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Italy · Detailed regional profile

Tuscany

A varied central Italian region best known for Sangiovese, with Bordeaux varieties also grown near the coast.

Elevation and distance from the sea separate the warmer, drier interior from the coast. Autumn rain adds another important difference.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

A vineyard landscape in Tuscany, Italy
Antek Korczak / Pexels

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature21.3°C
Dew Point14.2°C
Relative Humidity64%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Moderately warmer and moderately wetter than normal.

Mean temperature20.5°C
Temperature anomaly+1.5°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2248base 10°C
Hot days3≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2023

Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity. Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.

Warmer growing season · High confidence

Mean growing-season temperature was +1.5°C versus the 1991–2020 baseline.

Warm weather can speed ripening and leave grapes with less acidity.

Spring frost recorded · Low confidence

The regional record had 1 spring day(s) at or below 0°C.

Frost exposure can vary sharply from one site to the next.

How unusual was 2023?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

2nd warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 33 of 34 other vintages 20.5°C

Growing-season rainfall

11th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 24 of 34 other vintages 494.4 mm

Heat accumulation

2nd highest of 35 vintages Higher than 33 of 34 other vintages 2249 GDD

Hot days

5th most of 35 vintages More than 30 of 34 other vintages 3 days

2023 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watch

    Heat accumulation

    2023 0 GDD
    Typical 27 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 52.9 mm
    Typical 65.6 mm
    2023 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    1.3

    Heat accumulation ran behind the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2023 72 GDD
    Typical 85 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 46.9 mm
    Typical 74.3 mm
    2023 freezing days
    1
    Typical
    0.2

    Drier than the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2023 216 GDD
    Typical 208 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 118.6 mm
    Typical 68.3 mm
    2023 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Wetter than the typical month.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2023 355 GDD
    Typical 325 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 87.4 mm
    Typical 45.9 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2023 492 GDD
    Typical 423 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 12.4 mm
    Typical 29.8 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2023 457 GDD
    Typical 431 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 68.3 mm
    Typical 39.1 mm

    Wetter than the typical month.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2023 369 GDD
    Typical 290 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 40.6 mm
    Typical 92.5 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2023 287 GDD
    Typical 171 GDD

    Rainfall

    2023 120.2 mm
    Typical 114.1 mm

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2023 GDDTypical GDD2023 rainfallTypical rainfall2023 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2023 0 GDD 27 GDD 52.9 mm 65.6 mm 01.3
April 2023 72 GDD 85 GDD 46.9 mm 74.3 mm 10.2
May 2023 216 GDD 208 GDD 118.6 mm 68.3 mm 00.0
June 2023 355 GDD 325 GDD 87.4 mm 45.9 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2023 492 GDD 423 GDD 12.4 mm 29.8 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2023 457 GDD 431 GDD 68.3 mm 39.1 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2023 369 GDD 290 GDD 40.6 mm 92.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2023 287 GDD 171 GDD 120.2 mm 114.1 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2023 growing season

214 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2003

    Most alike in Growing degree days and Harvest precipitation.

    Growing degree days
    lower: 6 GDD
    Harvest precipitation
    less rain: 6.4 mm

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2003 →

  2. Second closest

    2022

    Most alike in Growing-season mean temperature and Growing degree days.

    Growing-season mean temperature
    warmer: 0.1°C
    Growing degree days
    higher: 14 GDD

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain

    View 2022 →

  3. Third closest

    2018

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season mean temperature.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Growing-season mean temperature
    cooler: 0.2°C

    Largest difference: Hot-day count — fewer hot days

    View 2018 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2003 0.821; 2022 0.826; 2018 0.835.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +3.4°C −3.4°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +270 mm −270 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-1.5°C+233 mm0
1992-0.7°C+203 mm0
1993-0.4°C+73 mm0
1994-0.1°C-40 mm0
1995-1.2°C-18 mm0
1996-1.2°C+124 mm0
1997-0.7°C-61 mm0
1998-0.1°C+18 mm0
1999+0.4°C+22 mm0
2000+0.2°C-11 mm0
2001-0.3°C-45 mm0
2002-0.4°C+153 mm0
2003+1.4°C-149 mm4
2004-0.2°C-2 mm0
2005-0.3°C-58 mm0
2006+0.2°C-101 mm0
2007-0.2°C-122 mm0
2008-0.3°C-39 mm0
2009+0.6°C-77 mm0
2010-0.5°C+127 mm0
2011+0.6°C-224 mm0
2012+0.7°C+11 mm0
2013+0.3°C-15 mm0
2014-0.3°C+55 mm0
2015+0.7°C+27 mm0
2016+0.2°C+10 mm0
2017+0.7°C-178 mm5
2018+1.2°C-24 mm0
2019+0.7°C+57 mm0
2020+0.4°C+49 mm0
2021+0.2°C-151 mm1
2022+1.5°C-113 mm1
2023+1.5°C+30 mm3
2024+1.1°C+172 mm4
2025+0.8°C-5 mm7
2026+3.1°C-262 mm23

