
2012-0.1°C+27 mm27
2013-0.8°C+36 mm24
2014+0.6°C-59 mm16
2015+0.8°C-25 mm43
2016+0.2°C-29 mm42
2017+1.8°C-126 mm43
2018+0.5°C+20 mm26
2019+0.7°C+1 mm36
2020+0.5°C+90 mm36
2021+0.0°C+21 mm26
2022+1.8°C-70 mm53
2023+1.4°C+18 mm34
2024+0.3°C+35 mm37
2025+1.3°C-21 mm52
2026+3.3°C-136 mm58

winter

6.8°C

+1.4°C vs baseline

221 mm rain · +91 mm

spring

9.9°C

-1.7°C vs baseline

194 mm rain · +48 mm

summer

22.1°C

+0.6°C vs baseline

24 mm rain · -38 mm

harvest

17.2°C

+1.3°C vs baseline

60 mm rain · -28 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.8°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  2. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.6°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  3. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.0°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  4. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -2.5°C
    Duration
    7 days
    Severe-freeze days
    1 day

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  5. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -1.5°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  6. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    33.7°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    30 GDD

  7. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    33.0°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    28 GDD

  8. Dry spell

    Duration
    15 days
    Total rain
    1.6 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  9. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    35.3°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    48 GDD

  10. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.7°C
    Duration
    5 days
    Heat accumulation
    81 GDD

  11. Dry spell

    Duration
    36 days
    Total rain
    1.1 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  12. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.3°C
    Duration
    6 days
    Heat accumulation
    94 GDD

  13. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    35.4°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    31 GDD

  14. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.8°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    30 GDD

  15. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    34.0°C
    Duration
    4 days
    Heat accumulation
    59 GDD

  16. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    35.9°C
    Duration
    4 days
    Heat accumulation
    65 GDD

  17. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    33.4°C
    Duration
    2 days
    Heat accumulation
    29 GDD

  18. Dry spell

    Duration
    17 days
    Total rain
    0.3 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  19. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.9°C
    Duration
    7 days
    Heat accumulation
    109 GDD

  20. Dry spell

    Duration
    15 days
    Total rain
    0.1 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  21. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    22.4 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    21.9 mm
    Trigger threshold
    20.0 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules ribera-del-duero-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +100.5 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +77.1 to +123.9 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911585 GDD-54 GDD
19921491 GDD-147 GDD
19931275 GDD-364 GDD
19941525 GDD-114 GDD
19951706 GDD+68 GDD
19961454 GDD-185 GDD
19971625 GDD-14 GDD
19981547 GDD-92 GDD
19991642 GDD+3 GDD
20001526 GDD-113 GDD
20011620 GDD-18 GDD
20021536 GDD-103 GDD
20031783 GDD+144 GDD
20041604 GDD-34 GDD
20051773 GDD+134 GDD
20061848 GDD+209 GDD
20071453 GDD-185 GDD
20081434 GDD-205 GDD
20091769 GDD+130 GDD
20101559 GDD-80 GDD
20111818 GDD+180 GDD
20121655 GDD+16 GDD
20131512 GDD-127 GDD
20141729 GDD+90 GDD
20151781 GDD+143 GDD
20161684 GDD+45 GDD
20171984 GDD+345 GDD
20181763 GDD+124 GDD
20191773 GDD+134 GDD
20201709 GDD+70 GDD
20211620 GDD-19 GDD
20222020 GDD+381 GDD
20231899 GDD+260 GDD
20241694 GDD+56 GDD
20251895 GDD+256 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.52 °C per decade 95% interval +0.40 to +0.65
Growing degree days
+100.52 GDD per decade 95% interval +77.14 to +123.90
Growing-season precipitation
-4.49 mm per decade 95% interval -18.77 to +9.78
Hot days
+5.59 days per decade 95% interval +2.23 to +8.96
Spring frost days
-0.55 days per decade 95% interval -1.51 to +0.40
Longest dry spell
+4.57 days per decade 95% interval +0.11 to +9.04

