Australia · Multi-region weather view
Barossa, Eden & Clare Valleys
Sign in to followValleys and uplands north and northeast of Adelaide.
Warm, dry Barossa sites contrast with cooler elevated vineyards in Eden and Clare.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Sep 13, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Oct 29, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Temperature20.5°C
Dew Point9.4°C
Relative Humidity49%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Oct 28
Vintage explorer
Mean temperature14.4°C
Temperature anomaly-6.0°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days216base 10°C
Hot days0≥ 35°C
What stood out in 2026
Cool weather can slow ripening and help grapes retain acidity. Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
Cooler growing season · High confidence
Mean growing-season temperature was -6.0°C versus the 1991–2020 baseline.
Cool weather can slow ripening and help grapes retain acidity.
Drier than baseline · Moderate confidence
Growing-season precipitation was 239 mm below the 1991–2020 baseline.
Less rain often lowers disease pressure, but vines may depend more on stored soil water or irrigation.
2026 month by month
Replay the 2026 growing season
Closest weather matches
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 0 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.6°C | -9 mm | 4 |
| 1992 | -1.0°C | +266 mm | 9 |
| 1993 | -0.6°C | -36 mm | 4 |
| 1994 | -0.5°C | -25 mm | 12 |
| 1995 | -1.1°C | -62 mm | 5 |
| 1996 | -0.6°C | -33 mm | 13 |
| 1997 | -0.7°C | +116 mm | 12 |
| 1998 | -0.2°C | -34 mm | 22 |
| 1999 | +0.1°C | +83 mm | 20 |
| 2000 | +0.8°C | -15 mm | 27 |
| 2001 | -1.4°C | +0 mm | 4 |
| 2002 | +0.0°C | -65 mm | 23 |
| 2003 | -0.2°C | -99 mm | 22 |
| 2004 | -0.2°C | -13 mm | 16 |
| 2005 | +0.0°C | +109 mm | 16 |
| 2006 | +0.9°C | +22 mm | 19 |
| 2007 | +0.7°C | -83 mm | 26 |
| 2008 | +0.1°C | -39 mm | 14 |
| 2009 | +1.0°C | +36 mm | 25 |
| 2010 | -0.6°C | +218 mm | 10 |
| 2011 | +0.2°C | +9 mm | 8 |
| 2012 | +0.8°C | -109 mm | 21 |
| 2013 | +0.6°C | +45 mm | 23 |
| 2014 | +0.0°C | -49 mm | 16 |
| 2015 | +1.3°C | -70 mm | 25 |
| 2016 | -0.3°C | +161 mm | 14 |
| 2017 | +1.1°C | -81 mm | 25 |
| 2018 | +0.8°C | -129 mm | 28 |
| 2019 | -0.1°C | -65 mm | 19 |
| 2020 | -0.2°C | -49 mm | 10 |
| 2021 | -0.3°C | -23 mm | 4 |
| 2022 | -1.1°C | +149 mm | 12 |
| 2023 | +0.1°C | -85 mm | 15 |
| 2024 | +1.3°C | -137 mm | 17 |
| 2025 | +0.2°C | +0 mm | 13 |
| 2026 | -6.0°C | -239 mm | 0 |
winter
10.5°C
+0.5°C vs baseline
194 mm rain · +45 mm
spring
14.4°C
-2.9°C vs baseline
56 mm rain · -110 mm
summer
Incomplete seasonal record
Temperature and rainfall are withheld for this window.
harvest
Incomplete seasonal record
Temperature and rainfall are withheld for this window.
