Australia · Multi-region weather view
Heathcote & Rutherglen
Sign in to followWarm inland Victorian districts north of the Great Dividing Range.
Continental summer heat is moderated locally by elevation and large day–night temperature swings.
Climate comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional record · updated through Aug 20, 2026.
Current conditions
Observations through Aug 30, 2026 · 06:00 UTC
Temperature17.2°C
Dew Point11.3°C
Relative Humidity69%
24h Rainfall0.0 mmmodeled IFS total through Aug 29
Vintage explorer
Mean temperature18.1°C
Temperature anomaly+0.5°Cvs 1991-2020
Growing degree days1981base 10°C
Hot days8≥ 35°C
What stood out in 2023
No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.
Close to the usual range · Low confidence
Temperature, rainfall, heat, and frost all stayed within the site's published thresholds.
No single weather pattern stands out in the regional record.
How unusual was 2023?
The ranking compares vintages that meet the data-coverage threshold and use the same source, regional rules, and 1991-2020 baseline.
Growing-season temperature
10th warmest of 35 vintages Warmer than 25 of 34 other vintages 18.1°CGrowing-season rainfall
11th wettest of 35 vintages Wetter than 24 of 34 other vintages 397.7 mmHeat accumulation
10th highest of 35 vintages Higher than 25 of 34 other vintages 1982 GDDHot days
11th fewest of 35 vintages Fewer than 23 of 34 other vintages 8 days2023 month by month
Compared with 1991–2020
Follow heat accumulation, rainfall, frost exposure, and the region’s growing and harvest windows in calendar order.
Frost watch
Growing season
Harvest window
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 88 GDDTypical 44 GDDRainfall
2023 11.6 mmTypical 54.8 mm- 2023 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 1.4
Heat accumulation ran ahead of the typical month.
-
1–31 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 101 GDDTypical 123 GDDRainfall
2023 62.7 mmTypical 48.5 mm- 2023 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.1
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–30 Frost watchGrowing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 252 GDDTypical 221 GDDRainfall
2023 64.5 mmTypical 53.3 mm- 2023 freezing days
- 0
- Typical
- 0.0
Close to the typical monthly pattern.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 339 GDDTypical 310 GDDRainfall
2023 68.3 mmTypical 46.7 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHeat accumulation
2023 375 GDDTypical 390 GDDRainfall
2023 115.1 mmTypical 40.9 mmWetter than the typical month.
-
1–29 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2023 368 GDDTypical 341 GDDRainfall
2023 20.9 mmTypical 41.2 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–31 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2023 335 GDDTypical 281 GDDRainfall
2023 10.6 mmTypical 36.2 mmDrier than the typical month.
-
1–30 Growing seasonHarvest windowHeat accumulation
2023 124 GDDTypical 146 GDDRainfall
2023 44.0 mmTypical 36.1 mmClose to the typical monthly pattern.
View milestone calendar data as a table
| Month | 2023 GDD | Typical GDD | 2023 rainfall | Typical rainfall | 2023 freezing days | Typical freezing days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2023 | 88 GDD | 44 GDD | 11.6 mm | 54.8 mm | 0 | 1.4 |
| October 2023 | 101 GDD | 123 GDD | 62.7 mm | 48.5 mm | 0 | 0.1 |
| November 2023 | 252 GDD | 221 GDD | 64.5 mm | 53.3 mm | 0 | 0.0 |
| December 2023 | 339 GDD | 310 GDD | 68.3 mm | 46.7 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| January 2024 | 375 GDD | 390 GDD | 115.1 mm | 40.9 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| February 2024 | 368 GDD | 341 GDD | 20.9 mm | 41.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| March 2024 | 335 GDD | 281 GDD | 10.6 mm | 36.2 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
| April 2024 | 124 GDD | 146 GDD | 44.0 mm | 36.1 mm | Outside frost window | Outside frost window |
Calendar data and method
Monthly values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 daily reanalysis. “Typical” is the mean monthly total across 30 baseline seasons. GDD is counted only inside the configured growing window; freezing days are counted only inside the frost-watch window; rainfall covers every displayed calendar day.
Selected-vintage coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Replay the 2023 growing season
243 daily regional observations
Move through the season to follow temperature, rainfall, accumulated heat, and recorded weather events day by day.
Mean temperature
Daily rainfall
Season GDD
Season rainfall
No detected event on this date.
Replay data and method
Daily values are weighted across every configured regional sample using stored Google ARCO ERA5 reanalysis. Coverage is 100%. Source rows were last retrieved Aug 20, 2026.
Closest weather matches
These years had the most similar growing-season and harvest weather.
Closest match
2014
Most alike in Hot-day count and Growing-season mean temperature.
- Hot-day count
- fewer hot days: 1 day
- Growing-season mean temperature
- cooler: 0.1°C
Largest difference: Growing-season precipitation — less rain
View 2014 →Second closest
2000
Most alike in Spring frost exposure and Growing degree days.
- Spring frost exposure
- the same: 0 days
- Growing degree days
- lower: 57 GDD
Largest difference: Harvest precipitation — more rain
View 2000 →Third closest
2005
Most alike in Harvest precipitation and Growing-season precipitation.
- Harvest precipitation
- less rain: 5.9 mm
- Growing-season precipitation
- less rain: 36.8 mm
Largest difference: Hot-day count — more hot days
View 2005 →
How similar years are calculated
Method analog-v1-2026-07 standardizes six weather measures across 34 complete ARCO ERA5 comparison years, then measures the distance between them. The calculation runs when the page is requested.
Measures used: Growing-season mean temperature (20%); Growing degree days (15%); Hot-day count (15%); Growing-season precipitation (20%); Harvest precipitation (20%); Spring frost exposure (10%).
