Italy · Multi-region weather view

Po Valley & Northeast Italy

Vineyards from Lombardy across the Po plain and Alpine foothills to Friuli.

Po Valley humidity, Adriatic influence, Alpine air, and summer storms create large west–east differences.

Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.

Current conditions

Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

Temperature21.9°C
Dew Point18.0°C
Relative Humidity78%
24h Rainfall1.2 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29

Vintage explorer

Compare this vintage →

Moderately warmer and slightly wetter than normal.

Mean temperature19.8°C
Temperature anomaly+0.9°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days2274base 10°C
Hot days4≥ 35°C

What stood out in 2012

Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

More harvest rain than usual · High confidence

Harvest-window precipitation totaled 333 mm, +63 mm versus baseline.

Rain close to harvest can raise rot pressure and shorten the picking window.

How unusual was 2012?

The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.

Growing-season temperature

5th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 30 of 34 other vintages 19.8°C

Growing-season rainfall

18th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 17 of 34 other vintages 722.3 mm

Heat accumulation

6th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 29 of 34 other vintages 2274 GDD

Hot days

8th most of 35 vintages More than 25 of 34 other vintages 4 days

2012 month by month

Compared with 1991–2020

Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.

Frost watch Growing season Harvest window
  1. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2012 68 GDD
    Typical 28 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 18.1 mm
    Typical 69.3 mm
    2012 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    1.6

    Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.

  2. 1–30
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2012 90 GDD
    Typical 105 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 145.6 mm
    Typical 89.3 mm
    2012 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.1

    Wetter than the typical month.

  3. 1–31
    Frost watchGrowing season

    Heat accumulation

    2012 242 GDD
    Typical 248 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 118.4 mm
    Typical 100.4 mm
    2012 freezing days
    0
    Typical
    0.0

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  4. 1–30
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2012 404 GDD
    Typical 365 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 65.7 mm
    Typical 88.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  5. 1–31
    Growing season

    Heat accumulation

    2012 490 GDD
    Typical 449 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 43.4 mm
    Typical 74.4 mm

    Drier than the typical month.

  6. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2012 506 GDD
    Typical 444 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 56.7 mm
    Typical 84.5 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  7. 1–30
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2012 304 GDD
    Typical 288 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 145.6 mm
    Typical 110.6 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

  8. 1–31
    Growing seasonHarvest window

    Heat accumulation

    2012 171 GDD
    Typical 149 GDD

    Rainfall

    2012 138.0 mm
    Typical 112.6 mm

    Close to the typical monthly pattern.

View milestone calendar data as a table
Month2012 GDDTypical GDD2012 rainfallTypical rainfall2012 freezing daysTypical freezing days
March 2012 68 GDD 28 GDD 18.1 mm 69.3 mm 01.6
April 2012 90 GDD 105 GDD 145.6 mm 89.3 mm 00.1
May 2012 242 GDD 248 GDD 118.4 mm 100.4 mm 00.0
June 2012 404 GDD 365 GDD 65.7 mm 88.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
July 2012 490 GDD 449 GDD 43.4 mm 74.4 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
August 2012 506 GDD 444 GDD 56.7 mm 84.5 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
September 2012 304 GDD 288 GDD 145.6 mm 110.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
October 2012 171 GDD 149 GDD 138.0 mm 112.6 mm Outside frost windowOutside frost window
Calendar data and method

Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.

Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Replay the 2012 growing season

231 daily regional observations

Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.

Replay data and method

Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.

Closest weather matches

These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.

  1. Closest match

    2023

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Growing degree days
    higher: 20 GDD

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — more rain

    View 2023 →
  2. Second closest

    2017

    Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing-season mean temperature.

    Spring frost exposure
    the same: 0 days
    Growing-season mean temperature
    cooler: 0.2°C

    Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — less rain

    View 2017 →
  3. Third closest

    2025

    Most alike in Harvest precipitation and Spring frost exposure.

    Harvest precipitation
    less rain: 8.7 mm
    Spring frost exposure
    more frost-exposure days: 1 day

    Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — more rain

    View 2025 →
How similar years are calculated

Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.

Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).

Calculated distances: 2023 0.386; 2017 0.553; 2025 0.662.