Weather events
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +71.8 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +17.3 to +126.3 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the September 1–April 30 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1838 GDD | -151 GDD |
| 1992 | 1761 GDD | -228 GDD |
| 1993 | 1849 GDD | -140 GDD |
| 1994 | 1875 GDD | -114 GDD |
| 1995 | 1739 GDD | -250 GDD |
| 1996 | 1844 GDD | -145 GDD |
| 1997 | 1822 GDD | -167 GDD |
| 1998 | 1944 GDD | -45 GDD |
| 1999 | 2004 GDD | +14 GDD |
| 2000 | 2161 GDD | +172 GDD |
| 2001 | 1653 GDD | -336 GDD |
| 2002 | 1988 GDD | -1 GDD |
| 2003 | 1954 GDD | -35 GDD |
| 2004 | 1945 GDD | -44 GDD |
| 2005 | 1994 GDD | +5 GDD |
| 2006 | 2189 GDD | +200 GDD |
| 2007 | 2159 GDD | +170 GDD |
| 2008 | 2010 GDD | +21 GDD |
| 2009 | 2227 GDD | +238 GDD |
| 2010 | 1841 GDD | -148 GDD |
| 2011 | 2052 GDD | +63 GDD |
| 2012 | 2170 GDD | +181 GDD |
| 2013 | 2112 GDD | +122 GDD |
| 2014 | 1991 GDD | +2 GDD |
| 2015 | 2309 GDD | +320 GDD |
| 2016 | 1923 GDD | -66 GDD |
| 2017 | 2239 GDD | +250 GDD |
| 2018 | 2182 GDD | +193 GDD |
| 2019 | 1964 GDD | -25 GDD |
| 2020 | 1931 GDD | -58 GDD |
| 2021 | 1922 GDD | -67 GDD |
| 2022 | 1737 GDD | -252 GDD |
| 2023 | 2015 GDD | +26 GDD |
| 2024 | 2287 GDD | +298 GDD |
| 2025 | 2030 GDD | +41 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.30 °C per decade 95% interval +0.07 to +0.53
- Growing degree days
- +71.83 GDD per decade 95% interval +17.32 to +126.34
- Growing-season precipitation
- -20.10 mm per decade 95% interval -41.45 to +1.26
- Hot days
- +1.57 days per decade 95% interval -1.60 to +4.75
- Spring frost days
- +0.05 days per decade 95% interval -0.08 to +0.19
- Longest dry spell
- +2.15 days per decade 95% interval -3.19 to +7.49
Last Updated September 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +0.6°C | +0.3 to +0.9°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.2°C | +0.7 to +1.6°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.6°C | +1.1 to +2.1°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 21°C | 21°C | 21°C | 20°C | 20°C | 20°C | 15°C | 19°C | 23°C | 16°C |
| Low | 15°C | 14°C | 13°C | 10°C | 13°C | 10°C | 10°C | 9°C | 12°C | 9°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 1.0 mm | 0.5 mm | 10.0 mm | 4.9 mm | 0.0 mm | 1.5 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.2 mm |
Across the typical year: Late January has the warmest median afternoon high (29.2°C); Early July has the coolest (13.2°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early July (41%) and least frequent in Early March (7%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 28.9°C (25.1–33.7°C) | 14.5°C (12.0–17.9°C) | 12% | 6.4 mm (1.8–13.7 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 29.2°C (25.1–33.2°C) | 14.9°C (12.6–17.5°C) | 10% | 5.0 mm (1.2–14.1 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 29.1°C (24.7–33.2°C) | 14.7°C (12.3–18.0°C) | 11% | 6.2 mm (0.9–13.1 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 28.4°C (24.6–32.5°C) | 14.8°C (12.3–18.0°C) | 8% | 2.1 mm (0.2–8.7 