Calculated distances: 2014 0.387; 2000 0.477; 2005 0.599.
View historical chart data as a table
| Year | Temperature anomaly | Rainfall anomaly | Hot days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | -0.6°C | -80 mm | 4 |
| 1992 | -1.1°C | +309 mm | 4 |
| 1993 | -1.3°C | +187 mm | 4 |
| 1994 | -0.6°C | -89 mm | 11 |
| 1995 | -1.7°C | +37 mm | 2 |
| 1996 | -0.7°C | -92 mm | 16 |
| 1997 | +0.1°C | -79 mm | 16 |
| 1998 | -0.3°C | +12 mm | 12 |
| 1999 | -0.3°C | +17 mm | 9 |
| 2000 | +0.3°C | +79 mm | 13 |
| 2001 | -0.8°C | -56 mm | 4 |
| 2002 | +0.6°C | -169 mm | 16 |
| 2003 | -0.7°C | -79 mm | 15 |
| 2004 | -0.6°C | +45 mm | 7 |
| 2005 | +0.0°C | +3 mm | 15 |
| 2006 | +1.1°C | -157 mm | 19 |
| 2007 | +0.6°C | -98 mm | 18 |
| 2008 | +0.3°C | -133 mm | 16 |
| 2009 | +1.0°C | +60 mm | 19 |
| 2010 | -0.7°C | +487 mm | 4 |
| 2011 | -0.1°C | +160 mm | 4 |
| 2012 | +0.6°C | -161 mm | 20 |
| 2013 | +0.5°C | -16 mm | 21 |
| 2014 | +0.4°C | -31 mm | 7 |
| 2015 | +1.6°C | -95 mm | 23 |
| 2016 | +0.2°C | +126 mm | 16 |
| 2017 | +1.2°C | -62 mm | 19 |
| 2018 | +1.3°C | -133 mm | 32 |
| 2019 | -0.0°C | +25 mm | 18 |
| 2020 | -0.2°C | -19 mm | 10 |
| 2021 | +0.1°C | +134 mm | 4 |
| 2022 | -0.6°C | +276 mm | 8 |
| 2023 | +0.5°C | +40 mm | 8 |
| 2024 | +1.7°C | -70 mm | 18 |
| 2025 | +0.5°C | -34 mm | 20 |
| 2026 | +0.0°C | +0 mm | 0 |
winter
9.2°C
+0.8°C vs baseline
189 mm rain · +18 mm
spring
14.7°C
+0.7°C vs baseline
138 mm rain · -18 mm
summer
21.9°C
+0.4°C vs baseline
204 mm rain · +75 mm
harvest
19.2°C
+0.6°C vs baseline
75 mm rain · -38 mm
Weather events
Periods that crossed one of the published regional thresholds, shown in date order.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 23 days
- Total rain
- 1.3 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Dry spell
- Duration
- 22 days
- Total rain
- 1.8 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 37.4°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 35 GDD
Dry spell
- Duration
- 26 days
- Total rain
- 1.2 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
Heat episode
- Peak temperature
- 36.4°C
- Duration
- 2 days
- Heat accumulation
- 35 GDD
Concentrated harvest rain
- Total rain
- 25.7 mm
- Highest 3-day total
- 25.7 mm
- Trigger threshold
- 20.0 mm
A large share of the season's rain fell during the harvest period.
Dry spell
- Duration
- 14 days
- Total rain
- 1.4 mm
- Daily cutoff
- 1.0 mm/day
How events are detected
Weather & Vines combined regional series; method event-timeline-v2-2026-07, rules heathcote-catalog-v2-2026-07. Source last updated Aug 1, 2026, calculated Aug 29, 2026. Each configured point must have at least 95.0% coverage.
1991–present
Climate change
Measured regional trends are shown separately from model projections. The observed record ends at the latest complete growing season shared by every published region.
Observed record
Historical trends, 1991–2025
Growing degree days changed +109.9 GDD per decade. The 95% interval is +51.9 to +167.9 GDD per decade, based on 35 eligible vintages.
Weighted median: 70% SSP2-4.5 · 15% SSP1-2.6 · 15% SSP3-7.0
Shaded central 80% model range using the same weights.
How it is measured: Across the September 1–April 30 growing season, each day's mean temperature above 10°C adds to the total; cooler days add zero.
Scroll horizontally to inspect the full timeline.
View annual growing degree days data
| Vintage | Growing degree days | Change from 1991–2020 |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1714 GDD | -141 GDD |
| 1992 | 1612 GDD | -244 GDD |
| 1993 | 1536 GDD | -319 GDD |
| 1994 | 1724 GDD | -132 GDD |
| 1995 | 1463 GDD | -393 GDD |
| 1996 | 1684 GDD | -171 GDD |
| 1997 | 1872 GDD | +16 GDD |
| 1998 | 1790 GDD | -65 GDD |
| 1999 | 1772 GDD | -84 GDD |
| 2000 | 1924 GDD | +69 GDD |
| 2001 | 1643 GDD | -213 GDD |
| 2002 | 1996 GDD | +141 GDD |
| 2003 | 1720 GDD | -135 GDD |
| 2004 | 1704 GDD | -152 GDD |
| 2005 | 1866 GDD | +10 GDD |
| 2006 | 2107 GDD | +251 GDD |
| 2007 | 2012 GDD | +156 GDD |
| 2008 | 1926 GDD | +71 GDD |
| 2009 | 2100 GDD | +245 GDD |
| 2010 | 1676 GDD | -180 GDD |
| 2011 | 1826 GDD | -29 GDD |
| 2012 | 1993 GDD | +137 GDD |
| 2013 | 1953 GDD | +97 GDD |
| 2014 | 1946 GDD | +90 GDD |
| 2015 | 2252 GDD | +397 GDD |
| 2016 | 1888 GDD | +32 GDD |
| 2017 | 2142 GDD | +287 GDD |
| 2018 | 2176 GDD | +320 GDD |
| 2019 | 1851 GDD | -4 GDD |
| 2020 | 1798 GDD | -58 GDD |
| 2021 | 1859 GDD | +3 GDD |
| 2022 | 1698 GDD | -158 GDD |
| 2023 | 1982 GDD | +126 GDD |
| 2024 | 2251 GDD | +396 GDD |
| 2025 | 1957 GDD | +101 GDD |
- Growing-season mean temperature
- +0.47 °C per decade 95% interval +0.23 to +0.72
- Growing degree days
- +109.90 GDD per decade 95% interval +51.89 to +167.92
- Growing-season precipitation
- +3.05 mm per decade 95% interval -40.02 to +46.12
- Hot days
- +2.53 days per decade 95% interval -0.11 to +5.17
- Spring frost days
- -0.27 days per decade 95% interval -0.75 to +0.22
- Longest dry spell
- +0.77 days per decade 95% interval -0.84 to +2.38
Last Updated August 20, 2026
Model ensemble
Projected climate through 2075
Temperature changes are relative to each model’s 1991–2020 baseline. The table combines all three pathways, weighted 70% to SSP2-4.5 and 15% each to SSP1-2.6 and SSP3-7.0.