winter

8.4°C

+1.9°C vs baseline

296 mm rain · +79 mm

spring

13.4°C

+0.5°C vs baseline

218 mm rain · +10 mm

summer

24.2°C

+1.4°C vs baseline

168 mm rain · +53 mm

harvest

21.9°C

+3.0°C vs baseline

206 mm rain · -25 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Spring frost exposure

    Minimum temperature
    -0.2°C
    Duration
    1 day
    Severe-freeze days
    0 days

    The regional model recorded freezing temperatures during spring.

  2. Dry spell

    Duration
    15 days
    Total rain
    0.6 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  3. Dry spell

    Duration
    18 days
    Total rain
    1.0 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  4. Dry spell

    Duration
    22 days
    Total rain
    1.2 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  5. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.2°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    57 GDD

  6. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    44.2 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    44.2 mm
    Trigger threshold
    38.8 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  7. Dry spell

    Duration
    14 days
    Total rain
    0.8 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day

  8. Dry spell

    Duration
    24 days
    Total rain
    0.9 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day
How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules tuscany-v4-2026-08. Source last updated Aug 20, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +112.6 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +87.5 to +137.7 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the April 1–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911650 GDD-283 GDD
19921785 GDD-148 GDD
19931853 GDD-80 GDD
19941917 GDD-16 GDD
19951681 GDD-252 GDD
19961671 GDD-262 GDD
19971816 GDD-117 GDD
19981918 GDD-15 GDD
19992014 GDD+81 GDD
20001974 GDD+41 GDD
20011876 GDD-57 GDD
20021845 GDD-88 GDD
20032243 GDD+310 GDD
20041890 GDD-43 GDD
20051857 GDD-76 GDD
20061976 GDD+43 GDD
20071885 GDD-48 GDD
20081864 GDD-69 GDD
20092056 GDD+123 GDD
20101817 GDD-116 GDD
20112041 GDD+108 GDD
20122091 GDD+158 GDD
20131993 GDD+60 GDD
20141868 GDD-65 GDD
20152081 GDD+148 GDD
20161977 GDD+44 GDD
20172068 GDD+135 GDD
20182191 GDD+258 GDD
20192068 GDD+135 GDD
20202026 GDD+93 GDD
20211976 GDD+43 GDD
20222263 GDD+330 GDD
20232249 GDD+315 GDD
20242168 GDD+235 GDD
20252101 GDD+168 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.54 °C per decade 95% interval +0.42 to +0.67
Growing degree days
+112.59 GDD per decade 95% interval +87.53 to +137.66
Growing-season precipitation
-25.07 mm per decade 95% interval -63.34 to +13.21
Hot days
+0.78 days per decade 95% interval +0.06 to +1.51
Spring frost days
-0.39 days per decade 95% interval -0.95 to +0.16
Longest dry spell
-1.63 days per decade 95% interval -4.43 to +1.16