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 26.3°C (23.3–31.3°C) | 13.4°C (11.3–16.3°C) | 7% | 3.0 mm (0.6–8.1 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 24.0°C (20.7–28.1°C) | 11.7°C (9.8–14.2°C) | 13% | 6.7 mm (3.0–12.4 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 22.2°C (19.7–26.1°C) | 10.6°C (8.7–12.9°C) | 14% | 8.5 mm (2.2–17.8 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 20.2°C (17.8–23.8°C) | 9.2°C (7.4–11.6°C) | 19% | 14.0 mm (2.8–29.7 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 17.9°C (15.8–20.5°C) | 8.2°C (6.3–10.4°C) | 23% | 10.0 mm (5.8–21.7 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 16.4°C (14.6–18.7°C) | 7.6°C (5.5–9.3°C) | 30% | 24.8 mm (16.0–38.1 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 14.3°C (13.1–16.0°C) | 6.4°C (4.5–8.4°C) | 35% | 25.1 mm (16.9–38.9 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 13.7°C (12.5–15.2°C) | 5.9°C (3.8–7.7°C) | 37% | 23.7 mm (14.4–40.5 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 13.2°C (11.9–14.6°C) | 5.6°C (3.9–7.0°C) | 41% | 29.9 mm (18.2–40.2 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 13.7°C (12.3–15.4°C) | 5.3°C (3.5–6.9°C) | 33% | 20.2 mm (15.8–33.6 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 13.8°C (12.1–15.8°C) | 5.3°C (3.6–7.1°C) | 41% | 27.8 mm (18.1–43.5 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 14.7°C (12.8–17.5°C) | 5.2°C (3.5–6.9°C) | 36% | 24.9 mm (11.3–39.1 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 16.1°C (13.9–19.5°C) | 6.4°C (4.9–8.2°C) | 34% | 22.1 mm (13.1–30.0 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 17.6°C (15.2–21.6°C) | 6.6°C (4.7–8.7°C) | 27% | 19.8 mm (6.7–36.1 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 19.6°C (16.4–24.2°C) | 7.7°C (5.7–10.2°C) | 24% | 17.4 mm (6.2–29.2 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 21.0°C (18.1–25.5°C) | 8.9°C (6.6–11.4°C) | 20% | 11.8 mm (3.5–28.1 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 22.7°C (19.1–27.3°C) | 10.0°C (7.8–13.1°C) | 22% | 17.0 mm (6.1–27.1 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 25.7°C (21.5–30.7°C) | 11.7°C (9.0–14.9°C) | 15% | 6.5 mm (2.8–17.5 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 25.3°C (22.0–30.0°C) | 12.3°C (10.1–14.8°C) | 21% | 13.3 mm (5.7–19.4 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 27.2°C (23.3–32.4°C) | 13.0°C (10.8–16.5°C) | 11% | 6.5 mm (2.6–18.9 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Season to date
Growing season heat and rainfall
Sep 1–Oct 29, 2026
Growing degree days216.4base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall56.1 mmweighted regional total
2026 season1991–2020 average
2026 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 mm | 1.7 mm |
| 2026-09-02 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 1.6 mm | 4.5 mm |
| 2026-09-03 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 2.3 mm | 6.5 mm |
| 2026-09-04 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 8.3 mm | 9.5 mm |
| 2026-09-05 | 13.7 | 9.4 | 10.5 mm | 11.3 mm |
| 2026-09-06 | 14.7 | 11.0 | 10.6 mm | 12.4 mm |