Scroll horizontally to compare all columns.
| Period | Weighted median | Weighted central 80% | Models per pathway |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-2040 | +0.7°C | +0.3 to +1.0°C | 25 |
| 2041-2060 | +1.4°C | +0.8 to +1.8°C | 25 |
| 2061-2075 | +1.9°C | +1.1 to +2.5°C | 25 |
How pathways are combined
For each period and percentile, Weather & Vines takes 70% of the SSP2-4.5 value, 15% of the SSP1-2.6 value, and 15% of the SSP3-7.0 value. Each pathway contains the same 25 models. The weights are an editorial view of the current trajectory, not scenario probabilities.
Last Updated June 29, 2025
Typical year · 1991–2020
When to visit
This calendar describes typical regional weather under the selected climate baseline. It is not a forecast for a future trip, and it does not account for crowds, lodging, events, or vineyard access.
Deterministic IFS forecast
Next ten days
Scroll horizontally to see all forecast dates.
| Date | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 17°C | 17°C | 19°C | 16°C | 15°C | 15°C | 14°C | 15°C | 14°C | 13°C |
| Low | 10°C | 5°C | 9°C | 10°C | 8°C | 5°C | 11°C | 8°C | 6°C | 6°C |
| Rain | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.4 mm | 0.8 mm | 0.7 mm | 5.8 mm | 5.7 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.0 mm | 0.3 mm |
Across the typical year: Late January has the warmest median afternoon high (30.3°C); Early July has the coolest (12.3°C). Wet days are most frequent in Early July (42%) and least frequent in Early March (15%). Ties are resolved by calendar order.
Afternoon highOvernight lowMiddle 50%
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
Scroll horizontally to inspect all 24 half-month periods.
View all 24 periods as a table
Scroll horizontally to view all columns.
| Period | Afternoon high, median (middle 50%) | Overnight low, median (middle 50%) | Wet-day frequency | Period rain, median (middle 50%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1–15 | 29.9°C (26.1–34.2°C) | 14.4°C (11.5–17.1°C) | 19% | 9.5 mm (4.3–18.7 mm) |
| Jan 16–31 | 30.3°C (27.3–33.8°C) | 14.9°C (12.4–17.8°C) | 21% | 19.3 mm (7.3–32.8 mm) |
| Feb 1–15 | 30.1°C (26.4–33.2°C) | 14.8°C (12.1–18.0°C) | 23% | 14.8 mm (5.4–22.2 mm) |
| Feb 16–29 | 29.3°C (26.7–32.1°C) | 14.2°C (11.9–16.8°C) | 17% | 6.8 mm (1.5–29.0 mm) |
| Mar 1–15 | 27.7°C (24.4–30.6°C) | 12.7°C (10.4–15.2°C) | 15% | 7.1 mm (1.8–21.2 mm) |
| Mar 16–31 | 24.9°C (21.8–27.3°C) | 10.6°C (8.7–13.5°C) | 16% | 15.3 mm (3.1–28.5 mm) |
| Apr 1–15 | 22.7°C (19.8–25.3°C) | 8.5°C (6.8–11.2°C) | 20% | 11.9 mm (3.9–26.3 mm) |
| Apr 16–30 | 20.2°C (17.9–22.8°C) | 7.0°C (5.4–9.5°C) | 20% | 13.0 mm (3.8–30.0 mm) |
| May 1–15 | 17.6°C (15.5–19.5°C) | 5.8°C (3.7–8.1°C) | 23% | 11.8 mm (5.2–27.3 mm) |
| May 16–31 | 15.6°C (14.2–17.2°C) | 4.7°C (2.7–7.2°C) | 27% | 23.2 mm (15.2–31.0 mm) |
| Jun 1–15 | 13.9°C (12.6–15.4°C) | 4.0°C (1.9–6.7°C) | 32% | 25.6 mm (16.7–38.0 mm) |
| Jun 16–30 | 12.9°C (11.5–13.9°C) | 3.9°C (1.3–5.9°C) | 35% | 25.9 mm (12.6–37.6 mm) |
| Jul 1–15 | 12.3°C (11.1–13.5°C) | 3.7°C (1.4–5.7°C) | 42% | 30.0 mm (18.8–40.1 mm) |
| Jul 16–31 | 12.5°C (11.5–13.8°C) | 3.1°C (0.9–5.1°C) | 34% | 20.4 mm (16.3–34.8 mm) |
| Aug 1–15 | 13.1°C (11.7–14.5°C) | 3.5°C (1.2–5.4°C) | 38% | 30.2 mm (17.1–42.5 mm) |
| Aug 16–31 | 14.2°C (12.6–16.5°C) | 3.1°C (1.2–5.4°C) | 32% | 25.7 mm (12.0–38.9 mm) |