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.1°C+0.8 to +1.8°C25
2041-2060+1.9°C+1.4 to +2.7°C25
2061-2075+2.4°C+1.7 to +3.5°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 28°C 29°C 30°C 33°C 35°C 37°C 33°C 33°C 29°C 29°C
Low 14°C 12°C 13°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 19°C 18°C 15°C 15°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.2 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (31.6°C); Early January has the coolest (8.4°C). Wet days are most frequent in Late April (40%) and least frequent in Late July (9%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Castilla y León Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -5°C5°C15°C25°C35°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Castilla y León The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Castilla y León typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–158.4°C (6.4–10.3°C)0.9°C (-1.6–4.0°C)30%20.4 mm (6.5–42.5 mm)
Jan 16–318.7°C (6.8–10.5°C)0.7°C (-1.2–3.3°C)31%21.7 mm (10.2–29.7 mm)
Feb 1–1510.5°C (8.0–12.7°C)0.8°C (-0.9–3.5°C)28%13.6 mm (6.8–22.5 mm)
Feb 16–2911.2°C (8.5–14.1°C)1.2°C (-0.9–3.5°C)30%13.1 mm (4.0–28.4 mm)
Mar 1–1513.7°C (10.7–16.6°C)2.9°C (0.8–5.1°C)28%13.4 mm (7.8–22.2 mm)
Mar 16–3115.2°C (11.7–18.5°C)3.9°C (1.9–5.9°C)34%20.6 mm (11.1–29.4 mm)
Apr 1–1515.4°C (12.2–19.4°C)4.8°C (2.8–6.9°C)38%22.9 mm (12.3–39.5 mm)
Apr 16–3016.4°C (14.1–20.8°C)6.5°C (4.3–8.2°C)40%30.8 mm (16.5–41.7 mm)
May 1–1519.1°C (15.9–23.1°C)8.0°C (5.4–10.1°C)40%24.0 mm (14.8–33.9 mm)
May 16–3122.3°C (18.8–26.0°C)9.9°C (7.6–11.8°C)33%21.5 mm (10.8–30.2 mm)
Jun 1–1524.5°C (20.6–28.5°C)11.6°C (9.5–13.9°C)26%15.1 mm (7.3–25.5 mm)
Jun 16–3028.7°C (25.1–31.4°C)14.0°C (11.5–16.0°C)20%11.4 mm (5.7–17.7 mm)
Jul 1–1529.5°C (25.9–32.1°C)14.5°C (12.3–16.4°C)14%8.2 mm (3.5–11.8 mm)
Jul 16–3131.6°C (28.8–33.5°C)15.8°C (14.0–17.3°C)9%3.1 mm (2.1–8.4 mm)
Aug 1–1530.4°C (27.4–33.4°C)15.2°C (13.3–17.1°C)12%5.1 mm (1.9–9.5 mm)
Aug 16–3129.7°C (26.5–32.1°C)14.9°C (12.8–16.4°C)13%6.4 mm (1.8–14.0 mm)
Sep 1–1527.0°C (24.0–29.3°C)12.7°C (10.8–14.7°C)17%9.3 mm (3.8–14.3 mm)
Sep 16–3023.6°C (19.8–26.8°C)10.9°C (8.8–13.0°C)25%20.9 mm (11.2–28.2 mm)
Oct 1–1520.6°C (17.1–23.3°C)9.1°C (6.9–11.2°C)26%15.5 mm (10.5–27.9 mm)
Oct 16–3117.5°C (14.2–20.0°C)8.0°C (5.1–10.2°C)39%34.6 mm (20.6–57.8 mm)
Nov 1–1513.6°C (11.4–15.8°C)5.3°C (2.9–7.7°C)38%25.0 mm (16.5–40.4 mm)
Nov 16–3010.8°C (8.8–12.8°C)2.9°C (0.3–5.5°C)34%20.8 mm (7.7–39.0 mm)
Dec 1–159.1°C (7.6–11.1°C)2.1°C (-0.1–4.3°C)30%17.4 mm (9.8–29.1 mm)
Dec 16–318.8°C (6.9–10.5°C)1.0°C (-1.5–4.1°C)32%16.9 mm (6.7–39.3 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 1–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1565.9base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall119.7 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1566 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 162 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-010.21.30.0 mm1.6 mm
2026-04-020.22.50.1 mm3.3 mm
2026-04-030.23.40.1 mm5.4 mm
2026-04-044.04.40.1 mm7.0 mm
2026-04-059.25.90.1 mm8.5 mm
2026-04-0616.18.00.1 mm10.1 mm
2026-04-0722.59.62.2 mm11.8 mm