Growing-season temperature anomalyCompared with 1991-2020
Temperature anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 A line above zero indicates a warmer growing season than the 1991–2020 baseline. Select a point to inspect that vintage. +2.5°C −2.5°C 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
Growing-season rainfall anomaly
Rainfall anomaly by vintage, 1991 to 2026 Bars show millimeters above or below the 1991–2020 growing-season baseline. Select a bar to inspect that vintage. +390 mm −390 mm 1991 2000 2010 2020 2026
View historical chart data as a table
YearTemperature anomalyRainfall anomalyHot days
1991-1.2°C+32 mm0
1992-0.7°C+74 mm0
1993-0.4°C+61 mm0
1994-0.0°C-47 mm1
1995-1.1°C-34 mm0
1996-1.1°C+83 mm0
1997-0.4°C-215 mm0
1998-0.1°C+89 mm3
1999+0.1°C-3 mm0
2000+0.2°C+60 mm0
2001+0.0°C-51 mm0
2002-0.5°C+231 mm0
2003+0.8°C-287 mm10
2004-0.3°C-28 mm0
2005-0.2°C-40 mm0
2006+0.2°C-172 mm4
2007+0.2°C-86 mm3
2008-0.1°C+53 mm0
2009+0.7°C-123 mm0
2010-0.5°C+199 mm2
2011+0.8°C-132 mm5
2012+0.9°C+25 mm4
2013-0.2°C+108 mm7
2014-0.1°C+83 mm0
2015+0.6°C-24 mm9
2016+0.0°C+9 mm0
2017+0.8°C-39 mm5
2018+1.1°C+51 mm2
2019+0.5°C+54 mm2
2020+0.2°C+67 mm1
2021-0.1°C-123 mm2
2022+1.5°C-190 mm11
2023+1.0°C+107 mm5
2024+1.0°C+382 mm4
2025+0.4°C+134 mm2
2026+2.3°C-347 mm18

winter

3.9°C

-0.9°C vs baseline

94 mm rain · -97 mm

spring

14.3°C

+0.7°C vs baseline

282 mm rain · +23 mm

summer

25.2°C

+1.5°C vs baseline

165 mm rain · -82 mm

harvest

19.6°C

+1.0°C vs baseline

332 mm rain · +63 mm

Weather events

Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.

  1. Dry spell

    Duration
    14 days
    Total rain
    1.0 mm
    Daily cutoff
    1.0 mm/day
  2. Heat episode

    Peak temperature
    36.2°C
    Duration
    3 days
    Heat accumulation
    57 GDD
  3. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    43.6 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    43.6 mm
    Trigger threshold
    40.1 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

  4. Concentrated harvest rain

    Total rain
    54.1 mm
    Highest 3-day total
    54.1 mm
    Trigger threshold
    40.1 mm

    A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.

How events are detected

Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules veneto-prosecco-catalog-v1-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.

1991–present

Climate change

Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.

Compare regions

Observed record

Historical trends, 1991–2025

Growing degree days changed +98.2 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +75.5 to +120.8 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.

How it is measured: Across the March 15–October 31 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.

Growing degree days · annual change from the 1991–2020 average1991–2025

Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.

View annual growing degree days data
VintageGrowing degree daysChange from 1991–2020
19911832 GDD-239 GDD
19921926 GDD-145 GDD
19931978 GDD-93 GDD
19942056 GDD-15 GDD
19951820 GDD-251 GDD
19961812 GDD-259 GDD
19971994 GDD-78 GDD
19982059 GDD-13 GDD
19992093 GDD+21 GDD
20002103 GDD+32 GDD
20012058 GDD-13 GDD
20021944 GDD-127 GDD
20032311 GDD+240 GDD
20041987 GDD-85 GDD
20051999 GDD-72 GDD
20062125 GDD+54 GDD
20072122 GDD+51 GDD
20082041 GDD-30 GDD
20092222 GDD+151 GDD
20101949 GDD-122 GDD
20112225 GDD+153 GDD
20122274 GDD+203 GDD
20132059 GDD-12 GDD
20142033 GDD-38 GDD
20152197 GDD+126 GDD
20162064 GDD-7 GDD
20172228 GDD+157 GDD
20182337 GDD+266 GDD
20192160 GDD+89 GDD
20202125 GDD+54 GDD
20212059 GDD-12 GDD
20222399 GDD+328 GDD
20232294 GDD+223 GDD
20242283 GDD+212 GDD
20252161 GDD+90 GDD
Growing-season mean temperature
+0.45 °C per decade 95% interval +0.34 to +0.56
Growing degree days
+98.16 GDD per decade 95% interval +75.48 to +120.84
Growing-season precipitation
+21.80 mm per decade 95% interval -20.20 to +63.80
Hot days
+1.34 days per decade 95% interval +0.79 to +1.89
Spring frost days
-0.21 days per decade 95% interval -0.73 to +0.31
Longest dry spell
-0.80 days per decade 95% interval -2.14 to +0.55

Last Updated August 20, 2026

Model ensemble

Projected climate through 2075

Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.

Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.

PeriodWeighted medianWeighted central 80%Models per pathway
2021-2040+1.2°C+0.9 to +1.6°C25
2041-2060+1.9°C+1.3 to +2.7°C25
2061-2075+2.3°C+1.8 to +3.6°C25
How pathways are combined

For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.

Last Updated June 29, 2025

Compare projection measures across regions

Typical year · 1991–2020

When to visit

This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.

Deterministic IFS forecast

Next ten days

Detailed forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · model run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC · retrieved Aug 30, 2026 at 08:22 UTC

Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.

DateSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
High 30°C 31°C 29°C 30°C 31°C 32°C 32°C 32°C 33°C 32°C
Low 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 22°C 23°C 24°C 24°C
Rain 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.1 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 0.0 mm 1.1 mm

Across the typical year: Late July has the warmest median afternoon high (30.3°C); Late December has the coolest (7.6°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early June (54%) and least frequent in Late January (29%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lowsMedians and middle 50% of daily readings

Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Typical afternoon highs and overnight lows for Po Valley & Northeast Italy Median daily maximum and minimum temperatures for 24 early and late-month periods under the 1991–2020 baseline. Neutral bands show the 25th to 75th percentile. -5°C5°C15°C25°C35°C JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
How often a day is wetShare of days with at least 1 mm of rain

Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.

Wet-day frequency through the typical year for Po Valley & Northeast Italy The fraction of days receiving at least one millimeter of rain in each early and late-month period under the 1991–2020 baseline. 0%25%50%75%100% JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
View all 24 periods as a table

Scroll horizontally to view all columns.

Po Valley & Northeast Italy typical weather by half-month, 1991–2020
PeriodAfternoon high, median (middle 50%)Overnight low, median (middle 50%)Wet-day frequencyPeriod rain, median (middle 50%)
Jan 1–157.7°C (5.8–9.5°C)1.0°C (-1.0–3.2°C)31%23.0 mm (6.2–47.3 mm)
Jan 16–317.7°C (5.7–9.5°C)0.3°C (-1.3–2.5°C)29%17.1 mm (11.3–39.2 mm)
Feb 1–159.4°C (7.2–11.3°C)0.8°C (-0.8–3.4°C)31%25.6 mm (7.7–53.6 mm)
Feb 16–2910.8°C (8.3–12.6°C)2.0°C (-0.1–4.0°C)34%16.8 mm (4.7–38.5 mm)
Mar 1–1513.3°C (10.8–15.5°C)4.3°C (2.1–6.0°C)34%27.7 mm (10.9–47.2 mm)
Mar 16–3115.1°C (12.7–17.7°C)5.9°C (3.8–8.0°C)36%30.5 mm (14.7–55.9 mm)
Apr 1–1516.9°C (14.2–19.2°C)7.8°C (6.2–9.5°C)47%44.8 mm (19.7–60.0 mm)
Apr 16–3019.1°C (16.3–21.7°C)10.0°C (8.1–11.9°C)51%46.4 mm (33.8–62.5 mm)
May 1–1521.6°C (19.2–23.9°C)12.6°C (10.9–13.9°C)52%46.6 mm (26.4–75.5 mm)
May 16–3123.8°C (21.4–26.1°C)14.3°C (12.6–15.7°C)45%36.7 mm (23.0–60.1 mm)
Jun 1–1525.7°C (23.5–28.4°C)16.5°C (14.9–18.2°C)54%46.0 mm (26.2–68.0 mm)
Jun 16–3028.2°C (25.7–30.9°C)18.3°C (16.4–20.1°C)42%33.3 mm (21.7–47.2 mm)
Jul 1–1529.2°C (26.9–30.9°C)19.5°C (17.5–20.6°C)48%35.3 mm (21.1–53.8 mm)
Jul 16–3130.3°C (28.1–32.1°C)19.9°C (18.4–21.2°C)38%30.5 mm (20.3–41.4 mm)
Aug 1–1530.0°C (28.0–32.2°C)19.8°C (18.5–21.4°C)44%38.8 mm (22.8–50.6 mm)
Aug 16–3128.9°C (26.4–31.0°C)19.0°C (17.5–20.4°C)44%46.6 mm (29.3–59.9 mm)
Sep 1–1525.4°C (23.3–27.7°C)16.2°C (14.4–17.8°C)44%44.7 mm (30.5–71.5 mm)
Sep 16–3022.9°C (20.7–24.9°C)14.1°C (12.3–16.1°C)42%54.2 mm (36.5–79.1 mm)
Oct 1–1520.2°C (18.2–22.2°C)12.5°C (10.7–14.3°C)47%46.6 mm (21.0–99.3 mm)
Oct 16–3117.0°C (15.2–18.9°C)9.7°C (7.5–11.9°C)38%42.8 mm (28.3–75.8 mm)
Nov 1–1514.6°C (12.9–16.1°C)7.9°C (5.5–10.3°C)49%68.2 mm (35.0–94.2 mm)
Nov 16–3011.1°C (9.0–12.6°C)4.5°C (1.5–7.6°C)41%46.3 mm (27.2–74.3 mm)
Dec 1–159.1°C (7.6–10.5°C)2.2°C (0.3–4.5°C)37%33.7 mm (14.0–51.0 mm)
Dec 16–317.6°C (5.7–9.3°C)0.7°C (-1.4–3.4°C)34%32.3 mm (11.9–54.6 mm)

Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.

Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026

Season to date

Growing season heat and rainfall

Mar 15–Aug 30, 2026

Growing degree days1813.9base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall351.2 mmweighted regional total
Cumulative growing degree daysBase 10°C

2026 season1991–2020 average

Growing degree days accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily mean temperature above 10 degrees Celsius from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 1814 GDD 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
Cumulative growing-season rainfallRegional weighted mean

2026 season1991–2020 average

Rainfall accumulated during the 2026 growing season The solid line accumulates daily rainfall in millimeters from the configured growing-season start. The dashed line shows the 1991–2020 daily climatological average. 446 mm 0 Mar ’26AprMayJunJulAug
View growing-season accumulation data
DateSeason GDD1991–2020 average GDDSeason rainfall1991–2020 average rainfall
2026-03-152.30.95.4 mm1.2 mm
2026-03-165.22.06.3 mm3.5 mm
2026-03-176.03.27.2 mm5.3 mm
2026-03-186.04.58.4 mm7.4 mm
2026-03-197.05.88.4 mm8.9 mm
2026-03-207.07.08.4 mm9.9 mm
2026-03-217.08.48.5 mm10.8 mm
2026-03-227.09.78.8 mm12.8 mm
2026-03-237.410.98.9 mm15.1 mm
2026-03-248.612.18.9 mm17.7 mm
2026-03-2510.113.614.6 mm20.9 mm
2026-03-2610.114.929.7 mm24.2 mm
2026-03-2710.116.029.9 mm26.7 mm
2026-03-2810.117.230.4 mm29.0 mm
2026-03-2911.118.830.4 mm32.2 mm
2026-03-3011.820.632.7 mm35.4 mm
2026-03-3111.822.733.0 mm37.5 mm
2026-04-0112.125.033.1 mm39.4 mm
2026-04-0213.427.133.1 mm42.2 mm
2026-04-0317.329.533.1 mm44.9 mm
2026-04-0421.032.133.2 mm48.5 mm
2026-04-0525.834.633.3 mm53.1 mm
2026-04-0632.137.233.3 mm55.2 mm
2026-04-0738.939.733.3 mm57.0 mm
2026-04-0845.242.133.3 mm59.7 mm
2026-04-0949.844.633.4 mm62.6 mm
2026-04-1053.347.133.4 mm65.9 mm
2026-04-1158.249.533.6 mm70.7 mm
2026-04-1262.052.234.0 mm74.3 mm
2026-04-1367.754.941.3 mm76.6 mm
2026-04-1471.657.853.7 mm78.2 mm
2026-04-1577.460.755.2 mm81.1 mm
2026-04-1684.763.655.6 mm84.5 mm
2026-04-1793.066.555.9 mm87.7 mm
2026-04-18101.769.656.4 mm90.7 mm
2026-04-19108.673.060.2 mm93.3 mm
2026-04-20114.776.762.5 mm96.5 mm
2026-04-21119.380.967.5 mm99.1 mm
2026-04-22122.485.568.2 mm100.3 mm
2026-04-23125.790.268.2 mm102.7 mm
2026-04-24131.595.368.2 mm105.2 mm
2026-04-25138.7100.568.2 mm107.3 mm
2026-04-26147.0106.168.2 mm109.7 mm
2026-04-27155.8111.768.4 mm115.0 mm
2026-04-28164.5117.168.9 mm119.2 mm
2026-04-29171.5122.570.3 mm123.3 mm
2026-04-30175.9128.071.5 mm126.7 mm
2026-05-01179.5134.271.5 mm129.5 mm
2026-05-02185.4140.471.5 mm133.0 mm
2026-05-03192.8146.971.5 mm137.2 mm
2026-05-04201.1153.371.5 mm143.5 mm
2026-05-05206.9159.279.4 mm148.4 mm
2026-05-06212.5165.192.6 mm151.9 mm
2026-05-07218.8171.693.4 mm153.5 mm
2026-05-08225.3178.793.9 mm156.2 mm
2026-05-09233.0185.993.9 mm159.4 mm
2026-05-10239.4193.597.5 mm162.0 mm
2026-05-11245.7201.2107.7 mm166.4 mm
2026-05-12251.2209.1111.3 mm171.1 mm
2026-05-13255.1217.0111.9 mm174.4 mm
2026-05-14258.5224.8122.3 mm177.1 mm
2026-05-15259.5232.1128.5 mm181.2 mm
2026-05-16263.2239.5130.9 mm184.3 mm
2026-05-17267.9247.4130.9 mm186.9 mm
2026-05-18273.9255.6131.8 mm190.7 mm
2026-05-19280.2263.7132.4 mm194.6 mm
2026-05-20288.9271.5132.7 mm199.2 mm
2026-05-21298.5279.5132.7 mm202.2 mm
2026-05-22309.3288.2132.7 mm204.3 mm
2026-05-23321.0297.5132.8 mm206.7 mm