| Sep 1–15 | 15.7°C (14.1–17.7°C) | 4.2°C (2.1–6.5°C) | 33% | 23.4 mm (10.2–33.9 mm) |
| Sep 16–30 | 17.0°C (15.3–19.5°C) | 4.9°C (2.7–7.4°C) | 29% | 18.4 mm (10.5–37.6 mm) |
| Oct 1–15 | 19.3°C (16.7–22.4°C) | 5.8°C (3.8–8.5°C) | 29% | 16.5 mm (9.6–35.9 mm) |
| Oct 16–31 | 21.1°C (18.4–24.6°C) | 7.0°C (5.0–9.9°C) | 25% | 15.2 mm (7.6–36.2 mm) |
| Nov 1–15 | 22.6°C (19.8–26.3°C) | 8.8°C (6.5–11.5°C) | 30% | 22.7 mm (15.4–42.9 mm) |
| Nov 16–30 | 25.8°C (22.2–29.4°C) | 10.3°C (7.8–13.5°C) | 25% | 18.0 mm (6.8–29.3 mm) |
| Dec 1–15 | 26.5°C (23.8–29.7°C) | 11.1°C (8.7–14.2°C) | 25% | 13.3 mm (6.7–39.5 mm) |
| Dec 16–31 | 28.6°C (25.1–32.4°C) | 12.6°C (10.0–15.6°C) | 22% | 14.2 mm (6.9–26.2 mm) |
Each year contributes to temperature or rain separately when at least 90% of that period’s days are present. A value is shown only when at least 80% of the baseline years qualify. February 29 is included in late February.
Historical climatology Last Updated August 20, 2026
Most recent season
Growing season heat and rainfall
Sep 1, 2025–Apr 30, 2026
Growing degree days1956.9base 10°C
Growing-season rainfall323.4 mmweighted regional total
2025 season1991–2020 average
2025 season1991–2020 average
View growing-season accumulation data
| Date | Season GDD | 1991–2020 average GDD | Season rainfall | 1991–2020 average rainfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-01 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 mm | 2.1 mm |
| 2025-09-02 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 mm | 4.4 mm |
| 2025-09-03 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 0.9 mm | 6.1 mm |
| 2025-09-04 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 1.9 mm | 8.1 mm |
| 2025-09-05 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 6.4 mm | 9.9 mm |
| 2025-09-06 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 6.6 mm | 11.3 mm |
| 2025-09-07 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 10.5 mm | 13.2 mm |
| 2025-09-08 | 10.5 | 7.8 | 15.6 mm | 15.9 mm |
| 2025-09-09 | 11.1 | 9.0 | 15.7 mm | 18.3 mm |
| 2025-09-10 | 11.1 | 9.9 | 20.7 mm | 20.0 mm |
| 2025-09-11 | 11.6 | 10.5 | 27.0 mm | 21.4 mm |
| 2025-09-12 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 27.1 mm | 23.4 mm |
| 2025-09-13 | 12.7 | 13.2 | 27.1 mm | 24.8 mm |
| 2025-09-14 | 14.6 | 14.5 | 27.1 mm | 26.6 mm |
| 2025-09-15 | 19.1 | 15.9 | 27.5 mm | 28.9 mm |
| 2025-09-16 | 22.5 | 17.4 | 32.1 mm | 30.4 mm |
| 2025-09-17 | 22.5 | 18.5 | 34.0 mm | 32.6 mm |
| 2025-09-18 | 22.5 | 19.9 | 34.2 mm | 33.6 mm |
| 2025-09-19 | 25.1 | 22.1 | 35.7 mm | 35.1 mm |
| 2025-09-20 | 25.1 | 23.7 | 36.1 mm | 36.6 mm |
| 2025-09-21 | 26.8 | 25.5 | 36.9 mm | 37.6 mm |
| 2025-09-22 | 26.8 | 28.0 | 37.7 mm | 39.2 mm |
| 2025-09-23 | 26.8 | 30.3 | 37.7 mm | 40.9 mm |
| 2025-09-24 | 27.6 | 32.3 | 37.8 mm | 42.0 mm |
| 2025-09-25 | 28.3 | 33.9 | 37.9 mm | 45.0 mm |
| 2025-09-26 | 33.9 | 35.1 | 37.9 mm | 46.5 mm |
| 2025-09-27 | 35.2 | 37.5 | 37.9 mm | 47.4 mm |
| 2025-09-28 | 36.0 | 39.9 | 39.0 mm | 48.6 mm |
| 2025-09-29 | 37.1 | 41.7 | 39.0 mm | 52.8 mm |
| 2025-09-30 | 42.5 | 43.7 | 39.6 mm | 54.8 mm |
| 2025-10-01 | 43.4 | 46.3 | 40.2 mm | 56.8 mm |
| 2025-10-02 | 44.9 | 49.5 | 41.8 mm | 58.5 mm |
| 2025-10-03 | 47.2 | 53.0 | 42.1 mm | 60.5 mm |
| 2025-10-04 | 49.8 | 56.4 | 42.3 mm | 62.3 mm |
| 2025-10-05 | 57.8 | 59.8 | 42.3 mm | 63.8 mm |