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.2°C+0.8 to +1.6°C25
2041-2060+1.8°C+1.3 to +2.7°C25
2061-2075+2.3°C+1.7 to +3.4°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 31°C 31°C 32°C 31°C 32°C 35°C 34°C 34°C 34°C 33°C
Low 19°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 20°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 21°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (29.7°C); Late January has the coolest (9.4°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early November (48%) and least frequent in Late July (14%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Tuscany Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -5°C5°C15°C25°C35°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Tuscany The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Tuscany typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–1510.0°C (7.8–11.6°C)3.1°C (0.6–5.6°C)31%24.5 mm (11.3–43.9 mm)
Jan 16–319.4°C (7.4–10.9°C)2.2°C (-0.0–4.9°C)32%29.7 mm (15.5–39.5 mm)
Feb 1–1510.7°C (8.3–12.3°C)2.4°C (0.2–5.1°C)32%34.2 mm (14.6–55.4 mm)
Feb 16–2911.6°C (9.4–13.3°C)3.3°C (0.8–5.5°C)35%28.3 mm (9.8–46.3 mm)
Mar 1–1513.5°C (11.4–15.2°C)4.7°C (2.6–7.0°C)32%31.1 mm (15.0–48.4 mm)
Mar 16–3115.2°C (12.7–16.7°C)5.9°C (3.9–7.9°C)31%26.4 mm (17.1–50.2 mm)
Apr 1–1516.0°C (14.1–18.1°C)7.4°C (5.8–9.1°C)38%37.8 mm (14.7–58.2 mm)
Apr 16–3018.0°C (15.9–20.1°C)9.3°C (7.5–10.7°C)42%36.6 mm (27.3–50.4 mm)
May 1–1520.4°C (18.6–22.2°C)11.3°C (9.8–12.8°C)40%25.8 mm (16.2–60.0 mm)
May 16–3122.5°C (20.1–24.5°C)12.9°C (11.3–14.4°C)28%22.8 mm (14.3–36.1 mm)
Jun 1–1524.4°C (22.2–26.5°C)15.1°C (13.6–16.8°C)32%27.0 mm (11.9–44.7 mm)
Jun 16–3027.2°C (24.9–29.4°C)16.9°C (15.2–18.5°C)17%10.1 mm (4.0–23.5 mm)
Jul 1–1528.6°C (26.5–30.2°C)18.5°C (16.9–19.6°C)15%8.7 mm (3.6–11.6 mm)
Jul 16–3129.7°C (27.7–31.0°C)18.9°C (17.5–20.1°C)14%10.2 mm (3.8–21.2 mm)
Aug 1–1529.6°C (28.0–31.3°C)19.1°C (17.9–20.3°C)18%9.6 mm (4.8–20.3 mm)
Aug 16–3129.0°C (27.0–30.6°C)18.4°C (17.0–19.7°C)21%18.0 mm (5.4–34.9 mm)
Sep 1–1525.8°C (23.8–27.7°C)16.1°C (14.4–17.4°C)29%33.8 mm (20.7–48.9 mm)
Sep 16–3023.3°C (21.1–25.1°C)14.1°C (12.0–16.1°C)34%53.8 mm (35.0–75.6 mm)
Oct 1–1520.8°C (19.1–22.5°C)12.6°C (10.8–14.6°C)41%42.8 mm (23.9–89.3 mm)
Oct 16–3118.2°C (16.7–20.1°C)10.4°C (8.2–13.2°C)38%56.6 mm (38.6–71.8 mm)
Nov 1–1515.8°C (13.9–17.3°C)9.1°C (6.5–11.2°C)48%68.1 mm (41.0–84.3 mm)
Nov 16–3012.6°C (10.4–14.4°C)6.2°C (2.8–8.8°C)44%51.7 mm (25.6–89.7 mm)
Dec 1–1510.9°C (9.2–12.7°C)4.0°C (1.6–6.7°C)41%40.5 mm (24.8–58.8 mm)
Dec 16–319.5°C (7.5–11.4°C)2.8°C (0.4–5.7°C)37%33.7 mm (22.0–61.4 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Apr 1–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1757.3base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall202.3 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1757 GDD 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 240 mm 0 Apr ’26MayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-04-010.01.81.0 mm1.8 mm
2026-04-021.03.51.1 mm4.8 mm
2026-04-035.45.41.1 mm6.4 mm
2026-04-0410.07.31.1 mm10.4 mm
2026-04-0515.59.31.1 mm13.8 mm
2026-04-0620.211.31.1 mm15.0 mm
2026-04-0724.913.51.1 mm16.4 mm
2026-04-0829.315.51.1 mm18.6 mm