| 2026-09-07 | 15.8 | 13.2 | 10.6 mm | 14.7 mm |
| 2026-09-08 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 10.6 mm | 16.9 mm |
| 2026-09-09 | 16.1 | 17.5 | 10.7 mm | 18.7 mm |
| 2026-09-10 | 16.2 | 19.0 | 10.7 mm | 19.6 mm |
| 2026-09-11 | 17.9 | 21.7 | 10.7 mm | 20.8 mm |
| 2026-09-12 | 22.8 | 24.0 | 10.7 mm | 22.1 mm |
| 2026-09-13 | 28.3 | 26.5 | 12.4 mm | 23.8 mm |
| 2026-09-14 | 31.2 | 28.7 | 12.5 mm | 26.3 mm |
| 2026-09-15 | 32.2 | 31.2 | 12.6 mm | 28.0 mm |
| 2026-09-16 | 32.2 | 33.5 | 12.6 mm | 29.8 mm |
| 2026-09-17 | 32.3 | 35.5 | 12.6 mm | 31.9 mm |
| 2026-09-18 | 35.8 | 38.5 | 12.6 mm | 33.1 mm |
| 2026-09-19 | 42.3 | 41.1 | 12.6 mm | 35.0 mm |
| 2026-09-20 | 50.7 | 43.6 | 12.6 mm | 36.0 mm |
| 2026-09-21 | 51.6 | 46.7 | 12.7 mm | 36.9 mm |
| 2026-09-22 | 52.9 | 50.4 | 12.7 mm | 38.2 mm |
| 2026-09-23 | 57.3 | 53.4 | 12.7 mm | 39.9 mm |
| 2026-09-24 | 65.4 | 55.7 | 12.7 mm | 42.7 mm |
| 2026-09-25 | 74.5 | 58.0 | 13.0 mm | 44.8 mm |
| 2026-09-26 | 79.9 | 61.2 | 13.5 mm | 46.6 mm |
| 2026-09-27 | 84.5 | 65.2 | 13.8 mm | 46.8 mm |
| 2026-09-28 | 91.7 | 68.8 | 13.8 mm | 48.1 mm |
| 2026-09-29 | 106.2 | 71.3 | 13.8 mm | 51.6 mm |
| 2026-09-30 | 116.1 | 74.7 | 14.5 mm | 53.9 mm |
| 2026-10-01 | 123.4 | 78.8 | 34.0 mm | 55.5 mm |
| 2026-10-02 | 126.2 | 83.3 | 37.1 mm | 57.0 mm |
| 2026-10-03 | 128.5 | 87.4 | 37.7 mm | 59.3 mm |
| 2026-10-04 | 131.8 | 92.3 | 38.5 mm | 60.9 mm |
| 2026-10-05 | 135.7 | 97.1 | 38.6 mm | 62.1 mm |
| 2026-10-06 | 138.6 | 101.0 | 38.7 mm | 63.1 mm |
| 2026-10-07 | 142.8 | 104.4 | 38.7 mm | 64.4 mm |
| 2026-10-08 | 152.1 | 107.8 | 38.7 mm | 66.2 mm |
| 2026-10-09 | 158.0 | 111.7 | 46.6 mm | 67.6 mm |
| 2026-10-10 | 162.3 | 116.4 | 46.8 mm | 68.3 mm |
| 2026-10-11 | 170.5 | 120.9 | 54.2 mm | 69.3 mm |
| 2026-10-12 | 173.4 | 126.0 | 55.1 mm | 70.0 mm |
| 2026-10-13 | 175.9 | 130.1 | 55.1 mm | 71.2 mm |
| 2026-10-14 | 177.5 | 135.3 | 55.1 mm | 72.2 mm |
| 2026-10-15 | 180.8 | 141.0 | 55.1 mm | 73.1 mm |
| 2026-10-16 | 187.2 | 146.0 | 55.1 mm | 73.9 mm |
| 2026-10-17 | 194.8 | 151.3 | 55.3 mm | 75.3 mm |
| 2026-10-18 | 205.3 | 157.0 | 55.4 mm | 76.6 mm |
| 2026-10-19 | 216.4 | 162.1 | 56.1 mm | 78.4 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Oct 29, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 52 GDDvs 62 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 18.1 mmvs 16.2 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Thu10/29
21°Cavg 23°C
15°Cavg 9°C
+8 GDD
0.0 mm
Fri10/30
21°Cavg 23°C
14°Cavg 10°C
+6 GDD
1.0 mm
Sat10/31
21°Cavg 23°C
13°Cavg 10°C
+7 GDD
0.5 mm
Sun11/1
20°Cavg 23°C
10°Cavg 10°C
+5 GDD
10.0 mm
Mon11/2
20°Cavg 22°C
13°Cavg 11°C
+6 GDD
4.9 mm
Tue11/3
20°Cavg 21°C
10°Cavg 10°C
+5 GDD
0.0 mm
Wed11/4
15°Cavg 21°C
10°Cavg 9°C
+3 GDD
1.5 mm
Thu11/5
19°Cavg 22°C
9°Cavg 10°C
+4 GDD
0.0 mm
Fri11/6
23°Cavg 23°C
12°Cavg 10°C
+8 GDD
0.0 mm
Sat11/7
16°Cavg 23°C
9°Cavg 11°C
+2 GDD
0.2 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed September 20, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Barossa, Eden & Clare Valleys model uses a September 1–April 30 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.