| 2025-10-06 | 61.2 | 63.4 | 44.0 mm | 65.4 mm |
| 2025-10-07 | 61.2 | 65.9 | 44.0 mm | 67.0 mm |
| 2025-10-08 | 64.6 | 68.1 | 44.0 mm | 68.6 mm |
| 2025-10-09 | 69.3 | 70.4 | 44.3 mm | 70.4 mm |
| 2025-10-10 | 73.6 | 73.3 | 44.3 mm | 71.4 mm |
| 2025-10-11 | 77.8 | 77.0 | 44.3 mm | 72.7 mm |
| 2025-10-12 | 79.5 | 80.8 | 44.5 mm | 74.1 mm |
| 2025-10-13 | 79.8 | 84.2 | 45.1 mm | 75.5 mm |
| 2025-10-14 | 81.6 | 87.8 | 45.1 mm | 77.1 mm |
| 2025-10-15 | 86.3 | 92.1 | 45.1 mm | 78.6 mm |
| 2025-10-16 | 94.3 | 96.2 | 45.2 mm | 80.4 mm |
| 2025-10-17 | 101.6 | 99.9 | 45.5 mm | 82.9 mm |
| 2025-10-18 | 105.7 | 103.7 | 45.5 mm | 84.3 mm |
| 2025-10-19 | 113.5 | 108.2 | 45.5 mm | 85.5 mm |
| 2025-10-20 | 122.4 | 112.2 | 46.0 mm | 87.3 mm |
| 2025-10-21 | 127.9 | 116.2 | 46.4 mm | 88.5 mm |
| 2025-10-22 | 133.8 | 120.6 | 49.7 mm | 90.1 mm |
| 2025-10-23 | 136.0 | 125.4 | 51.8 mm | 91.9 mm |
| 2025-10-24 | 138.2 | 130.9 | 51.8 mm | 94.9 mm |
| 2025-10-25 | 140.3 | 136.4 | 53.3 mm | 96.0 mm |
| 2025-10-26 | 145.7 | 141.2 | 66.2 mm | 96.9 mm |
| 2025-10-27 | 148.5 | 145.1 | 74.8 mm | 97.7 mm |
| 2025-10-28 | 149.9 | 149.8 | 74.8 mm | 98.2 mm |
| 2025-10-29 | 153.3 | 154.8 | 74.8 mm | 98.8 mm |
| 2025-10-30 | 159.2 | 160.8 | 74.8 mm | 100.1 mm |
| 2025-10-31 | 167.5 | 166.5 | 76.5 mm | 103.3 mm |
| 2025-11-01 | 177.3 | 172.6 | 77.1 mm | 105.3 mm |
| 2025-11-02 | 189.0 | 178.6 | 77.1 mm | 108.1 mm |
| 2025-11-03 | 194.6 | 183.9 | 85.3 mm | 110.0 mm |
| 2025-11-04 | 196.3 | 188.6 | 94.6 mm | 111.9 mm |
| 2025-11-05 | 200.1 | 194.0 | 96.8 mm | 114.6 mm |
| 2025-11-06 | 204.9 | 200.3 | 96.8 mm | 117.0 mm |
| 2025-11-07 | 216.5 | 206.3 | 97.5 mm | 118.5 mm |
| 2025-11-08 | 221.4 | 212.1 | 98.1 mm | 121.3 mm |
| 2025-11-09 | 224.6 | 218.5 | 98.3 mm | 121.7 mm |
| 2025-11-10 | 227.1 | 224.9 | 98.3 mm | 123.6 mm |
| 2025-11-11 | 227.1 | 231.7 | 100.6 mm | 124.6 mm |
| 2025-11-12 | 227.7 | 239.4 | 101.0 mm | 128.1 mm |
| 2025-11-13 | 232.7 | 246.4 | 101.0 mm | 130.2 mm |
| 2025-11-14 | 239.9 | 253.5 | 101.0 mm | 132.3 mm |
| 2025-11-15 | 250.5 | 260.3 | 101.6 mm | 133.1 mm |
| 2025-11-16 | 256.4 | 266.5 | 102.5 mm | 134.7 mm |
| 2025-11-17 | 259.2 | 273.8 | 104.0 mm | 136.0 mm |
| 2025-11-18 | 266.8 | 282.3 | 104.1 mm | 137.1 mm |
| 2025-11-19 | 274.8 | 291.8 | 104.1 mm | 138.1 mm |
| 2025-11-20 | 279.5 | 301.1 | 104.1 mm | 139.4 mm |
| 2025-11-21 | 284.4 | 309.4 | 104.1 mm | 140.9 mm |
| 2025-11-22 | 293.1 | 316.4 | 105.0 mm | 144.1 mm |
| 2025-11-23 | 303.3 | 323.7 | 112.0 mm | 145.9 mm |
| 2025-11-24 | 315.7 | 331.8 | 112.4 mm | 146.9 mm |
| 2025-11-25 | 328.8 | 341.4 | 112.5 mm | 148.3 mm |
| 2025-11-26 | 336.5 | 350.7 | 113.1 mm | 150.2 mm |
| 2025-11-27 | 343.3 | 360.0 | 113.3 mm | 152.7 mm |
| 2025-11-28 | 349.5 | 369.3 | 115.4 mm | 154.5 mm |
| 2025-11-29 | 357.2 | 378.6 | 124.4 mm | 155.8 mm |
| 2025-11-30 | 360.9 | 387.4 | 126.3 mm | 156.7 mm |
| 2025-12-01 | 363.7 | 396.0 | 130.1 mm | 158.3 mm |
| 2025-12-02 | 366.8 | 404.3 | 130.9 mm | 161.0 mm |
| 2025-12-03 | 374.6 | 413.3 | 131.0 mm | 162.9 mm |
| 2025-12-04 | 387.8 | 421.6 | 131.0 mm | 164.7 mm |
| 2025-12-05 | 401.9 | 430.1 | 131.1 mm | 166.6 mm |
| 2025-12-06 | 413.3 | 439.0 | 131.5 mm | 167.6 mm |
| 2025-12-07 | 417.7 | 448.3 | 132.0 mm | 169.1 mm |
| 2025-12-08 | 425.8 | 457.8 | 132.0 mm | 170.5 mm |
| 2025-12-09 | 436.8 | 467.5 | 132.0 mm | 172.3 mm |
| 2025-12-10 | 445.3 | 476.7 | 132.0 mm | 173.2 mm |