2026-04-0934.817.51.1 mm21.1 mm
2026-04-1039.719.61.1 mm23.6 mm
2026-04-1144.921.41.2 mm27.2 mm
2026-04-1250.623.71.2 mm30.4 mm
2026-04-1356.225.910.4 mm32.6 mm
2026-04-1460.827.919.6 mm34.9 mm
2026-04-1567.030.319.8 mm36.7 mm
2026-04-1674.432.520.9 mm39.9 mm
2026-04-1782.435.121.0 mm43.1 mm
2026-04-1890.637.721.0 mm45.1 mm
2026-04-1997.340.421.3 mm47.5 mm
2026-04-20103.043.421.9 mm51.0 mm
2026-04-21109.146.826.7 mm54.0 mm
2026-04-22113.050.627.4 mm55.3 mm
2026-04-23116.154.327.4 mm57.5 mm
2026-04-24120.858.227.4 mm60.2 mm
2026-04-25125.962.327.4 mm62.2 mm
2026-04-26131.066.627.4 mm63.4 mm
2026-04-27137.371.227.4 mm67.0 mm
2026-04-28143.675.827.4 mm69.4 mm
2026-04-29150.080.427.4 mm71.5 mm
2026-04-30155.184.827.5 mm74.3 mm
2026-05-01158.989.927.5 mm76.9 mm
2026-05-02164.595.127.5 mm80.4 mm
2026-05-03170.0100.727.5 mm83.5 mm
2026-05-04174.9106.427.7 mm89.1 mm
2026-05-05180.4111.544.8 mm92.9 mm
2026-05-06187.2116.561.6 mm96.3 mm
2026-05-07193.5121.865.3 mm98.5 mm
2026-05-08199.3127.365.4 mm100.4 mm
2026-05-09206.9133.165.4 mm103.2 mm
2026-05-10212.1139.581.4 mm104.3 mm
2026-05-11219.2146.284.8 mm106.0 mm
2026-05-12226.2152.986.4 mm108.9 mm
2026-05-13230.9159.587.0 mm110.6 mm
2026-05-14236.3166.087.3 mm112.3 mm
2026-05-15239.6172.1101.8 mm114.8 mm
2026-05-16242.0178.5109.2 mm116.5 mm
2026-05-17246.4185.2109.2 mm118.5 mm
2026-05-18250.7191.9109.5 mm121.1 mm
2026-05-19255.8198.6110.3 mm123.3 mm
2026-05-20262.4204.9110.3 mm126.3 mm
2026-05-21271.6211.8110.3 mm128.1 mm
2026-05-22281.5219.0110.3 mm129.8 mm
2026-05-23291.8226.7110.3 mm131.4 mm
2026-05-24303.5234.7110.3 mm132.4 mm
2026-05-25316.7243.0110.3 mm133.0 mm
2026-05-26330.6251.4110.3 mm133.6 mm
2026-05-27345.2260.0110.3 mm134.8 mm
2026-05-28356.9268.4110.7 mm136.5 mm
2026-05-29369.7276.5111.6 mm138.8 mm
2026-05-30382.5284.7111.6 mm141.3 mm
2026-05-31394.6293.1111.6 mm142.6 mm
2026-06-01405.7301.7114.9 mm146.2 mm
2026-06-02417.7310.6115.2 mm148.6 mm
2026-06-03429.4319.8126.5 mm149.9 mm
2026-06-04440.6329.1126.5 mm151.2 mm
2026-06-05451.1338.7127.0 mm153.3 mm
2026-06-06460.7348.0127.1 mm154.8 mm
2026-06-07472.3357.8127.1 mm158.1 mm
2026-06-08484.2367.9127.1 mm160.4 mm
2026-06-09495.3378.0127.1 mm161.9 mm
2026-06-10506.8388.5127.2 mm163.2 mm
2026-06-11517.9398.8127.3 mm165.8 mm
2026-06-12529.0408.8127.3 mm168.3 mm
2026-06-13541.6419.1127.3 mm169.9 mm
2026-06-14553.1429.3127.3 mm172.3 mm
2026-06-15564.4439.7127.5 mm173.9 mm
2026-06-16577.8450.6127.7 mm175.1 mm
2026-06-17592.5461.6127.7 mm176.2 mm
2026-06-18608.4473.1127.7 mm176.7 mm
2026-06-19625.9484.6128.0 mm178.4 mm
2026-06-20643.8496.1128.0 mm180.0 mm
2026-06-21661.2507.4128.1 mm180.9 mm
2026-06-22679.4519.2128.5 mm181.5 mm
2026-06-23697.6531.0129.1 mm182.7 mm
2026-06-24715.5542.9130.6 mm183.5 mm
2026-06-25733.0555.1132.6 mm184.3 mm
2026-06-26750.5567.4132.6 mm184.8 mm
2026-06-27769.0580.1132.6 mm185.3 mm
2026-06-28787.7592.7132.6 mm186.9 mm
2026-06-29806.8605.4134.8 mm187.5 mm
2026-06-30824.1618.3136.1 mm188.5 mm
2026-07-01841.2631.6139.3 mm188.7 mm
2026-07-02854.7644.7147.2 mm189.1 mm
2026-07-03870.3658.3147.2 mm189.6 mm
2026-07-04886.2671.9147.2 mm190.0 mm
2026-07-05902.5685.2147.5 mm191.6 mm
2026-07-06918.0698.7147.7 mm192.5 mm
2026-07-07934.0712.0147.7 mm193.4 mm