2026-05-24334.1306.9132.8 mm208.8 mm
2026-05-25349.0316.6132.9 mm210.2 mm
2026-05-26364.8326.6132.9 mm211.9 mm
2026-05-27381.4336.6134.3 mm215.1 mm
2026-05-28397.1346.4135.5 mm218.2 mm
2026-05-29410.9356.1137.3 mm221.8 mm
2026-05-30424.6365.8137.4 mm224.5 mm
2026-05-31439.6375.6138.6 mm227.1 mm
2026-06-01452.1385.5143.2 mm229.9 mm
2026-06-02463.1396.0159.1 mm232.0 mm
2026-06-03473.9406.7175.3 mm234.4 mm
2026-06-04484.6417.6175.4 mm238.0 mm
2026-06-05495.5428.5188.4 mm242.9 mm
2026-06-06506.1439.1189.1 mm247.3 mm
2026-06-07518.5450.0189.3 mm251.2 mm
2026-06-08532.4461.3189.4 mm254.7 mm
2026-06-09546.9472.9191.2 mm257.6 mm
2026-06-10559.1484.7211.1 mm260.5 mm
2026-06-11569.3496.5211.2 mm264.9 mm
2026-06-12579.7508.1211.3 mm268.8 mm
2026-06-13592.5519.7211.3 mm271.8 mm
2026-06-14606.1531.2211.3 mm275.2 mm
2026-06-15620.0543.3212.2 mm277.3 mm
2026-06-16633.8555.8212.4 mm280.1 mm
2026-06-17649.3568.2212.4 mm283.0 mm
2026-06-18666.1580.8213.0 mm284.3 mm
2026-06-19683.6593.4213.4 mm288.1 mm
2026-06-20701.8606.0213.7 mm291.2 mm
2026-06-21720.4619.2214.5 mm292.8 mm
2026-06-22739.7632.6215.8 mm295.2 mm
2026-06-23758.1646.0216.7 mm298.5 mm
2026-06-24776.9659.1217.5 mm301.3 mm
2026-06-25796.0672.2217.7 mm304.2 mm
2026-06-26815.2685.6217.8 mm305.5 mm
2026-06-27834.8699.3217.8 mm308.4 mm
2026-06-28854.3713.0218.0 mm311.8 mm
2026-06-29875.0726.6218.9 mm314.5 mm
2026-06-30894.2740.5219.3 mm315.6 mm
2026-07-01911.0754.5227.6 mm317.8 mm
2026-07-02925.9768.7236.6 mm319.7 mm
2026-07-03941.8782.9236.8 mm322.1 mm
2026-07-04957.7797.3237.2 mm324.0 mm
2026-07-05973.8811.6237.8 mm327.1 mm
2026-07-06989.8826.0239.0 mm330.3 mm
2026-07-071006.5840.2239.3 mm333.7 mm
2026-07-081024.4854.1239.7 mm337.0 mm
2026-07-091041.4867.7240.0 mm338.6 mm
2026-07-101058.7881.4240.8 mm341.3 mm
2026-07-111076.7895.0243.2 mm344.8 mm
2026-07-121093.0908.8246.3 mm346.8 mm
2026-07-131110.4923.0246.4 mm349.1 mm
2026-07-141129.0936.8247.1 mm353.3 mm
2026-07-151146.9950.7250.2 mm356.5 mm
2026-07-161164.0965.0250.6 mm357.9 mm
2026-07-171181.0979.5252.3 mm359.6 mm
2026-07-181199.3994.0255.1 mm361.9 mm
2026-07-191215.41008.7259.4 mm363.2 mm
2026-07-201230.31023.8270.8 mm365.5 mm
2026-07-211244.71038.8288.2 mm368.3 mm
2026-07-221258.01054.0289.3 mm369.7 mm
2026-07-231271.41069.3289.9 mm371.4 mm
2026-07-241284.61084.1290.0 mm375.3 mm
2026-07-251298.41099.1290.0 mm377.1 mm
2026-07-261312.21113.9295.8 mm379.0 mm
2026-07-271327.01129.0295.8 mm380.5 mm
2026-07-281343.51144.3295.9 mm382.5 mm
2026-07-291360.71159.5295.9 mm385.5 mm
2026-07-301379.61174.7295.9 mm387.9 mm
2026-07-311399.41189.8296.2 mm390.1 mm
2026-08-011419.61205.2297.4 mm391.8 mm
2026-08-021439.71220.7297.8 mm393.4 mm
2026-08-031459.61236.1297.8 mm397.0 mm
2026-08-041479.61251.4297.9 mm399.2 mm
2026-08-051500.11266.8298.0 mm402.5 mm
2026-08-061521.21282.0298.5 mm405.6 mm
2026-08-071540.71297.4299.6 mm407.2 mm
2026-08-081558.81312.6301.0 mm409.6 mm
2026-08-091577.01327.6301.0 mm411.9 mm
2026-08-101596.31342.3301.3 mm415.5 mm
2026-08-111616.41356.6301.9 mm418.8 mm
2026-08-121636.21370.8302.0 mm421.8 mm
2026-08-131655.21385.2302.0 mm424.7 mm
2026-08-141673.31399.2302.0 mm428.1 mm
2026-08-151691.31413.2302.0 mm430.7 mm
2026-08-161709.01427.3303.2 mm432.2 mm
2026-08-171725.01441.6304.6 mm433.6 mm
2026-08-181740.41456.2304.7 mm435.1 mm
2026-08-191758.21470.8305.1 mm437.2 mm
2026-08-201774.61485.4327.7 mm440.1 mm
2026-08-211786.31499.6350.3 mm443.3 mm
2026-08-221799.81513.9351.0 mm444.6 mm
2026-08-231813.91528.1351.2 mm446.5 mm