| 2025-12-11 | 454.7 | 485.8 | 132.3 mm | 174.1 mm |
| 2025-12-12 | 467.4 | 495.1 | 132.7 mm | 175.1 mm |
| 2025-12-13 | 479.8 | 504.8 | 133.1 mm | 177.6 mm |
| 2025-12-14 | 488.9 | 514.6 | 133.6 mm | 180.0 mm |
| 2025-12-15 | 493.6 | 524.8 | 133.6 mm | 181.1 mm |
| 2025-12-16 | 502.3 | 535.3 | 133.6 mm | 182.4 mm |
| 2025-12-17 | 516.1 | 545.5 | 133.6 mm | 183.4 mm |
| 2025-12-18 | 534.1 | 555.8 | 133.6 mm | 184.7 mm |
| 2025-12-19 | 551.6 | 566.7 | 133.9 mm | 186.0 mm |
| 2025-12-20 | 567.9 | 577.7 | 135.5 mm | 188.1 mm |
| 2025-12-21 | 578.8 | 588.8 | 147.8 mm | 190.3 mm |
| 2025-12-22 | 585.9 | 599.5 | 156.8 mm | 193.5 mm |
| 2025-12-23 | 593.7 | 610.2 | 156.8 mm | 195.0 mm |
| 2025-12-24 | 600.7 | 621.0 | 156.8 mm | 195.4 mm |
| 2025-12-25 | 605.8 | 631.4 | 156.8 mm | 196.4 mm |
| 2025-12-26 | 610.6 | 641.3 | 156.8 mm | 198.3 mm |
| 2025-12-27 | 617.8 | 651.0 | 156.8 mm | 199.4 mm |
| 2025-12-28 | 628.5 | 662.0 | 156.8 mm | 200.4 mm |
| 2025-12-29 | 642.0 | 673.1 | 156.8 mm | 200.9 mm |
| 2025-12-30 | 657.3 | 685.0 | 156.9 mm | 201.8 mm |
| 2025-12-31 | 668.2 | 697.5 | 156.9 mm | 203.4 mm |
| 2026-01-01 | 678.2 | 710.2 | 156.9 mm | 206.1 mm |
| 2026-01-02 | 690.3 | 722.2 | 156.9 mm | 207.3 mm |
| 2026-01-03 | 704.7 | 734.6 | 156.9 mm | 207.7 mm |
| 2026-01-04 | 717.9 | 746.8 | 157.6 mm | 208.8 mm |
| 2026-01-05 | 729.5 | 758.4 | 157.6 mm | 209.9 mm |
| 2026-01-06 | 744.3 | 770.2 | 157.6 mm | 211.6 mm |
| 2026-01-07 | 764.0 | 781.4 | 157.6 mm | 212.3 mm |
| 2026-01-08 | 786.0 | 792.7 | 157.6 mm | 213.0 mm |
| 2026-01-09 | 809.1 | 803.7 | 157.7 mm | 213.7 mm |
| 2026-01-10 | 822.5 | 816.0 | 157.7 mm | 215.1 mm |
| 2026-01-11 | 831.0 | 829.8 | 157.7 mm | 215.9 mm |
| 2026-01-12 | 841.8 | 842.9 | 157.7 mm | 217.0 mm |
| 2026-01-13 | 854.4 | 855.7 | 157.7 mm | 218.4 mm |
| 2026-01-14 | 868.5 | 868.7 | 157.7 mm | 220.7 mm |
| 2026-01-15 | 882.0 | 881.7 | 158.0 mm | 221.7 mm |
| 2026-01-16 | 894.6 | 894.7 | 159.0 mm | 222.5 mm |
| 2026-01-17 | 907.5 | 907.7 | 159.3 mm | 223.5 mm |
| 2026-01-18 | 920.1 | 920.3 | 159.3 mm | 225.0 mm |
| 2026-01-19 | 934.2 | 933.0 | 159.4 mm | 226.2 mm |
| 2026-01-20 | 949.6 | 946.9 | 160.8 mm | 229.3 mm |
| 2026-01-21 | 962.4 | 960.2 | 161.9 mm | 231.0 mm |
| 2026-01-22 | 971.2 | 973.3 | 161.9 mm | 231.9 mm |
| 2026-01-23 | 981.5 | 986.3 | 161.9 mm | 233.4 mm |
| 2026-01-24 | 997.0 | 998.8 | 161.9 mm | 234.9 mm |
| 2026-01-25 | 1015.6 | 1011.7 | 161.9 mm | 236.3 mm |
| 2026-01-26 | 1033.5 | 1025.0 | 161.9 mm | 237.6 mm |
| 2026-01-27 | 1053.2 | 1037.7 | 161.9 mm | 239.9 mm |
| 2026-01-28 | 1073.0 | 1050.4 | 161.9 mm | 241.3 mm |
| 2026-01-29 | 1091.7 | 1062.9 | 161.9 mm | 242.0 mm |
| 2026-01-30 | 1112.9 | 1075.6 | 161.9 mm | 243.8 mm |
| 2026-01-31 | 1133.5 | 1087.9 | 162.2 mm | 244.7 mm |
| 2026-02-01 | 1144.1 | 1100.6 | 162.5 mm | 245.5 mm |
| 2026-02-02 | 1151.2 | 1113.5 | 162.5 mm | 246.4 mm |
| 2026-02-03 | 1160.9 | 1126.9 | 162.5 mm | 248.4 mm |
| 2026-02-04 | 1174.7 | 1139.8 | 162.5 mm | 251.2 mm |
| 2026-02-05 | 1189.0 | 1153.1 | 162.5 mm | 256.5 mm |
| 2026-02-06 | 1202.1 | 1165.9 | 162.5 mm | 258.4 mm |
| 2026-02-07 | 1216.4 | 1179.4 | 162.5 mm | 259.2 mm |
| 2026-02-08 | 1231.7 | 1192.5 | 163.2 mm | 260.2 mm |
| 2026-02-09 | 1246.9 | 1204.8 | 164.0 mm | 261.1 mm |
| 2026-02-10 | 1261.4 | 1216.0 | 164.0 mm | 262.3 mm |
| 2026-02-11 | 1278.2 | 1227.4 | 164.9 mm | 264.6 mm |