2026-07-08948.9725.2147.7 mm194.0 mm
2026-07-09965.8738.3147.7 mm194.4 mm
2026-07-10983.0751.1147.9 mm195.1 mm
2026-07-11999.4763.9147.9 mm196.1 mm
2026-07-121016.6776.9147.9 mm196.7 mm
2026-07-131034.6790.0147.9 mm197.3 mm
2026-07-141052.5803.1147.9 mm198.2 mm
2026-07-151070.8816.3147.9 mm199.6 mm
2026-07-161089.6829.7148.0 mm200.3 mm
2026-07-171108.9843.1148.0 mm200.8 mm
2026-07-181127.3856.7148.0 mm201.2 mm
2026-07-191145.5870.6148.0 mm202.0 mm
2026-07-201163.7884.5148.0 mm203.6 mm
2026-07-211181.8898.3149.1 mm204.4 mm
2026-07-221197.8912.4149.1 mm205.0 mm
2026-07-231213.3926.9149.2 mm205.3 mm
2026-07-241228.2941.3149.2 mm206.0 mm
2026-07-251243.0955.4149.2 mm207.6 mm
2026-07-261258.3969.6176.9 mm208.0 mm
2026-07-271274.0983.9177.0 mm209.5 mm
2026-07-281291.8998.2177.0 mm211.2 mm
2026-07-291310.41012.6177.0 mm213.8 mm
2026-07-301329.41026.9177.0 mm216.1 mm
2026-07-311348.71041.2177.0 mm218.3 mm
2026-08-011367.31055.8177.0 mm218.8 mm
2026-08-021385.81070.6177.0 mm218.9 mm
2026-08-031404.71085.4177.0 mm219.6 mm
2026-08-041423.61100.1177.0 mm220.2 mm
2026-08-051442.31114.6177.3 mm221.8 mm
2026-08-061461.01129.1177.4 mm222.5 mm
2026-08-071479.71143.9177.4 mm222.7 mm
2026-08-081498.21158.6177.5 mm223.7 mm
2026-08-091517.21173.1177.5 mm224.6 mm
2026-08-101536.11187.2177.5 mm227.0 mm
2026-08-111555.21201.2177.9 mm229.0 mm
2026-08-121574.91214.9178.8 mm229.9 mm
2026-08-131593.91228.7178.8 mm231.5 mm
2026-08-141613.21242.4178.8 mm233.1 mm
2026-08-151632.01256.1178.8 mm234.2 mm
2026-08-161649.01269.8181.7 mm234.9 mm
2026-08-171663.21283.6184.8 mm235.2 mm
2026-08-181678.81297.5184.8 mm235.9 mm
2026-08-191695.41311.6184.8 mm236.6 mm
2026-08-201713.01325.7190.7 mm237.4 mm
2026-08-211727.61339.8202.1 mm238.4 mm
2026-08-221742.51353.5202.3 mm239.2 mm
2026-08-231757.31367.2202.3 mm240.5 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
152 GDDvs 113 GDD average
Total rainfall
0.0 mmvs 18.0 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 31°Cavg 28°C 19°Cavg 18°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 31°Cavg 27°C 19°Cavg 17°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 32°Cavg 26°C 18°Cavg 16°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Wed9/2 31°Cavg 26°C 17°Cavg 16°C +14 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 32°Cavg 26°C 18°Cavg 16°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 35°Cavg 26°C 20°Cavg 17°C +17 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 34°Cavg 26°C 22°Cavg 16°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 34°Cavg 26°C 21°Cavg 15°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 34°Cavg 26°C 21°Cavg 16°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 33°Cavg 26°C 21°Cavg 16°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

Region outline: Istituto nazionale di statistica (Istat), 2026; reprojected and simplified by Weather & Vines; CC BY 4.0. This is a statistical administrative boundary, not a wine-denomination boundary.

The Tuscany model uses a April 1–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 3 ERA5 locations, 0 temperature stations, and 1 rain station. Temperature is ERA5-only. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: authoritative. Rules: tuscany-v4-2026-08.