2026-04-0825.911.26.0 mm12.7 mm
2026-04-0931.213.06.0 mm14.6 mm
2026-04-1039.514.76.0 mm17.3 mm
2026-04-1143.416.37.7 mm18.6 mm
2026-04-1243.417.69.7 mm19.9 mm
2026-04-1343.419.29.8 mm21.2 mm
2026-04-1445.321.19.9 mm23.2 mm
2026-04-1549.022.99.9 mm25.5 mm
2026-04-1653.324.89.9 mm27.5 mm
2026-04-1759.326.69.9 mm29.0 mm
2026-04-1866.528.510.6 mm31.5 mm
2026-04-1974.730.310.8 mm34.1 mm
2026-04-2082.432.510.9 mm36.2 mm
2026-04-2189.434.711.8 mm38.3 mm
2026-04-2296.436.611.8 mm40.5 mm
2026-04-23103.538.916.5 mm41.7 mm
2026-04-24110.341.822.0 mm43.3 mm
2026-04-25117.344.727.5 mm45.2 mm
2026-04-26124.847.230.2 mm47.7 mm
2026-04-27132.749.932.7 mm49.5 mm
2026-04-28139.952.634.2 mm50.9 mm
2026-04-29145.455.241.6 mm52.6 mm
2026-04-30149.257.742.5 mm53.9 mm
2026-05-01155.260.643.2 mm55.1 mm
2026-05-02160.463.653.6 mm56.3 mm
2026-05-03164.366.957.1 mm57.7 mm
2026-05-04166.570.559.3 mm59.2 mm
2026-05-05166.673.660.4 mm60.9 mm
2026-05-06167.377.160.4 mm62.1 mm
2026-05-07170.081.262.6 mm64.3 mm
2026-05-08172.285.565.9 mm66.8 mm
2026-05-09175.490.169.0 mm69.1 mm
2026-05-10177.094.973.8 mm71.5 mm
2026-05-11179.299.278.2 mm73.1 mm
2026-05-12180.9103.587.3 mm74.6 mm
2026-05-13183.6107.988.0 mm76.0 mm
2026-05-14185.5112.388.0 mm77.6 mm
2026-05-15186.0116.989.6 mm78.8 mm
2026-05-16186.0122.189.6 mm80.9 mm
2026-05-17189.1127.289.8 mm83.0 mm
2026-05-18192.6132.189.8 mm85.0 mm
2026-05-19198.0136.689.9 mm86.5 mm
2026-05-20206.8141.389.9 mm87.8 mm
2026-05-21218.3146.889.9 mm89.5 mm
2026-05-22230.7152.889.9 mm91.4 mm
2026-05-23243.2159.190.0 mm93.2 mm
2026-05-24257.0165.591.5 mm94.5 mm
2026-05-25270.8171.891.7 mm96.9 mm
2026-05-26284.2178.391.9 mm98.1 mm
2026-05-27297.7185.192.5 mm98.8 mm
2026-05-28311.8192.192.6 mm100.3 mm
2026-05-29326.3199.892.6 mm102.0 mm
2026-05-30341.1207.492.6 mm103.4 mm
2026-05-31353.5215.092.6 mm105.4 mm
2026-06-01365.3222.692.6 mm107.0 mm
2026-06-02375.6230.392.6 mm107.8 mm
2026-06-03384.4238.292.6 mm108.6 mm
2026-06-04391.7245.892.6 mm110.1 mm
2026-06-05397.7253.392.6 mm111.8 mm
2026-06-06407.6261.092.6 mm113.0 mm
2026-06-07419.1269.092.6 mm114.5 mm
2026-06-08430.8277.092.6 mm115.3 mm
2026-06-09439.8284.892.6 mm117.5 mm
2026-06-10446.6292.292.6 mm119.5 mm
2026-06-11455.3300.092.6 mm120.9 mm
2026-06-12468.0309.092.6 mm121.5 mm
2026-06-13482.9318.492.6 mm121.7 mm
2026-06-14497.6327.794.2 mm122.6 mm
2026-06-15510.5337.095.4 mm123.6 mm
2026-06-16524.1346.395.5 mm125.3 mm
2026-06-17539.8355.897.1 mm126.2 mm
2026-06-18555.1365.997.9 mm126.7 mm
2026-06-19570.4376.2100.6 mm127.2 mm
2026-06-20587.0387.0101.1 mm128.1 mm
2026-06-21606.4397.8101.1 mm128.5 mm
2026-06-22626.3409.3101.3 mm129.5 mm
2026-06-23646.2421.0101.3 mm130.8 mm
2026-06-24665.7432.2101.7 mm131.9 mm
2026-06-25681.0443.6102.3 mm132.4 mm
2026-06-26694.6455.6102.3 mm132.9 mm
2026-06-27709.4467.3102.3 mm133.6 mm
2026-06-28724.0478.9102.8 mm134.4 mm
2026-06-29738.3490.3102.8 mm135.0 mm
2026-06-30753.3502.0102.8 mm135.6 mm
2026-07-01765.8513.5102.8 mm136.4 mm
2026-07-02777.1524.2102.8 mm137.2 mm
2026-07-03790.7535.3102.8 mm137.8 mm
2026-07-04805.1546.4102.8 mm138.2 mm
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2026-07-06838.6568.3102.8 mm139.5 mm