| 2026-02-12 | 1285.3 | 1238.7 | 166.3 mm | 266.2 mm |
| 2026-02-13 | 1293.2 | 1250.1 | 166.3 mm | 266.9 mm |
| 2026-02-14 | 1305.1 | 1262.3 | 166.3 mm | 267.6 mm |
| 2026-02-15 | 1318.8 | 1274.6 | 166.3 mm | 269.3 mm |
| 2026-02-16 | 1333.8 | 1286.3 | 166.3 mm | 270.4 mm |
| 2026-02-17 | 1349.1 | 1298.0 | 167.1 mm | 270.7 mm |
| 2026-02-18 | 1359.6 | 1310.3 | 167.5 mm | 270.9 mm |
| 2026-02-19 | 1370.7 | 1322.2 | 167.5 mm | 271.8 mm |
| 2026-02-20 | 1383.9 | 1333.5 | 167.5 mm | 272.8 mm |
| 2026-02-21 | 1399.0 | 1344.6 | 167.5 mm | 274.2 mm |
| 2026-02-22 | 1412.6 | 1356.3 | 177.0 mm | 275.5 mm |
| 2026-02-23 | 1425.3 | 1368.6 | 193.0 mm | 276.1 mm |
| 2026-02-24 | 1441.5 | 1381.2 | 195.5 mm | 276.5 mm |
| 2026-02-25 | 1454.3 | 1393.8 | 203.2 mm | 276.8 mm |
| 2026-02-26 | 1468.2 | 1406.0 | 203.8 mm | 278.3 mm |
| 2026-02-27 | 1483.8 | 1417.1 | 204.3 mm | 280.6 mm |
| 2026-02-28 | 1499.5 | 1427.5 | 206.5 mm | 284.4 mm |
| 2026-03-01 | 1512.6 | 1437.4 | 213.0 mm | 286.6 mm |
| 2026-03-02 | 1522.3 | 1447.6 | 254.0 mm | 287.7 mm |
| 2026-03-03 | 1533.7 | 1458.6 | 264.6 mm | 288.8 mm |
| 2026-03-04 | 1546.2 | 1469.2 | 266.1 mm | 290.2 mm |
| 2026-03-05 | 1558.5 | 1479.5 | 266.1 mm | 292.4 mm |
| 2026-03-06 | 1570.4 | 1489.7 | 266.1 mm | 293.4 mm |
| 2026-03-07 | 1581.0 | 1499.7 | 266.1 mm | 294.9 mm |
| 2026-03-08 | 1591.9 | 1510.1 | 266.2 mm | 296.4 mm |
| 2026-03-09 | 1604.0 | 1520.6 | 266.2 mm | 297.5 mm |
| 2026-03-10 | 1617.3 | 1531.1 | 266.2 mm | 298.4 mm |
| 2026-03-11 | 1630.3 | 1542.1 | 266.2 mm | 299.1 mm |
| 2026-03-12 | 1635.7 | 1552.7 | 266.7 mm | 299.5 mm |
| 2026-03-13 | 1641.7 | 1562.9 | 266.7 mm | 300.2 mm |
| 2026-03-14 | 1648.8 | 1572.4 | 266.7 mm | 300.8 mm |
| 2026-03-15 | 1659.0 | 1581.8 | 266.7 mm | 301.5 mm |
| 2026-03-16 | 1670.8 | 1590.7 | 270.8 mm | 303.8 mm |
| 2026-03-17 | 1680.5 | 1599.5 | 279.8 mm | 304.7 mm |
| 2026-03-18 | 1691.1 | 1608.6 | 282.1 mm | 305.3 mm |
| 2026-03-19 | 1702.1 | 1617.9 | 285.6 mm | 305.5 mm |
| 2026-03-20 | 1712.2 | 1626.6 | 286.3 mm | 306.5 mm |
| 2026-03-21 | 1722.1 | 1634.9 | 286.3 mm | 308.1 mm |
| 2026-03-22 | 1732.8 | 1642.9 | 286.3 mm | 310.3 mm |
| 2026-03-23 | 1744.5 | 1651.1 | 286.3 mm | 310.9 mm |
| 2026-03-24 | 1755.7 | 1659.0 | 287.5 mm | 311.8 mm |
| 2026-03-25 | 1766.1 | 1666.8 | 291.3 mm | 313.4 mm |
| 2026-03-26 | 1771.6 | 1674.3 | 297.7 mm | 314.5 mm |
| 2026-03-27 | 1774.6 | 1682.0 | 300.8 mm | 316.0 mm |
| 2026-03-28 | 1779.0 | 1689.3 | 301.0 mm | 317.2 mm |
| 2026-03-29 | 1784.8 | 1696.3 | 301.0 mm | 318.2 mm |
| 2026-03-30 | 1791.6 | 1702.7 | 301.0 mm | 319.0 mm |
| 2026-03-31 | 1800.3 | 1708.9 | 301.0 mm | 319.2 mm |
| 2026-04-01 | 1810.7 | 1715.2 | 301.1 mm | 319.4 mm |
| 2026-04-02 | 1820.1 | 1721.3 | 301.1 mm | 320.6 mm |
| 2026-04-03 | 1825.7 | 1727.3 | 301.1 mm | 321.2 mm |
| 2026-04-04 | 1832.1 | 1733.4 | 301.1 mm | 322.4 mm |
| 2026-04-05 | 1838.6 | 1739.9 | 301.3 mm | 323.2 mm |
| 2026-04-06 | 1845.5 | 1745.9 | 306.2 mm | 323.9 mm |
| 2026-04-07 | 1853.3 | 1751.0 | 307.3 mm | 325.7 mm |
| 2026-04-08 | 1857.4 | 1756.5 | 308.5 mm | 326.2 mm |
| 2026-04-09 | 1864.9 | 1761.8 | 315.7 mm | 327.0 mm |
| 2026-04-10 | 1870.6 | 1767.2 | 322.2 mm | 329.2 mm |
| 2026-04-11 | 1871.7 | 1773.0 | 322.5 mm | 331.1 mm |
| 2026-04-12 | 1873.2 | 1778.8 | 323.0 mm | 332.3 mm |
| 2026-04-13 | 1876.8 | 1784.6 | 323.1 mm | 333.5 mm |