Forecast outlook

ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC

10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record

GDD accumulation
159 GDDvs 113 GDD average
Total rainfall
1.3 mmvs 34.4 mm average

No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.

Sun8/30 30°Cavg 27°C 21°Cavg 18°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon8/31 31°Cavg 26°C 20°Cavg 17°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/1 29°Cavg 26°C 21°Cavg 16°C +14 GDD 0.1 mm
Wed9/2 30°Cavg 26°C 20°Cavg 17°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Thu9/3 31°Cavg 26°C 20°Cavg 17°C +15 GDD 0.0 mm
Fri9/4 32°Cavg 26°C 20°Cavg 17°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Sat9/5 32°Cavg 26°C 22°Cavg 16°C +16 GDD 0.0 mm
Sun9/6 32°Cavg 26°C 23°Cavg 16°C +17 GDD 0.0 mm
Mon9/7 33°Cavg 26°C 24°Cavg 16°C +18 GDD 0.0 mm
Tue9/8 32°Cavg 25°C 24°Cavg 16°C +16 GDD 1.1 mm

Data and methods

Show data sources and model assumptions

Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.

Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.

This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.

Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.

The Po Valley & Northeast Italy model uses a March 15–October 31 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.

The historical series uses 4 ERA5 locations, 3 temperature stations, and 5 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: veneto-prosecco-catalog-v1-2026-07.