2026-07-07856.5579.3104.2 mm140.1 mm
2026-07-08872.9590.8104.2 mm140.9 mm
2026-07-09889.9602.7104.3 mm141.3 mm
2026-07-10907.6614.8105.0 mm142.0 mm
2026-07-11924.4626.8105.2 mm142.3 mm
2026-07-12940.2639.2107.5 mm143.4 mm
2026-07-13953.3651.8107.5 mm144.1 mm
2026-07-14968.2664.1107.5 mm144.6 mm
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2026-07-16998.6689.7107.6 mm146.0 mm
2026-07-171012.0703.0107.6 mm146.2 mm
2026-07-181026.4716.5107.6 mm146.4 mm
2026-07-191041.1730.3107.6 mm146.7 mm
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2026-07-221087.0770.1107.6 mm147.8 mm
2026-07-231102.5783.3107.6 mm148.5 mm
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2026-07-261134.9823.2108.5 mm150.0 mm
2026-07-271148.2836.3108.5 mm150.7 mm
2026-07-281164.7849.6108.5 mm151.1 mm
2026-07-291182.3863.2108.5 mm151.2 mm
2026-07-301200.5876.6108.5 mm151.5 mm
2026-07-311216.2890.0108.5 mm151.8 mm
2026-08-011231.4903.4108.5 mm152.2 mm
2026-08-021246.7916.4108.5 mm152.6 mm
2026-08-031261.6929.5108.6 mm152.8 mm
2026-08-041275.8943.0108.6 mm153.2 mm
2026-08-051290.3956.5108.6 mm153.5 mm
2026-08-061305.6969.6108.6 mm153.7 mm
2026-08-071321.5982.6108.6 mm154.5 mm
2026-08-081337.3994.9110.2 mm155.0 mm
2026-08-091352.41006.4110.2 mm155.5 mm
2026-08-101367.11018.3110.2 mm156.1 mm
2026-08-111383.31030.5110.2 mm156.8 mm
2026-08-121401.01043.0110.2 mm157.2 mm
2026-08-131419.01055.1110.2 mm157.3 mm
2026-08-141436.21067.9110.3 mm157.6 mm
2026-08-151451.51080.8112.7 mm158.0 mm
2026-08-161466.31093.5112.8 mm158.5 mm
2026-08-171482.51106.2112.8 mm159.3 mm
2026-08-181499.51119.2112.8 mm159.8 mm
2026-08-191517.01131.9113.2 mm160.1 mm
2026-08-201529.81144.3118.7 mm160.5 mm
2026-08-211540.31156.8119.7 mm161.0 mm
2026-08-221552.71169.0119.7 mm161.3 mm
2026-08-231565.91181.4119.7 mm161.6 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
137 GDDvs 102 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.2 mmvs 6.8 mm average

The forecast includes a period of potentially stressful heat. The region's 32°C heat threshold is reached Sep 2–6.

Sun8/30 28°Cavg 28°C 14°Cavg 13°C +11 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 29°Cavg 27°C 12°Cavg 13°C +10 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 30°Cavg 27°C 13°Cavg 13°C +12 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 33°Cavg 28°C 14°Cavg 13°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 35°Cavg 28°C 14°Cavg 13°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 37°Cavg 27°C 15°Cavg 14°C +17 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 33°Cavg 27°C 19°Cavg 13°C +17 GDD 0.2 mm
Sun9/6 33°Cavg 27°C 18°Cavg 13°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 29°Cavg 26°C 15°Cavg 13°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 29°Cavg 27°C 15°Cavg 12°C +13 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Castilla y León model uses a April 1–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 32°C.

The historical series uses 3 ERA5 locations, 4 temperature stations, and 4 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: ribera-del-duero-catalog-v1-2026-07.