| 2026-04-14 | 1879.5 | 1790.3 | 323.2 mm | 335.4 mm |
| 2026-04-15 | 1883.2 | 1795.7 | 323.2 mm | 336.8 mm |
| 2026-04-16 | 1888.1 | 1800.9 | 323.2 mm | 337.4 mm |
| 2026-04-17 | 1890.8 | 1805.5 | 323.3 mm | 338.3 mm |
| 2026-04-18 | 1891.4 | 1810.1 | 323.3 mm | 339.2 mm |
| 2026-04-19 | 1891.9 | 1814.5 | 323.4 mm | 339.7 mm |
| 2026-04-20 | 1896.4 | 1819.1 | 323.4 mm | 341.4 mm |
| 2026-04-21 | 1902.3 | 1823.3 | 323.4 mm | 342.6 mm |
| 2026-04-22 | 1907.6 | 1827.7 | 323.4 mm | 344.1 mm |
| 2026-04-23 | 1912.7 | 1831.9 | 323.4 mm | 345.0 mm |
| 2026-04-24 | 1917.0 | 1836.1 | 323.4 mm | 346.1 mm |
| 2026-04-25 | 1922.2 | 1839.7 | 323.4 mm | 348.1 mm |
| 2026-04-26 | 1929.3 | 1843.2 | 323.4 mm | 349.7 mm |
| 2026-04-27 | 1936.0 | 1846.0 | 323.4 mm | 350.3 mm |
| 2026-04-28 | 1942.5 | 1849.2 | 323.4 mm | 352.0 mm |
| 2026-04-29 | 1950.2 | 1852.3 | 323.4 mm | 353.7 mm |
| 2026-04-30 | 1956.9 | 1855.1 | 323.4 mm | 355.7 mm |
Forecast outlook
ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Herbie · run Aug 30, 2026 at 00:00 UTC
10-day totals compared with the 1991–2020 combined regional record
- GDD accumulation
- 16 GDDvs 10 GDD average
- Total rainfall
- 13.8 mmvs 21.9 mm average
No unusually hot or wet period stands out in the short-range forecast.
Sun8/30
17°Cavg 15°C
10°Cavg 4°C
+4 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon8/31
17°Cavg 15°C
5°Cavg 4°C
+1 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/1
19°Cavg 16°C
9°Cavg 4°C
+3 GDD
0.4 mm
Wed9/2
16°Cavg 16°C
10°Cavg 4°C
+4 GDD
0.8 mm
Thu9/3
15°Cavg 17°C
8°Cavg 5°C
+1 GDD
0.7 mm
Fri9/4
15°Cavg 16°C
5°Cavg 5°C
+1 GDD
5.8 mm
Sat9/5
14°Cavg 16°C
11°Cavg 4°C
+2 GDD
5.7 mm
Sun9/6
15°Cavg 15°C
8°Cavg 4°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Mon9/7
14°Cavg 15°C
6°Cavg 4°C
+0 GDD
0.0 mm
Tue9/8
13°Cavg 16°C
6°Cavg 5°C
+0 GDD
0.3 mm
Data and methods
Show data sources and model assumptions
Current model conditions and the 10-day outlook use the 00 UTC deterministic ECMWF IFS 0.25° public forecast retrieved directly with Herbie. Historical temperature and rain combine qualifying GHCN-D stations with ERA5 by geographic area; a missing station day uses the nearest ERA5 value for that station's area. Climate comparisons use 1991–2020.
Forecast comparisons use the 1991–2020 combined regional daily record. Daily high and low averages use the matching date; rainfall and GDD sum the same calendar dates as the forecast period.
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Weather & Vines subsets, converts, and regionally weights the forecast fields. ECMWF data are published under CC BY 4.0. ECMWF accepts no liability for errors, omissions, availability, loss, or damage arising from their use.
Climate projections use NASA NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 v2.0, accessed August 23, 2026, with 25 models. Weather & Vines subsets and aggregates the source fields. Source files and derived projection data are under CC BY-SA 4.0; the full roster and limitations are listed in the climate atlas methods.
The Heathcote & Rutherglen model uses a September 1–April 30 growing season, base 10°C GDD, and an operational hot-day marker of 35°C.
The historical series uses 2 ERA5 locations, 8 temperature stations, and 43 rain stations. Interpretation confidence: high. Geometry confidence: reviewed-approximate. Rules: heathcote-catalog-v2-2026-07.